Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

X: @spectator_mena
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Masoud, please, just remain silent, I cannot bear this anymore, you are too gullible.

You sound more desperate than an Indian scammer. Last time, the United States LITERALLY betrayed you on their promise.

But for some reason, you INSIST on giving friendly signals to the open enemy. The time for de-escalatory gestures is long gone.
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Forwarded from Stay Free (Javad🇮🇷)
🇷🇺 ⚔🇺🇦🇺🇸🏴‍☠️ Russian media reported the death of one of the American special forces in Bryansk, Russia. In October 2023, he was among the soldiers who were sent to Gaza by order of Joe Biden to rescue hostages from Hamas, but he was eventually killed in the war between Ukraine and Russia.

@stayfreeworld
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Media is too big
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—❗️🇱🇧 WATCH: Hezbollah has published footage targeting a gathering of Israeli soldiers in southern Lebanon with an ATGM

The IDF soldiers were hiding near a building located between the Lebanese border towns of Kafr Kila and Deir Mimas.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— ❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷/🇮🇶/🇾🇪 NEW: Israeli intelligence estimates suggest that Iran⁩ will respond to Israel in cooperation with the resistance factions in ⁧ Iraq⁩and Yemen – Channel 12

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇱🇧/🇮🇱 NEW: Hezbollah has announced its first-ever attack on the 'Haifa Technical Base,' affiliated with the Israeli Air Force, using a missile barrage.

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— 🇾🇪/🇮🇱 NEW: Yemen's Ansarullah reports that Israeli-affiliated shipping companies are selling assets to avoid attacks on their ships

They state they will not recognize ownership changes and warn that these companies will be subject to attacks and barred from Ansarullah's operational area.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: Delta Airlines and American Airlines have suspended all flights to Israel until March 31, 2025. @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 UPDATE: American Airlines has extended the suspension of flights to Israel until at least the end of August 2025.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
I invite all of you to join our official backup channel, in case we get banned: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator2
I want you all to join. I know I get at least 40k views per post on average, so at least 40k people who see this should be able to join.

I won't be posting there until I get banned, it's just a precaution. Very much recommended.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
⚡️🇮🇱❌🇵🇸 - Israel's Autopsy of Yahya AlSinwar concluded that he has not eaten anything for 72 hours before his death.
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— ❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Iran has informed regional Arab nations that it intends to carry out a 'strong and complex' attack against Israel, involving more powerful warheads and various other weapons – WSJ

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— ❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Iran has informed regional Arab nations that it intends to carry out a 'strong and complex' attack against Israel, involving more powerful warheads and various other weapons – WSJ @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇷 NOTE: When it comes to using 'heavier warheads' as the WSJ claims, Iran's most likely choice would be the Khorramshahr-4 hypergolic liquid-fueled MRBM

This missile, which was introduced in 2023, is the fourth generation of the Khorramshahr missile which was first revealed in 2017. Currently, it carries the largest known warhead in Iran's missile arsenal. The missile has not been used in battle before.

Besides its official name Khorramshahr-4, it is also called 'Khaybar', after a famous Jewish fortress that was conquered by the Muslims in the Arabian Peninsula during the advent of Islam.

The missile was specifically designed to reach Israel, and has a range of 2,000 km, with a warhead of 1,500 kg, and a Circular Error Probability (accuracy) of 10 meters.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 ANALYSIS: In my opinion, I think that Iran will not attack Israel before the U.S. Presidential Election. The WSJ article also seems to confirm this.

While Iran dislikes Kamala Harris and Donald Trump equally, Harris is less likely to engage in a full-scale war against Iran, so Iran wants her to win. They don't want to take the risk of possibly influencing the election outcome by attacking Israel and delivering another major foreign policy failure to Kamala Harris, especially so close before Election Day.

I also think one of the reasons that Iran won't respond very fast is because the Israelis didn't respond fast either. And the Israelis didn't respond fast because Iran didn't respond fast after Ismael Haniyeh. In my opinion, Iran is doing this on purpose.

By constantly waiting 1-2 months to retaliate, Iran is spreading the conflict over multiple months, across several seperate cycles of violence that are manageable and can be somewhat controlled. This allows Iran to repair, adapt and prepare for all scenarios between each new wave of exchanges.

Iran is actively trying to control the pace of the escalation ladder, which is good. Israel's strength lies in short, powerful attacks that paralyze the enemy. If they are forced into a new cycle of exchanges every few months, this won't be in their favour at all. Israel is not very adaptable, and they are already under huge pressure, facing multiple different war fronts at once. Iran has time on its side.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷 DEBUNKED: Western-funded media have recently invented a story, claiming that an Iranian woman in Tehran protested against the obligatory Hijab law by walking onto the streets in her underwear

In reality, the woman is a student of Tehran's Azad University, and according to her acquaintances and classmates, she was under immense stress, suffering from mental and psychological problems.

She was taken off the streets by the police for disturbing the public order, and she was admitted to a psychiatric hospital to receive expert care. She was likely suffering from some sort of psychosis.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇷 DEBUNKED: Western-funded media have recently invented a story, claiming that an Iranian woman in Tehran protested against the obligatory Hijab law by walking onto the streets in her underwear In reality, the woman is a student of Tehran's Azad University…
And by the way, even if – for argument's sake – it was a protest action, so what?

Bystanders literally did not care, they simply laughed it off. This is an insignificant event by a single individual, but the 'Woman-Life-Freedom' is delusional and thinks the Islamic Republic has now fallen.

I can guarantee you guys, that you won't overthrow the Islamic Republic by walking on the street in your underwear.
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