Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

X: @spectator_mena
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— ❗️🇸🇾/🇮🇶/🇮🇷 NEW: The Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian Foreign Ministers will soon hold an important joint press conference to the media

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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇾 Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, after consultations in Baghdad:

'Whoever denies the obvious Zionist role in the terrorist advances in Syria, is either blind or dishonest.

The Islamic Republic of Iran has always supported Syria and will continue to do so with all its weight and with everything Syria needs and demands.

The security of our neighbours is the security of ourselves; terrorists must be fought and annihilated in their infancy, before they spread into the entire region.'

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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇾 Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: 'Iran has not and will not abandon its allies in times of difficulties, just like we expect our friends and allies to stick by us.'

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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇾 Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: 'Iran has witnessed first hand how its own allies left it and betrayed it, one by one, during the Iraqi imposed war against us in the 1980's. We refuse to do this to others. Once a friend, a friend till the end.'

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— 🇸🇾/🇮🇱 An FSA commander in an interview to the Times of Israel: 'We are open to friendship with everyone in the region – including Israel. We don’t have any enemies other than the Assad regime, Hezbollah and Iran. We hope Israel helps us more.'

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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇳/☢️ Chief of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Grossi:

'Iran has just dramatically increased its capacity to produce 60% (near weapons grade) enriched uranium, by installing advanced IR-6 centrifuges.

Iran was producing 60% enriched uranium at a rate of 5-7kg a month, but Iran now has the capacity to increase this monthly output by seven or eight times, or possibly even more.'

Note: Grossi is simply talking about an increase in Iran's capacity to produce, he did not mention whether Iran intends to actually put these new centrifuges into operation.

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— 🇮🇷/ 🇸🇾 Iranian State TV: 'Armed groups (HTS) have not targeted any of the Shia civilians living in Aleppo'

It seems that Iranian media is preparing for something, or at the very least taking precautions, to make HTS seem more moderate.

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— 🇸🇾 NEW: The Syrian Ministry of Information officially denies reports of any foiled coup attempt in Damascus

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Reports that Assad has left Damascus are false, he is at the Presidential palace.
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— 🇸🇾 NOTE: Just because the situation is bad, does not mean every piece of news distributed by HTS-affiliated media is true.

Assad remains in Damascus, Homs has not (yet) fallen, and the Syrian Arab Army remains in control of most major cities (Damascus, Latakia, Tartous, Homs, etc).

I won't say there is no need to worry, because there definitely is. But things are not done yet. Do not draw any premature conclusions. We saw this in 2013, and again in 2016.

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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇾 BREAKING: For the first time, Iranian drones have taken off from the Islamic Republic, and are in the skies of Homs

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My official prediction
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— 🇸🇾 Syrian Ministry of Defense:

'There is no truth to the news circulated by some media outlets and pages affiliated with terrorist organizations about any withdrawal of any units of our armed forces present in the vicinity of the city of Homs and its countryside. They are fully prepared and ready to carry out their duty to confront any terrorist assault.'

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'I never lost hope, even for one day. Because I knew deep down, the future belongs to us.' – Imam Khamenei
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— ❗️🇸🇾/🇮🇷 NEW: The Syrian government has reportedly rejected an Iranian offer to send two brigades of regular troops into Syria, out of fear that it would 'tarnish Assad's domestic support' and that it would 'provoke Israel to enter Syria' – Source

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— 🇸🇾/🇮🇷/🇷🇺 Big if true / speculation:

An important Iranian analyst on X, who has ties with Iranian personnel inside Syria, claims that Russia has assessed the situation, and it believes that an HTS takeover would not necessarily endanger their interests in Syria because they perceive HTS as 'anti-American'. Apparently, Iran has also assessed the situation, but came to the opposite conclusion, which has led to a rift between the two countries on the matter of Syria.

He also says Bashar al-Assad is much more receptive to Russian influence than Iranian influence, and that the Russians are currently involved in intense negotiations with him, while Iran is encouraging him to stand and fight, even offering to send forces.

The analyst also claims that Iran is slightly annoyed with Syria, because Assad allegedly refused to open up the Golan front against Israel, and I quote: 'Assad has been less and less willing to spend money or attention on the Axis of Resistance, he became less cooperative, prioritizing Syria's own interests first, being enticed by economic proposals from the UAE and other Gulf States.'

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— 🇸🇾/ 🇸🇾 NEW: The Syrian Arab Army says citizens of Homs and Homs countryside will witness 'large convoys of friendly units and equipment in the coming hours and days', and tells people not to take photographs or videos of the columns, in order to not put the lives of the soldiers at risk

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— 🇱🇧 🇸🇾 NEW: Despite openly wanting to destroy Hezbollah, HTS now sends a letter to Lebanon wishing for 'positive relations'

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— ❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇾 BREAKING: For the first time, Iranian drones have taken off from the Islamic Republic, and are in the skies of Homs @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇷/🇸🇾 NEW: The Iranian drone flying above Homs is a Shahed-171 'Simorgh' stealth drone

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