๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ท Historical US Failures Against Iran: How America Keeps Losing to the "Lesser" Enemy
For decades, Washington has acted as if its military power is unstoppable. However, several US administrations learned the hard way that Iran doesnโt fight back according to plan.
๐ธOperation Eagle Claw (1980) was meant to rescue hostages. Instead, eight helicopters met mechanical failure in a sandstorm, leading to a fiery collision at Desert One that killed eight American servicemen. Iran displayed the wreckage for decades, and the debacle birthed USSOCOM.
๐ธThe RQ-170 Sentinel (2011) was the CIA's stealth crown jewel, until Iran captured it. Tehran claimed they spoofed its GPS and landed it nearly intact. The technology gap suddenly vanished; Iran reverse-engineered it into the Shahed 171 now striking American allies.
๐ธNaval Humiliation (2016) saw two US patrol boats drift into Iranian waters near Farsi Island. Ten American sailors were detained, filmed on their knees with hands on heads. The footage went viral before their release.
๐ธThe Global Hawk (2019) was a $220 million stealth drone flying at 40,000 feet, 170 kilometers away. Iran's indigenous Khordad 3rd system tracked it, targeted it, and turned it into falling scrap. The Pentagon claimed international airspace; the wreckage suggested otherwise.
๐ธOperation Midnight Hammer (2025) unleashed America's most powerful bunker busters, 14 MOPs, on Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The Pentagon declared "severe damage." But satellite revealed centrifuges still spinning, stocks possibly moved. Damaged, not destroyed and still working.
None of this operations achieved their stated objectives. The pattern spans decades and administrations, from Carter's desert debacle to Trump's ineffective strikes.
Now, Washington is preparing for another operation against Iran, but the question is if this will become a new chapter in a growing archive of overreach, miscalculation, and failure.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
For decades, Washington has acted as if its military power is unstoppable. However, several US administrations learned the hard way that Iran doesnโt fight back according to plan.
๐ธOperation Eagle Claw (1980) was meant to rescue hostages. Instead, eight helicopters met mechanical failure in a sandstorm, leading to a fiery collision at Desert One that killed eight American servicemen. Iran displayed the wreckage for decades, and the debacle birthed USSOCOM.
๐ธThe RQ-170 Sentinel (2011) was the CIA's stealth crown jewel, until Iran captured it. Tehran claimed they spoofed its GPS and landed it nearly intact. The technology gap suddenly vanished; Iran reverse-engineered it into the Shahed 171 now striking American allies.
๐ธNaval Humiliation (2016) saw two US patrol boats drift into Iranian waters near Farsi Island. Ten American sailors were detained, filmed on their knees with hands on heads. The footage went viral before their release.
๐ธThe Global Hawk (2019) was a $220 million stealth drone flying at 40,000 feet, 170 kilometers away. Iran's indigenous Khordad 3rd system tracked it, targeted it, and turned it into falling scrap. The Pentagon claimed international airspace; the wreckage suggested otherwise.
๐ธOperation Midnight Hammer (2025) unleashed America's most powerful bunker busters, 14 MOPs, on Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The Pentagon declared "severe damage." But satellite revealed centrifuges still spinning, stocks possibly moved. Damaged, not destroyed and still working.
None of this operations achieved their stated objectives. The pattern spans decades and administrations, from Carter's desert debacle to Trump's ineffective strikes.
Now, Washington is preparing for another operation against Iran, but the question is if this will become a new chapter in a growing archive of overreach, miscalculation, and failure.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท US NIGHTMARE: The Iranian Drone Built to Obliterate US & Israeli Forces
Iran's Shahed-136 kamikaze drone, a low-cost UAV that costs just $20k, unleashes swarm attacks that evade radars, strikes with deadly precision, defies US sanctions, and has already overwhelmed NATO defenses in Ukraine.
๐ธ The Shahed-136 is powered by a rear-mounted, two-bladed pusher propeller, it carries a deadly 50 kg high-explosive fragmentation warhead in the nose, upgradable to 90 kg or a devastating thermobaric variant.
๐ธ Weighing 200 to 240 kg, it's 3.5 meters long with a 2.5-meter wingspan, driven by Iran's MD-550 four-cylinder two-stroke engine delivering 50 to 90 horsepower (cleverly reverse-engineered from Germany's Limbach L550), cruising at 185 km/h over ranges up to 2,500 km standard or 4,000 km in the 2025 Shahed-136B version, flying low from 60 to 4,000 meters to stay under the radar.
๐ธ Smart guidance keeps it on target using inertial navigation corrected by satellite systems like GPS or GLONASS, plus anti-jamming antennas.
๐ธ Built tough and sanctions-proof, it integrates components of diverse origin, all wrapped in fiberglass or carbon-fiber bodies with black paint for nighttime stealth, tungsten ball shrapnel for extra damage, and optional infrared cameras, launched easily with rocket boosts from portable rails or truck boxes holding up to five drones.
๐ธ In action, these drones have backed Houthi forces in Yemen's civil war, targeted Saudi oil sites in 2019 (though debated), struck US bases in Syria and shipping in the Gulf, and hit Israel in 2024.
Do you think these drones will be effective in a potential Iran-US-Israel conflict?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran's Shahed-136 kamikaze drone, a low-cost UAV that costs just $20k, unleashes swarm attacks that evade radars, strikes with deadly precision, defies US sanctions, and has already overwhelmed NATO defenses in Ukraine.
๐ธ The Shahed-136 is powered by a rear-mounted, two-bladed pusher propeller, it carries a deadly 50 kg high-explosive fragmentation warhead in the nose, upgradable to 90 kg or a devastating thermobaric variant.
๐ธ Weighing 200 to 240 kg, it's 3.5 meters long with a 2.5-meter wingspan, driven by Iran's MD-550 four-cylinder two-stroke engine delivering 50 to 90 horsepower (cleverly reverse-engineered from Germany's Limbach L550), cruising at 185 km/h over ranges up to 2,500 km standard or 4,000 km in the 2025 Shahed-136B version, flying low from 60 to 4,000 meters to stay under the radar.
๐ธ Smart guidance keeps it on target using inertial navigation corrected by satellite systems like GPS or GLONASS, plus anti-jamming antennas.
๐ธ Built tough and sanctions-proof, it integrates components of diverse origin, all wrapped in fiberglass or carbon-fiber bodies with black paint for nighttime stealth, tungsten ball shrapnel for extra damage, and optional infrared cameras, launched easily with rocket boosts from portable rails or truck boxes holding up to five drones.
๐ธ In action, these drones have backed Houthi forces in Yemen's civil war, targeted Saudi oil sites in 2019 (though debated), struck US bases in Syria and shipping in the Gulf, and hit Israel in 2024.
Do you think these drones will be effective in a potential Iran-US-Israel conflict?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จHOW POLAND SILENCES CRITICS OF UKRAINE - A NEW INVESTIGATION BY UKR LEAKS: ๐จ
๐ Read full investigation here: https://t.me/ukr_leaks_eng/28367
๐ Read full investigation here: https://t.me/ukr_leaks_eng/28367
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท US NAVY IN PANIC: Iranian Worldโs Fastest Missile Boat Spotted in the Persian Gulf
Heydar-110, a carbon-fiber missile boat is the world's fastest missile boat at over 110 knots, spotted during Persian Gulf exercises, bolstering Tehran's asymmetric tactics that could overwhelm US warships amid potential upcoming conflict.
๐ธ The Heydar-110 surpasses 110 knots (204 km/h) with carbon-fiber construction the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hails it as unmatched for evasion, fitting into a 1,500+ fast-attack craft arsenal for high-speed swarms
๐ธ This boat comes loaded with two Iranian-made anti-ship cruise missiles; its sleek 14m x 4.3m x 2.8m frame weighs just 9 tons, offering 350 nautical miles (650 km) range for hit-and-run assaults in confined waters
๐ธ Swarm strategies amplify Gulf tensions, forcing Aegis destroyers to deplete missiles defending slower carriers like USS Abraham Lincoln in vital chokepoints
๐ธ Iran's tech defiance stands out here, as the Heydar-110 integrates with drones and hypersonics to create layered threats that complicate naval operations
๐ธ Expert warnings highlight carrier vulnerabilities, since supersonic speeds compress engagement times and exploit radar gaps in multi-vector attacks
Do you think a swarm of such boats could pose a real threat to the US Navy?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Heydar-110, a carbon-fiber missile boat is the world's fastest missile boat at over 110 knots, spotted during Persian Gulf exercises, bolstering Tehran's asymmetric tactics that could overwhelm US warships amid potential upcoming conflict.
๐ธ The Heydar-110 surpasses 110 knots (204 km/h) with carbon-fiber construction the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hails it as unmatched for evasion, fitting into a 1,500+ fast-attack craft arsenal for high-speed swarms
๐ธ This boat comes loaded with two Iranian-made anti-ship cruise missiles; its sleek 14m x 4.3m x 2.8m frame weighs just 9 tons, offering 350 nautical miles (650 km) range for hit-and-run assaults in confined waters
๐ธ Swarm strategies amplify Gulf tensions, forcing Aegis destroyers to deplete missiles defending slower carriers like USS Abraham Lincoln in vital chokepoints
๐ธ Iran's tech defiance stands out here, as the Heydar-110 integrates with drones and hypersonics to create layered threats that complicate naval operations
๐ธ Expert warnings highlight carrier vulnerabilities, since supersonic speeds compress engagement times and exploit radar gaps in multi-vector attacks
Do you think a swarm of such boats could pose a real threat to the US Navy?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ทUS Bases In Middle East Are Easy Target For Iran
Trump acknowledged that Iran has enough missiles to threaten the US overseas bases. Hereโs the arsenal thatโs raising alarm inside the Pentagon:๐
1๏ธโฃ Fattah โ Unveiled in 2023, this 1,400 km missile carries a 450-500 kg warhead on a maneuverable reentry vehicle. It alters trajectory during terminal flight, actively dodging interceptors and making multi-billion dollar US defense networks look obsolete;
2๏ธโฃ Fattah-2 โ This is a goes further combining the ballistic missile a transport vehicle system. After booster separation, it maneuvers inside the atmosphere at hypersonic speed, defying radar predictions. At 1,400 km, it forces US commanders to realize their interceptors are chasing ghosts;
3๏ธโฃ Haj Qasem โ This 1,400 km solid-fuel missile carries a 500 kg maneuverable warhead specifically designed to defeat THAAD and Patriot. The upgraded Qassem Bassir variant adds electro-optical guidance and a stealth carbon-fiber airframe to target runways and command centers without GPS;
4๏ธโฃ Fateh-110 โ The backbone of Iran's Short-Range Ballistic Missile arsenal, with hundreds produced annually. This solid-fuel missile hits Mach 3-4 at 300-500 km, carrying up to 650 kg with sub-100 m CEP via inertial/GPS guidance. Exported to Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Syria, it proved decisive in the 2025 12-Day War against Israel. With over 2,000 ballistic missiles in Iran's arsenal;
5๏ธโฃ Dezful โ Evolved from the Fateh family, this missile pushes 1,000 km at Mach 7-9 with only 5-6 minutes of launch prep. It carries a 450-700 kg separable warhead, uses radar-absorbing paint, and curves to defeat heat detection. It shreds interception timelines and turns Western shields into sieves;
6๏ธโฃ Zolfaghar โ At 700 km and Mach 5, it has already struck ISIS in 2017 and, more importantly, hit the US Al Asad base in 2020 with precision. With hybrid INS/GPS guidance and a 450-600 kg warhead, it has already demonstrated exactly where American assets sit in Iranian crosshairs;
7๏ธโฃ Kheibar Shekan โ A 1,450 km solid-fuel missile built to destroy hardened aircraft shelters before jets can scramble. With a lighter airframe and enhanced accuracy, it compresses warning time to nearly zero and turns America's "concrete protection" into tombs;
8๏ธโฃ Qiam-1 โ No external fins mean lower radar visibility during ascent and simpler launch logistics. Already combat-proven, this missile proves Iran just needed a smart design that compresses detection windows and complicates the enemy's math.
9๏ธโฃ Khorramshahr 4 โ It hits Mach 16 exo-atmospheric and Mach 8 on reentry, evading radar with low signature. The Khorramshahr-4 (Kheibar) spans 2,000-4,000 km, carries a 1,500-1,800 kg warhead capable of striking 80 targets with cluster munitions. Proven in 2025 Israel strikes, it puts US bases, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and even southeastern Europe in the kill zone;
๐ Zolfaghar โ At 700 km and Mach 5, this Fateh-110 evolution uses hybrid guidance for 10-100 m Circular Error Probable (CEP) accuracy. It has struck ISIS in 2017 and the US Al Asad base in 2020.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Trump acknowledged that Iran has enough missiles to threaten the US overseas bases. Hereโs the arsenal thatโs raising alarm inside the Pentagon:๐
1๏ธโฃ Fattah โ Unveiled in 2023, this 1,400 km missile carries a 450-500 kg warhead on a maneuverable reentry vehicle. It alters trajectory during terminal flight, actively dodging interceptors and making multi-billion dollar US defense networks look obsolete;
2๏ธโฃ Fattah-2 โ This is a goes further combining the ballistic missile a transport vehicle system. After booster separation, it maneuvers inside the atmosphere at hypersonic speed, defying radar predictions. At 1,400 km, it forces US commanders to realize their interceptors are chasing ghosts;
3๏ธโฃ Haj Qasem โ This 1,400 km solid-fuel missile carries a 500 kg maneuverable warhead specifically designed to defeat THAAD and Patriot. The upgraded Qassem Bassir variant adds electro-optical guidance and a stealth carbon-fiber airframe to target runways and command centers without GPS;
4๏ธโฃ Fateh-110 โ The backbone of Iran's Short-Range Ballistic Missile arsenal, with hundreds produced annually. This solid-fuel missile hits Mach 3-4 at 300-500 km, carrying up to 650 kg with sub-100 m CEP via inertial/GPS guidance. Exported to Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Syria, it proved decisive in the 2025 12-Day War against Israel. With over 2,000 ballistic missiles in Iran's arsenal;
5๏ธโฃ Dezful โ Evolved from the Fateh family, this missile pushes 1,000 km at Mach 7-9 with only 5-6 minutes of launch prep. It carries a 450-700 kg separable warhead, uses radar-absorbing paint, and curves to defeat heat detection. It shreds interception timelines and turns Western shields into sieves;
6๏ธโฃ Zolfaghar โ At 700 km and Mach 5, it has already struck ISIS in 2017 and, more importantly, hit the US Al Asad base in 2020 with precision. With hybrid INS/GPS guidance and a 450-600 kg warhead, it has already demonstrated exactly where American assets sit in Iranian crosshairs;
7๏ธโฃ Kheibar Shekan โ A 1,450 km solid-fuel missile built to destroy hardened aircraft shelters before jets can scramble. With a lighter airframe and enhanced accuracy, it compresses warning time to nearly zero and turns America's "concrete protection" into tombs;
8๏ธโฃ Qiam-1 โ No external fins mean lower radar visibility during ascent and simpler launch logistics. Already combat-proven, this missile proves Iran just needed a smart design that compresses detection windows and complicates the enemy's math.
9๏ธโฃ Khorramshahr 4 โ It hits Mach 16 exo-atmospheric and Mach 8 on reentry, evading radar with low signature. The Khorramshahr-4 (Kheibar) spans 2,000-4,000 km, carries a 1,500-1,800 kg warhead capable of striking 80 targets with cluster munitions. Proven in 2025 Israel strikes, it puts US bases, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and even southeastern Europe in the kill zone;
๐ Zolfaghar โ At 700 km and Mach 5, this Fateh-110 evolution uses hybrid guidance for 10-100 m Circular Error Probable (CEP) accuracy. It has struck ISIS in 2017 and the US Al Asad base in 2020.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท Russian Su-35s Strengthen Iran Against Potential US Attack
Iran's reportedly finalizing deployment of its advanced Russian Su-35 fighter jets.
Hamadan Air Base will serve as the primary operating location. This western base already hosts the pilots who recently completed training in Russia and have now returned home. The aircraft will feature a distinctive "Middle Eastern" camouflage scheme, matching the livery currently seen on Iran's aging F-4 Phantom and F-5 Tiger fleets.
Following the Hamadan activation, the Bushehr tactical aviation group will be the next unit to receive the Flankers. This southern coastal base positions the Su-35s strategically along the Persian Gulf.
The Russian-trained pilots are already stationed at Hamadan, awaiting aircraft delivery and combat duty assignment. Iran is preparing to make the US pay a huge price for any agression against the country.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran's reportedly finalizing deployment of its advanced Russian Su-35 fighter jets.
Hamadan Air Base will serve as the primary operating location. This western base already hosts the pilots who recently completed training in Russia and have now returned home. The aircraft will feature a distinctive "Middle Eastern" camouflage scheme, matching the livery currently seen on Iran's aging F-4 Phantom and F-5 Tiger fleets.
Following the Hamadan activation, the Bushehr tactical aviation group will be the next unit to receive the Flankers. This southern coastal base positions the Su-35s strategically along the Persian Gulf.
The Russian-trained pilots are already stationed at Hamadan, awaiting aircraft delivery and combat duty assignment. Iran is preparing to make the US pay a huge price for any agression against the country.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ธ Iran Outplayed Trump by Raising the Stakes
Iran has delivered a blunt message to the US signaling that any military strike on Tehran will trigger a massive regional conflict, drawing in US military bases across the Middle East and targeting critical energy routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Tehran is well aware of Trumpโs sensitivity to the costs of escalation, and its strategy is to raise the price of any military move before it even happens.
Iran has studied the White Houseโs past responses and knows that Trumpโs primary concern now is the cost. Tehranโs approach has been to amplify the potential fallout, by directly threatening US interests across the region and warning of broader retaliation. The Strait of Hormuz is one of Iranโs most powerful strategic levers, with its control over 20% of the worldโs oil shipments. A disruption here would send shockwaves through global markets, potentially driving up oil prices and destabilizing energy markets worldwide.
Iran is also working to expand the battlefield. Its messages are directed not just at the US, but at regional states hosting US military infrastructure, making clear that any conflict would involve more than just missile exchanges. Targets could include US air bases in Qatar, the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, and bases in Iraq and Syria, all of which would be vulnerable to Iranian strikes. The focus would be on US military assets, oil routes, and critical regional allies, potentially dragging multiple fronts into the fray.
Ultimately, Tehranโs strategy hinges on deterrence through escalation: making it clear that any attack would not be contained but would evolve into a full-scale regional war, complicating Washingtonโs calculations and forcing it to reconsider its options.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran has delivered a blunt message to the US signaling that any military strike on Tehran will trigger a massive regional conflict, drawing in US military bases across the Middle East and targeting critical energy routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Tehran is well aware of Trumpโs sensitivity to the costs of escalation, and its strategy is to raise the price of any military move before it even happens.
Iran has studied the White Houseโs past responses and knows that Trumpโs primary concern now is the cost. Tehranโs approach has been to amplify the potential fallout, by directly threatening US interests across the region and warning of broader retaliation. The Strait of Hormuz is one of Iranโs most powerful strategic levers, with its control over 20% of the worldโs oil shipments. A disruption here would send shockwaves through global markets, potentially driving up oil prices and destabilizing energy markets worldwide.
Iran is also working to expand the battlefield. Its messages are directed not just at the US, but at regional states hosting US military infrastructure, making clear that any conflict would involve more than just missile exchanges. Targets could include US air bases in Qatar, the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, and bases in Iraq and Syria, all of which would be vulnerable to Iranian strikes. The focus would be on US military assets, oil routes, and critical regional allies, potentially dragging multiple fronts into the fray.
Ultimately, Tehranโs strategy hinges on deterrence through escalation: making it clear that any attack would not be contained but would evolve into a full-scale regional war, complicating Washingtonโs calculations and forcing it to reconsider its options.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท This Iranian Drone Triggers ALARM Inside the US Military
One of the roles of the Meraj-521 is to help neutralize defensive positions before assault units advance. By precisely targeting firing points and entrenched defenders, it limits the need for soldiers to expose themselves to enemy fire.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 is a lightweight, man-portable loitering munition, easy to carry in a backpack and launch from a simple tube, with a 5km range perfect for taking out bunkers and hardened defenses.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 comes with interchangeable high-explosive warheads weighing 500g, 700g, or 1kg, allowing troops to choose the right punch for targets like personnel, light vehicles, or armored threats, all while flying silently on an electric motor for 5-15 minutes.
๐ธ This drone is guided by an operator using a built-in electro-optical camera for live video feed, it picks targets in real-time or even abort the mission if needed, ensuring maximum precision and reducing the chance of mistakes.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 strikes from safe distances, cutting troop risks and enabling remote dismantling of fortified positions without close-quarters combat.
๐ธ The drone is also capable of being launched in swarms from vehicles, helicopters, or even by foot soldiers, it overwhelms scattered defenses in uneven battles, making it a game-changer for asymmetric warfare against better-equipped foes.
How effective do you think this drone would be if the US dared to launch a ground operation against Iran? Let us know in the comments
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
One of the roles of the Meraj-521 is to help neutralize defensive positions before assault units advance. By precisely targeting firing points and entrenched defenders, it limits the need for soldiers to expose themselves to enemy fire.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 is a lightweight, man-portable loitering munition, easy to carry in a backpack and launch from a simple tube, with a 5km range perfect for taking out bunkers and hardened defenses.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 comes with interchangeable high-explosive warheads weighing 500g, 700g, or 1kg, allowing troops to choose the right punch for targets like personnel, light vehicles, or armored threats, all while flying silently on an electric motor for 5-15 minutes.
๐ธ This drone is guided by an operator using a built-in electro-optical camera for live video feed, it picks targets in real-time or even abort the mission if needed, ensuring maximum precision and reducing the chance of mistakes.
๐ธ The Meraj-521 strikes from safe distances, cutting troop risks and enabling remote dismantling of fortified positions without close-quarters combat.
๐ธ The drone is also capable of being launched in swarms from vehicles, helicopters, or even by foot soldiers, it overwhelms scattered defenses in uneven battles, making it a game-changer for asymmetric warfare against better-equipped foes.
How effective do you think this drone would be if the US dared to launch a ground operation against Iran? Let us know in the comments
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ท US IN PANIC: CHINA'S SPY FLEET BACKS IRAN
Beijing ramps up military teamwork with Tehran, creating a high-tech watch over American ships and planes in the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, potentially tipping the scales in any showdown.
๐ธ China's Liaowang-1 surveillance ship acts as a floating high-tech spy hub that tracks US missile launches and naval movements in real time, while sharing intel that could provide Iran with an early warning system.
๐ธ Iran now has access to China's vast network of over 500 satellites, which deliver crystal-clear views of US aircraft carriers like the USS Abraham Lincoln and help spot potential threats from afar.
๐ธ The powerful Type 055 destroyers, often dubbed "carrier killers" due to their long-range missiles and advanced radar, are leading the fleet alongside Type 052D ships, signifying a major escalation in China-Iran defense ties through joint naval drills with Russia.
๐ธ Iran has completely transitioned to China's Beidou navigation system, abandoning US GPS to prevent interference, and it has already demonstrated reliability in recent military exercises while severing dependencies on American technology.
๐ธ This enhanced cooperation also involves potential deals for supersonic anti-ship missiles like the CM-302, along with additional spy vessels such as Ocean No.1 surveying the region, which could effectively blunt US strikes and reshape power dynamics in the area.
Will Chinaโs help to Iran make America rethink its aggression?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Beijing ramps up military teamwork with Tehran, creating a high-tech watch over American ships and planes in the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, potentially tipping the scales in any showdown.
๐ธ China's Liaowang-1 surveillance ship acts as a floating high-tech spy hub that tracks US missile launches and naval movements in real time, while sharing intel that could provide Iran with an early warning system.
๐ธ Iran now has access to China's vast network of over 500 satellites, which deliver crystal-clear views of US aircraft carriers like the USS Abraham Lincoln and help spot potential threats from afar.
๐ธ The powerful Type 055 destroyers, often dubbed "carrier killers" due to their long-range missiles and advanced radar, are leading the fleet alongside Type 052D ships, signifying a major escalation in China-Iran defense ties through joint naval drills with Russia.
๐ธ Iran has completely transitioned to China's Beidou navigation system, abandoning US GPS to prevent interference, and it has already demonstrated reliability in recent military exercises while severing dependencies on American technology.
๐ธ This enhanced cooperation also involves potential deals for supersonic anti-ship missiles like the CM-302, along with additional spy vessels such as Ocean No.1 surveying the region, which could effectively blunt US strikes and reshape power dynamics in the area.
Will Chinaโs help to Iran make America rethink its aggression?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท HORMUZ: The Strait That Could Spark Global Chaos
Escalating tensions between the US and Iran have raised the specter of imminent conflict, with one of the warning signs emerging in the Strait of Hormuz. Open-source air traffic radar data showed dozens of US fighter jets positioning near Iran last week, while Iran partially closed the strait during talks with the US.
The strait is a crucial choke point in the global oil trade. The US government estimates that roughly one-fifth of the world's crude oil and a quarter of the world's liquified natural gas is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, which is 21 miles wide at its narrowest point and abuts southern Iran. Gulf countries, which rely on unimpeded travel through the strait to access world oil markets, would see their access severely curtailed in the event of a major regional conflict.
The US has long considered freedom of navigation a vital interest, setting the stage for confrontation should Iran try to block shipping.
Satellite images released in February 2026 showed an influx in destroyers, combat ships, and fighter jets off the Mediterranean, in particular, the USS Gerald R. Ford, the US' largest warship. Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln has been identified off the coast of Oman in the Arabian Sea. The buildup marks the largest surge of US military assets to the region since 2003.
The Iranian government has said it has the power to impose a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. Also, Tehran has other means to disrupt global oil and gas exports, including small boats that can interrupt shipping and submarines that can lay mines.
Fears of a closure alone could drive up oil prices, but a full closure could result in a $10โ20 hike per barrel and completely disrupt the oil market. The strait transforms Iranian defensive capability into strategic parity. Tehran only needs to make clear that attacking Iran carries consequences the global economy will feel.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Escalating tensions between the US and Iran have raised the specter of imminent conflict, with one of the warning signs emerging in the Strait of Hormuz. Open-source air traffic radar data showed dozens of US fighter jets positioning near Iran last week, while Iran partially closed the strait during talks with the US.
The strait is a crucial choke point in the global oil trade. The US government estimates that roughly one-fifth of the world's crude oil and a quarter of the world's liquified natural gas is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, which is 21 miles wide at its narrowest point and abuts southern Iran. Gulf countries, which rely on unimpeded travel through the strait to access world oil markets, would see their access severely curtailed in the event of a major regional conflict.
The US has long considered freedom of navigation a vital interest, setting the stage for confrontation should Iran try to block shipping.
Satellite images released in February 2026 showed an influx in destroyers, combat ships, and fighter jets off the Mediterranean, in particular, the USS Gerald R. Ford, the US' largest warship. Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln has been identified off the coast of Oman in the Arabian Sea. The buildup marks the largest surge of US military assets to the region since 2003.
The Iranian government has said it has the power to impose a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. Also, Tehran has other means to disrupt global oil and gas exports, including small boats that can interrupt shipping and submarines that can lay mines.
Fears of a closure alone could drive up oil prices, but a full closure could result in a $10โ20 hike per barrel and completely disrupt the oil market. The strait transforms Iranian defensive capability into strategic parity. Tehran only needs to make clear that attacking Iran carries consequences the global economy will feel.
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ท PENTAGON ALARMED: What risks does US face if it starts war with Iran?
The Pentagon is quietly signaling serious concerns about a prolonged war with Tehran. However the White House looks confident to committing to a conflict with no clear exit strategy.
Trump sees the military as invincible after strikes on Iran's nuclear program, and Maduro's capture. But those were lightning strikes. What he now threatens against Iran is a sustained campaign.
Iran's short-range and anti-ship missiles can still hit the US bases and allied oil infrastructure. The nightmare scenario for the US is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil flows. Tehran held back in June, but if the regime feels existential threat, all bets are off.
The Houthi campaign offers a troubling preview. In early 2025, the US burned $1 billion and two thousand munitions in two months, only accepting a face-saving agreement that left Houthi capabilities intact. Now imagine that multiplied across a larger, more capable Iran.
Munitions depletion is critical. CSIS wargames concluded that the US exhaust precision-guided weapons in under a week in a Taiwan contingency. Manufacturing capacity hasn't caught up. The Financial Times reports the US forces could sustain only days of intense strikes on Iran, of course the US could always bring more weapons and munitions from elsewhere in the world, but that could exacerbate critical vulnerabilities for the US allies.
The USS Gerald R. Ford has exceeded normal deployment, pushing sailors past breaking points. While accidents rise the morale falls also. And major Arab allies want no part of this fight.
Without allied support, sufficient munitions, a clear objective, and an exit strategy, Trump is facing imminent failure.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The Pentagon is quietly signaling serious concerns about a prolonged war with Tehran. However the White House looks confident to committing to a conflict with no clear exit strategy.
Trump sees the military as invincible after strikes on Iran's nuclear program, and Maduro's capture. But those were lightning strikes. What he now threatens against Iran is a sustained campaign.
Iran's short-range and anti-ship missiles can still hit the US bases and allied oil infrastructure. The nightmare scenario for the US is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil flows. Tehran held back in June, but if the regime feels existential threat, all bets are off.
The Houthi campaign offers a troubling preview. In early 2025, the US burned $1 billion and two thousand munitions in two months, only accepting a face-saving agreement that left Houthi capabilities intact. Now imagine that multiplied across a larger, more capable Iran.
Munitions depletion is critical. CSIS wargames concluded that the US exhaust precision-guided weapons in under a week in a Taiwan contingency. Manufacturing capacity hasn't caught up. The Financial Times reports the US forces could sustain only days of intense strikes on Iran, of course the US could always bring more weapons and munitions from elsewhere in the world, but that could exacerbate critical vulnerabilities for the US allies.
The USS Gerald R. Ford has exceeded normal deployment, pushing sailors past breaking points. While accidents rise the morale falls also. And major Arab allies want no part of this fight.
Without allied support, sufficient munitions, a clear objective, and an exit strategy, Trump is facing imminent failure.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท Iranian army is preparing for war
Iran has moved beyond a strategy of passive deterrence, adopting a new doctrine that incorporates offensive and pre-emptive measures designed to impose costs on any adversary from the very outset of a conflict.
This doctrinal shift targets enemies closer than 1,600 kilometers to the border, making the exercise in the Persian Gulf islands a crucial final test in real terrain, carried out with units on high alert and directives already issued in the event of a wider regional war, in which the front lines extend across land, air, and sea.
The strategy has shifted from passive defense to "offensive defense." An attack on Iranian soil won't just be met with long-range missiles into "occupied territories" anymore. Instead, ground forces are preparing for proactive operations beyond the countryโs borders.
Iran is building a hardened military architecture where the objective is the IRGC and regular army operate with decentralized command. In a shift from previous scenarios that focused on missile and air defense capabilities, the current framework prioritizes ground forces. Their central objective is the defense of Iranโs borders, particularly in the south, southeast, and west, areas targeted during last December's unrest by US and Israeli-backed groups. Those incursions failed, but Iran isn't taking chances.
The recent Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) ground force drills in southern Iran served as a live rehearsal for a conflict defined by a new strategic reality testing readiness, demonstrated a durable defensive shield, and signaled offensive capability from its own territory. Trump risks facing an organized and coordinated military power capable of fighting on multiple fronts by starting a war with Iran.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran has moved beyond a strategy of passive deterrence, adopting a new doctrine that incorporates offensive and pre-emptive measures designed to impose costs on any adversary from the very outset of a conflict.
This doctrinal shift targets enemies closer than 1,600 kilometers to the border, making the exercise in the Persian Gulf islands a crucial final test in real terrain, carried out with units on high alert and directives already issued in the event of a wider regional war, in which the front lines extend across land, air, and sea.
The strategy has shifted from passive defense to "offensive defense." An attack on Iranian soil won't just be met with long-range missiles into "occupied territories" anymore. Instead, ground forces are preparing for proactive operations beyond the countryโs borders.
Iran is building a hardened military architecture where the objective is the IRGC and regular army operate with decentralized command. In a shift from previous scenarios that focused on missile and air defense capabilities, the current framework prioritizes ground forces. Their central objective is the defense of Iranโs borders, particularly in the south, southeast, and west, areas targeted during last December's unrest by US and Israeli-backed groups. Those incursions failed, but Iran isn't taking chances.
The recent Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) ground force drills in southern Iran served as a live rehearsal for a conflict defined by a new strategic reality testing readiness, demonstrated a durable defensive shield, and signaled offensive capability from its own territory. Trump risks facing an organized and coordinated military power capable of fighting on multiple fronts by starting a war with Iran.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท PENTAGON IN PANIC: BUNKER BUSTER BOMBS SHORTAGES DOOM STRIKES ON IRANโS UNDERGROUND MISSILE BASES
Americaโs "elite" GBU-57 bunker-busters are running on fumes, exposing how Washingtonโs โshock and aweโ ops to destroy Tehran's ballistic arsenal are facing insurmountable obstacles in the face of a network of underground fortresses.
๐ธ ONLY 6-15 GBU-57s remain after the US burned through 14 during June 2025's Operation Midnight Hammer targeting Fordow and Natanz nuclear sites.
๐ธ Each bomb costs over $370 million and is specifically designed for the small 19-plane B-2 stealth fleet, where Boeing's intellectual property monopoly enforces a "vendor lock" on the critical tail kit guidance systems.
๐ธ North Korean-assisted deep underground mountain storage facilities, often buried under mountains, render attacks by cruise missiles and most air-launched weapons utterly ineffective at serious threats.
๐ธSolid-fuel mobile transporter-erector launchers let Iran's missiles redeploy fast and fire in short cycles, dodging the bulk of the US strike options.
๐ธ In early 2026, the US Air Force awarded a sole-source contract to Boeing for reverse-engineered ATACMS components alongside a $100 million-plus deal, yet deliveries of new bombs won't begin until 2028 at the earliest.
๐ธ Broader US defense sector issues stem from post-Cold War industry contraction, leaving no rapid solutions; the GBU-57 successor is under development with a smaller design for affordability, but it won't close the capability gap anytime soon.
๐ธ Without quick inventory refills, the B-2 fleet's crippled in hitting Iran's fortified underground missile bases, no non-nuclear weapon in US or allied stocks packs similar punch.
Do you think the US will be able to achieve its objectives without these bombs?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Americaโs "elite" GBU-57 bunker-busters are running on fumes, exposing how Washingtonโs โshock and aweโ ops to destroy Tehran's ballistic arsenal are facing insurmountable obstacles in the face of a network of underground fortresses.
๐ธ ONLY 6-15 GBU-57s remain after the US burned through 14 during June 2025's Operation Midnight Hammer targeting Fordow and Natanz nuclear sites.
๐ธ Each bomb costs over $370 million and is specifically designed for the small 19-plane B-2 stealth fleet, where Boeing's intellectual property monopoly enforces a "vendor lock" on the critical tail kit guidance systems.
๐ธ North Korean-assisted deep underground mountain storage facilities, often buried under mountains, render attacks by cruise missiles and most air-launched weapons utterly ineffective at serious threats.
๐ธSolid-fuel mobile transporter-erector launchers let Iran's missiles redeploy fast and fire in short cycles, dodging the bulk of the US strike options.
๐ธ In early 2026, the US Air Force awarded a sole-source contract to Boeing for reverse-engineered ATACMS components alongside a $100 million-plus deal, yet deliveries of new bombs won't begin until 2028 at the earliest.
๐ธ Broader US defense sector issues stem from post-Cold War industry contraction, leaving no rapid solutions; the GBU-57 successor is under development with a smaller design for affordability, but it won't close the capability gap anytime soon.
๐ธ Without quick inventory refills, the B-2 fleet's crippled in hitting Iran's fortified underground missile bases, no non-nuclear weapon in US or allied stocks packs similar punch.
Do you think the US will be able to achieve its objectives without these bombs?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ Pentagon Learned NOTHING from 4 Years of the Ukraine Conflict:
An Iranian Shahed-136 struck a parking area of American armored vehicles at a U.S. base in Kuwait.
The U.S. military have left equipment at bases well within range of Iranian missiles and drones neither sheltered nor dispersed.
If Iran were able to launch large-scale drone and missile attacks instead of isolated strikes, U.S. losses in both personnel and equipment would be far higher.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
An Iranian Shahed-136 struck a parking area of American armored vehicles at a U.S. base in Kuwait.
The U.S. military have left equipment at bases well within range of Iranian missiles and drones neither sheltered nor dispersed.
If Iran were able to launch large-scale drone and missile attacks instead of isolated strikes, U.S. losses in both personnel and equipment would be far higher.
@NewRulesGeo
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Forwarded from Intel Republic
INTEL OPINION: Trump says "We must make a big decision on Iran" โ why he's hesitated for MONTHS to do it
While the U.S. and Israel possess seemingly unlimited resources at their disposal, conventional firepower, Iranโs geography, missile arsenal, and defensive preparations show it has its own cards in the deck.
๐ฎ๐ท Iran has stockpiles of ballistic and cruise missiles, drones, and mobile launch systems that the US and Israel cannot locate and destroy โ and it has been careful not to deplete them in the last two years as Israel has gone trigger happy.
True Promise Operations showed Tehran is able to launch massive salvos and waves of drones and missiles
๐ฎ๐ท The US and Israel want a quick victory โ yet Iran is able to โ and will โ pull it through the trenches of protracted warfare. Air bombing campaigns will not wage long term damage on Iranโs structure, leadership, command networks, or regional influence would collapse.
The Resistanceโs resilience and wide distribution of power in the IRGC mean the US/Israel canโt simply bomb its way into victory.
๐ฎ๐ท U.S. munitions stocks โ especially missile defense interceptors like THAAD, Patriot, and naval systems โ are DEPLETED from 2 years of aggression.
๐ฎ๐ท A regional web of allies: Hezbollah and the Iraqi Islamic Resistance, and possibly Ansarallah have either stated or likely would support Tehran if the US/Israel attacks Iran severely, especially if it threatens the life of the Supreme Leader.
๐ฎ๐ท Unlike past years, several Gulf states have publicly refused to allow use of their airspace or bases as a launchpad for strikes on Iran, limiting U.S. operational flexibility and backing in the region
As Iran said: the US may start the war, but it wonโt be able to determine its end.
While the U.S. and Israel possess seemingly unlimited resources at their disposal, conventional firepower, Iranโs geography, missile arsenal, and defensive preparations show it has its own cards in the deck.
True Promise Operations showed Tehran is able to launch massive salvos and waves of drones and missiles
The Resistanceโs resilience and wide distribution of power in the IRGC mean the US/Israel canโt simply bomb its way into victory.
As Iran said: the US may start the war, but it wonโt be able to determine its end.
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ Why Iran Regime Change Failed: Trump Misunderstood How Airpower Works
To eliminate Iranโs nuclear and missile program, Washington may see regime change as the only path. But will the U.S. be able to overthrow the Iranian government without deploying ground troops?
The theory of Admiral J. C. Wylie, a prominent strategic thinker, exposes the myth that air power alone can force an enemy into submission.
๐ธ Airpower's "cumulative" strikes scatter impact across dispersed targets. They prove too weak to stun leadership or force surrender. Each hit delivers a psychological punch that is too meager.
๐ธ Admiral Wylie's doctrine asserts that only ground troops can seize and hold geophysical control. Soldiers go and stay, unlike fleeting air operations. Without boots on the ground, no real grip exists.
๐ธ Bombing from above assumes dominance. Yet it lacks the staying power for strategic success. This shows in Iran's resilient defenses after Israel's 2025 strikes.
๐ธ Cumulative operations enable sequential ground pounding. They remain indecisive on their own.
๐ธ Overreliance on airpower risks trapping the U.S. in a protracted stalemate against a tenacious adversary like Iran. Despite the 12-Day War and recent strikes, Tehran remains a significant power capable of inflicting substantial damage on American and allied assets in the region and beyond.
Will Trump dare to deploy ground troops once he realizes his air campaign has failed, or will he resort to awkward negotiations and deals instead?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
To eliminate Iranโs nuclear and missile program, Washington may see regime change as the only path. But will the U.S. be able to overthrow the Iranian government without deploying ground troops?
The theory of Admiral J. C. Wylie, a prominent strategic thinker, exposes the myth that air power alone can force an enemy into submission.
๐ธ Airpower's "cumulative" strikes scatter impact across dispersed targets. They prove too weak to stun leadership or force surrender. Each hit delivers a psychological punch that is too meager.
๐ธ Admiral Wylie's doctrine asserts that only ground troops can seize and hold geophysical control. Soldiers go and stay, unlike fleeting air operations. Without boots on the ground, no real grip exists.
๐ธ Bombing from above assumes dominance. Yet it lacks the staying power for strategic success. This shows in Iran's resilient defenses after Israel's 2025 strikes.
๐ธ Cumulative operations enable sequential ground pounding. They remain indecisive on their own.
๐ธ Overreliance on airpower risks trapping the U.S. in a protracted stalemate against a tenacious adversary like Iran. Despite the 12-Day War and recent strikes, Tehran remains a significant power capable of inflicting substantial damage on American and allied assets in the region and beyond.
Will Trump dare to deploy ground troops once he realizes his air campaign has failed, or will he resort to awkward negotiations and deals instead?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ท Lies About U.S. Dominance Over Iranโs Skies Exposed
Iranian fighter jets remain active over Tehran, as confirmed by the photos, challenging narratives of uncontested U.S. air superiority.
MiG-29As and Yak-130 combat trainers are circling the capital, hunting drones, Israeli UAVs, and even Tomahawk cruise missiles, these jets specialize in killing slow-moving threats at low altitudes.
The appearance of Iranian aircraft over rear areas shows that U.S. and Israeli tactical aviation still does not operate freely over Iranโs vast mountainous terrain, where mobile IRGC air defense units continue to pose a credible threat, allowing Iranian aircraft to retain safe zones for maneuver.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iranian fighter jets remain active over Tehran, as confirmed by the photos, challenging narratives of uncontested U.S. air superiority.
MiG-29As and Yak-130 combat trainers are circling the capital, hunting drones, Israeli UAVs, and even Tomahawk cruise missiles, these jets specialize in killing slow-moving threats at low altitudes.
The appearance of Iranian aircraft over rear areas shows that U.S. and Israeli tactical aviation still does not operate freely over Iranโs vast mountainous terrain, where mobile IRGC air defense units continue to pose a credible threat, allowing Iranian aircraft to retain safe zones for maneuver.
@NewRulesGeo
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