Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 And perhaps my biggest problem with the MoU is the $300 Billion reconstruction fund

While it may seem like a very large sum of money, a couple important things should be noted.

First of all, this reconstruction fund won’t be supplied to Iran directly by giving money. It’s an ‘investment program’, and it’s not government-funded. In other words, private companies will invest in Iran’s economy to participate in reconstruction, rebuild, and take part in Iran’s industry.

It’s very doubtful that private companies would even want to invest in Iran, a country with quite a bad and corrupt economy (unfortunately). Even if they do invest, Iran doesn’t control where the money goes.

This creates two problems. On the one hand, Arab / Western companies will hold influence over Iran because of their investments in rebuilding projects. This increases the risk of economic coercion and even espionage activities.

On the other hand, these companies definitely won’t engage in any projects that involve the IRGC, which is a big problem. The IRGC plays a very important part in Iran’s building sector. If money won’t flow into those projects, rebuilding won’t be truly and properly done—it will be extremely limited and on the enemy’s terms.

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Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (Lhiet)
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⚡🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Donald Trump says he does not view the reported 60-day timeframe for negotiations with Iran as a hard deadline.

"Could take longer. I don't view it as hard. Just as long as they are behaving, I really don't care that much," Trump told reporters.

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Mediterranean Man
⚡🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Donald Trump says he does not view the reported 60-day timeframe for negotiations with Iran as a hard deadline. "Could take longer. I don't view it as hard. Just as long as they are behaving, I really don't care that much," Trump told reporters.…
— Interesting, because hypothetically it’s in Iran’s interest to postpone negotiations for as long as possible

During negotiations, sanctions waivers on oil, gas, petrochemicals etc. are in effect, giving Iran lots of money.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Iran drags out the negotiation process for multiple months or even a year.

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Some Israelis’ replies to the MoU text:

‘May his name and memory be erased, Trump, the greatest enemy of Jews in the current generation.’

‘Section 1 says Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon. And that’s only the first section.’

‘The Iranians gave them a political colonoscopy’


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— 🇱🇧/🇮🇷 Lebanese President, Joseph Aoun: ‘We are for a ceasefire and any country that supports us in that goal, including Iran’

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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
🇮🇷🇺🇸⚡️ — BREAKING: The U.S. and Iran digitally signed the MoU to end the war tonight, according to Axios, citing two senior U.S. officials.

➡️ The memorandum of understanding is now officially in effect.
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Tabz - Live News
🇮🇷🇺🇸⚡️ — BREAKING: The U.S. and Iran digitally signed the MoU to end the war tonight, according to Axios, citing two senior U.S. officials. ➡️ The memorandum of understanding is now officially in effect.
I thought it already was signed electronically on Sunday

And also there’s a signing ceremony on Friday

Confusing stuff
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei:

‘The Memorandum of Understanding has been signed electronically by the President of Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, and the President of the United States.

There will be no official signing ceremony on Friday, but two high-ranking delegations including Qalibaf and Vance will meet in Switzerland to begin the first session of the 30-days technical talks on implementation.’

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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei: ‘The Memorandum of Understanding has been signed electronically by the President of Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, and the President of the United States. There will be no official signing ceremony on…
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NOTE: President Trump signed the document while in Versailles, the same location where Germany signed its surrender treaty in 1918 after its defeat in World War I

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei:

‘Iran's missiles are meant to be fired, not negotiated over.

Our missiles don't even like being talked about.

Iran's defensive capabilities will not be discussed in any process, with any party.’

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: At 00:00 Eastern time, U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil, gas, and petrochemical products will be lifted

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: As part of the clause on non-interference in Iranian domestic affairs, President Trump gave verbal agreement that he would no longer issue statements of support to Iranian ‘protesters’, send communication devices, or provide them with weapons – Sources

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Under the new Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf management, U.S. and coalition warships will no longer be stationed in the Persian Gulf, and will instead relocate to bases in the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea

Under the new management, U.S. Navy ships, U.S. Navy-affiliated logistics ships, ships carrying military supplies, and Israeli commercial shipping will no longer be allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz without explicit permission from the Islamic Republic of Iran.

The U.S. 5th Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain, heavily damaged by Iranian strikes, will be decommissioned, and operations will be relocated to ‘another suitable location’, likely Oman. – Sources, citing a U.S. Official

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Iran’s President, Masoud Pezeshkian, with the Persian version of the MoU, signed by him and President Trump

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The disgust on his face is evident, for holding a piece of paper with the signature of Trump on it

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— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling.

In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67% for civilian use).

That would be extremely embarassing for the United States, considering that the official position during the Araqchi-Witkoff negotiations was ‘zero enrichment’ for 10-20 years.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling. In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67%…
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump, at the G7 in France earlier today, appeared to be open to Iran enriching uranium:

‘You know, it is a little hard though when other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for the purpose of electricity and things like that. You have to use a little common sense.’

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