Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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— 🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: Ansarallah will open a humanitarian corridor to allow aid into Taizz and allow those who want to leave the city the opportunity to do so

Only those not carrying weapons or military vehicles (technicals, heavy trucks, etc.) will be allowed to exit.

This has already been agreed & will soon be implemented after mutual understandings were reached.

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— 🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: Ansarallah announces that any PLC fighter in Taizz that voluntarily surrenders his weapons will be allowed to return to his home governorate safely and unhindered, in accordance with Islamic Law

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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 WATCH: Ansarallah forces completely control the Taizz–Aden road between the sections Al-Turbah and Safiya

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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 Latest updated map of the Taizz front, Yemen:

– Ansarallah have captured Al-Turbah and are about to enter Sharjab. Within 24 hours they will likely link up with their forces in the East, completing the encirclement.

– Najd Al-Nashmah and Al-Birin, two more strategic towns on the Taizz–Aden road, have also reportedly been captured in the last 4 hours.

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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: A vessel was targeted in Bab Al-Mandab, UKMTO reports

It was likely a Saudi oil tanker targeted by Ansarallah as part of their naval embargo.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 Latest updated map of the Taizz front, Yemen: – Ansarallah have captured Al-Turbah and are about to enter Sharjab. Within 24 hours they will likely link up with their forces in the East, completing the encirclement. – Najd Al-Nashmah and Al-Birin…
— NOTE: This map might be slightly too generous for Ansarallah.

At MES we haven’t seen any confirmation so far that Al-Birin has been captured, although it is possible.

It has probably been entered but not yet consolidated.
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And also, encircling Taizz does not necessarily mean capturing Taizz imminently or even in the short term.

Of course, that’s the goal, but it all depends on whether those remaining in the city decide to put up a fight.

The Kurdish Sheikh Maqsoud district of Aleppo was encircled for years, first by the SAA then by Jolani, before it eventually surrendered.

Urban combat is hell.
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇬🇧 NEW: All B-1 Lancers deployed at RAF Fairford have left the UK and are back in the U.S.

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—❗️🇾🇪/🇸🇦 NEW: Extremely intense clashes are taking place east of Taizz city, between Ansarallah and the Saudi-backed PLC

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇬🇧 NEW: All B-1 Lancers deployed at RAF Fairford have left the UK and are back in the U.S. @Middle_East_Spectator
—❗️🇺🇸/🇬🇧/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The U.S. B-1 Lancers withdrew from RAF Fairford in the UK with ‘unusual speed’ after receiving new intelligence about threats to the airbase from Iran – New York Times

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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇬🇧/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The U.S. B-1 Lancers withdrew from RAF Fairford in the UK with ‘unusual speed’ after receiving new intelligence about threats to the airbase from Iran – New York Times @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇬🇧/🇮🇷 NOTE: Iranian ballistic missiles can reach the United Kingdom; there is no need for a terrorist bomb plot at RAF Fairford

And this is only the ‘demonstrated’ range of Iran’s ballistic missiles.

Some ballistic missiles in Iran’s arsenal, although small in number and not yet optimized, can almost certainly reach the United States.

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— 🇾🇪 Ansarallah fighters resting, singing, and chewing Qat after liberating Al-Turbah

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Oil flows from the Strait of Hormuz have once again decreased, as Iran ramps up attacks

For a few weeks, the U.S. had been successfully escorting millions of barrels of crude oil through the Strait—but that short-lived success is now fading, as Iran has improved its targeting and escalated attacks against ship-to-ship transfers.

The cost of transporting oil has also skyrocketed; the price of chartering an oil tanker has increased by a staggering 1000%, and has reached $1.3 million a day compared to $50,000 before the war. – WSJ

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Oil flows from the Strait of Hormuz have once again decreased, as Iran ramps up attacks For a few weeks, the U.S. had been successfully escorting millions of barrels of crude oil through the Strait—but that short-lived success is now fading,…
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 INFO: The price of chartering an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz has reached $1,3 million dollars per day (per vessel)

Even with the Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ according to U.S. standards, the risk of Iranian attacks is simply too high to bear, which pushes up costs & makes long-term closure of the Strait unsustainable.

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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 BREAKING: In a counteroffensive paired with heavy Saudi air support, the PLC have managed to recapture Murad, the very tip of Bab Al-Mandab, and advanced toward Dhubab Airport

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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 The approximate PLC advanced on Bab Al-Mandab front

Ansarallah still control the city of Dhubab and the Al-Omari mountain, which contains significant defenses.

If the PLC wants to capture Dhubab, they first have to capture the Al-Omari camp.

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