— 🇺🇸 Our updated prediction of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election:

Donald J. Trump will become President of the United States with at least 306 electoral votes.

Compared to our last forecast, Trump now picks up the states of Georgia and Michigan, winning all battleground states except Nevada, bringing his electoral votes to 306.

Georgia is a fundamentally red state, having voted Republican in nearly all of the recent elections except 2020 by a narrow margin. While we believe VP Kamala Harris initially had a shot at taking Georgia due to her support among Black voters, the lack of President Biden's response to hurricane Helene and Trump's increasing popularity among black voters has tilted the state towards Former President Donald Trump.

Michigan is usually considered part of the 'Blue Wall' which Biden managed to hold in 2020 along with Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. These three swing states have been very competitive and influential in the last two election cycles, deciding the outcome of both past elections.

Biden won the state very narrowly, and Kamala Harris will likely lose it by a slim margin, because she doesn't have as much support among White blue collar voters as Biden did in 2020. She also doesn't have the support of several major labor unions, unlike Biden did. Additionally, many Muslim voters in Michigan are not planning to vote Democrat, due to the genocide in Gaza. Jill Stein, a third party candidate, will skim some Democrat voters away from Harris. On top of that, Trump appeals way more to White, working class voters in Michigan, and his state-wide rural support will probably be enough to defeat Harris, who will gain votes mostly in large cities such as Detroit.

@Middle_East_Spectator

It is totally irrelevant who wins the election btw. I just follow it because it's entertaining.

And also, Kamala Harris can still win Michigan, + potentially Pennsylvania and North Carolina. It all depends. Some of these states will be extremely close, likely with less than a 1% margin.

IF Trump is underestimated in the polls like he was in 2016 and 2020, then it'll be a clean sweep. But past events are not indicative of future scenarios.

And before some schizo Americans say the 2020 election was rigged, it almost certainly was not, and if you believe it you probably live in a bubble. Mail-in votes are not fraud.

Even Trump's own aides and investigators admitted there was no large scale fraud.

— 🇺🇸 NBC News Nationwide Poll:

Trump 48%
Harris 48%

For reference, in 2016, when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton, he was 4 points behind in nationwide polling.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Have not seen anything that would confirm this. Waiting for further information.

If no further info in 1 hour, I will delete. Misinfo cannot be afforded.