The 7D-EMA of STH-SOPR has traded below 1 since October 2025, currently sitting at 0.985 — confirming recent buyers lack meaningful unrealized profit to defend positions with. This is a textbook bear market characteristic requiring extended base-building before conditions normalize.
Tactically, spikes toward 1 during relief rallies tend to mark local exhaustion points, as recent buyers exit near breakeven rather than hold for further upside.
Tactically, spikes toward 1 during relief rallies tend to mark local exhaustion points, as recent buyers exit near breakeven rather than hold for further upside.
Bullish Bets Build in Bitcoin Options Market
Quarterly $BTC options expiring at month-end now represent over 40% of total open interest.
Notably, $75,000 call options account for more than 5%, showing a strong concentration of bullish positioning.
With BTC around $73,500, traders are watching closely to see if price can break above the $75K gamma wall this week.
Quarterly $BTC options expiring at month-end now represent over 40% of total open interest.
Notably, $75,000 call options account for more than 5%, showing a strong concentration of bullish positioning.
With BTC around $73,500, traders are watching closely to see if price can break above the $75K gamma wall this week.
Some remarks of the current $BTC structure.
1. Volume is compressing, shows that it's less solid break out
2. The current upside movement is being driven by the leverage position based on CVD, indicating steady spot demand (not increasing).
3. Similar fractal with January 14, 2026.
Hopefully I'm wrong but it's highly likely this break out is a bull trap.
-Wedson
1. Volume is compressing, shows that it's less solid break out
2. The current upside movement is being driven by the leverage position based on CVD, indicating steady spot demand (not increasing).
3. Similar fractal with January 14, 2026.
Hopefully I'm wrong but it's highly likely this break out is a bull trap.
-Wedson
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 PresidentTrump says the Fed should hold a "special meeting" to cut interest rates "right now."
"What's a better time to cut interest rates than now? A 3rd grade student would know that."
"What's a better time to cut interest rates than now? A 3rd grade student would know that."
❤1
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The breakout above $70K and move into the $72K–$82K air gap are encouraging, but a single price push falls short of confirming a decisive structural shift.
Historically, recoveries from deep bear markets have been validated by Percent of Supply in Profit climbing from below the -1 standard deviation threshold near 60% toward its long-run mean of ~75%. The recent move has lifted this metric to around 60% — consistent with early bounces seen at prior cycle bottoms, where exhaustion at first recovery attempts was common.
A sustained push above 75% would carry considerably more weight as bull market confirmation, while continued rejection near current levels reinforces the bear market recovery narrative.
Historically, recoveries from deep bear markets have been validated by Percent of Supply in Profit climbing from below the -1 standard deviation threshold near 60% toward its long-run mean of ~75%. The recent move has lifted this metric to around 60% — consistent with early bounces seen at prior cycle bottoms, where exhaustion at first recovery attempts was common.
A sustained push above 75% would carry considerably more weight as bull market confirmation, while continued rejection near current levels reinforces the bear market recovery narrative.
🇺🇸 WEEK 12, 2026: US SPOT CRYPTO ETFs FLOWS REPORT (16-20 March)
US Crypto Spot ETFs Saw ~$62.76 Million Net Inflows This Week
➔ BlackRock BOUGHT 2,526 Bitcoin And SOLD 34,462 Ethereum
➔ Fidelity SOLD 693 Bitcoin And 26,155 Ethereum
➔ Grayscale SOLD 266 Bitcoin And 5,212 Ethereum
➔ Bitwise SOLD 298 Bitcoin And 4,663 Ethereum
➔ ARK 21Shares SOLD 223 Bitcoin And 2,689 Ethereum
➔ VanEck Bought ZERO Bitcoin And 5,296 Ethereum
➔ Franklin Bought 87 Bitcoin And 374 Ethereum
➔ Valkyrie BOUGHT 45 Bitcoin
➔ Invesco Sold 1,540 Ethereum
$BTC ETFs Inflow: +$95.18M (+1,241 BTC)
$ETH ETFs Outflow: -$59.94M (-29,200 ETH)
This week, US Bitcoin Spot ETFs Bought 1,241 BTC (~3 days of mined supply), while US Ethereum Spot ETFs Sold 29,200 ETH.
US Crypto Spot ETFs Saw ~$62.76 Million Net Inflows This Week
➔ BlackRock BOUGHT 2,526 Bitcoin And SOLD 34,462 Ethereum
➔ Fidelity SOLD 693 Bitcoin And 26,155 Ethereum
➔ Grayscale SOLD 266 Bitcoin And 5,212 Ethereum
➔ Bitwise SOLD 298 Bitcoin And 4,663 Ethereum
➔ ARK 21Shares SOLD 223 Bitcoin And 2,689 Ethereum
➔ VanEck Bought ZERO Bitcoin And 5,296 Ethereum
➔ Franklin Bought 87 Bitcoin And 374 Ethereum
➔ Valkyrie BOUGHT 45 Bitcoin
➔ Invesco Sold 1,540 Ethereum
$BTC ETFs Inflow: +$95.18M (+1,241 BTC)
$ETH ETFs Outflow: -$59.94M (-29,200 ETH)
This week, US Bitcoin Spot ETFs Bought 1,241 BTC (~3 days of mined supply), while US Ethereum Spot ETFs Sold 29,200 ETH.
The Harsh Reality Of $ETH That Nobody Talks About.
$10K Invested In 2021 → Worth $4,081 Today (-60%)
$10K Invested In 2018 → Worth $14,627 Today (+46%)
5 Years Of Holding And Still Down 60%.
8 Years Of Holding And Only Up 46%.
Most People Don't Want To Hear This.
But Here's What They Should Hear...
The Biggest Gains In Crypto Come From Buying When It Feels Impossible To Buy.
I Believe Buying ETH At Today's Prices Could Turn $10K Into $50K In The Next 2-3 Years.
That's A Potential 5x From Here.
The Ones Who Buy During Blood... Always Eat During The Bull.
Will you be the 2018 buyer, 2021 buyer, or today’s buyer of this cycle?
The choice is yours.
OFF COURSE Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
$10K Invested In 2021 → Worth $4,081 Today (-60%)
$10K Invested In 2018 → Worth $14,627 Today (+46%)
5 Years Of Holding And Still Down 60%.
8 Years Of Holding And Only Up 46%.
Most People Don't Want To Hear This.
But Here's What They Should Hear...
The Biggest Gains In Crypto Come From Buying When It Feels Impossible To Buy.
I Believe Buying ETH At Today's Prices Could Turn $10K Into $50K In The Next 2-3 Years.
That's A Potential 5x From Here.
The Ones Who Buy During Blood... Always Eat During The Bull.
Will you be the 2018 buyer, 2021 buyer, or today’s buyer of this cycle?
The choice is yours.
OFF COURSE Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
Boyaa Interactive: Hong Kong's MicroStrategy Keeps Stacking Bitcoin
Hong Kong-listed gaming company Boyaa Interactive (0434.HK) is aggressively building one of Asia's largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries.
Current Holdings:
~4,091 BTC (avg. cost ~$68,100/BTC)
Total investment: ~$279 Million
The company converted 14,200 ETH into 515 BTC in late 2024 and has received over $200M in shareholder-approved crypto purchase mandates since 2023.
Target: 21,000 BTC by 2027.
Risk Factor: Boyaa expects HK$230-240M net loss for 2025 due to BTC price decline impacting balance sheet.
Hong Kong-listed gaming company Boyaa Interactive (0434.HK) is aggressively building one of Asia's largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries.
Current Holdings:
~4,091 BTC (avg. cost ~$68,100/BTC)
Total investment: ~$279 Million
The company converted 14,200 ETH into 515 BTC in late 2024 and has received over $200M in shareholder-approved crypto purchase mandates since 2023.
Target: 21,000 BTC by 2027.
Risk Factor: Boyaa expects HK$230-240M net loss for 2025 due to BTC price decline impacting balance sheet.
JUST IN: Michael Saylor hints at another Bitcoin purchase.
"The Orange March Continues."
#Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Overview:
Total Holdings: 761,068 BTC
Average Purchase Price: $75,696
Total Investment: $57.61B
Current Market Value: $52B
Current Unrealized Loss: -$5.50B (-10%)
"The Orange March Continues."
#Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Overview:
Total Holdings: 761,068 BTC
Average Purchase Price: $75,696
Total Investment: $57.61B
Current Market Value: $52B
Current Unrealized Loss: -$5.50B (-10%)
Hong Kong Retiree Loses $840,000 in Triple Crypto Scam
A 66-year-old retiree was scammed 3 times in 6 months by fake "crypto experts" on WhatsApp.
→ HK$1.4M lost to a fake investment expert
→ HK$600K paid to a fake recovery specialist
→ HK$4.6M sent to a fake recovery wallet
→ Total Loss: HK$6.6M (~$840,000)
Protect Yourself:
→ No real expert cold-messages you promising guaranteed returns
→ Nobody can recover your stolen crypto for a fee
→ "Send crypto to unlock recovery" is ALWAYS a scam
Recovery scams are the fastest growing crypto fraud. Scammers target previous victims who are desperate to get money back.
Stay alert. Trust nobody with your funds.
A 66-year-old retiree was scammed 3 times in 6 months by fake "crypto experts" on WhatsApp.
→ HK$1.4M lost to a fake investment expert
→ HK$600K paid to a fake recovery specialist
→ HK$4.6M sent to a fake recovery wallet
→ Total Loss: HK$6.6M (~$840,000)
Protect Yourself:
→ No real expert cold-messages you promising guaranteed returns
→ Nobody can recover your stolen crypto for a fee
→ "Send crypto to unlock recovery" is ALWAYS a scam
Recovery scams are the fastest growing crypto fraud. Scammers target previous victims who are desperate to get money back.
Stay alert. Trust nobody with your funds.
IRAN CHARGES $2M FOR STRAIT OF HORMUZ PASSAGE
Iranian MP Alaeddin Boroujerdi confirmed on state TV that ships are being charged up to $2M for safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
He called it a "new governing regime" where "war has costs."
Key Facts:
→ Lloyd's List & Financial Times independently confirmed the $2M fee
→ India, China, Pakistan, Japan & Malaysia negotiating directly with Iran for safe passage
→ ~2,000 ships & 20,000 seafarers still stranded in the Gulf
→ Strait traffic down 95% since Feb 28 conflict
→ Brent crude hit $126/barrel at peak
→ IRGC reportedly accepting crypto as payment
→ Charter rates 4x higher at $800K/day
Iran is turning the world's most critical oil chokepoint into a toll road.
Iranian MP Alaeddin Boroujerdi confirmed on state TV that ships are being charged up to $2M for safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
He called it a "new governing regime" where "war has costs."
Key Facts:
→ Lloyd's List & Financial Times independently confirmed the $2M fee
→ India, China, Pakistan, Japan & Malaysia negotiating directly with Iran for safe passage
→ ~2,000 ships & 20,000 seafarers still stranded in the Gulf
→ Strait traffic down 95% since Feb 28 conflict
→ Brent crude hit $126/barrel at peak
→ IRGC reportedly accepting crypto as payment
→ Charter rates 4x higher at $800K/day
Iran is turning the world's most critical oil chokepoint into a toll road.
BREAKING: 22 Nations Issue Joint Statement Against Iran on Strait of Hormuz
Official joint statement from UAE, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Japan, Canada, South Korea, Australia and 12 more nations.
Key points:
→ Condemn Iran's attacks on unarmed commercial vessels and oil/gas infrastructure
→ Call Iran's actions a "de facto closure" of the Strait of Hormuz
→ Demand Iran stop laying mines, drone and missile attacks immediately
→ Reference UN Security Council Resolution 2817
→ IEA authorized coordinated release of strategic petroleum reserves
→ Nations engaging in "preparatory planning" for safe passage operations
Why this matters for markets:
→ 20% of global oil supply flows through Hormuz
→ Strategic petroleum reserve release signals serious supply concerns
→ "Preparatory planning" hints at potential military escort operations
→ Energy disruption = inflation pressure = risk asset volatility
This is the most significant multi-nation response to the Iran crisis so far. No military action confirmed yet, but the tone is escalating fast.
Stay alert.
Source: UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Official)
Official joint statement from UAE, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Japan, Canada, South Korea, Australia and 12 more nations.
Key points:
→ Condemn Iran's attacks on unarmed commercial vessels and oil/gas infrastructure
→ Call Iran's actions a "de facto closure" of the Strait of Hormuz
→ Demand Iran stop laying mines, drone and missile attacks immediately
→ Reference UN Security Council Resolution 2817
→ IEA authorized coordinated release of strategic petroleum reserves
→ Nations engaging in "preparatory planning" for safe passage operations
Why this matters for markets:
→ 20% of global oil supply flows through Hormuz
→ Strategic petroleum reserve release signals serious supply concerns
→ "Preparatory planning" hints at potential military escort operations
→ Energy disruption = inflation pressure = risk asset volatility
This is the most significant multi-nation response to the Iran crisis so far. No military action confirmed yet, but the tone is escalating fast.
Stay alert.
Source: UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Official)