π¨πΉπ·πΈπΎ CODE RED: Erdogan's Syria Gamble is Backfiring?
In December, Turkish-backed jihadists overthrew Assad and seized power
Now the new Syrian regime is offering to host Turkish airbases and give Turkish companies lucrative reconstruction contracts
But all is not well for Erdogan:π
πΈTurkey never fully trusted Jolani and HTS. After all, Jolani was βeducatedβ at an American prison camp in Iraq
πΈKurdish problem: If Turkey does nothing, it will have a de-facto Kurdish state on its borders. If it goes on the offensive, it could find itself on a collision course with the US (too risky)
πΈCollapse of Assad has enabled Israel to make a big landgrab in Syria and there's not much Turkey can do to stop Netanyahu
πΈPossible rift with Qatar: Both Turkey and Qatar helped HTS seize power, but Qatar has more money to spend on buying influence. Donβt be surprised if Qatar tries to make a powerplay in Syria at Turkeyβs expense
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In December, Turkish-backed jihadists overthrew Assad and seized power
Now the new Syrian regime is offering to host Turkish airbases and give Turkish companies lucrative reconstruction contracts
But all is not well for Erdogan:π
πΈTurkey never fully trusted Jolani and HTS. After all, Jolani was βeducatedβ at an American prison camp in Iraq
πΈKurdish problem: If Turkey does nothing, it will have a de-facto Kurdish state on its borders. If it goes on the offensive, it could find itself on a collision course with the US (too risky)
πΈCollapse of Assad has enabled Israel to make a big landgrab in Syria and there's not much Turkey can do to stop Netanyahu
πΈPossible rift with Qatar: Both Turkey and Qatar helped HTS seize power, but Qatar has more money to spend on buying influence. Donβt be surprised if Qatar tries to make a powerplay in Syria at Turkeyβs expense
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π36
π¨πΊπΈπTrump's Tariffs could DEVASTATE Elon Musk's Tesla: Here's How
πΈAt $1.4 trillion, Tesla has the largest market cap in the global automotive market BY FAR. However, if Trump declares a trade war against China, Elon Musk will quickly find himself in hot water.
π¨π³β‘οΈπΊπΈTesla imports from China:
πΈBattery systems (Ganfeng Lithium, Huayou Cobalt).
πΈElectric motors (Zhongke Sanhuan)
πΈAutopilot sensors (Lianchuang Electronics)
πΈCentral control systems (BOE displays)
πβ‘οΈTesla sources 39% of its battery supply chain from Chinese companies and meanwhile Elon Musk is actively seeking to diversify its imports because of Tariffs imposed by his political partner Donald Trump.
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πΈAt $1.4 trillion, Tesla has the largest market cap in the global automotive market BY FAR. However, if Trump declares a trade war against China, Elon Musk will quickly find himself in hot water.
π¨π³β‘οΈπΊπΈTesla imports from China:
πΈBattery systems (Ganfeng Lithium, Huayou Cobalt).
πΈElectric motors (Zhongke Sanhuan)
πΈAutopilot sensors (Lianchuang Electronics)
πΈCentral control systems (BOE displays)
πβ‘οΈTesla sources 39% of its battery supply chain from Chinese companies and meanwhile Elon Musk is actively seeking to diversify its imports because of Tariffs imposed by his political partner Donald Trump.
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π₯30π6π3β€1
π¨ππ BAD NEWS: Africa is Deindustrializing
Manufacturing as a share of sub-Saharan Africaβs GDP has been plummeting over past three decades.
A strong industrial base is essential for economic development and sovereignty.
Meanwhile, Africa accounts for just 1% of global manufacturing output.
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Manufacturing as a share of sub-Saharan Africaβs GDP has been plummeting over past three decades.
A strong industrial base is essential for economic development and sovereignty.
Meanwhile, Africa accounts for just 1% of global manufacturing output.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π€¬25π5β€1π1
π¨πΊπΈπ Will Trump's Tariffs BLOW UP American economy?
We've previously written about why Trump is likely to prevail in his trade war with Canada and Mexico. For the sake of being balanced, let's examine why his tariff addiction could BACKFIRE SPECTACULARLY.
β οΈπ°In 2023, the tariffs generated a return of $80 billion, a mere drop in the bucket compared to the nearly $2.2 trillion in personal income tax revenue. Here are the points to keep in mind:
πΈ Only a universal tariff of 70% would generate enough revenue to replace individual income tax, and that's just in theory, because imports would obviously crumble in that scenario.
πΈHigher tariffs to China can destroy the revenue to US companies
πΈTrump's tariffs could cost the U.S. middle-class family between $1,200 and $2,600 each year.
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We've previously written about why Trump is likely to prevail in his trade war with Canada and Mexico. For the sake of being balanced, let's examine why his tariff addiction could BACKFIRE SPECTACULARLY.
β οΈπ°In 2023, the tariffs generated a return of $80 billion, a mere drop in the bucket compared to the nearly $2.2 trillion in personal income tax revenue. Here are the points to keep in mind:
πΈ Only a universal tariff of 70% would generate enough revenue to replace individual income tax, and that's just in theory, because imports would obviously crumble in that scenario.
πΈHigher tariffs to China can destroy the revenue to US companies
πΈTrump's tariffs could cost the U.S. middle-class family between $1,200 and $2,600 each year.
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π₯19β€3π2π1
π¨πΊπΈπ¦ Will Trump BANKRUPT the United States?
Forget all the noise about DOGE slashing government waste and fraud.
Trumpβs proposed tax plan would add $5 to $11 trillion to the national debt by 2035. That would push debt to 132% of GDP on the low end and 149% on the high end!
As we explained in the previous post, Trumpβs tariffs will not be sufficient to fill US treasury coffers.
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Forget all the noise about DOGE slashing government waste and fraud.
Trumpβs proposed tax plan would add $5 to $11 trillion to the national debt by 2035. That would push debt to 132% of GDP on the low end and 149% on the high end!
As we explained in the previous post, Trumpβs tariffs will not be sufficient to fill US treasury coffers.
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π₯15π6β€1π€¬1π1
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πΊπΈπ¨π³ Peter Schiff: US cannot economically compete with China
US runs huge trade deficits with China because the Chinese economy is far more productive than the American economy.
Meanwhile, the Chinese middle class keeps growing while Americaβs middle class keeps shrinking.
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US runs huge trade deficits with China because the Chinese economy is far more productive than the American economy.
Meanwhile, the Chinese middle class keeps growing while Americaβs middle class keeps shrinking.
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π¨πΊπΈπ€ Trumpβs Deal With US Deep State β Alastair Crooke
In order to remain power and be allowed to implement certain reforms, Trump has been forced to make some tactical compromises with US Deep State.
This explains some of his extreme rhetoric on Russia and Iran.
Watch the entire episode HERE
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In order to remain power and be allowed to implement certain reforms, Trump has been forced to make some tactical compromises with US Deep State.
This explains some of his extreme rhetoric on Russia and Iran.
Watch the entire episode HERE
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π23π₯5π€¬3π3
π©πͺπ¦π£German economy on the verge of βKAPUTβ
The implosion of the German economy is accelerating, even more than we predicted.
To make matters worse, Trump has signed new tariffs at 25% for steel and aluminum applied to all countries. Remember that Germany is the 6th largest exporter to the US with $84B in exports.
Scholz and Von der Leyen have vowed that the EU will respond forcefully to the US tariffs. However, Germany's economy is already reeling from Russia sanctions and explosion of Nord Stream pipelines. A US-EU trade war would likely be a knockout blow to the Germany economy, which send shockwaves to the French, Spanish, and other European economies
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The implosion of the German economy is accelerating, even more than we predicted.
To make matters worse, Trump has signed new tariffs at 25% for steel and aluminum applied to all countries. Remember that Germany is the 6th largest exporter to the US with $84B in exports.
Scholz and Von der Leyen have vowed that the EU will respond forcefully to the US tariffs. However, Germany's economy is already reeling from Russia sanctions and explosion of Nord Stream pipelines. A US-EU trade war would likely be a knockout blow to the Germany economy, which send shockwaves to the French, Spanish, and other European economies
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β€21π13π₯3π3π€¬1
πΈπͺπͺπ±πΉπ±π»BREAKING: Baltic Chihuhaus do something stupid, again
On February 9, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania disconnected from the BRELL energy ring that supplied them with energy from Russia and Belarus.
Ursula von der Leyen, Zelensky and other European authorities congratulated the Baltic countries for no longer depending on Russian energy. But ordinary citizens are probably less than thrilled.
In 24 hrs. they went from paying:
πΈ$64.79 MWh. (62.74 EUR)
πΈTO $151.62 MWh. (148.83 EUR)
The Baltic state are now part of the broader European energy crisis. But their numbers are especially bad.
πΈBaltic States' local electricity production: 18.4 TWh.
πΈConsumption: 27 TWh.
In other words, a massive deficit.
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On February 9, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania disconnected from the BRELL energy ring that supplied them with energy from Russia and Belarus.
Ursula von der Leyen, Zelensky and other European authorities congratulated the Baltic countries for no longer depending on Russian energy. But ordinary citizens are probably less than thrilled.
In 24 hrs. they went from paying:
πΈ$64.79 MWh. (62.74 EUR)
πΈTO $151.62 MWh. (148.83 EUR)
The Baltic state are now part of the broader European energy crisis. But their numbers are especially bad.
πΈBaltic States' local electricity production: 18.4 TWh.
πΈConsumption: 27 TWh.
In other words, a massive deficit.
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π¨πΉπ·π±πΎ Follow the Money: Turkey's Energy Imperialism in Libya
Turkey has turned its eyes to Libya in order to emerge as a possible new energy supplier for Europe and the Asia.
An agreement has already been signed in 2022, and allows Turkish companies to collaborate with Libyan companies for:
πΈOil and gas exploration
πΈOnshore and offshore projects
In exchange, Turkey provides military support to Libya's Government of National Unity
Watch the entire episode HERE
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Turkey has turned its eyes to Libya in order to emerge as a possible new energy supplier for Europe and the Asia.
An agreement has already been signed in 2022, and allows Turkish companies to collaborate with Libyan companies for:
πΈOil and gas exploration
πΈOnshore and offshore projects
In exchange, Turkey provides military support to Libya's Government of National Unity
Watch the entire episode HERE
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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π¨πΊπΈπ Trump is managing AMERICAN IMPERIAL DECLINE β Alastair Crooke
If the American empire is to survive, it will have to give up Ukraine and the Middle East to consolidate its control over the Western hemisphere.
This explains Trumpβs obsession with Greenland and Canada
Watch the entire episode HERE
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If the American empire is to survive, it will have to give up Ukraine and the Middle East to consolidate its control over the Western hemisphere.
This explains Trumpβs obsession with Greenland and Canada
Watch the entire episode HERE
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π23π€¬3π3π1
π¨πΊπΈπ€ SPECIAL EPISODE INCOMING
Pepe Escobar joins us for a NO HOLDS BARRED discussion about techno-feudalism, how the US Deep State created Big Tech, and why China's model for technological innovation is superior.
Also features a historical comparison between Elon Musk and 17th century Catholic warlord Albrecht von Wallenstein.
Interview is dropping on Thursday on Telegram and X.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
Pepe Escobar joins us for a NO HOLDS BARRED discussion about techno-feudalism, how the US Deep State created Big Tech, and why China's model for technological innovation is superior.
Also features a historical comparison between Elon Musk and 17th century Catholic warlord Albrecht von Wallenstein.
Interview is dropping on Thursday on Telegram and X.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π₯24π13π1
π¨π¨π³πΊπΈ China is CRUSHING the United States in scientific research across the board
China now leads the world in 90% of critical technology research, according to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.
Letβs take closer look where China DOMINATES the US:
π¬Natural and health sciences (Nature Index)
π¨π³Chinese Academy of Sciences 2243.22 contributions
πΊπΈHarvard University 1143.43 contributions
βοΈPhysics (Nature Index)
π¨π³12.90 in contribution and influence
πΊπΈ12.81 in contribution and influence
π€AI (2013 -2023)
π¨π³557,326 articles published
πΊπΈ354,042 articles published
π₯ΌTop AI researchers
π¨π³47%
πΊπΈ18%
π§ͺChemistry
π¨π³6,183.75 contributions
πΊπΈ5,371.32 contributions
π²Environmental Science
π¨π³2600 cited articles
πΊπΈ2400 cited articles
π§βππ¨π³7/10 leading research institutions are based in China
π§βππΊπΈ1/10 is American
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China now leads the world in 90% of critical technology research, according to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.
Letβs take closer look where China DOMINATES the US:
π¬Natural and health sciences (Nature Index)
π¨π³Chinese Academy of Sciences 2243.22 contributions
πΊπΈHarvard University 1143.43 contributions
βοΈPhysics (Nature Index)
π¨π³12.90 in contribution and influence
πΊπΈ12.81 in contribution and influence
π€AI (2013 -2023)
π¨π³557,326 articles published
πΊπΈ354,042 articles published
π₯ΌTop AI researchers
π¨π³47%
πΊπΈ18%
π§ͺChemistry
π¨π³6,183.75 contributions
πΊπΈ5,371.32 contributions
π²Environmental Science
π¨π³2600 cited articles
πΊπΈ2400 cited articles
π§βππ¨π³7/10 leading research institutions are based in China
π§βππΊπΈ1/10 is American
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π25π7π₯6β€4π1
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BREAKING: Exclusive footage of Trump-Zelensky meeting Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
Would you like us to post more memes and troll Atlanticist shills?
Anonymous Poll
28%
Yes, I want to be entertained
25%
No, I only want serious analysis
47%
A little bit, but don't over do it
1%
I hate this channel
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πΉπ·π€πͺπΊπΊπΈTurkey is run by Atlanticists and NATO lovers.
The Gang of Five, as they are called in Turkey, is closely linked to the AKP (Justice and Development Party) and Erdogan, which has given them great power to influence political and economic decisions.
They are the driving force between pro-NATO and pro-EU politics in Turkey.
But, who exactly is the Gang of Five?
πΈMehmet NafΔ±z GΓΌnal (President of MAPA)
πΈNihat Γzdemir (President of LΔ°MAK)
πΈΔ°nΘaat Mehmet Cengiz (President of CENGΔ°Z)
πΈCemal Kalyoncu (President of KALYON)
πΈNaci KoloΔlu (President of KOLΔ°N)
A report by the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) points out that the government has issued $9B (330.5B liras) worth of tenders, excluding those below $2M (100M liras), and that 50% of those tenders were won by the same 20 companies in the last five years. Among those tenders, 24% were won by 'the gang of five'.
Watch the entire episode HERE
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
The Gang of Five, as they are called in Turkey, is closely linked to the AKP (Justice and Development Party) and Erdogan, which has given them great power to influence political and economic decisions.
They are the driving force between pro-NATO and pro-EU politics in Turkey.
But, who exactly is the Gang of Five?
πΈMehmet NafΔ±z GΓΌnal (President of MAPA)
πΈNihat Γzdemir (President of LΔ°MAK)
πΈΔ°nΘaat Mehmet Cengiz (President of CENGΔ°Z)
πΈCemal Kalyoncu (President of KALYON)
πΈNaci KoloΔlu (President of KOLΔ°N)
A report by the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) points out that the government has issued $9B (330.5B liras) worth of tenders, excluding those below $2M (100M liras), and that 50% of those tenders were won by the same 20 companies in the last five years. Among those tenders, 24% were won by 'the gang of five'.
Watch the entire episode HERE
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
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π¨π¨π΅ Can Gold Replace the US Dollar?
The US dollarβs days as the global reserve currency are numbered due to blowback from Western sanctions against Russia, Peter Schiff told #NewRulesPodcast.
βWe told the world get rid of dollars and buy gold, and that's exactly what they've been doing. That's why the price of gold is at an all-time record high. Gold is on pace for its best year since 1979. That is not a coincidence,β he said.
Trump's recent tariff threats have pushed gold prices to record highs, with gold breaking above $2,900 per ounce for the first time.
π Watch full interview here.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
The US dollarβs days as the global reserve currency are numbered due to blowback from Western sanctions against Russia, Peter Schiff told #NewRulesPodcast.
βWe told the world get rid of dollars and buy gold, and that's exactly what they've been doing. That's why the price of gold is at an all-time record high. Gold is on pace for its best year since 1979. That is not a coincidence,β he said.
Trump's recent tariff threats have pushed gold prices to record highs, with gold breaking above $2,900 per ounce for the first time.
π Watch full interview here.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π12π6
New Rules
π¨π¨π΅ Can Gold Replace the US Dollar? The US dollarβs days as the global reserve currency are numbered due to blowback from Western sanctions against Russia, Peter Schiff told #NewRulesPodcast. βWe told the world get rid of dollars and buy gold, and that'sβ¦
What is the most promising alternative to the US dollar?
Anonymous Poll
52%
Gold
10%
Bitcoin
11%
Chinese Yuan
20%
BRICS currency
2%
Nothing can topple Dollar hegemony
5%
Other (comment below)
π15β€1
πͺπΊπ¦π FUN FACT: The two most valuable European companies are a Danish firm that sells obesity drugs to Americans, and a French luxury handbag brand.
π·πΊπ’π By contrast, the most valuable Russian companies are Sberbank (financial technology) and natural resource producers (oil, gas, gold, steel, agriculture). In other words, REAL ECONOMIC ASSETS.
βοΈ Keep this in mind when you read statistics that claim that Europeβs economy is larger and better than Russiaβs.
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π·πΊπ’π By contrast, the most valuable Russian companies are Sberbank (financial technology) and natural resource producers (oil, gas, gold, steel, agriculture). In other words, REAL ECONOMIC ASSETS.
βοΈ Keep this in mind when you read statistics that claim that Europeβs economy is larger and better than Russiaβs.
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π₯27π9β€3π2
π¨πΊπΈπΊπ¦ Where in the world is Keith Kellogg?
By now most of you have probably read Trumpβs statement about his phone call with Putin.
Thereβs one detail you should pay attention to. Hereβs the US negotiating team per Trumpβs statement: Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA director John Ratcliffe, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, and US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff. Conspicuously missing β Keith Kellogg, who is supposedly Trumpβs Special Envoy on Ukraine.
Another strange detail: Witkoff, not Kellogg, was the first Trump official to visit Moscow.
Has Kellogg been exiled/marginalized for his neocon views?
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By now most of you have probably read Trumpβs statement about his phone call with Putin.
Thereβs one detail you should pay attention to. Hereβs the US negotiating team per Trumpβs statement: Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA director John Ratcliffe, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, and US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff. Conspicuously missing β Keith Kellogg, who is supposedly Trumpβs Special Envoy on Ukraine.
Another strange detail: Witkoff, not Kellogg, was the first Trump official to visit Moscow.
Has Kellogg been exiled/marginalized for his neocon views?
Subscribe to @NewRulesGeo or follow us on X
π35β€4π«‘1