Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency:

Iran has imposed 3 conditions for ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz:

1. Ships must be commercial; the passage of military ships is prohibited, and neither the ships nor their cargo should be related to ‘hostile’ countries.

2. Ships must pass through the route designated by Iran.

3. The passage of vessels must be coordinated with the IRGC Navy.

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From ‘regime change’ to ‘STRAIT OF IRAN’. Interesting how things go.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Trump announces that, despite the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, the Naval Blockade against Iran will continue

(Admin note: In my opinion, this is a violation of the ceasefire)

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– The question is now, will Iran charge tolls on passage?

This is very important.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
– The question is now, will Iran charge tolls on passage? This is very important.
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Seyyed Mahmoud Nabavian, Iranian MP & part of Islamabad delegation:

‘Some commercial ships will be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz upon payment of tolls.’

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The U.S. has also agreed to release billions of dollars in frozen Iranian funds as part of the opening of the Strait of Hormuz – Reuters

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: There is an Axios report that the U.S. is considering releasing $20 Billion worth of frozen Iranian funds in exchange for handing over part of the enriched uranium

This short-sighted ‘solution’ fails to address several key problems:

1. This money is already Iranian, the U.S. is not ‘giving’ anything to Iran by releasing it. It’s Iran’s own money that was frozen. The U.S. is merely releasing it (they lose nothing).

2. Unfreezing $20 Billion is only a drop of water in the grand scheme of politics. Within one or two years, this money will be gone, and for what? For losing ~400kg of 60% HEU that took half a decade to accumulate? For losing the fast-track to a possible nuclear deterrent?

3. The $20 Billion won’t make a difference in the Iranian economy. It will be used by the government for most likely military purchases (if the U.S. even allows that), it won’t be injected into the private sector. The only thing which Iran needs is SANCTIONS relief.

4. The right to uranium enrichment and keeping the enriched uranium stockpile inside the country were two fundamental positions during the Oman and Geneva talks. If Iran gives up these points without extensive sanctions relief, then it will give the U.S. the very things they failed to achieve during war.

Because of the following points, I would be skeptical about reports that Iran would agree to such a thing.

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—❗️🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: An Israeli drone strike on a motorcycle killed one and injured two in the town of Kounine, southern Lebanon

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry: ‘Reopening the Strait of Hormuz was part of the ceasefire agreement and is now being implemented after a ceasefire in Lebanon was announced’

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry: ‘A naval blockade will be considered a violation of the ceasefire terms. If the U.S. naval blockade continues, the Islamic Republic will also take the necessary reciprocal measures’

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Israel’s national broadcaster ‘Kann News’ claims that Iran and the U.S. are on the verge of signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)

According to the report, a draft proposal that includes suspending enrichment and handing over part of the uranium stockpile has been submitted to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei for approval.

Israeli sources state that Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi are optimistic about a deal, while the IRGC and the SNSC are skeptical about it and oppose it.

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> U.S. media says A
> Israeli media says B
> Iranian media says C

We simply have to wait and see what happens. Everything else is unclear.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: An informed Iranian official strongly DENIES that Iran has agreed to hand over its enriched uranium, and says that two sides are still working on a ‘framework for negotiations’, not a finalized agreement

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency:

‘Iran was prepared to launch a large scale ballistic missile attack on Israel yesterday at 20:00 (8 PM) if a ceasefire in Lebanon was not announced.

All necessary preparations had already been completed, including placing missile launchers on operational status — until Trump's announcement of the ceasefire eventually came.’

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei:

‘So far, there have been no discussions about extending the ceasefire.

Iran’s focus is on achieving a permanent end to the war, and securing its legitimate rights.’

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Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (Mediterranean Man)
In America, the spiritual advisor to the Dear Leader says that saying no to Trump is like saying no to God.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — President Trump to CBS News on Iran:
They have agreed to everything. It's a great deal. It's a wonderful deal. They've agreed to everything.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: ‘Iran has agreed to stop giving money to Hezbollah and Hamas. They promised they’re not going to do it anymore’

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: ‘Our people are going to go down there and take the nuclear dust, the uranium. No need for fighting. Isn’t that nice?’

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