Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇮🇱 WHAT HAPPENED, BASED ON CURRENT INFORMATION:

– Iran and the U.S. agreed to a 2-week ceasefire, in which Israel and Lebanon are also included.

– Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during these two weeks, and is allowed to collect tolls, confirming de-facto Iranian control over the waterway.

– In turn, America has agreed to begin negotiations in Islamabad on Friday, based on Iran’s 10-point plan.

– The acceptance of Iran’s 10-point plan, which contains the lifting of sanctions, guarantees of non-aggression, acceptance of nuclear enrichment, formal Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz and other things, is a precondition for the establishment of a permanent ceasefire.

– If America does not abide by the 10-point plan of Iran, it is likely the war will continue after two weeks.

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If America hypothetically accepts even a few of Iran’s demands (control of Strait of Hormuz, lifting of sanctions), then the war is a decisive victory.

But it seems that we cannot be sure that America will actually accept such demands during the upcoming negotiations in Islamabad.

If they DO NOT accept the 10-point plan, Iran must definitely continue the war. America has currently given no concessions, only a loose promise.
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪 BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile attack against the UAE

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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: ‘Lebanon is included in the 2-week ceasefire at Iran’s request’ – Ynet

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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Launches from Iran to the Negev, Israel

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Forwarded from Amir Tsarfati
Not only Israel - Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Oman are deeply dissatisfied.

President Trump has effectively elevated Iran to the status of owning what was once an open shipping route. They are now controlling the flow of 20% of the world’s energy - with the tacit approval of the world’s only superpower.
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Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
🇮🇷🇺🇸| The 10-point proposal includes lifting all sanctions on Iran since the George Bush administration — NYT

@FotrosResistancee
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Supreme National Security Council:

‘The negotiations during these two weeks do not mean the end of the war, unless our conditions are agreed to, and our finger remains on the trigger.’

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—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Launches from Iran towards Central Israel

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇵🇰/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Pakistan also announced the ceasefire, and confirms that Lebanon is included

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—❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇦/🇧🇭 BREAKING: Missiles towards Saudi Arabia and Bahrain

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It would be really funny if all the IRGC missile units that are currently in communications isolation are implementing a pre-approved plan to destroy energy infrastructure in the Gulf under the assumption that Trump’s deadline has already expired, unaware of the announced ceasefire.
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—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Cluster missiles above Tel Aviv

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—❗️Alerts in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar.
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—❗️🇮🇱/🇾🇪 NEW: Another launch from Yemen to Israel

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— Wait but what about the unconditional surrender that was supposed to happen?
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Senate Democratic Leader, Chuck Schumer, on X:

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—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Launches from Iran to the Negev

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