—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei:

– According to the MoU, Iran will be responsible for managing passage through the Strait of Hormuz, in coordination with Oman.

– Iran is not seeking to impose tolls. However, in return for navigation services, environmental protection, insurances and other maritime services, Iran will collect the necessary fees.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 Response by Iran’s Foreign Ministry to Israel’s claim they will not withdraw from Lebanon:

– We know that Israel never takes any action without consultation and direct coordination with America.

– Therefore, we hold America directly responsible if it fails to force Israel to submit to its obligations as part of the MoU, with necessary consequences.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NOTE: The concept of ‘maritime services’ fees in the Strait of Hormuz would function similarly to Turkey’s fees in the Bosphorus Strait

Turkey charges vessels transiting the Bosphorus by ‘net tonnage’ (NT), approximately $5.83 per NT.

In the Bosphorus, that equates to about ~$220 million in annual revenue for Turkey. But the average tonnage of ships crossing the Bosphorus Strait is much smaller than those crossing the Strait of Hormuz, and the amount of crossings is also much lower.

Let’s assume that Iran would impose approximately the same amount of maritime fees in the Strait of Hormuz, but adjusted for traffic and tonnage.

With an average tonnage per ship of 80,000-100,000 NT in the Strait of Hormuz, and average crossing of between 35,000 and 40,000 vessels per year:

Iran would make approximately $16-$20 Billion dollars annually just from maritime fees, even without tolls. If Iran becomes the primary insurance provider, that would be billions more.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇱🇧 NEW: Without thanking Iran, Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam accepts the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon as part of the Iran-U.S. Memorandum of Understanding and says the Lebanese government will work to ensure that Israel abides by withdrawing from Lebanese territory

@Middle_East_Spectator

— For the Strait of Hormuz, there is one issue.

How will Iran enforce its control if the credible threat of military force is gone?

Vessels can just take the Omani route and not coordinate with Iran at all.

Let’s see how Iran solves this.

J.D. Vance acting like Iran signed the Abraham Accords or something lol

The only thing that happened is ‘we promise not to bomb the shit out of you, and you promise not to bomb the shit out of us, do we have a deal?’

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Iran and the U.S. have both already signed the MoU electronically, with J.D. Vance signing for the Americans and Qalibaf signing for the Iranian side

However, a ‘formal signing ceremony’ will still take place on Friday in Geneva, according to a senior U.S. official – CNN

@Middle_East_Spectator

— If the MoU is already signed electronically, why should there be another signing ceremony on Friday?

Why give a photo-op to Trump / Vance so they can present an image of victory? I don’t understand this.

It almost makes me think that the U.S. specifically insisted on an in-person signing as part of the MoU conditions. PR is very important to them.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧/🇮🇷 NEW: A U.S. official also told Reuters that withdrawal from Lebanon is not part of the MoU, confirming the statement by Israel

If it isn’t, then why did Iranian officials say it is? And what was that alleged ‘last minute concession’ given to prevent an attack on Israel?

@Middle_East_Spectator

For me, nothing in this deal is more important than Lebanon.

I don’t care about the money or sanctions relief or even Hormuz if there’s no peace in Lebanon.

What could be is that Iran and the U.S. did agree on an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, but that Israel is allowed to present it as a separate agremeent with the Lebanese government, having Aoun announce it in a week or two, so that Iran doesn’t get any credit.

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Reporter: ‘Will Iran be allow to produce ballistic missiles with no limitation?’

President Trump: ‘It’s a great deal. They will never have a nuclear weapon.’

Reporter: ‘What about missiles?’

President Trump: ‘You’re with the fake news. You’re fake. You’re a horrible person.’

@Middle_East_Spectator

Netanyahu is giving a speech, so far he is detailing all of Israel’s ‘achievements’ (from Nasrallah’s killing to invading Syria etc.), probably preparing to announce an end to the war.

—❗️🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: ‘We will remain in the occupied areas in Lebanon. We will maintain the security zone.’ – Netanyahu

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇱/🇱🇧 Netanyahu:

‘What we did in Gaza, we will do in Lebanon.

Just like we secured the South of Israel, we will secure the North.’

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇱/🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇱🇧 Netanyahu: ‘Sometimes, I do not agree with Trump. Therefore, Israel will do whatever it takes to maintain its own security.’

@Middle_East_Spectator