Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: U.S. military action against Iran could come in the form of a 'campaign' that could last 'weeks', which would see the targeting of Iran-backed militias in airstrikes across Syria and Iraq, as well as strikes on Iranian assets outside of Iran – NBC

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from MilitaryPOV
🇮🇷/🇺🇸 — Foreign Minister of Iran, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian: The Iranian response to American threats will be decisive and direct

@MilitaryPOV
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— 🇺🇸/🇵🇸 BREAKING: The United States is considering the official recognition of Palestine as a sovereign state, after the end of the war on Gaza – Walla

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇺🇸/🇵🇸 NEW: U.S. considering recognition of Palestinian state as a first step

Some inside the Biden administration are now thinking recognition of a Palestinian state should possibly be the first step in negotiations to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, instead of the last, a senior U.S. official said.

There are several options for U.S. action on this, including:

- Bilaterally recognizing the State of Palestine.

- Not using its veto to block the UN Security Council from admitting Palestine as a full member state.

- Encouraging other countries to recognize Palestine.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇵🇸 NEW: U.S. considering recognition of Palestinian state as a first step Some inside the Biden administration are now thinking recognition of a Palestinian state should possibly be the first step in negotiations to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict…
— I don't trust the U.S. and I don't trust a single 'initiative' coming from them

The Palestinians will probably be forced to make so many concessions that it can't be considered a real state.

They won't be able to choose their own government, they likely won't be allowed to have a military, and they'll be dependent on Israel in almost every way.

We know that the United States and Israel have no goodwill whatsoever. And even if Palestine is recognized, and for argument's sake we assume that it would be fully sovereign, the issue is still not solved.

'Israel' will always be illegitimate and an occupation. The ENTIRE territory of the former mandate territory belongs to Palestinians, and its name is Palestine.

The establishment of an American-backed Palestine would almost certainly mean a forced Palestinian recognition of 'Israel' too.

A so-called two-state 'solution' is nothing more than a shameful surrender to the Zionists. One Palestinian state, that's it.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from JOIN @MEDMANNEWS
⚡️🇾🇪 The USAF and Royal Air Force targets Saada in Yemen.

@themediterraneanman
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Forwarded from JOIN @MEDMANNEWS
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⚡️🇵🇸 Israeli citizens in Northern Israel are reporting heavy Israeli aviation movement.

@themediterraneanman
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The Axis of Resistance is:
Anonymous Poll
73%
In good shape
27%
In bad shape
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The United States, Israel & their allies are:
Anonymous Poll
22%
In good shape
78%
In bad shape
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How do you describe your position in the current Middle East conflict?
Anonymous Poll
69%
Mostly pro Axis of Resistance
11%
Mostly pro Israel and U.S.
20%
Neither
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— 🇱🇧 Hezbollah S.G. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah will speak on Tuesday, February the 13th at 15:00 Beirut time, on the annual occasion of 'day of the wounded'

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صابرين نيوز - Sabereen news
🔻تنويه : القناة متوقفة الى إشعار آخر .
— For some reason both, the Persian & Arabic versions of the Sabereen News, a Major & very popular Pro-PMF/Pro-Iran Iraqi media, suspended its activities until further notice

https://t.me/SabrenNews22/99802
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Bellum Acta - Intel, Urgent News and Archives ✝️ #FreeVenezuela
— For some reason both, the Persian & Arabic versions of the Sabereen News, a Major & very popular Pro-PMF/Pro-Iran Iraqi media, suspended its activities until further notice https://t.me/SabrenNews22/99802
— My take:

The Resistance Axis (most likely under direct guidance from Iran in this case) is looking to control the flow of information, likely in anticipation of any upcoming large scale U.S. agression in the region.
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico

The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly, or at least not inside Iran, as some have claimed would happen.

About two days ago, media went crazy over a statement posted by Kataeb Hezbollah, one of the militias in Iraq believed to be behind the recent drone attack in Jordan, stating that they would be suspending their offensive operations against U.S. forces in the region and would shift to a defensive posture.

However, the most interesting part of the statement was a paragraph in which they said: 'Some of our brothers in the Axis, especially in the Islamic Republic (of Iran) do not know how we do Jihad, and they often object to our pressure and escalation against U.S. occupation forces in Iraq and Syria.'

Both Pro-Resistance and Anti-Resistance commentators have used this as an opportunity to claim there is now a 'rift' between Iran and Kataeb Hezbollah. However, this is NOT the case.

In fact, this was clearly a calculated statement by Kataeb Hezbollah, or a psyop as some would call it, to make it SEEM like there was a rift between Iran and its proxies, including Kataeb Hezbollah.

If they could make it seem like there is a rift between Iran and its proxies, then Iran has plausible deniability regarding the attack on U.S. troops in Jordan; Iran can simple say 'See? We didn't know it was gonna happen, in fact we told them not to do these things!'

This gives the U.S. sufficient of an excuse NOT to strike Iran or Iranian assets directly, as they can now use Kataeb Hezbollah's statement as 'evidence' that Tehran does not directly control its proxies, and therefore, should not be held directly accountable for their escalatory actions in the region.

Kataeb Hezbollah's statement helped both Iran and the United States, as neither country wants the expansion of the war.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly…
— In this piece, I explain the recent controversial statement by Kataeb Hezbollah.

I recommend everyone to read it carefully. If you were frustrated by their statement, like many others, this will explain it.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly…
— Kataeb Hezbollah's statement explained, for those too lazy to read:

– Kataeb Hezbollah issued a statement, announcing the suspension of offensive operations against the U.S.

– They included a part where they criticized Iran, to make it seem like there is a rift between the two, implying that Iran actually told them to stand down, against their will.

– Boom, now the U.S. can say 'see? Iran doesn't control them directly, they even told them not to do it!'

– Iran now has plausible deniability for the Jordan attack, so America doesn't have to strike Iran or Iranian assets anymore to appease the public.

– It was all a psyop. Both Iran and the U.S. don't want war, so Kataeb gave them an excuse to not strike Iran. War was avoided.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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If I routinely posted longer analyses like these, would you read them?
Anonymous Poll
77%
Yes
23%
Most likely no
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I have a tiny bit of hope that my subs aren't tiktok-addicted NPCs without an attention span, please be true
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Middle East Spectator — MES
If I routinely posted longer analyses like these, would you read them?
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