New Rules
34.1K subscribers
2.1K photos
854 videos
2.75K links
New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
Download Telegram
🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺 Trump has THREATENED TO IMPOSE TARIFFS on Russia if Putin refuses to accept his Ukraine plan

US-Russia trade is MINISCULE. The trade turnover for 2023 was just under over $5 billion. Needles to say, tariffs won’t make much a dent in the Russian budget.

What is significant is that the US imports key metals and chemicals from Russia that are ESSENTIAL for various types of industrial production and agriculture:

🔸Fertilizers: Particularly nitrogenous, potassic, mixed mineral, and chemical fertilizers.

US imported $1.62 billion worth of fertilizers from Russia in 2023, which is a RECORD HIGH.

🔸Platinum: Despite the sanctions campaign, the US has INCREASED its imports of Russian platinum over past couple years.

In October 2024, Russian accounted for 31.5% of US platinum imports, the highest level since April 2020.

🔸Titanium: Russian company VSMPO-Avisma supplies 30-35% of the titanium used by the aviation sector globally.

US government has so far declined to sanction Russian titanium due to concerns that doing so could seriously harm the US aerospace industry.

🔸Petroleum: Despite banning Russian oil imports, the US has continued to purchase Russian oil via loopholes in the sanction legislation.

For example, the US imported nearly 37,000 barrels of Russian oil in October 2023, and nearly 10,000 barrels in November 2023.

🔸Precious stones ($1.26 billion in 2023)

🔸Iron and steel ($207.17 million in 2023)

🔸Radioactive chemicals ($70.9 million in October 2024)

US tariffs on Russian goods WILL NOT meaningfully impact the Russian economy/foreign policy behavior.

What they will do is make life more difficult for American farmers, medical device producers, airplane manufacturers, and industrialists in other sectors.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍34🔥9❤1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🚨🇷🇺🪖Bigger, Better, Stronger: Russia's Military Transformation Since 2022

"They've got more equipment on their backs that the entire command post had in 2022,” said a Russian army scout unit leader. “Radios, satellites, Starlink and Gazprom's internet."

He confirmed that the Russian armed forces had improved in tactics, technological support and other ways since the launch of the military operation in Ukraine.

Watch the full interview here.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍21🔥5🫡5
🚨🇮🇷✈️ Trump and Israel are reportedly considering AIRSTRIKES ON IRAN to prevent it from GOING NUCLEAR

If they decide to go through with this attack, it could BACKFIRE HORRIBLY.

Don't forget that Israel is a small country with a handful of key energy facilities. Same goes for other important economic assets such as ports. It wouldn’t take all that much for Iran to cause BLACKOUTS across Israel and CRIPPLE its economy.

What happens if the US attacks Iran?

Let's check some facts:

🔸Iran will retaliate by DESTROYING all US military bases in the region and punish the countries hosting these bases. This will cause oil prices to EXPLODE, sparking a GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS.

🔸"Operation True Promise 2 showed that Israel is DEFENSELESS against Iranian missiles" – former US Assistant Secretary of Defense Chas Freeman.
Even US air defense support won’t be able to help Israel much, he added.

🔸Although the US and Israel can undoubtedly inflict serious damage on Iran, they will STRUGGLE TO DESTROY Iran’s key military assets. Most of them are stored in elaborate UNDERGROUND CITIES

🔸"Israel doesn't have many options for destroying Iran’s underground military and nuclear facilities."
"Sending bombers with heavy bunker-buster bombs 1500 km and back is a HUGE LOGISTICAL CHALLENGE" - former MI6 Alastair Crooke.

🔸US allies in the Middle East STRONGLY OPPOSE strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
“If Iran’s nuclear power plant in Bushehr is attacked, the Persian Gulf’s water supply will be contaminated, and Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE will run out of water within three days.” Said Qatari Prime Minister, Sheikh Mohammed.

Attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities would be a DISASTROUS DECISION OF HISTORIC PROPORTIONS.

Even if the US and Israel ultimately prevail, they will almost certainly have to pay an ASTRONOMIC PRICE that will outweigh any benefits from “victory.”

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍36❤8🔥3🤬3👏2
🚨🇺🇸 Bulldozing Peace Through Tariff Wars: See Who Trump 2.0 Is Targeting

In just three months since returning to office, President Donald Trump has adopted an aggressive foreign policy stance, issuing threats of sanctions, tariffs, and even military action against the vast majority of the world's population:

🇨🇦Canada: Targeted with potential tariffs, including a 25% levy on vehicles and auto components.
Trump has long desired to turn Canada into his 51st state, which explains his aggressive rhetoric, including vague threats of military action during his campaign—though these were never intended as serious policy proposals.

🇨🇳China: Trump imposed tariffs across various sectors, and on numerous products, with rates skyrocketing to 20%.

🇲🇽Mexico: Announced 25% tariffs, though these were postponed.
Threats of military intervention have been made, though not as a serious policy proposal.

🇷🇺Russia: Threatened with sanctions and tariffs, particularly on oil exports if a ceasefire in Ukraine is not achieved.
Recently, he expressed frustration with Putin while remaining engaged in negotiations.

🇮🇷Iran: Threats of bombings and secondary tariffs loom if a nuclear deal is not established. Previous sanctions were reinstated during Trump's first term.

🇮🇳India: Labeled the "tariff king" and faced threats of reciprocal tariffs.
Ongoing negotiations aim to reduce tariffs and enhance trade relations.

🇪🇺European Union: Trump has issued threats of tariffs, though specific details have not been disclosed

🌐BRICS Nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa): Threatened with tariffs if they pursue the creation of a new currency.

🇬🇱Greenland: Trump has made threats of military intervention, asserting that the US "will go as far as we have to go" to gain control of Greenland.

🇵🇦Panama: Similar threats of military intervention have been made, though these were not presented as serious policy proposals.

🇻🇪Venezuela: Trump also vowed secondary tariffs on countries buying oil from Venezuela.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🤬31👍9❤1
🚨🇺🇸📉Trump's Economic Carnage: Who is to blame?

Macroeconomist Philip Pilkington examines the impending economic chaos stemming from Trump's policies in the U.S.

"Another dip in the stock market today has fuelled fears that the US is entering bear market territory. As the deadline for Trump’s new wave of tariffs draws closer, the Nasdaq index, the home of American technology stocks and the Magnificent 7, has dropped 16 percentage points since Christmas — four points from what is officially classified as a bear market. No wonder, then, that investors are moving their money into safe haven assets like gold, which has risen to about $3,120 an ounce.

Although Trump’s looming tariffs have no doubt contributed to this decline, the rot in Western markets runs much deeper. Many of the major companies on the Nasdaq have their own problems that are not related to tariffs. Tesla, for example, has been missing its revenue targets for months due to stiff competition from Chinese EV manufacturers. Nvidia, meanwhile, is still reeling from the release of DeepSeek’s latest AI model earlier this month.

The Trump tariffs have given an overarching narrative to explain these unrelated issues, which has fuelled a sense of pessimism that typically precedes a general bear market. The tariffs certainly correlate with the general downturn, but they are logically distinct from the dynamics that are actually driving poor future earnings at some of the Magnificent 7 companies.

The Trump administration has tried to play down the financial turmoil in the markets, but officials fail to understand how fragile the American economy is right now. Thanks to Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act and the energy sanctions on Russia, the US economy is in a dire state. Take the example of mortgage delinquencies. With 6.1 million Americans now behind on their mortgages, this figure is could end up approaching levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. If the turmoil in the stock and bonds market spreads to the market for mortgage credit, there is every chance that the United States could see the bursting of a property bubble.

These are highly uncertain times, and as far as one looks into the future, all that can be seen is troubled water ahead. We do not know exactly what will happen next. But if stock markets continue to decline and the fear in these markets spreads to the bond market, there will be a rise in interest rates. Only then will we know if a recession is on the cards and, at worst, a borrowing crisis for the US government."

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍20👏7🤬2❤1🫡1
🚨🇺🇸💸 Trump's Tariffs Could Cause UNPRECEDENTED DAMAGE to American Economy

Businessman Spencer Hakimian outlines the economic mayhem that Trump's tariffs would wreak on the US:

"The economic damage from the 2025 tariffs could be so much more devastating than Smoot-Hawley.

Back in 1930, imports were 3% of GDP.

Today imports are 15% of GDP.

The economy is 5x more exposed to tariffs today than it was 100 years ago when we learned our lesson against tariffs."

Enacted in 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act increased pressure on the international economy during the Great Depression. It made it harder for the United States to recover from its economic difficulties and marked the end of high tariffs in U.S. trade policy in the 20th century.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍21🔥5❤3
🚨🇺🇦☠️ Message to Trump: Zelensky is a TERRORIST WARMONGER

Don’t blame Russia for ceasefire talks stalling.

Ukraine has REPEATEDLY VIOLATED Trump’s energy infrastructure strikes mortarium.

Don’t believe us? Here is the proof:

🔸March 19:
Just hours after the agreement, Ukraine deployed drones to attack the Caspian Pipeline Consortium in the Krasnodar region.

🔸March 21: Earlier in the morning, Ukrainian drones attacked the Sudzha Gas Metering Station in the Kursk region.

🔸March 23 (1): Ukrainian massive artillery strike leaves 11,000 people without energy in Zaporozhye region after targeting the Electric Substation.

🔸March 23 (2)
: Another drone shell occurred in Kropotkinskaya Oil Pumping Station in Krasnodar.

🔸March 24 (1):
Artillery and drones attacked Kuban Branch of PJSC "Rosseti" in Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Region, shooting down the power supply.

🔸March 24 (2): Svatovo Gas Distribution Station in Lugansk operations were disrupted by Ukrainian artillery strikes.

🔸March 24 (3): Glebovskoye Underground Gas Storage Facility in Crimea were also attacked by Ukrainian drones that day. This attack was intercepted.

🔸March 25-26: Several locations were shelled by Ukrainian drones and artillery in the town of Klintsy in Bryansk Region (electric facility) and Kursk Region (power grid facility).

🔸March 28: at 10:34 AM a Ukrainian UAV struck the Krasnaya Yaruga 110 kV Substation, leaving over 8,000 people without power in Borisovsky district.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🤬27👍9❤3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦 Bucha Unmasked: Untangling a Web of Doubt

The events in Bucha, Ukraine, in 2022 remain shrouded in questions and inconsistencies:

🔸1. Why resort to bombing or killing when you already control the city? Russian troops occupied Bucha from early March, and reports indicate that life carried on relatively normally during this time. What could have motivated these mass killings to take place just before their withdrawal?

🔸2. Did the Mayor live in a parallel universe?
Bucha’s mayor, Anatoliy Fedoruk, spoke optimistically about the Ukrainians recapturing the city on March 31 without mentioning any bodies in the streets. This is suspicious given the atrocities reported days later.

🔸3. Who requested these specific photographs of the location?
Images from Maxar (a prominent US Defense Department contractor) allegedly depicting bodies from mid-March have raised many doubts. It's important to note that satellite imagery can be altered, and Maxar operates on a contractual basis.

On April 6, Maxar declined to sell images taken between March 19 and March 23, offering only those from March 31, after the Russians had departed. Why withhold the earlier images?

🔸4. Who caused the real damage here?
Ukrainian forces shelled Bucha’s southern outskirts with artillery and tanks, even after the Russians had left.

🔸5. Was this staged to derail negotiations?
The Bucha incident surfaced right after the Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkiye and Russia’s goodwill withdrawal from the areas around Kiev.

🔸6. Staged corpses?
Footage appears to show Ukrainian soldiers moving bodies. What would be the reason for this action if not for staging purposes?

🔸7. Why was the evidence delayed?
Images of the bodies emerged on April 3, four days after Russian troops had departed. Why would there have been such a delay if the killings took place earlier?

🔸8. Who were the dead?
Ukraine has not released a comprehensive list of the dead, leaving many questions unanswered. While hundreds have died, the lack of transparency regarding their identities raises concerns. Greater openness would bolster Ukraine’s position, yet the absence of this information implies that there may be an attempt to conceal the true nature or origins of the victims.

🔸9. Why avoid an open debate if the situation is so clear? The UK blocked Russia's request for a UN session on Bucha, while reports show that Ukraine had rejected any Russian involvement in the investigation. So, why exclude one side?

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🤬15👌6👍5❤1🔥1
🚨🇹🇷🇸🇾Turkey Aids al-Qaeda Terrorists

Turkey is deploying forces to the T4 airbase near the Syrian town of Palmyra, claiming it will provide military protection to the new al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) regime.

Plans include armed surveillance drones and potentially the S-400 air defense system, depending on Russian approval.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Syrian acting president Ahmed al-Sharaa have been negotiating a defense pact since December, following the overthrow of president Bashar al-Assad.

Turkey also looks to step up its fight against ISIS, a key condition for the US to consider withdrawing from the region.

A US withdrawal would be a major factor in Turkey's favor given its border conflict with the Kurdish-led, US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).

Israel recently targeted the T4 base, claiming it was a “threat” to its “operational freedom” to attack neighboring countries – possibly including Iran. Israel views Turkey’s military build-up as potentially aiding extremists.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🤬13🔥4👍3
🚨🇪🇺Europe is a GLOBALIST TOTALITARIAN HELLHOLE

🇫🇷 France: Le Pen sentenced and ban from participating in elections.

🇷🇴Romania: Elections annulled, winning candidate, arrested and imprisoned.

🇩🇪Germany: Preparing a similar scenario with AfD.

🇺🇦Ukraine: Volodimir Zelensky's dictatorial regime, his term as president expired in May 2024.

🇸🇰Slovakia: Assassination attempt of anti-war Prime Minister Fico.

🇭🇺Hungary: Constant attacks against Prime Minister Orban and pressure to exclude Hungary from EU decisions.

🇪🇪Estonia: A constitutional amendment revokes the local voting rights of 80,000 Russians in Estonia.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👌27🤬13👍9❤1🔥1
🚨🇬🇧🕵️Apple Bows to Big Brother: UK Gains Backdoor to Encrypted Data

UK now has access to Apple British users’ files and data, including photos, voice memos, notes, and iCloud file backups. but that's not enough for UK and is seeking for more.

The UK's justification hides behind the slogan of providing the security and privacy of British citizens to fight crime and terrorism. If the UK really wants to provide security and privacy to its citizens it should not take them away so hypocritically.

If it needs to, the UK government can ask Apple for the data of any suspected terrorist or, for that matter, anyone who writes an uncomfortable post against the UK.

Not satisfied with that, the authoritarian British government is looking for the “backdoor” to ALL encrypted Apple user data worldwide.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🤬42👍4❤1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🚨🇺🇸🇻🇳🇨🇳Art of the Fool: Why Trump's Tariffs on China and Vietnam will BACKFIRE HORRIBLY

Trump is imposing a 54% tariff on China and 46% on Vietnam. Both countries are among the largest producers and exporters in the world, which means that prices are going to rise exorbitantly in the US.

The US imported more than:
🔸$430 billion of goods from China in 2024
🔸$130 billion from Vietnam.

Many companies that used to manufacture in China moved to Vietnam and Mexico due to pressure and threats from the United States. Now Trump is imposing tariffs on all of them.

These blanket tariffs are not going to lead the US to re-industrialize. They will simply raise the price level.

If the US really wants to reindustrialize, it needs a real industrial policy, a clear state-led development plan, involving heavy government investment in infrastructure, education, training and industrial modernization. Trump is doing none of that, on the contrary, he is conflating Reaganomics with across-the-board tariffs.

What is really happening is that Trump is using tariffs as a tax on consumers, to shift the tax burden even more from the wealthy elites to the poor. He is cutting taxes for the rich and corporations and imposing a heavy consumption tax on the poor and working class.

Trump himself said the goal with these tariffs is to raise more government revenue. He will do so on the back of average working Americans, which will probably cause a recession and even worse and dangerous inflation.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍38❤1
"The penguins are ripping America off. It's so sad to see. They've been treating our GREAT COUNTRY so horribly and so unfairly. The penguins are taking American jobs and we'll charge them 10% from now on."

Your thoughts?
👏30🔥5👌3❤2
🚨🇺🇸📉We support Trump's Tariffs. Here's Why:

Trump's tariffs are good for humanity because they will accelerate the collapse of the Globalist American Empire.

Let's check:

🔸Economic Self-Sabotage: Tariffs jack up costs for US consumers and businesses, think higher prices for everything from cars to electronics. This hits the wallet of the average American, shrinking purchasing power and slowing growth. A weaker economy means less cash to flex on the world stage.

🔸Alienating Allies: Slapping 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, or 20% on the EU, doesn’t exactly scream “team player.” Allies are already retaliating, China’s counter-tariffs and Europe’s threats are just the start. When your friends ditch you, your influence shrinks fast.

🔸Deindustrialized Reality: The US isn’t the manufacturing titan it once was. Decades of offshoring gutted its industrial base. Tariffs can’t protect industries that barely exist anymore. Steel mills and factories won’t magically return. Instead, higher costs just punish the service-heavy economy left behind.

🔸Handing Rivals a Win: China’s licking its chops. Tariffs push global trade away from the US, and Beijing’s ready to fill the gap, deepening ties with Asia, Africa, South America, and even Europe. The more the US isolates itself, the more rivals like China and Russia gain ground.

🔸Dollar’s Throne at Risk: The US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency relies on trust and trade. Tariffs spark chaos, retaliation, currency wars, maybe even a push by BRICS nations to ditch the dollar. If that happens, America’s financial grip crumbles. Don't mention that the gold is in historical high price now.

🔸Overstretch and Collapse: Empires die when they overreach. Tariffs are a gamble, Trump’s betting on short-term wins, but the long-term cost could be a fractured trade system and a US too broke to lead. History says empires don’t survive self-inflicted wounds like this.

Trump’s tariffs might look like a bold play to “Make America Great Again,” but they’re more like a wrecking ball to its global clout. The empire’s already wobbling, tariffs could be the push that sends it crashing down.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍42👏8👌2
🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳Trump’s Tariffs Against China Will FAIL: Here’s Why

China’s Rewiring the Game with Globalization 2.0: China’s not just leaning on the US anymore. Since Trump’s first tariff wave in 2018, China’s been retooling its supply chains, and by 2025, it’s clear they’re winning at this chess match.

🔸Exports Pivot to the Global South: Check the data—China’s exports to the U.S. are shrinking (down to 13% of its total in 2024 from 19% in 2016), while the Global South’s share is surging. ASEAN, Africa, and Latin America are now key buyers.

🔸US Achilles’ Heel, Rare Metals: American industries are hooked on Chinese aluminum, gallium, lithium, and germanium. China’s December 2024 export ban on gallium and germanium already cost the US $3.4 billion in GDP (per USGS estimates). Trump’s new 20% tariff on Chinese goods (effective March 4, 2025) only tightens the screws. US firms can’t pivot fast enough when domestic mines are years away.

🔸Manufacturing Edge Stays Put: Tariffs won’t bring factories back. China’s got a lock on cheap labor and infrastructure. In 2024, it produced 54% of global steel and 60% of electronics (World Bank stats). US costs are triple per unit; tariffs just make imports pricier, not uncompetitive.

Trump’s doubling down 10% on China in February, another 10% in March, and now 34% this week. Might sound tough, but China’s not the dependent one here. The US is shooting itself in the foot while China builds a new world supply chain.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍41🔥7👌5❤2
🚨🌍💪🏿Today, Africa is LAUGHING at the rest of the world

African countries were smart enough reduce trade ties with a highly unpredictable superpower, and strengthen trade ties with a much more reliable superpower.

Other regions should learn from Africa.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
❤44👏28
🚨🇺🇸🏦 Trump Tariffs: A Poison Pill for US Imperialism (PART 1)

Irish economist Peter Ryan says that Trump’s right to oppose the globalist economic agenda, but he fails to understand how the current system actually works.

“The basic problem with Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ is that America’s real enemy is not the rest of the world, but its native oligarchy of financial imperialists.

This domestic nemesis is the fusion of the Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (FIRE) sector and the foreign-policy establishment.

The FIRE sector stymies productive sectors and increases inequality, while the foreign-policy establishment wastes US blood and treasure on conflicts of no or negative national interest.

Unsurprisingly, the FIRE and foreign-policy elites hate the tariff agenda. But the promised economic paradigm shift will be a failure without a systematic, disciplined effort to bring these two groups under control.

The foreign-policy establishment seeks to maintain American global hegemony through the combination of the US dollar as the global reserve currency, fiscal deficits, and balance of payments deficits.

In 1944, at the Bretton Woods Conference, the dollar became the agreed upon world reserve currency. After 1970, American fiscal deficits became bigger and more constant, except for a brief period of fiscal surpluses from 1998 to 2001.

Since then, fiscal deficits have rapidly increased. The fiscal deficit amount in 2024 was about eight times the greatest fiscal surplus amount in 2000. America began running persistent and large balance of payments deficits at the turn of the 1980s.

This combination of factors results in the rest of the world having a surplus of dollars, which circulate back into dollar-denominated investments. These foreign dollar surpluses favor FIRE assets and US treasuries. Thus, global American imperium funds the FIRE sector, and the FIRE sector then funds the structures that further entrench and enable US imperialism.”

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍32❤1
🚨🇺🇸🏦 Trump’s Tariffs: Poison Pill for American Oligarchy (Part 2)

Irish economist Peter Ryan:

“Trump’s crusade to rebalance trade is occurring because the vicious cycle propping up the FIRE sector at the expense of the American people is breaking down.

The rise of the multipolar world order disrupts the American oligarchy’s interests. The modernization and economic development of the rest of the world reduces the need for other countries to rely on American imperial hegemony.

There are more trade opportunities than ever outside America. Other countries are less reliant on access to American markets, weakening the dollar’s status as reserve currency.

Any gains for the productive economy from Trump’s tariffs will likely be sabotaged by the FIRE sector’s malinvestment of capital and the foreign-policy establishment’s unwillingness to withdraw from the world. America can’t have its cake (of maintaining the dollar as the global reserve currency) and eat it too (bringing back manufacturing and resolving trade imbalances).

The oligarchy cannot be expected to act in America’s best interests, because that is at the expense of its interests.

Such an approach would set America up on the path toward reindustrialization and trade imbalance corrections. Liberating America from oligarchy would replace the vicious cycle with a virtuous one. But America can’t do this overnight. We need years, if not decades.”

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍34❤2
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🚨🇺🇸🏦 REALITY CHECK: Here’s the #1 problem with Trump’s tariffs

“The U.S. financial system is now so parasitic that it’s not going to allow Mr. Trump’s plan to work.” — legendary South Korean economist Ha-Joon Chang.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
👍34❤5