— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 A small but important note about the current U.S. naval blockade against Iran:

I see many OSINT and news channels claiming that the blockade is not effective. They share examples of Iranian tankers evading the blockade, like this one which reached Asia with 1,9 million barrels.

To be blunt, it doesn’t matter if a few Iranian tankers manage to evade the blockade. As long as the MAJORITY are being intercepted, which is currently the case, then unfortunately the blockade is definitely effective, even if Iranian media do not want to admit it.

But effective in one way does not mean effective in another. Is the blockade effective in economically crippling Iran? Yes, although this economic shock won’t be felt until a few months from now. But is the blockade effective in changing Iran’s negotiating position? No.

And apart from that, the U.S. will suffer from Hormuz closure more than Iran in the short term. And that’s what really matters and why we will likely see a new escalation.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Speedboats of the IRGC Navy intercepted a vessel attempting to enter the Strait of Hormuz without Iran’s permission

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪 NEW: The IRGC Navy has ordered oil tankers anchored off the coast of UAE to ‘move from their anchorages’

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇲🇦 NEW: Two U.S. soldiers went missing during a training exercise with the Moroccan military, according to the Wall Street Journal

The two soldiers likely drowned after falling from a cliff into the ocean.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇦🇪/🇮🇷 UPDATE: The IRGC Navy directed the vessels to leave their anchorages off Ras Al-Khaimah and move away towards Dubai, or ‘face the consequences’

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇦🇪/🇮🇷 NEW: Following Iran’s orders, the majority of ships are now moving towards Dubai

@Middle_East_Spectator

Something is cooking, why would Iran order ships to move away from Ras Al-Khaimah coast towards Dubai?

No logical reason I can see for now.

— 🇦🇪/🇮🇷 IRIB: ‘It has now been definitely proven that Emirati fighter jets took part directly in bombing Iranian territory during the war’

(Interesting timing…)

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: ‘Iran’s proposal is not acceptable to me, it’s simply not acceptable’

@Middle_East_Spectator

PS: I’m seeing some claim “The IRIB just confirmed UAE jets were used against Iran” those reports are not true.

The host was discussing the possibility of this being true — they didn’t explicitly confirm this instance.

@FotrosResistancee

— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The Israeli security cabinet, with attendance of Netanyahu, has been convening for over 3+ hours in a discussion on Iran

@Middle_East_Spectator

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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: In a post on Truth Social, President Trump announces that the U.S. will begin escorting vessels currently stuck in the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz, starting on Monday

Any attempts to interfere with these escorts, which Trump has dubbed ‘Project Freedom’, will be responded to forcefully.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The IRGC Navy struck a vessel with anti-ship missiles 78 Nautical Miles off the coast of Fujairah, UAE, after it failed to comply with multiple warnings

@Middle_East_Spectator