๐จ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บKursk Front Implodes: Russia's Drone Domination Decisive?
Today we share an in-depth review of Russia's successful offensive in Kursk, from ะ ัััะบะธะน ะธะฝะถะตะฝะตั (Russian Engineer) Telegram Channel:
"The Russian army has mastered such a tactical technique as "isolation of the battlefield" by modern means in modern conditions. That is, with the help of drones, the supply of the Ukrainian Armed Forces group was cut off, and it had no options but to retreat. And after the landing through the pipe, the retreat turned into flight.
Moreover, de facto a cauldron was created for the Ukrainian Armed Forces group, which was closed not by living soldiers, but by robots. This sharply reduced our losses, did not allow us to counterattack at the moment of the cauldron closing, and it was possible to greatly thin out their combat formations during the escape, and almost completely destroy their armored vehicles and transport.
And this revolution was achieved by moving from quantity to quality of our drones, and all other supporting forces and means. That is, the concentration of strike means, electronic warfare, reconnaissance, artillery, aviation, coordination of their actions, allowed us to solve this equation, which we have been trying to solve since 2023.
That is, the speed of the collapse of the section of the Ukrainian Armed Forces front where the most motivated units were concentrated turned out to be unpredictable for almost most experts. And this speed became the main achievement obtained by mastering the art of isolating the battlefield. Which allowed to overcome the deadlock of positional warfare. And it became a rehearsal for the collapse of all Ukrainian Armed Forces.
And this is exactly what I have been writing about for a long time. There will be no remakes of Mariupol and Bakhmut, since then the war has changed a lot. After both armies ran into a new positional war, the question was who would be able to overcome this deadlock. And the deadlock was caused by the emergence of total reconnaissance and mass weapons. Which made the concentration of large masses of equipment and personnel pointless.
Therefore, the way out was seen in the war of robots, and the ability to fight with them, to tie them to them and reassemble all the other tactics in order to gain maneuver speed. And not idiotic cries about the need for mass mobilization, lamentations that Russia is at a dead end and is not able to reach Kiev and Odessa in the coming years.
The reality turned out to be different. Instead of mass mobilization, it was necessary to learn interaction, prepare drone operators, prepare industrial capacities for their production, study the enemy and look for new methods of how to create the reconissance-assault network that has been repeatedly discussed . That is, it is necessary to pump up brains and fight with robots, not meat.
And this revolution allows us to expect a repetition of similar situations now in other areas of the front. And after another major defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (in my estimation, at least 10 brigades would be isolated in such a pocket), the Ukrainian Armed Forces will face a collapse similar to the German army in 1918.
And this will happen this year.
That's why they started singing about a truce."
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Today we share an in-depth review of Russia's successful offensive in Kursk, from ะ ัััะบะธะน ะธะฝะถะตะฝะตั (Russian Engineer) Telegram Channel:
"The Russian army has mastered such a tactical technique as "isolation of the battlefield" by modern means in modern conditions. That is, with the help of drones, the supply of the Ukrainian Armed Forces group was cut off, and it had no options but to retreat. And after the landing through the pipe, the retreat turned into flight.
Moreover, de facto a cauldron was created for the Ukrainian Armed Forces group, which was closed not by living soldiers, but by robots. This sharply reduced our losses, did not allow us to counterattack at the moment of the cauldron closing, and it was possible to greatly thin out their combat formations during the escape, and almost completely destroy their armored vehicles and transport.
And this revolution was achieved by moving from quantity to quality of our drones, and all other supporting forces and means. That is, the concentration of strike means, electronic warfare, reconnaissance, artillery, aviation, coordination of their actions, allowed us to solve this equation, which we have been trying to solve since 2023.
That is, the speed of the collapse of the section of the Ukrainian Armed Forces front where the most motivated units were concentrated turned out to be unpredictable for almost most experts. And this speed became the main achievement obtained by mastering the art of isolating the battlefield. Which allowed to overcome the deadlock of positional warfare. And it became a rehearsal for the collapse of all Ukrainian Armed Forces.
And this is exactly what I have been writing about for a long time. There will be no remakes of Mariupol and Bakhmut, since then the war has changed a lot. After both armies ran into a new positional war, the question was who would be able to overcome this deadlock. And the deadlock was caused by the emergence of total reconnaissance and mass weapons. Which made the concentration of large masses of equipment and personnel pointless.
Therefore, the way out was seen in the war of robots, and the ability to fight with them, to tie them to them and reassemble all the other tactics in order to gain maneuver speed. And not idiotic cries about the need for mass mobilization, lamentations that Russia is at a dead end and is not able to reach Kiev and Odessa in the coming years.
The reality turned out to be different. Instead of mass mobilization, it was necessary to learn interaction, prepare drone operators, prepare industrial capacities for their production, study the enemy and look for new methods of how to create the reconissance-assault network that has been repeatedly discussed . That is, it is necessary to pump up brains and fight with robots, not meat.
And this revolution allows us to expect a repetition of similar situations now in other areas of the front. And after another major defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (in my estimation, at least 10 brigades would be isolated in such a pocket), the Ukrainian Armed Forces will face a collapse similar to the German army in 1918.
And this will happen this year.
That's why they started singing about a truce."
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐From Boom to Bust: How Trade Wars Are Crushing US Stock Market
Following Trumpโs re-election in November 2024, US markets initially soared on hopes of pro-business policies. The NASDAQ, NYSE Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones all posted significant gains. But that optimism has quickly unraveled.
๐ธTariff Turmoil: New tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, along with hikes on steel and aluminum, have rattled markets.
๐ธChinaโs Retaliation: Beijingโs countermeasures have worsened trade tensions, further destabilizing investor confidence.
๐ธCorporate Warnings: Walmartโs stark inflation warning for 2025 highlights the real-world impact of these policies on consumers and businesses alike.
๐ธTech Uncertainty: The release of DeepSeek has added another layer of volatility to the already shaky tech sector.
Trumpโs economic strategy, marked by aggressive tariffs and trade wars, has turned initial market optimism into chaos. With growing inflation warnings and global markets reacting.
The numbers donโt lie, investors are dealing with too much volatility. While the initial surge in November gave hope to investors, the current market trajectory reflects a mixed and uncertain outlook, and recession is coming.
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Following Trumpโs re-election in November 2024, US markets initially soared on hopes of pro-business policies. The NASDAQ, NYSE Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones all posted significant gains. But that optimism has quickly unraveled.
๐ธTariff Turmoil: New tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, along with hikes on steel and aluminum, have rattled markets.
๐ธChinaโs Retaliation: Beijingโs countermeasures have worsened trade tensions, further destabilizing investor confidence.
๐ธCorporate Warnings: Walmartโs stark inflation warning for 2025 highlights the real-world impact of these policies on consumers and businesses alike.
๐ธTech Uncertainty: The release of DeepSeek has added another layer of volatility to the already shaky tech sector.
Trumpโs economic strategy, marked by aggressive tariffs and trade wars, has turned initial market optimism into chaos. With growing inflation warnings and global markets reacting.
The numbers donโt lie, investors are dealing with too much volatility. While the initial surge in November gave hope to investors, the current market trajectory reflects a mixed and uncertain outlook, and recession is coming.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐ท๐บ๐ค๐บ๐ธPutin-Trump Phone Call: Here's What We Expect
There are several topics that almost certainly will be on the table:
๐ธTerritory and Land: Trump has indicated that the conversation will involve discussions about "land." Putin has clearly stated that Ukraine must give up its territorial claims on Crimea, Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, and Zaporozhye, and withdraw any troops it has in these regions. Main question is how far Trump is willing push Zelensky to make these territorial concessions.
๐ธPower Plants: "There's a power plant involved, a very big power plant involved. Who is going to get the power plant, and who is going to get this and that," Trump told reporters on March 13 when asked about ceasefire talks. Trump didn't make clear what facility he was talking about, but he's probably alluding to the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe.
๐ธAsset Division: Trump has hinted at negotiations involving the "dividing up of certain assets" between Ukraine and Russia, which could include economic or infrastructural resources as part of a broader ceasefire or peace deal.
๐ธCeasefire Proposal: The Putin-Trump call follow a US-proposed 30-day ceasefire that Ukraine accepted the previous week. Putin did not completely rule out a temporary ceasefire, but set clear conditions -- no Western arms shipments to Ukraine, no mass conscription in Ukraine, remaining Ukrainian invaders in Kursk must choose between surrender and death.
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There are several topics that almost certainly will be on the table:
๐ธTerritory and Land: Trump has indicated that the conversation will involve discussions about "land." Putin has clearly stated that Ukraine must give up its territorial claims on Crimea, Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, and Zaporozhye, and withdraw any troops it has in these regions. Main question is how far Trump is willing push Zelensky to make these territorial concessions.
๐ธPower Plants: "There's a power plant involved, a very big power plant involved. Who is going to get the power plant, and who is going to get this and that," Trump told reporters on March 13 when asked about ceasefire talks. Trump didn't make clear what facility he was talking about, but he's probably alluding to the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe.
๐ธAsset Division: Trump has hinted at negotiations involving the "dividing up of certain assets" between Ukraine and Russia, which could include economic or infrastructural resources as part of a broader ceasefire or peace deal.
๐ธCeasefire Proposal: The Putin-Trump call follow a US-proposed 30-day ceasefire that Ukraine accepted the previous week. Putin did not completely rule out a temporary ceasefire, but set clear conditions -- no Western arms shipments to Ukraine, no mass conscription in Ukraine, remaining Ukrainian invaders in Kursk must choose between surrender and death.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel's Coming Power Struggle
Former British diplomat Alastair Crooke exposed how Israel is fracturing along ethno-cultural and ideological lines in his recent article.
Here are the 10 key points of the situation in Israel:
๐ธMizrahi Jews (Jews of Middle Eastern ancestry) have seized political power, displacing the traditional Ashkenazi liberal-secular elite.
๐ธNetanyahu and his allies blame the "Deep State" for undermining their agenda through negative media coverage and legal challenges. They describe the Israeli "Deep State" as consisting of a liberal cabal of judges, generals, and bureaucrats.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing accuses the Supreme Court of overreach since 2015, shifting power from elected officials to unelected judges.
๐ธThe core struggle is whether Israel will become a messianic Halacha (Jewish law-based) state or a democratic, secular one.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing rejects European liberalism, seeking to immerse Israel fully in Jewishness.
๐ธOctober 7th attack shattered Israelโs traditional security paradigm of deterrence and exposed intelligence failures.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing now advocates for total, genocidal war against Palestinians, rejecting peace settlements or coexistence.
๐ธIsraeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich envision an apocalyptic "big war" to achieve goals like replacing Al-Aqsa Mosque with a Third Temple. Netanyahu aligns with this vision through his embrace of Greater Israel ideals.
๐ธTrumpโs transactional diplomacy may fail in addressing eschatological conflicts that prioritize religious revelation over rational negotiation.
๐ธThreats of escalation may backfire with groups that welcome apocalyptic outcomes.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
Former British diplomat Alastair Crooke exposed how Israel is fracturing along ethno-cultural and ideological lines in his recent article.
Here are the 10 key points of the situation in Israel:
๐ธMizrahi Jews (Jews of Middle Eastern ancestry) have seized political power, displacing the traditional Ashkenazi liberal-secular elite.
๐ธNetanyahu and his allies blame the "Deep State" for undermining their agenda through negative media coverage and legal challenges. They describe the Israeli "Deep State" as consisting of a liberal cabal of judges, generals, and bureaucrats.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing accuses the Supreme Court of overreach since 2015, shifting power from elected officials to unelected judges.
๐ธThe core struggle is whether Israel will become a messianic Halacha (Jewish law-based) state or a democratic, secular one.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing rejects European liberalism, seeking to immerse Israel fully in Jewishness.
๐ธOctober 7th attack shattered Israelโs traditional security paradigm of deterrence and exposed intelligence failures.
๐ธIsraeli right-wing now advocates for total, genocidal war against Palestinians, rejecting peace settlements or coexistence.
๐ธIsraeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich envision an apocalyptic "big war" to achieve goals like replacing Al-Aqsa Mosque with a Third Temple. Netanyahu aligns with this vision through his embrace of Greater Israel ideals.
๐ธTrumpโs transactional diplomacy may fail in addressing eschatological conflicts that prioritize religious revelation over rational negotiation.
๐ธThreats of escalation may backfire with groups that welcome apocalyptic outcomes.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท๐ Meet Iran's Iron Dome
Despite decades of sanctions, Iran is ready to protect its land with a sophisticated indigenous air defense network.
๐ธ358 MISSILE: A new versatile weapon that can serve as a Surface-to-air missile(SAM), loitering munition, cruise missile, or man-portable air-defense system
๐ธThe Raad-2: Neutralize aircrafts, drones, and missiles from a range of 50 to 80 km.
๐ธTabas & 3 Khordad Air Defense Systems: Detects flying, cruise, and stealth targets up to 350 km radius and altitudes up to 30 km.
๐ธDezful Air Defense System: Detects cruise missiles and drones from a range of 27 km.
๐ธSeraj (light) Laser Air Defense System: Overheats the target, causing it to break down, by by emitting a high-energy photon beam.
๐ธThe Bavar-373: Its a long-range air defense system from 300Km. range. It's capable of taking out F-22s, F-35s, cruise missiles and choppers.
๐ธMersad-16: Can target drones and aircraft within a 60km radius.
๐ธSayyad: Can destroy three targets at the same time, effective against aircraft with 70km range.
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Despite decades of sanctions, Iran is ready to protect its land with a sophisticated indigenous air defense network.
๐ธ358 MISSILE: A new versatile weapon that can serve as a Surface-to-air missile(SAM), loitering munition, cruise missile, or man-portable air-defense system
๐ธThe Raad-2: Neutralize aircrafts, drones, and missiles from a range of 50 to 80 km.
๐ธTabas & 3 Khordad Air Defense Systems: Detects flying, cruise, and stealth targets up to 350 km radius and altitudes up to 30 km.
๐ธDezful Air Defense System: Detects cruise missiles and drones from a range of 27 km.
๐ธSeraj (light) Laser Air Defense System: Overheats the target, causing it to break down, by by emitting a high-energy photon beam.
๐ธThe Bavar-373: Its a long-range air defense system from 300Km. range. It's capable of taking out F-22s, F-35s, cruise missiles and choppers.
๐ธMersad-16: Can target drones and aircraft within a 60km radius.
๐ธSayyad: Can destroy three targets at the same time, effective against aircraft with 70km range.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธWar With Iran: Trump's Economic Suicide Mission?
Professor Marandi warns that a U.S. attack on Iran would have catastrophic effects on the energy costs, particularly through disruptions in oil and gas prices and the heightened risks of transit through the Red Sea.
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Professor Marandi warns that a U.S. attack on Iran would have catastrophic effects on the energy costs, particularly through disruptions in oil and gas prices and the heightened risks of transit through the Red Sea.
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๐บ๐ธโช๏ธ๐ท๐บAmerican Companies BEGGING to Return to Russia
"There wont be any privileges or preferences for those who came back," affirmed President Putin, about the companies who are planning to return to Russia.
Kirill Dmitriev, the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund said "Many niches are occupied by our companies. Certainly, some American companies will return. We see great prospects in creating joint ventures."
Several Western companies which have left Russia have being bought or replaced for Russian companies for example:
๐ธCoca-Cola = Dobri Cola
๐ธMcDonald's = Vkusno & Tochka
๐ธStarbucks = Stars Coffee
๐ธIKEA = Swed House
๐ธDunkin' = Donutto
๐ธBershka = Ecru
๐ธPull&Bear = DUB
๐ธZara = Maag
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"There wont be any privileges or preferences for those who came back," affirmed President Putin, about the companies who are planning to return to Russia.
Kirill Dmitriev, the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund said "Many niches are occupied by our companies. Certainly, some American companies will return. We see great prospects in creating joint ventures."
Several Western companies which have left Russia have being bought or replaced for Russian companies for example:
๐ธCoca-Cola = Dobri Cola
๐ธMcDonald's = Vkusno & Tochka
๐ธStarbucks = Stars Coffee
๐ธIKEA = Swed House
๐ธDunkin' = Donutto
๐ธBershka = Ecru
๐ธPull&Bear = DUB
๐ธZara = Maag
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๐จ๐บ๐ธJFK Files Reveal CIA's Rogue State: Schlesinger's Warning to Kennedy
The newly declassified JFK files uncover a chilling memo from Arthur Schlesinger Jr., Kennedyโs advisor, exposing the CIA as a โstate within a state.โ Schlesingerโs arguments for dismantling the agency reveal its unchecked power and disastrous covert operations.
๐ธIndependent Military Power: The CIA operated its own military and air force, often outnumbering US diplomats in key embassies.
๐ธRogue Foreign Policy: Covert operations in Iran, Cuba, and Guatemala shaped US foreign policy without presidential approval, undermining credibility.
๐ธBay of Pigs Disaster: The failed invasion of Cuba damaged the USโs global reputation and highlighted the CIAโs operational flaws.
๐ธEncroachment on Allies: The CIA monopolized diplomatic contact with foreign leaders, including French political figures, bypassing State Department protocols.
The agency operated beyond oversight and accountability. Schlesingerโs memo the dangers of the deep state and a stark reminder of the perils of unchecked US intelligence power.
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The newly declassified JFK files uncover a chilling memo from Arthur Schlesinger Jr., Kennedyโs advisor, exposing the CIA as a โstate within a state.โ Schlesingerโs arguments for dismantling the agency reveal its unchecked power and disastrous covert operations.
๐ธIndependent Military Power: The CIA operated its own military and air force, often outnumbering US diplomats in key embassies.
๐ธRogue Foreign Policy: Covert operations in Iran, Cuba, and Guatemala shaped US foreign policy without presidential approval, undermining credibility.
๐ธBay of Pigs Disaster: The failed invasion of Cuba damaged the USโs global reputation and highlighted the CIAโs operational flaws.
๐ธEncroachment on Allies: The CIA monopolized diplomatic contact with foreign leaders, including French political figures, bypassing State Department protocols.
The agency operated beyond oversight and accountability. Schlesingerโs memo the dangers of the deep state and a stark reminder of the perils of unchecked US intelligence power.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐ท๐บ๐จ๐ณDragon-Bear: Why Trump Fears Russia-China Partnership
In a recent interview on Fox, President Trump voiced his concerns over the closer ties between China and Russia, while also outlining his plans to enhance relations with these two countries, who have teamed up to counter the United States on the global stage.
This cooperation between Russia and China has been steadily growing for several decades. Let's take a closer look at the areas where they are enhancing their teamwork:
๐ธWhen comparing trade between the two countries in 2024 to 2002, the increase is remarkable. In 2002, trade turnover was merely $12 billion; by 2024, it had surged to $244.88 billion, that is an increase of over 20 times in approximately two decades. Additionally, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced that by 2024, more than 90% of mutual payments between Russia and China were conducted in their national currencies, highlighting an almost complete de-dollarization of their bilateral economic relations.
๐ธDeep cooperation exists in energy resources, including oil, gas, coal, and LNG exports, as exemplified by significant projects such as the Power of Siberia pipelines and the potential development of new LNG facilities.
๐ธIn the realm of transportation and infrastructure, efforts are underway to develop interconnected logistics, cross-border bridgesโsuch as the Heihe-Blagoveshchensk highway bridgeโand railway connections, including the Tongjiang Railway Bridge.
๐ธIn 2022, they expanded agricultural trade by signing an agreement to cultivate agro-infrastructure and supply chains. This initiative aims to hike the production of grains, oilseeds, and legumes from the South Urals to the Far East via the Land Grain Corridor (NLGC), with the goal of stepping up exports by $19.6 billion.
๐ธOne of the key areas of collaboration lies in the digital economy and technology. This includes partnerships with Huawei, which has established research labs and academies to advance work in artificial intelligence and to test "hack-proof" quantum communication encryption systems.
๐ธBoth nations are strengthening people-to-people ties through extensive cultural and educational exchanges.
๐ธThey are also teaming up on joint projects within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), as well as the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS).
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
In a recent interview on Fox, President Trump voiced his concerns over the closer ties between China and Russia, while also outlining his plans to enhance relations with these two countries, who have teamed up to counter the United States on the global stage.
This cooperation between Russia and China has been steadily growing for several decades. Let's take a closer look at the areas where they are enhancing their teamwork:
๐ธWhen comparing trade between the two countries in 2024 to 2002, the increase is remarkable. In 2002, trade turnover was merely $12 billion; by 2024, it had surged to $244.88 billion, that is an increase of over 20 times in approximately two decades. Additionally, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced that by 2024, more than 90% of mutual payments between Russia and China were conducted in their national currencies, highlighting an almost complete de-dollarization of their bilateral economic relations.
๐ธDeep cooperation exists in energy resources, including oil, gas, coal, and LNG exports, as exemplified by significant projects such as the Power of Siberia pipelines and the potential development of new LNG facilities.
๐ธIn the realm of transportation and infrastructure, efforts are underway to develop interconnected logistics, cross-border bridgesโsuch as the Heihe-Blagoveshchensk highway bridgeโand railway connections, including the Tongjiang Railway Bridge.
๐ธIn 2022, they expanded agricultural trade by signing an agreement to cultivate agro-infrastructure and supply chains. This initiative aims to hike the production of grains, oilseeds, and legumes from the South Urals to the Far East via the Land Grain Corridor (NLGC), with the goal of stepping up exports by $19.6 billion.
๐ธOne of the key areas of collaboration lies in the digital economy and technology. This includes partnerships with Huawei, which has established research labs and academies to advance work in artificial intelligence and to test "hack-proof" quantum communication encryption systems.
๐ธBoth nations are strengthening people-to-people ties through extensive cultural and educational exchanges.
๐ธThey are also teaming up on joint projects within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), as well as the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS).
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐ธ Drone Apocalypse: Are US Military Bases Sitting Ducks?
"The threat got ahead of our ability." - NORAD General Gregory Guillot admits the US can't stop mystery drones flying over military bases. This isn't just embarrassing for US; it's a NATIONAL SECURITY CRISIS.
๐ธThe US military has been obsessed with large-scale conventional warfare, ignoring the rise of asymmetric threats like drone swarms. Traditional radars are designed to detect fast-moving, large objects like missiles and aircraft. Small, slow-moving drones can be easily missed.
๐ธMany drones are made of materials that have a very low radar cross-section, making them difficult to detect, also they fly at low altitudes and can be obscured by ground clutter, making it hard to distinguish from background noise.
๐ธThe US military has been slow to adapt to the rapid advancements in drone technology, leaving it vulnerable to off-the-shelf capabilities.
๐ธAccording to media reports, by 2024, the US Army possessed 13,000 unarmed drone units used for aerial surveillance, in comparison with 140,000 drones that Russia report in 2023.
The US military is catastrophically unprepared for the realities of drone warfare.
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"The threat got ahead of our ability." - NORAD General Gregory Guillot admits the US can't stop mystery drones flying over military bases. This isn't just embarrassing for US; it's a NATIONAL SECURITY CRISIS.
๐ธThe US military has been obsessed with large-scale conventional warfare, ignoring the rise of asymmetric threats like drone swarms. Traditional radars are designed to detect fast-moving, large objects like missiles and aircraft. Small, slow-moving drones can be easily missed.
๐ธMany drones are made of materials that have a very low radar cross-section, making them difficult to detect, also they fly at low altitudes and can be obscured by ground clutter, making it hard to distinguish from background noise.
๐ธThe US military has been slow to adapt to the rapid advancements in drone technology, leaving it vulnerable to off-the-shelf capabilities.
๐ธAccording to media reports, by 2024, the US Army possessed 13,000 unarmed drone units used for aerial surveillance, in comparison with 140,000 drones that Russia report in 2023.
The US military is catastrophically unprepared for the realities of drone warfare.
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๐จ๐บ๐ฆ๐ซUkrainian Sabotage: A Regime Accustomed to Betrayal
From the Minsk Agreements to recent peace initiatives, Ukraine has consistently undermined efforts toward peace:
๐ธ Minsk I (2014)
The Minsk Protocol, signed in September 2014, aimed to establish a ceasefire and outline steps toward resolving the conflict. However, Ukrainian forces continued shelling in areas like Donetsk and Luhansk, which were designated as demilitarized zones under the agreement. This blatant disregard for the terms hindered the establishment of a stable ceasefire.
๐ธ Minsk II (2015)
Signed in February 2015, Minsk II sought to restore the ceasefire with stricter terms, including constitutional reforms in Ukraine and local elections in the Donbass area. Despite these provisions, the Ukrainian regime delayed implementing the political aspects, particularly decentralization reforms and granting autonomy to Donbass regions. The battle for Debaltseve shortly after Minsk II was signed further highlighted Ukraine's failure to adhere to ceasefire terms.
๐ธ Istanbul Peace Negotiations (2022)
In late March 2022, Russia demonstrated goodwill by reducing military activity around Kyiv and Chernihiv. This gesture was meant to facilitate meaningful negotiations. However, Ukraine exploited Russia's strategic retreat to launch a counterattack, undermining the peace process.
๐ธ Black Sea Grain Initiative (2022)
The initiative, signed in July 2022, was designed to facilitate grain exports from Ukraine during the conflict. Instead, Ukraine used the humanitarian corridors for military operations, including an attack on Russia's fleet in Sevastopol. This abuse of humanitarian agreements further strained relations.
๐ธ Putin-Trump Ceasefire Initiative (March 2025)
Less than 24 hours after a Putin-Trump call laid the groundwork for a 30-day halt on energy strikes, Ukraine sabotaged the agreement with a kamikaze drone strike on a Russian oil transfer facility in Krasnodar. Moscow asserts that Zelensky deliberately provoked this incident to derail the peace initiative, demonstrating once again that the Western-backed Kiev regime prioritizes chaos over diplomacy.
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From the Minsk Agreements to recent peace initiatives, Ukraine has consistently undermined efforts toward peace:
๐ธ Minsk I (2014)
The Minsk Protocol, signed in September 2014, aimed to establish a ceasefire and outline steps toward resolving the conflict. However, Ukrainian forces continued shelling in areas like Donetsk and Luhansk, which were designated as demilitarized zones under the agreement. This blatant disregard for the terms hindered the establishment of a stable ceasefire.
๐ธ Minsk II (2015)
Signed in February 2015, Minsk II sought to restore the ceasefire with stricter terms, including constitutional reforms in Ukraine and local elections in the Donbass area. Despite these provisions, the Ukrainian regime delayed implementing the political aspects, particularly decentralization reforms and granting autonomy to Donbass regions. The battle for Debaltseve shortly after Minsk II was signed further highlighted Ukraine's failure to adhere to ceasefire terms.
๐ธ Istanbul Peace Negotiations (2022)
In late March 2022, Russia demonstrated goodwill by reducing military activity around Kyiv and Chernihiv. This gesture was meant to facilitate meaningful negotiations. However, Ukraine exploited Russia's strategic retreat to launch a counterattack, undermining the peace process.
๐ธ Black Sea Grain Initiative (2022)
The initiative, signed in July 2022, was designed to facilitate grain exports from Ukraine during the conflict. Instead, Ukraine used the humanitarian corridors for military operations, including an attack on Russia's fleet in Sevastopol. This abuse of humanitarian agreements further strained relations.
๐ธ Putin-Trump Ceasefire Initiative (March 2025)
Less than 24 hours after a Putin-Trump call laid the groundwork for a 30-day halt on energy strikes, Ukraine sabotaged the agreement with a kamikaze drone strike on a Russian oil transfer facility in Krasnodar. Moscow asserts that Zelensky deliberately provoked this incident to derail the peace initiative, demonstrating once again that the Western-backed Kiev regime prioritizes chaos over diplomacy.
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๐ท๐บโ๏ธ ๐บ๐ฆKILL SHOT: How Russia SMASHED Ukrainian F-16
The Russian army downed its first F-16 in Sumy Oblast, thanks to a coordinated effort between a Su-35 fighter jet and the S-400 air defense missile system. Though still awaiting official confirmation, this combination has proven to be quite effective against American aircraft.
The primary measure of an aircraft's visibility within radar range is the Radar Cross Section (RCS), or effective scattering area. While we won't delve into a detailed physics lessonโsince it canโt be adequately explained in just a few wordsโit's important to understand that this parameter indicates the distance from which an aircraft, helicopter, drone, or cruise missile can be detected by enemy radar. In simple terms, a smaller RCS increases the likelihood of a target successfully reaching its launch point for missiles or glide bombs. Additionally, it reduces the risk of being detected by enemy air defense systems or fighter aircraft.
The Su-35 stands out as the topmost state-of-the-art jet currently in service with the Russian Aerospace Forces. Although the Su-57 is more advanced, its limited numbers keep it from being as prominent. The Su-35's eyes are its onboard radar, equipped with a phased array antenna called "Irbis", that can identify targets with a radar cross-section (RCS) of 3 square meters from distances of up to 400 kilometers. For context, F-16A/B aircraft from the "Desert Storm" era have a frontal RCS of roughly 5 square meters, according to open sources. This means that our Su-35s can detect these aircraft from their maximum range.
The detection range of the S-400 air defense system is significantly reduced when an aircraft is flying at low altitude. The video footage of the F-16 over Sumy Oblast shows that the pilot of the American fighter jet is well aware of this, so he literally flies close to the rooftops of high-rise buildings - to "shine" less. However, he remains clearly visible to the radar of the Su-35 patrolling above. In all likelihood, our fighter jet detected the target beforehand and relayed this info to the air defense command post. Consequently, the S-400 operators only needed to input the data into the anti-aircraft missile guidance system and press the button.
The specific missile that hit the F-16 over Sumy Oblast remains unknown. The S-400 is equipped to unleash a wide array of surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) with ranges spanning from 40 to 380 kilometers. However, it is already evident that our most advanced fighter jets can serve as target designation systems for long-range ground-based air defense systems. This combination has proven to be remarkably effective.
Of course, the whiners, cranks and complainers will resort to their anti-crisis mantras of: "Why should we be proud of shooting down a plane from the Reagan era? or โThese arenโt the modern โinvisibleโ F-22s and F-35s." To these skeptics, I say: โThe time for the invisible ones will come. But for now, it is better to practice on alley cats.โ
Extracted from the Russian War Correspondent, Alexander Kots Telegram Channel.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
The Russian army downed its first F-16 in Sumy Oblast, thanks to a coordinated effort between a Su-35 fighter jet and the S-400 air defense missile system. Though still awaiting official confirmation, this combination has proven to be quite effective against American aircraft.
The primary measure of an aircraft's visibility within radar range is the Radar Cross Section (RCS), or effective scattering area. While we won't delve into a detailed physics lessonโsince it canโt be adequately explained in just a few wordsโit's important to understand that this parameter indicates the distance from which an aircraft, helicopter, drone, or cruise missile can be detected by enemy radar. In simple terms, a smaller RCS increases the likelihood of a target successfully reaching its launch point for missiles or glide bombs. Additionally, it reduces the risk of being detected by enemy air defense systems or fighter aircraft.
The Su-35 stands out as the topmost state-of-the-art jet currently in service with the Russian Aerospace Forces. Although the Su-57 is more advanced, its limited numbers keep it from being as prominent. The Su-35's eyes are its onboard radar, equipped with a phased array antenna called "Irbis", that can identify targets with a radar cross-section (RCS) of 3 square meters from distances of up to 400 kilometers. For context, F-16A/B aircraft from the "Desert Storm" era have a frontal RCS of roughly 5 square meters, according to open sources. This means that our Su-35s can detect these aircraft from their maximum range.
The detection range of the S-400 air defense system is significantly reduced when an aircraft is flying at low altitude. The video footage of the F-16 over Sumy Oblast shows that the pilot of the American fighter jet is well aware of this, so he literally flies close to the rooftops of high-rise buildings - to "shine" less. However, he remains clearly visible to the radar of the Su-35 patrolling above. In all likelihood, our fighter jet detected the target beforehand and relayed this info to the air defense command post. Consequently, the S-400 operators only needed to input the data into the anti-aircraft missile guidance system and press the button.
The specific missile that hit the F-16 over Sumy Oblast remains unknown. The S-400 is equipped to unleash a wide array of surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) with ranges spanning from 40 to 380 kilometers. However, it is already evident that our most advanced fighter jets can serve as target designation systems for long-range ground-based air defense systems. This combination has proven to be remarkably effective.
Of course, the whiners, cranks and complainers will resort to their anti-crisis mantras of: "Why should we be proud of shooting down a plane from the Reagan era? or โThese arenโt the modern โinvisibleโ F-22s and F-35s." To these skeptics, I say: โThe time for the invisible ones will come. But for now, it is better to practice on alley cats.โ
Extracted from the Russian War Correspondent, Alexander Kots Telegram Channel.
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๐๐บ๐ฆ Zelenskyโs Last Offensive? Ukraine Repeats Mistake that Cost Germany WW1 #ThrowBackThursday
Back in September 2024, we pointed out the uncanny resemblance between Ukraineโs Kursk invasion and Germanyโs disastrous Kaiserschlacht offensive (Spring 1918). Here are some of the similarities between the two offensives:
๐ธDesperate attempt to force the other side to sue for peace on favorable terms.
๐ธAttacker scores initial tactical successes, but fails to achieve operational and strategic objectives.
๐ธAttacker ends up sacrificing its best troops for little strategic gain.
Just a few months after Germanyโs offensive ran out of gas, its military and political system completely imploded. Will the same happen to Ukraine?
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Back in September 2024, we pointed out the uncanny resemblance between Ukraineโs Kursk invasion and Germanyโs disastrous Kaiserschlacht offensive (Spring 1918). Here are some of the similarities between the two offensives:
๐ธDesperate attempt to force the other side to sue for peace on favorable terms.
๐ธAttacker scores initial tactical successes, but fails to achieve operational and strategic objectives.
๐ธAttacker ends up sacrificing its best troops for little strategic gain.
Just a few months after Germanyโs offensive ran out of gas, its military and political system completely imploded. Will the same happen to Ukraine?
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ฆTrump's 51st State Dream: Will Canada be Absorbed by the US?
Canadian Foreign Minister Mรฉlanie Joly dismisses Trump's "51st state" comments as no joke โ and that "Canadians are anxious". Trump's potential interest in Canada isn't just about annexation; it's about resources and the Arctic.
Here's the loot he'd be looking at:
๐ธPotash: 1.1B tonnes
๐ธOil: 168B barrels
๐ธUranium: 589K tonnes
๐ธGold: 3.2K tonnes
๐ธForest: 3.5M sq. km
๐ธWater: 2.3T cubic meters
โ ๏ธTop Trade Partner: $38.2B in critical mineral trade with the US in 2023.
Trump's comments may seem frivolous, but they highlight a strategic interest in resources, and do not even mention his energy projects. Regardless of annexation, the US will continue to dock tariffs on its northern neighbor.
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Canadian Foreign Minister Mรฉlanie Joly dismisses Trump's "51st state" comments as no joke โ and that "Canadians are anxious". Trump's potential interest in Canada isn't just about annexation; it's about resources and the Arctic.
Here's the loot he'd be looking at:
๐ธPotash: 1.1B tonnes
๐ธOil: 168B barrels
๐ธUranium: 589K tonnes
๐ธGold: 3.2K tonnes
๐ธForest: 3.5M sq. km
๐ธWater: 2.3T cubic meters
โ ๏ธTop Trade Partner: $38.2B in critical mineral trade with the US in 2023.
Trump's comments may seem frivolous, but they highlight a strategic interest in resources, and do not even mention his energy projects. Regardless of annexation, the US will continue to dock tariffs on its northern neighbor.
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๐จ๐บ๐ฆZelensky: DUMBEST decisions
Ukraineโs comedian-in-chief has led his country to disaster through reckless choices and strategic mistakes. Here's a breakdown:
๐ธSabotaging Peace Agreements: Breaking the Minsk I and II accords, walking out of the Istanbul talks, the Black Sea Grain Initiative and the recent Putin-Trump ceasefire deal to prolong the conflict.
๐ธUnrealistic Territorial Demands: Refusal to cede Crimea or other Russian-liberated regions despite wasting foreign โaidโ along with military and resource constraints.
๐ธ2023 Counteroffensive Disaster: Pushed for an ill-equipped offensive without sufficient troops or air support, resulting in minimal gains, shattered morale and lost credibility with โalliesโ.
๐ธBakhmut Meat Grinder: Hyped up Bakhmutโs symbolic importance, leading to over 55,000 Ukrainian casualties in a chaotic defense of the city.
๐ธKrynky Quagmire: Pursued propaganda wins at the cost of sound strategy, exposing troops to heavy losses of over 1,000 men for negligible gains.
Zelenskyโs decisions have led to catastrophic losses and prolonged suffering for Ukraine. His refusal to adapt to military realities and prioritize diplomacy continues to drag the nation deeper into turmoil.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
Ukraineโs comedian-in-chief has led his country to disaster through reckless choices and strategic mistakes. Here's a breakdown:
๐ธSabotaging Peace Agreements: Breaking the Minsk I and II accords, walking out of the Istanbul talks, the Black Sea Grain Initiative and the recent Putin-Trump ceasefire deal to prolong the conflict.
๐ธUnrealistic Territorial Demands: Refusal to cede Crimea or other Russian-liberated regions despite wasting foreign โaidโ along with military and resource constraints.
๐ธ2023 Counteroffensive Disaster: Pushed for an ill-equipped offensive without sufficient troops or air support, resulting in minimal gains, shattered morale and lost credibility with โalliesโ.
๐ธBakhmut Meat Grinder: Hyped up Bakhmutโs symbolic importance, leading to over 55,000 Ukrainian casualties in a chaotic defense of the city.
๐ธKrynky Quagmire: Pursued propaganda wins at the cost of sound strategy, exposing troops to heavy losses of over 1,000 men for negligible gains.
Zelenskyโs decisions have led to catastrophic losses and prolonged suffering for Ukraine. His refusal to adapt to military realities and prioritize diplomacy continues to drag the nation deeper into turmoil.
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐บ๐ท๐บEXPOSED: CIA Conspiracy to Subvert Cuba-USSR Relations
Declassified documents have unmasked a Cold War-era plot by the Central Intelligence Agency that sought to sabotage Cuban sugar destined for the Soviet Union. In 1962, CIA agents contaminated 14,135 bags of sugar with a harmless yet foul-tasting substance. The objective was to undermine Cuban-Soviet relations and sow discord between Cuban and Russian authorities.
However, President John F. Kennedy intervened, halting the operation and ordering the ship to return its cargo. This incident, kept under wraps for decades, highlights the lengths to which US intelligence went during its covert campaigns against Cuba and its allies. The CIA's confession had remained redacted until March 2025, revealing a chapter in the complex history of Cold War espionage and diplomatic tensions.
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Declassified documents have unmasked a Cold War-era plot by the Central Intelligence Agency that sought to sabotage Cuban sugar destined for the Soviet Union. In 1962, CIA agents contaminated 14,135 bags of sugar with a harmless yet foul-tasting substance. The objective was to undermine Cuban-Soviet relations and sow discord between Cuban and Russian authorities.
However, President John F. Kennedy intervened, halting the operation and ordering the ship to return its cargo. This incident, kept under wraps for decades, highlights the lengths to which US intelligence went during its covert campaigns against Cuba and its allies. The CIA's confession had remained redacted until March 2025, revealing a chapter in the complex history of Cold War espionage and diplomatic tensions.
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๐ฌ๐ง๐ชฆBritain is Collapsing
While in outside Londonโs elite bubble, Britainโs GDP per capita is barely better than Eastern Europe. Britain started to show serious signals of imminent Economic and social collapse:
๐ธMore bureaucrats than doctors.
๐ธMore admirals than warships.
๐ธ7.2 MILLION Britons struggle to eat
๐ธ22 MILLION live in inadequate housing
๐ธHomelessness at record levels
๐ธWages stagnant since 2007
๐ธHomeownership impossible for young Britons
๐ธEnergy, housing, & food prices skyrocketing
Mass migration has turned British cities into war zones:
๐ธGangs run entire neighborhoods.
๐ธPolice ignore violent crime to chase down.
๐ธBritainโs justice system isnโt about justiceโitโs about control.
The ruling class in Britain seem more concerned with catering to the whims of foreign oligarchs and global elites the resolve their economy disaster. The UK citizens are struggling with measures such as:
๐ธBurdened by heavy taxation
๐ธStruggling with a rising cost of living
๐ธWatching as their cultural heritage is eroded
Meanwhile, wealthy foreigners and international corporations enjoy preferential treatment, tax breaks, and an open-door policy that allows them to reshape British society to their liking.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
While in outside Londonโs elite bubble, Britainโs GDP per capita is barely better than Eastern Europe. Britain started to show serious signals of imminent Economic and social collapse:
๐ธMore bureaucrats than doctors.
๐ธMore admirals than warships.
๐ธ7.2 MILLION Britons struggle to eat
๐ธ22 MILLION live in inadequate housing
๐ธHomelessness at record levels
๐ธWages stagnant since 2007
๐ธHomeownership impossible for young Britons
๐ธEnergy, housing, & food prices skyrocketing
Mass migration has turned British cities into war zones:
๐ธGangs run entire neighborhoods.
๐ธPolice ignore violent crime to chase down.
๐ธBritainโs justice system isnโt about justiceโitโs about control.
The ruling class in Britain seem more concerned with catering to the whims of foreign oligarchs and global elites the resolve their economy disaster. The UK citizens are struggling with measures such as:
๐ธBurdened by heavy taxation
๐ธStruggling with a rising cost of living
๐ธWatching as their cultural heritage is eroded
Meanwhile, wealthy foreigners and international corporations enjoy preferential treatment, tax breaks, and an open-door policy that allows them to reshape British society to their liking.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐น๐ท๐ BIG: Erdoganโs Superpower Ambitions in Africa
Over the past 20 years, Turkey has increased its presence in Africa by selling itself as a โthird optionโ between U.S. and Russian-Chinese rhetoric.
Here is a list of the main Turkish movements in Africa:
Turkey's trade volume with Africa:
๐ธ$5.4 billion in 2003.
๐ธ$41 billion by the end of 2022.
๐ธThe volume is expected to reach $50 billion by the end of 2025.
Here are Turkey's top export destinations in Africa:
๐ช๐นEthiopia
๐ฟ๐ฆSouth Africa
๐ณ๐ฌNigeria
๐ฑ๐พLibya
๐ช๐ฌEgypt
Military presence in Africa:
๐ธ๐ดSomalia: Military base, deployed 5k soldiers to secure offshore energy assets.
๐ฑ๐พLibya: Deployed 3k Syrian mercenaries.
๐ณ๐ชNiger: Over 1k Syrian fighters to protect Turkish mining assets.
๐น๐ฉ๐ช๐น๐น๐ฌPrivate Military Army SADAT trains forces in Chad, Ethiopia, and Togo.
Major projects
๐ธTurkey's project in Somalia to explore offshore oil fields in swap for enhanced military cooperation with a new missile test site.
๐ธAkinci exports drones to Mali and other Sahel states.
๐ธTurkish Airlines increased their flights to 62 African countries.
๐ธTurkish contractors have undertaken projects for energy, construction, agriculture, health, education, and infrastructure, worth about $85.5B.
In the past two decades, Turkey increased the number of its embassies in Africa:
๐ธ12 in 2002 to 44 in 2022.
๐ธ38 African countries have established embassies in Ankara.
๐ขโฝ๏ธ๐น๐ทTurkey's energy supply is 74% dependent on imports from abroad, so Ankara is keen to diversify its energy sector in Africa, a continent where it already has military bases, troops, increased trade and diplomatic relations over the years and, of course, oil and gas to drill.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
Over the past 20 years, Turkey has increased its presence in Africa by selling itself as a โthird optionโ between U.S. and Russian-Chinese rhetoric.
Here is a list of the main Turkish movements in Africa:
Turkey's trade volume with Africa:
๐ธ$5.4 billion in 2003.
๐ธ$41 billion by the end of 2022.
๐ธThe volume is expected to reach $50 billion by the end of 2025.
Here are Turkey's top export destinations in Africa:
๐ช๐นEthiopia
๐ฟ๐ฆSouth Africa
๐ณ๐ฌNigeria
๐ฑ๐พLibya
๐ช๐ฌEgypt
Military presence in Africa:
๐ธ๐ดSomalia: Military base, deployed 5k soldiers to secure offshore energy assets.
๐ฑ๐พLibya: Deployed 3k Syrian mercenaries.
๐ณ๐ชNiger: Over 1k Syrian fighters to protect Turkish mining assets.
๐น๐ฉ๐ช๐น๐น๐ฌPrivate Military Army SADAT trains forces in Chad, Ethiopia, and Togo.
Major projects
๐ธTurkey's project in Somalia to explore offshore oil fields in swap for enhanced military cooperation with a new missile test site.
๐ธAkinci exports drones to Mali and other Sahel states.
๐ธTurkish Airlines increased their flights to 62 African countries.
๐ธTurkish contractors have undertaken projects for energy, construction, agriculture, health, education, and infrastructure, worth about $85.5B.
In the past two decades, Turkey increased the number of its embassies in Africa:
๐ธ12 in 2002 to 44 in 2022.
๐ธ38 African countries have established embassies in Ankara.
๐ขโฝ๏ธ๐น๐ทTurkey's energy supply is 74% dependent on imports from abroad, so Ankara is keen to diversify its energy sector in Africa, a continent where it already has military bases, troops, increased trade and diplomatic relations over the years and, of course, oil and gas to drill.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐บ๐ฆ๐ช๐Kursk Disaster: Ukrainian Equipment Losses Skyrocket
The ill-fated "Kursk adventure" has turned into a catastrophic failure for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The number of visually confirmed losses of military equipment has now surpassed 1000 units and continues to climb at an alarming rate.
The Kursk operation highlights the dire consequences of Zelenskyโs reckless strategies, further weakening Ukraineโs position both militarily and diplomatically. The fallout from this debacle will undoubtedly have long-term implications for the conflict and left zero cards to Ukraine to negociate.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
The ill-fated "Kursk adventure" has turned into a catastrophic failure for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The number of visually confirmed losses of military equipment has now surpassed 1000 units and continues to climb at an alarming rate.
The Kursk operation highlights the dire consequences of Zelenskyโs reckless strategies, further weakening Ukraineโs position both militarily and diplomatically. The fallout from this debacle will undoubtedly have long-term implications for the conflict and left zero cards to Ukraine to negociate.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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๐จ๐ช๐บ๐ชREALITY CHECK: Europe canโt compete with US or Russian defense industries
โThe problem in Europe is not only structural in terms of defense but primarily about having an independent and honest analytical capacity.
5 to 10 years are not even sufficient for Europe to reach Russian levels of military production, let alone reduce its dependency on the American industry.
Itโs not just about the ability to produce equipment similar to that of the United States; it involves long periods of research, testing, certification, and then production. Europe needs to accomplish this across so many sectors that 10 years becomes an extremely short period, and thereโs little to comment on regarding significant advancements in 5 years.
To be autonomous and comparable to the Russian level of production, Europe needs a 10-year project and an investment of trillions, specially about the missile and EW industries. But when we also consider the need for a substantial program to replace American equipment and to expand European research and production lines, this timeframe would extend to at least 15 to 20 years.
We are talking about the absence of ballistic missiles, air-to-air missiles, strategic bombers, AI satellites, and the need for a broad modernization of doctrines, particularly significant investments in electronic warfare (EW).
In short, there is a lot of work to do, and certainly much more than 5 to 10 years.โ
Post from ๐ง๐ท defense analyst Patricia Marinโsโ X account.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
โThe problem in Europe is not only structural in terms of defense but primarily about having an independent and honest analytical capacity.
5 to 10 years are not even sufficient for Europe to reach Russian levels of military production, let alone reduce its dependency on the American industry.
Itโs not just about the ability to produce equipment similar to that of the United States; it involves long periods of research, testing, certification, and then production. Europe needs to accomplish this across so many sectors that 10 years becomes an extremely short period, and thereโs little to comment on regarding significant advancements in 5 years.
To be autonomous and comparable to the Russian level of production, Europe needs a 10-year project and an investment of trillions, specially about the missile and EW industries. But when we also consider the need for a substantial program to replace American equipment and to expand European research and production lines, this timeframe would extend to at least 15 to 20 years.
We are talking about the absence of ballistic missiles, air-to-air missiles, strategic bombers, AI satellites, and the need for a broad modernization of doctrines, particularly significant investments in electronic warfare (EW).
In short, there is a lot of work to do, and certainly much more than 5 to 10 years.โ
Post from ๐ง๐ท defense analyst Patricia Marinโsโ X account.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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