Many have asked my opinion on a possible Russia-NATO conflict.
This is going to annoy many people, and hopefully give them a reality check, but my opinion is very simple.
1. Russia had some valid strategic and ideological reasons for what it did in Ukraine, regardless of whether I condone the invasion or not. Was it successful? Arguably yes, arguably no—it depends on what you consider as the war’s key objectives. The war actually pushed two neutral countries into NATO and pulled Ukraine even further away from Russian influence.
2. Russia does not have any valid strategic reason to invade the Baltics or any other NATO territory. Any attack on the Baltics cannot be excused as ‘protecting Russian culture & language’ or fighting ‘Nazism’. If this does happen, it’ll be a clear sign of expansionism, nothing more and nothing less. Russia is not a saintly country and I don’t put it past them.
3. If Russia does miscalculate and invade NATO territory, it will backfire spectacularly and the Russians will be bogged down within weeks. A clear victory is unattainable for either side and things will spiral out of control.
4. NATO is being underestimated by the ziggers. Even without U.S. boots on the ground, European nations pose a significant threat to any Russian advances, and in my opinion, countries like France, Poland, Sweden, and so on should not be dismissed. Even Germany, which is often ridiculed by pro-Russian commentators, should not be dismissed in case of war.
5. A land war with NATO will therefore, in my opinion, not take place (unless the Russians are retarded). The only thing I possibly see happening is massive drone attacks against Eastern European nations such as Poland or the Baltics. In this aspect of warfare, Russia clearly holds the quantitative advantage & can pressure NATO strongly. But over time, just like with Ukraine, the strategic cost of such a conflict will become too high, and ordinary Russians will feel it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
This is going to annoy many people, and hopefully give them a reality check, but my opinion is very simple.
1. Russia had some valid strategic and ideological reasons for what it did in Ukraine, regardless of whether I condone the invasion or not. Was it successful? Arguably yes, arguably no—it depends on what you consider as the war’s key objectives. The war actually pushed two neutral countries into NATO and pulled Ukraine even further away from Russian influence.
2. Russia does not have any valid strategic reason to invade the Baltics or any other NATO territory. Any attack on the Baltics cannot be excused as ‘protecting Russian culture & language’ or fighting ‘Nazism’. If this does happen, it’ll be a clear sign of expansionism, nothing more and nothing less. Russia is not a saintly country and I don’t put it past them.
3. If Russia does miscalculate and invade NATO territory, it will backfire spectacularly and the Russians will be bogged down within weeks. A clear victory is unattainable for either side and things will spiral out of control.
4. NATO is being underestimated by the ziggers. Even without U.S. boots on the ground, European nations pose a significant threat to any Russian advances, and in my opinion, countries like France, Poland, Sweden, and so on should not be dismissed. Even Germany, which is often ridiculed by pro-Russian commentators, should not be dismissed in case of war.
5. A land war with NATO will therefore, in my opinion, not take place (unless the Russians are retarded). The only thing I possibly see happening is massive drone attacks against Eastern European nations such as Poland or the Baltics. In this aspect of warfare, Russia clearly holds the quantitative advantage & can pressure NATO strongly. But over time, just like with Ukraine, the strategic cost of such a conflict will become too high, and ordinary Russians will feel it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇨🇭NEW: Iran’s President, Masoud Pezeshkian, gave a gift to the Swiss representative at the UN
A book containing images of all the warcrimes committed by the U.S. against Iran.
@Middle_East_Spectator
A book containing images of all the warcrimes committed by the U.S. against Iran.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
The shipment contained a cockpit canopy and weapons-bay door from an Australian F-35, which were being sent to the U.S. in late May for inspection and possible repair or disposal.
The Pentagon says it is working to recover the components.
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Tabz - Live News
Who sends F-35 parts with UPS?
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: The U.S. has rejected Iran’s conditions that were conveyed by Araqchi to Witkoff at the UN – Yonhap
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: There were 8 cases of attempted suicide aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier during its deployment against Iran – CNN
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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 BREAKING: Ansarallah have launched a major assault against the town of Al-Turbah, on the Taizz–Aden road
Clashes have reached the town and the road has become practically unusable for the time being.
Contrary to reports, Al-Turbah has not yet been captured and therefore the road is ‘technically’ still not cut off, but it may happen very soon.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Clashes have reached the town and the road has become practically unusable for the time being.
Contrary to reports, Al-Turbah has not yet been captured and therefore the road is ‘technically’ still not cut off, but it may happen very soon.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 BREAKING: Ansarallah have launched a major assault against the town of Al-Turbah, on the Taizz–Aden road Clashes have reached the town and the road has become practically unusable for the time being. Contrary to reports, Al-Turbah has not yet been…
— 🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: Local truck drivers report the Taizz–Aden road has reopened after clashes earlier today
This means the clashes have moved further away from the road and it is currently deemed safe for passage.
The initial Ansarallah offensive was successful in capturing much of the strategic heights east of the road (Al-Akbush) but hasn’t succeeded in securing the road or cutting it off.
This is consistent with our earlier reporting; clashes remain ongoing, but the road has NOT yet been cut.
@Middle_East_Spectator
This means the clashes have moved further away from the road and it is currently deemed safe for passage.
The initial Ansarallah offensive was successful in capturing much of the strategic heights east of the road (Al-Akbush) but hasn’t succeeded in securing the road or cutting it off.
This is consistent with our earlier reporting; clashes remain ongoing, but the road has NOT yet been cut.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇺🇸/🇨🇳 NEW: Chinese President Xi Jinping was visibly unimpressed with the B-1 bomber flyover at his reception in Washington D.C.
Trump, on the other hand, smiled uncontrollably like a spoiled toddler who was just gifted a new toy.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Trump, on the other hand, smiled uncontrollably like a spoiled toddler who was just gifted a new toy.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪 BREAKING: The UAE has completely closed its airspace to all Iranian flights
In response, Iran has also closed its airspace to Emirati flights.
FlyDubai plane from Azerbaijan can be seen taking a detour.
@Middle_East_Spectator
In response, Iran has also closed its airspace to Emirati flights.
FlyDubai plane from Azerbaijan can be seen taking a detour.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇹🇲/🇦🇿 NEW: Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan have also completely closed their airspace to Iranian flights
An Iranian ‘Varesh Airlines’ flight to Tajikistan was forced to turn back to Imam Khomeini Airport today after Turkmenistan refused to allow overflight of its airspace.
The captain attempted to get overflight permission from Azerbaijan, but was denied. All of this comes as part of newly implemented U.S. sanctions.
@Middle_East_Spectator
An Iranian ‘Varesh Airlines’ flight to Tajikistan was forced to turn back to Imam Khomeini Airport today after Turkmenistan refused to allow overflight of its airspace.
The captain attempted to get overflight permission from Azerbaijan, but was denied. All of this comes as part of newly implemented U.S. sanctions.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷/🇹🇲/🇦🇿 NEW: Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan have also completely closed their airspace to Iranian flights An Iranian ‘Varesh Airlines’ flight to Tajikistan was forced to turn back to Imam Khomeini Airport today after Turkmenistan refused to allow overflight…
Iran vs The World
This has been the case since Iranians embraced the blessed Islamic Revolution in 1979, and this will continue to be the case.
Nothing, and I repeat, nothing can make us submit to the tyrants or evildoers. Kill us, burn us, scatter us, cut us into a thousand pieces, do as you please—we won’t yield.
‘Truly, between the sword and humiliation, woe to humiliation! The sword it shall be.’ – Imam Hussain
This has been the case since Iranians embraced the blessed Islamic Revolution in 1979, and this will continue to be the case.
Nothing, and I repeat, nothing can make us submit to the tyrants or evildoers. Kill us, burn us, scatter us, cut us into a thousand pieces, do as you please—we won’t yield.
‘Truly, between the sword and humiliation, woe to humiliation! The sword it shall be.’ – Imam Hussain
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— 🇺🇸/🇨🇳 NEW: President Trump says Xi Jinping looked ‘strong, vibrant and fit, better than ever’
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— 🇮🇷 NEW: In an interview with French newspaper ‘Point de Vue’, former Persian Queen Farah Pahlavi, the wife of late Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, condemned the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran and called for peace and ending the suffering
While she is just as complicit and criminal as her dead husband, she at least has the IQ to oppose a foreign war against Iran, unlike her pathetic son Reza (the ‘Clown Prince’), who supports the war to this day and even calls for heavier bombings.
@Middle_East_Spectator
While she is just as complicit and criminal as her dead husband, she at least has the IQ to oppose a foreign war against Iran, unlike her pathetic son Reza (the ‘Clown Prince’), who supports the war to this day and even calls for heavier bombings.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷/🇺🇸 NEW: Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian has been interviewed by Fox News and it will be broadcasted at 6pm EST tonight
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— 🇮🇷 NEW: As part of the ‘Janfada’ national awareness and mobilization campaign, even women are receiving weapons training from the IRGC
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