New Rules
34.1K subscribers
2.1K photos
854 videos
2.75K links
New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
Download Telegram
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Trump is demanding Ukraine's RARE EARTH METALS in exchange for continued military aid

Pre-2014 Ukraine was a top global suppliers of mineral resourcesπŸ‘‡:

πŸ”ΈIt boasted of 20,000 mineral deposits, covering 116 types of minerals with a value of $12 trillion

πŸ”Έ8.4M tons of titanium ore reserves, between 10-20% of the total global reserves

πŸ”ΈHolds 500,000 tons of discovered lithium reserves, used in the production of many batteries

πŸ”ΈIs also a top producer of gallium in the world to produce semiconductors and LED

There's one major problem with Trump's demand much of former Ukraine's mineral wealth is now controlled by Russia (biggest concentration of rare earth metals is in Donetsk and Lugansk)

Why are Ukraine’s mineral resources strategically important?

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³China accounts for TWO THIRDS of the world’s rare earth metals production

πŸ“ŠIf the US wants any hope of competing with China, it needs guarantee access to the other one third of global production

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘19πŸ”₯6🀬2❀1πŸ‘Œ1
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡Ύ CODE RED: Erdogan's Syria Gamble is Backfiring?

In December, Turkish-backed jihadists overthrew Assad and seized power

Now the new Syrian regime is offering to host Turkish airbases and give Turkish companies lucrative reconstruction contracts

But all is not well for Erdogan:πŸ‘‡

πŸ”ΈTurkey never fully trusted Jolani and HTS. After all, Jolani was β€œeducated” at an American prison camp in Iraq

πŸ”ΈKurdish problem: If Turkey does nothing, it will have a de-facto Kurdish state on its borders. If it goes on the offensive, it could find itself on a collision course with the US (too risky)

πŸ”ΈCollapse of Assad has enabled Israel to make a big landgrab in Syria and there's not much Turkey can do to stop Netanyahu

πŸ”ΈPossible rift with Qatar: Both Turkey and Qatar helped HTS seize power, but Qatar has more money to spend on buying influence. Don’t be surprised if Qatar tries to make a powerplay in Syria at Turkey’s expense

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘36
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸš™Trump's Tariffs could DEVASTATE Elon Musk's Tesla: Here's How

πŸ’ΈAt $1.4 trillion, Tesla has the largest market cap in the global automotive market BY FAR. However, if Trump declares a trade war against China, Elon Musk will quickly find himself in hot water.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³βž‘οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈTesla imports from China:

πŸ”ΈBattery systems (Ganfeng Lithium, Huayou Cobalt).
πŸ”ΈElectric motors (Zhongke Sanhuan)
πŸ”ΈAutopilot sensors (Lianchuang Electronics)
πŸ”ΈCentral control systems (BOE displays)

πŸ”‹βž‘οΈTesla sources 39% of its battery supply chain from Chinese companies and meanwhile Elon Musk is actively seeking to diversify its imports because of Tariffs imposed by his political partner Donald Trump.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯30πŸ‘6πŸ‘3❀1
🚨🌍🏭 BAD NEWS: Africa is Deindustrializing

Manufacturing as a share of sub-Saharan Africa’s GDP has been plummeting over past three decades.

A strong industrial base is essential for economic development and sovereignty.

Meanwhile, Africa accounts for just 1% of global manufacturing output.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
🀬25πŸ‘5❀1πŸ‘Œ1
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ“‰ Will Trump's Tariffs BLOW UP American economy?

We've previously written about why Trump is likely to prevail in his trade war with Canada and Mexico. For the sake of being balanced, let's examine why his tariff addiction could BACKFIRE SPECTACULARLY.

βš οΈπŸ’°In 2023, the tariffs generated a return of $80 billion, a mere drop in the bucket compared to the nearly $2.2 trillion in personal income tax revenue. Here are the points to keep in mind:

πŸ”Έ Only a universal tariff of 70% would generate enough revenue to replace individual income tax, and that's just in theory, because imports would obviously crumble in that scenario.
πŸ”ΈHigher tariffs to China can destroy the revenue to US companies
πŸ”ΈTrump's tariffs could cost the U.S. middle-class family between $1,200 and $2,600 each year.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯19❀3πŸ‘Œ2πŸ‘1
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ¦ Will Trump BANKRUPT the United States?

Forget all the noise about DOGE slashing government waste and fraud.

Trump’s proposed tax plan would add $5 to $11 trillion to the national debt by 2035. That would push debt to 132% of GDP on the low end and 149% on the high end!

As we explained in the previous post, Trump’s tariffs will not be sufficient to fill US treasury coffers.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯15πŸ‘6❀1🀬1πŸ‘Œ1
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Peter Schiff: US cannot economically compete with China

US runs huge trade deficits with China because the Chinese economy is far more productive than the American economy.

Meanwhile, the Chinese middle class keeps growing while America’s middle class keeps shrinking.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘28πŸ”₯5❀4πŸ‘Œ2
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ€ Trump’s Deal With US Deep State – Alastair Crooke

In order to remain power and be allowed to implement certain reforms, Trump has been forced to make some tactical compromises with US Deep State.

This explains some of his extreme rhetoric on Russia and Iran.

Watch the entire episode HERE

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘23πŸ”₯5🀬3πŸ‘Œ3
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ¦πŸ’£German economy on the verge of β€œKAPUT”

The implosion of the German economy is accelerating, even more than we predicted.

To make matters worse, Trump has signed new tariffs at 25% for steel and aluminum applied to all countries. Remember that Germany is the 6th largest exporter to the US with $84B in exports.

Scholz and Von der Leyen have vowed that the EU will respond forcefully to the US tariffs. However, Germany's economy is already reeling from Russia sanctions and explosion of Nord Stream pipelines. A US-EU trade war would likely be a knockout blow to the Germany economy, which send shockwaves to the French, Spanish, and other European economies

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
❀21πŸ‘13πŸ”₯3πŸ‘3🀬1
πŸ’ΈπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡±πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡±πŸ‡»BREAKING: Baltic Chihuhaus do something stupid, again

On February 9, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania disconnected from the BRELL energy ring that supplied them with energy from Russia and Belarus.

Ursula von der Leyen, Zelensky and other European authorities congratulated the Baltic countries for no longer depending on Russian energy. But ordinary citizens are probably less than thrilled.

In 24 hrs. they went from paying:

πŸ”Έ$64.79 MWh. (62.74 EUR)
πŸ”ΈTO $151.62 MWh. (148.83 EUR)

The Baltic state are now part of the broader European energy crisis. But their numbers are especially bad.

πŸ”ΈBaltic States' local electricity production: 18.4 TWh.
πŸ”ΈConsumption: 27 TWh.

In other words, a massive deficit.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘30πŸ”₯7πŸ‘3❀2
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ύ Follow the Money: Turkey's Energy Imperialism in Libya

Turkey has turned its eyes to Libya in order to emerge as a possible new energy supplier for Europe and the Asia.

An agreement has already been signed in 2022, and allows Turkish companies to collaborate with Libyan companies for:

πŸ”ΈOil and gas exploration
πŸ”ΈOnshore and offshore projects

In exchange, Turkey provides military support to Libya's Government of National Unity

Watch the entire episode HERE

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯19🀬5πŸ‘3
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ Trump is managing AMERICAN IMPERIAL DECLINE – Alastair Crooke

If the American empire is to survive, it will have to give up Ukraine and the Middle East to consolidate its control over the Western hemisphere.

This explains Trump’s obsession with Greenland and Canada

Watch the entire episode HERE

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘23🀬3πŸ‘Œ3πŸ‘1
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ€– SPECIAL EPISODE INCOMING

Pepe Escobar joins us for a NO HOLDS BARRED discussion about techno-feudalism, how the US Deep State created Big Tech, and why China's model for technological innovation is superior.

Also features a historical comparison between Elon Musk and 17th century Catholic warlord Albrecht von Wallenstein.

Interview is dropping on Thursday on Telegram and X.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯24πŸ‘13πŸ‘Œ1
πŸš¨πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ China is CRUSHING the United States in scientific research across the board

China now leads the world in 90% of critical technology research, according to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.

Let’s take closer look where China DOMINATES the US:

πŸ”¬Natural and health sciences (Nature Index)

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³Chinese Academy of Sciences 2243.22 contributions
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈHarvard University 1143.43 contributions

βš›οΈPhysics (Nature Index)
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³12.90 in contribution and influence
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ12.81 in contribution and influence

πŸ€–AI (2013 -2023)
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³557,326 articles published
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ354,042 articles published

πŸ₯ΌTop AI researchers
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³47%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ18%

πŸ§ͺChemistry
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³6,183.75 contributions
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ5,371.32 contributions

🌲Environmental Science
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³2600 cited articles
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2400 cited articles

πŸ§‘β€πŸŽ“πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³7/10 leading research institutions are based in China
πŸ§‘β€πŸŽ“πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1/10 is American

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘25πŸ‘7πŸ”₯6❀4πŸ‘Œ1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
BREAKING: Exclusive footage of Trump-Zelensky meeting

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯20πŸ‘Œ8
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·πŸ€πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈTurkey is run by Atlanticists and NATO lovers.

The Gang of Five, as they are called in Turkey, is closely linked to the AKP (Justice and Development Party) and Erdogan, which has given them great power to influence political and economic decisions.

They are the driving force between pro-NATO and pro-EU politics in Turkey.

But, who exactly is the Gang of Five?

πŸ”ΈMehmet NafΔ±z GΓΌnal (President of MAPA)
πŸ”ΈNihat Γ–zdemir (President of LΔ°MAK)
πŸ”ΈΔ°nΘ™aat Mehmet Cengiz (President of CENGΔ°Z)
πŸ”ΈCemal Kalyoncu (President of KALYON)
πŸ”ΈNaci Koloğlu (President of KOLΔ°N)

A report by the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) points out that the government has issued $9B (330.5B liras) worth of tenders, excluding those below $2M (100M liras), and that 50% of those tenders were won by the same 20 companies in the last five years. Among those tenders, 24% were won by 'the gang of five'.

Watch the entire episode HERE

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘27🀬4
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸš¨πŸŸ¨πŸ’΅ Can Gold Replace the US Dollar?

The US dollar’s days as the global reserve currency are numbered due to blowback from Western sanctions against Russia, Peter Schiff told #NewRulesPodcast.

β€œWe told the world get rid of dollars and buy gold, and that's exactly what they've been doing. That's why the price of gold is at an all-time record high. Gold is on pace for its best year since 1979. That is not a coincidence,” he said.

Trump's recent tariff threats have pushed gold prices to record highs, with gold breaking above $2,900 per ounce for the first time.

πŸ‘‰ Watch full interview here.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ‘12πŸ‘Œ6
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ¦πŸ˜‚ FUN FACT: The two most valuable European companies are a Danish firm that sells obesity drugs to Americans, and a French luxury handbag brand.

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ›’πŸ­ By contrast, the most valuable Russian companies are Sberbank (financial technology) and natural resource producers (oil, gas, gold, steel, agriculture). In other words, REAL ECONOMIC ASSETS.

✍️ Keep this in mind when you read statistics that claim that Europe’s economy is larger and better than Russia’s.

Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
πŸ”₯27πŸ‘9❀3πŸ‘2