Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: CBS now claims a ceasefire is being negotiated

@Middle_East_Spectator
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آتش‌بس بى امتیاز،
خیانت به شهداى ماست.
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—❗️🇵🇰/🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Pakistan’s Foreign Minister posts a prayer asking Allah for forgiveness

Nobody knows why.

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Exactly 1 hour and 30 minutes until Trump’s ultimatum expires and the U.S. will begin massive strikes against Iranian civilian infrastructure, including power plants and bridges.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: President Trump announces a two week extension of the deadline, including a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran

He says the resumption of hostilities will depend on whether Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz or not.

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—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Red Alerts in Central Israel

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 BREAKING: ‘Israel will be part of the ceasefire’ – CNN

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: ‘Iran has not yet agreed to the conditions of the ceasefire’ – NYT

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 STATEMENT BY IRAN’S SUPREME NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL:

‘The United States has accepted a humiliating defeat and agreed to all of Iran’s demands, including the 10 points:

1. Commitment to non-aggression.

2. Continued Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz.

3. Acceptance of uranium enrichment.

4. Lifting of all primary sanctions.

5. Lifting of all secondary sanctions.

6. Termination of all resolutions of the UN Security Council

7. Termination of all resolutions of the IEAE Board of Governors.

8. Payments of compensation for Iran.

9. Withdrawal of American combat forces from the region.

10. Cessation of war on all fronts.

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There is simply no way the U.S. accepted this. Too good to be true.

If they did, this is a historic and divine victory, the likes of which nobody could have imagined.

The only way we know what happened is to see what will happen in the coming days. Most likely the war will just resume and what happened today was an elaborate shitshow.
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It seems to me that both sides have agreed to a 2-week ceasefire and from Iran’s perspective the war will continue if America doesn’t meet the Iranian demands, which is a certainty.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, announces safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz ‘via coordination with Iran’ for a period of two weeks

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Negotiations between Iran and the U.S. will begin in Islamabad on Friday regarding a permanent ceasefire

Apparently, the framework of these negotiations will be Iran’s 10-point plan.

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇮🇱 WHAT HAPPENED, BASED ON CURRENT INFORMATION:

– Iran and the U.S. agreed to a 2-week ceasefire, in which Israel and Lebanon are also included.

– Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during these two weeks, and is allowed to collect tolls, confirming de-facto Iranian control over the waterway.

– In turn, America has agreed to begin negotiations in Islamabad on Friday, based on Iran’s 10-point plan.

– The acceptance of Iran’s 10-point plan, which contains the lifting of sanctions, guarantees of non-aggression, acceptance of nuclear enrichment, formal Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz and other things, is a precondition for the establishment of a permanent ceasefire.

– If America does not abide by the 10-point plan of Iran, it is likely the war will continue after two weeks.

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If America hypothetically accepts even a few of Iran’s demands (control of Strait of Hormuz, lifting of sanctions), then the war is a decisive victory.

But it seems that we cannot be sure that America will actually accept such demands during the upcoming negotiations in Islamabad.

If they DO NOT accept the 10-point plan, Iran must definitely continue the war. America has currently given no concessions, only a loose promise.
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪 BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile attack against the UAE

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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: ‘Lebanon is included in the 2-week ceasefire at Iran’s request’ – Ynet

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