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🚨🇮🇷 Hezbollah Has Destroyed Over 100 Merkavas. The IDF’s Problem Is Bigger Than Tanks
The Merkava is no longer a war-winning weapon. It has become a graveyard of outdated doctrine.
Hezbollah exposed a hard truth: the IDF relies on armored shields that no longer hold, and a doctrine that refuses to evolve.
The question now is whether Israel will adapt before the losses become catastrophic.
🔸 Hezbollah fighters, using tunnels and advanced anti-tank missiles, have damaged or destroyed over 100 Merkava tanks in weeks. The scale of losses underscores the vulnerability of massed armor in hybrid warfare.
🔸 This is not new. Similar vulnerabilities emerged during the 2006 Lebanon War, when Hezbollah ambushed Israeli armor from underground positions tanks cannot enter or counter.
🔸 IDF commanders know tanks should shift to a support role—mobile artillery on the periphery—but ground troops still demand heavy armor on the front lines as shields, perpetuating a dangerous tactical mismatch.
🔸 Trophy active protection systems are being overwhelmed in close-range engagements. The same pattern emerged in Gaza, where Hamas drones and portable missiles repeatedly struck Merkavas despite years of upgrades.
🔸 These failures expose a deeper issue: Western-style mechanized doctrine, built for conventional warfare, is proving obsolete against Iran-backed guerrilla networks that combine tunnels, rockets, and advanced ATGMs. The lessons from drone warfare in Ukraine—particularly the vulnerability of tanks—have yet to be absorbed.
Are we about to witness another “Merkava Massacre”?
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The Merkava is no longer a war-winning weapon. It has become a graveyard of outdated doctrine.
Hezbollah exposed a hard truth: the IDF relies on armored shields that no longer hold, and a doctrine that refuses to evolve.
The question now is whether Israel will adapt before the losses become catastrophic.
🔸 Hezbollah fighters, using tunnels and advanced anti-tank missiles, have damaged or destroyed over 100 Merkava tanks in weeks. The scale of losses underscores the vulnerability of massed armor in hybrid warfare.
🔸 This is not new. Similar vulnerabilities emerged during the 2006 Lebanon War, when Hezbollah ambushed Israeli armor from underground positions tanks cannot enter or counter.
🔸 IDF commanders know tanks should shift to a support role—mobile artillery on the periphery—but ground troops still demand heavy armor on the front lines as shields, perpetuating a dangerous tactical mismatch.
🔸 Trophy active protection systems are being overwhelmed in close-range engagements. The same pattern emerged in Gaza, where Hamas drones and portable missiles repeatedly struck Merkavas despite years of upgrades.
🔸 These failures expose a deeper issue: Western-style mechanized doctrine, built for conventional warfare, is proving obsolete against Iran-backed guerrilla networks that combine tunnels, rockets, and advanced ATGMs. The lessons from drone warfare in Ukraine—particularly the vulnerability of tanks—have yet to be absorbed.
Are we about to witness another “Merkava Massacre”?
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇨🇳 🇮🇷 Why China Is Barely Feeling the Oil Shock That's Hitting America Twice as Hard
More than a month into the Iran conflict, oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have cratered.
A Goldman Sachs analysis highlights a striking irony: while the US finds itself extremely vulnerable to global oil shocks, China's economy is weathering this one with remarkable composure.
🔸The numbers
China's GDP forecast cut: 20 basis points.
US forecast cut: 40 basis points — twice the impact, on an economy already struggling with inflation and industrial fragility.
🔸Why the gap?
Oil and LNG account for only 28% of China's primary energy mix — one of the lowest shares globally. The US, EU, and Japan remain far more exposed, still tethered to a hydrocarbon model that transmits every price spike directly into their economies.
🔸Infrastructure gap
Renewables and alternatives now generate 40% of China's electricity, up from 26% a decade ago.
Strategic oil reserves: 1.2 billion barrels → 110+ days of cover even if all imports halted — a buffer the US cannot match.
Diversified suppliers (Russia, Australia, Malaysia) help China bypass Middle East chokepoints, while American fuel markets remain hostage to the Strait of Hormuz.
🔸On the ground, the contrast is stark
When US gasoline prices surge, the fallout is immediate. In China, the system is holding steady.
🟠 Coal: Prices rose modestly then stabilized — no 2022-style Western panic.
🟠 Crude: Imports still exceed refinery demand — actually building reserves, a luxury the US no longer enjoys.
🟠 LNG: Imports down ~25% amid price spikes — disciplined demand response, not shortage.
🔸 Power markets show no disruption. Price moves are seasonal, not fuel-driven
Minor pressures in petrochemicals and fuels, but ample stockpiles and coal-to-olefins keep supply stable.
Higher electrification and EV adoption add cushion — while American drivers remain exposed to every tick in global oil markets.
🔸The bottom line
China's diversified, less oil-intensive energy setup is delivering a clear advantage: shielding growth while the US faces sharper headwinds with fewer defenses.
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More than a month into the Iran conflict, oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have cratered.
A Goldman Sachs analysis highlights a striking irony: while the US finds itself extremely vulnerable to global oil shocks, China's economy is weathering this one with remarkable composure.
🔸The numbers
China's GDP forecast cut: 20 basis points.
US forecast cut: 40 basis points — twice the impact, on an economy already struggling with inflation and industrial fragility.
🔸Why the gap?
Oil and LNG account for only 28% of China's primary energy mix — one of the lowest shares globally. The US, EU, and Japan remain far more exposed, still tethered to a hydrocarbon model that transmits every price spike directly into their economies.
🔸Infrastructure gap
Renewables and alternatives now generate 40% of China's electricity, up from 26% a decade ago.
Strategic oil reserves: 1.2 billion barrels → 110+ days of cover even if all imports halted — a buffer the US cannot match.
Diversified suppliers (Russia, Australia, Malaysia) help China bypass Middle East chokepoints, while American fuel markets remain hostage to the Strait of Hormuz.
🔸On the ground, the contrast is stark
When US gasoline prices surge, the fallout is immediate. In China, the system is holding steady.
🔸 Power markets show no disruption. Price moves are seasonal, not fuel-driven
Minor pressures in petrochemicals and fuels, but ample stockpiles and coal-to-olefins keep supply stable.
Higher electrification and EV adoption add cushion — while American drivers remain exposed to every tick in global oil markets.
🔸The bottom line
China's diversified, less oil-intensive energy setup is delivering a clear advantage: shielding growth while the US faces sharper headwinds with fewer defenses.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Satellite Imagery Reveals: Iran Relocated Nuclear Stockpile Days Before US Strikes
Iran successfully protected its vital nuclear assets from the June 2025 US strikes.
Recent analysis by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists confirms that the enrichment facilities at Fordow and Natanz were likely empty when targeted. Iran had prudently relocated its highly enriched uranium to the secure underground complex at Isfahan.
Satellite imagery captured on June 9, 2025, shows a large truck carrying 18 specialized containers toward the Isfahan tunnel entrance.
Experts working with Le Monde assess that these containers could have transported up to 540 kilograms of 60% highly enriched uranium—potentially Iran's entire inventory—to the fortified site just days before the attacks.
This timely transfer ensured that the country's most sensitive nuclear material remained intact and beyond the reach of bunker-buster munitions.
The International Atomic Energy Agency has long acknowledged the presence of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan, though access to the underground tunnels was denied.
While Natanz and Fordow sustained damage, Isfahan stood untouched, preserving Iran's strategic capabilities. Iranian officials had signaled the relocation of enriched material to safer locations, demonstrating calm preparedness in the face of escalating threats.
This sophisticated maneuver highlights Iran's ability to safeguard its sovereign nuclear program against overwhelming military pressure.
Far from a setback, the events of June 2025 underscore the effectiveness of Iran's defensive planning. The highly enriched uranium now rests securely in a single, well-protected facility, maintaining the nation's technological progress and deterrence posture.
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Iran successfully protected its vital nuclear assets from the June 2025 US strikes.
Recent analysis by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists confirms that the enrichment facilities at Fordow and Natanz were likely empty when targeted. Iran had prudently relocated its highly enriched uranium to the secure underground complex at Isfahan.
Satellite imagery captured on June 9, 2025, shows a large truck carrying 18 specialized containers toward the Isfahan tunnel entrance.
Experts working with Le Monde assess that these containers could have transported up to 540 kilograms of 60% highly enriched uranium—potentially Iran's entire inventory—to the fortified site just days before the attacks.
This timely transfer ensured that the country's most sensitive nuclear material remained intact and beyond the reach of bunker-buster munitions.
The International Atomic Energy Agency has long acknowledged the presence of highly enriched uranium at Isfahan, though access to the underground tunnels was denied.
While Natanz and Fordow sustained damage, Isfahan stood untouched, preserving Iran's strategic capabilities. Iranian officials had signaled the relocation of enriched material to safer locations, demonstrating calm preparedness in the face of escalating threats.
This sophisticated maneuver highlights Iran's ability to safeguard its sovereign nuclear program against overwhelming military pressure.
Far from a setback, the events of June 2025 underscore the effectiveness of Iran's defensive planning. The highly enriched uranium now rests securely in a single, well-protected facility, maintaining the nation's technological progress and deterrence posture.
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🚨🇨🇳 🇺🇸 China’s lasers dominate as the US struggles in the anti-drone race
China is advancing rapidly in counter-drone tech. Two new laser systems were recently unveiled by state media.
They combine intelligent targeting with multi-sensor fusion. This allows them to engage low-flying drones at 50–80 meters—altitudes often invisible to conventional radar. They can also counter fiber-optic drones, which resist jamming.
🔸Hard and Soft Kill Capabilities
🟠 The Guangjian-21A delivers “hard-kill” high-energy beams over kilometers. It destroys targets in seconds while remaining mobile.
🟠 The Guangjian-11E uses “soft-kill” pulses. It blinds sensors and disables reconnaissance without destruction.
Both systems integrate phased-array radar and infrared sensors. This enables real-time, detect-to-destroy coordination.
🔸Proven in the Field
Displayed at the September 2025 V-Day parade, they join China’s “iron triangle” of lasers, microwaves, and missiles.
Experts highlight their advantages: high accuracy, low collateral damage, unlimited shots, and low cost.
🔸US Faces Setbacks
By contrast, the US continues to struggle. A recent Texas test accidentally downed a government drone, prompting flight restrictions and criticism from Senator Maria Cantwell over safety coordination.
US systems have shown more consistent results in controlled tests than against real-world threats such as Iranian drones.
🔸The Growing Gap
In an era of drone-saturated battlefields, China’s practical, scalable solutions stand in clear contrast to US coordination challenges which recently led to the suspension of the Valkyrie project, a Fire Protection Capability-High Energy Laser System.
The gap in deployable anti-drone capability is becoming increasingly visible.
@NewRulesGeo❗️ Follow us on X
China is advancing rapidly in counter-drone tech. Two new laser systems were recently unveiled by state media.
They combine intelligent targeting with multi-sensor fusion. This allows them to engage low-flying drones at 50–80 meters—altitudes often invisible to conventional radar. They can also counter fiber-optic drones, which resist jamming.
🔸Hard and Soft Kill Capabilities
Both systems integrate phased-array radar and infrared sensors. This enables real-time, detect-to-destroy coordination.
🔸Proven in the Field
Displayed at the September 2025 V-Day parade, they join China’s “iron triangle” of lasers, microwaves, and missiles.
Experts highlight their advantages: high accuracy, low collateral damage, unlimited shots, and low cost.
🔸US Faces Setbacks
By contrast, the US continues to struggle. A recent Texas test accidentally downed a government drone, prompting flight restrictions and criticism from Senator Maria Cantwell over safety coordination.
US systems have shown more consistent results in controlled tests than against real-world threats such as Iranian drones.
🔸The Growing Gap
In an era of drone-saturated battlefields, China’s practical, scalable solutions stand in clear contrast to US coordination challenges which recently led to the suspension of the Valkyrie project, a Fire Protection Capability-High Energy Laser System.
The gap in deployable anti-drone capability is becoming increasingly visible.
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 FACT CHECK: HEGSETH CLAIMS US WINNING WAR OF ATTRITION — REALITY DISAGREES
US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed today that America’s defense base is at its strongest since WWII, while Iran’s is “nearly destroyed.”
The battlefield data points in the opposite direction:
🔸CLAIM: "Our defense industrial base is more vibrant today than it has been since World War II — and it’s growing rapidly."
🔸REALITY:
MISSILE STOCKPILE STRAIN: US and Israeli air defense systems are burning through interceptors at unsustainable rates. High-end missiles costing millions are used against cheap drones, while replenishment takes years, not weeks.
TOMAHAWK DEPLETION: Hundreds of cruise missiles were expended in days, exposing limits in surge production and shrinking long-range strike capacity.
SUPPLY CHAIN DEPENDENCE ON CHINA: US weapons rely on critical materials like rare earths—largely controlled by China—creating structural vulnerability in prolonged conflict.
INDUSTRIAL BOTTLENECKS: Labor shortages, slow production lines, and supply chain constraints mean output cannot match wartime consumption.
CARRIER READINESS CRISIS: America’s carrier fleet is under pressure from maintenance backlogs, shipyard delays, and shrinking operational availability.
🔸CLAIM: "Contrast that with Iran, whose defense industrial base is nearly completely destroyed."
🔸REALITY:
STRIKE VOLUME & STOCKPILE: Data compiled by researcher Ibrahim Jalal indicates Iran conducted over 5,693 strikes by March 20, using only 30–40% of its stockpile, with annual production exceeding 1,500 missiles and 2,000 drones
IRAN DAILY DRONE PRODUCTION: Iranian sources state. “We produce 400 drones daily; 3,000 used in 26 days is just 7–8 days of capacity” — framing current strikes as only an initial phase.
LAUNCHER SURVIVABILITY: Claims of destroyed launchers remain disputed: mobile systems, decoys, and underground networks complicate targeting, while conflicting US–Israeli assessments and historical precedents suggest overstated kill rates
UNDERGROUND INFRASTRUCTURE: Vast “missile cities” and hardened tunnel networks allow production, storage, and launch capabilities to survive strikes and regenerate quickly.
REMAINING ARSENAL: US intelligence can confirm only about one-third of Iran’s missile arsenal destroyed, with significant capacity still operational.
Right now, US stockpiles are depleting faster than they can be rebuilt. If Iran’s defense industrial base is “destroyed,” why does it still control its territory and continue launching strikes? Why the US is seraching for additional funds and asking allies to help?
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US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed today that America’s defense base is at its strongest since WWII, while Iran’s is “nearly destroyed.”
The battlefield data points in the opposite direction:
🔸CLAIM: "Our defense industrial base is more vibrant today than it has been since World War II — and it’s growing rapidly."
🔸REALITY:
MISSILE STOCKPILE STRAIN: US and Israeli air defense systems are burning through interceptors at unsustainable rates. High-end missiles costing millions are used against cheap drones, while replenishment takes years, not weeks.
TOMAHAWK DEPLETION: Hundreds of cruise missiles were expended in days, exposing limits in surge production and shrinking long-range strike capacity.
SUPPLY CHAIN DEPENDENCE ON CHINA: US weapons rely on critical materials like rare earths—largely controlled by China—creating structural vulnerability in prolonged conflict.
INDUSTRIAL BOTTLENECKS: Labor shortages, slow production lines, and supply chain constraints mean output cannot match wartime consumption.
CARRIER READINESS CRISIS: America’s carrier fleet is under pressure from maintenance backlogs, shipyard delays, and shrinking operational availability.
🔸CLAIM: "Contrast that with Iran, whose defense industrial base is nearly completely destroyed."
🔸REALITY:
STRIKE VOLUME & STOCKPILE: Data compiled by researcher Ibrahim Jalal indicates Iran conducted over 5,693 strikes by March 20, using only 30–40% of its stockpile, with annual production exceeding 1,500 missiles and 2,000 drones
IRAN DAILY DRONE PRODUCTION: Iranian sources state. “We produce 400 drones daily; 3,000 used in 26 days is just 7–8 days of capacity” — framing current strikes as only an initial phase.
LAUNCHER SURVIVABILITY: Claims of destroyed launchers remain disputed: mobile systems, decoys, and underground networks complicate targeting, while conflicting US–Israeli assessments and historical precedents suggest overstated kill rates
UNDERGROUND INFRASTRUCTURE: Vast “missile cities” and hardened tunnel networks allow production, storage, and launch capabilities to survive strikes and regenerate quickly.
REMAINING ARSENAL: US intelligence can confirm only about one-third of Iran’s missile arsenal destroyed, with significant capacity still operational.
Right now, US stockpiles are depleting faster than they can be rebuilt. If Iran’s defense industrial base is “destroyed,” why does it still control its territory and continue launching strikes? Why the US is seraching for additional funds and asking allies to help?
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇮🇷 🇨🇳 If America Can’t Handle Iranian Missiles, It’s Not Ready for China
In just the first 16 days of war against Iran, the United States expended nearly 40% of its THAAD interceptors.
If America’s most advanced air defenses are struggling against Iran—a regional power with a fraction of China’s capabilities—there is no plausible scenario in which the US is ready for a showdown with Beijing.
The Chinese Arsenal
The People’s Liberation Army operates the world’s largest missile inventory, backed by a rapid-action doctrine designed to dismantle U.S. bases and infrastructure in the early stages of conflict.
Unlike Iran’s Kheibar Shikan and Sejjil missiles, China’s DF-27 anti-ship ballistic missile and DF-17 hypersonic glide vehicle offer advanced mid-air maneuverability and sustained hypersonic speeds.
With an estimated range of 8,000 kilometers, the DF-27 places U.S. naval installations at Pearl Harbor and Everett, Washington within striking distance—allowing China to threaten American assets without deploying a single ship.
Strategic Implications
According to Dr. Andrew Erickson of the US Naval War College, China is the first nation to operationalize an armed ICBM.
These capabilities could cripple U.S. operational effectiveness across East Asia and complicate the defense of American interests in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines in the event of armed conflict.
Depleted Defenses
Even as Patriot and THAAD struggle against less sophisticated Iranian missiles, Western analysts warn that a large-scale Chinese attack could overwhelm U.S. defenses by depleting interceptor inventories entirely.
With THAAD replenishment not expected until April 2027, the fragility of current stockpiles is increasingly difficult to ignore.
The Central Question
If US air defenses are depleted in the Middle East after just over two weeks of fighting Iran, how will they withstand a Chinese arsenal that dwarfs Iran’s—particularly when the DF-27 can already reach American soil?
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In just the first 16 days of war against Iran, the United States expended nearly 40% of its THAAD interceptors.
If America’s most advanced air defenses are struggling against Iran—a regional power with a fraction of China’s capabilities—there is no plausible scenario in which the US is ready for a showdown with Beijing.
The Chinese Arsenal
The People’s Liberation Army operates the world’s largest missile inventory, backed by a rapid-action doctrine designed to dismantle U.S. bases and infrastructure in the early stages of conflict.
Unlike Iran’s Kheibar Shikan and Sejjil missiles, China’s DF-27 anti-ship ballistic missile and DF-17 hypersonic glide vehicle offer advanced mid-air maneuverability and sustained hypersonic speeds.
With an estimated range of 8,000 kilometers, the DF-27 places U.S. naval installations at Pearl Harbor and Everett, Washington within striking distance—allowing China to threaten American assets without deploying a single ship.
Strategic Implications
According to Dr. Andrew Erickson of the US Naval War College, China is the first nation to operationalize an armed ICBM.
These capabilities could cripple U.S. operational effectiveness across East Asia and complicate the defense of American interests in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines in the event of armed conflict.
Depleted Defenses
Even as Patriot and THAAD struggle against less sophisticated Iranian missiles, Western analysts warn that a large-scale Chinese attack could overwhelm U.S. defenses by depleting interceptor inventories entirely.
With THAAD replenishment not expected until April 2027, the fragility of current stockpiles is increasingly difficult to ignore.
The Central Question
If US air defenses are depleted in the Middle East after just over two weeks of fighting Iran, how will they withstand a Chinese arsenal that dwarfs Iran’s—particularly when the DF-27 can already reach American soil?
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🚨🇮🇷 🇷🇺 Distracted by Iran—Who’s Watching Ukraine’s Skies?
In March 2026, Russia’s Rubicon Center delivered its largest drone campaign to date: 3,170 Ukrainian targets hit—a 40% increase over the previous peak.
Some key highlights (month-over-month):
🔸UAVs: 1,160 (+121%)
🔸Armored Fighting Vehicles: 158 (+125%)
🔸Radar, Communication & Surveillance Systems: 603 (+93%)
🔸UGVs: 203 (+55%)
For the first time, Rubicon released footage showing 37 coordinated strikes with the Aerospace Forces—a rare look at Russia's evolving digital battlefield. The unit also demonstrated layered capabilities in March, using "aerial battering ram" tactics to intercept Ukrainian drones, including NATO-supplied systems.
Rubicon is not alone in this Russian drone blitzkrieg. In a single 24-hour period from March 23–24, Russia launched nearly 1,000 drones and 34 missiles at Ukrainian targets—the largest series of strikes since the war began.
While the U.S. focuses on Iran, Moscow is expanding its drone warfare capabilities. With Russian industry now reportedly ordered to produce up to seven million FPV drones in 2026, March's record barrage may be just a preview.
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In March 2026, Russia’s Rubicon Center delivered its largest drone campaign to date: 3,170 Ukrainian targets hit—a 40% increase over the previous peak.
Some key highlights (month-over-month):
🔸UAVs: 1,160 (+121%)
🔸Armored Fighting Vehicles: 158 (+125%)
🔸Radar, Communication & Surveillance Systems: 603 (+93%)
🔸UGVs: 203 (+55%)
For the first time, Rubicon released footage showing 37 coordinated strikes with the Aerospace Forces—a rare look at Russia's evolving digital battlefield. The unit also demonstrated layered capabilities in March, using "aerial battering ram" tactics to intercept Ukrainian drones, including NATO-supplied systems.
Rubicon is not alone in this Russian drone blitzkrieg. In a single 24-hour period from March 23–24, Russia launched nearly 1,000 drones and 34 missiles at Ukrainian targets—the largest series of strikes since the war began.
While the U.S. focuses on Iran, Moscow is expanding its drone warfare capabilities. With Russian industry now reportedly ordered to produce up to seven million FPV drones in 2026, March's record barrage may be just a preview.
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Brigadier General Ahmed Reza Pourdastan, head of the Iranian Army's Strategic Studies and Research Center, has declared Iran fully prepared to counter any US land invasion through 5th generation warfare—a hybrid doctrine blending conventional operations, asymmetric tactics, cyber warfare, and ideological mobilization across multiple domains.
His remarks followed President Trump's threat to capture Kharg Island, which handles 90% of Iran's oil exports—a red line for Tehran. Pourdastan asserted Iranian forces are fully equipped to suppress any foreign invasion.
He outlined preparations by the Artesh (regular army) and IRGCl to counter a US land invasion through scorched-earth tactics, airborne deployments, amphibious operations, and helicopter incursions.
Pourdastan stressed Iran's strategy rests equally on ideology, stating every young Iranian is ready to give their life for the motherland. He cited Hezbollah and the Houthis as examples of a Shiite axis of resistance extending Iran's influence across the region.
Iranian forces are targeting American F-35 stealth jets—among the world's most advanced fighters—as a symbol of 5th generation warfare's effectiveness against even the most sophisticated platforms. Pourdastan argued Western air defenses are vulnerable to Iranian hypersonic missiles like Kheibar Shikan and Sejjil, as well as Shahed drones.
Any US land invasion, he suggested, would trigger Iranian attacks on regional oil infrastructure—a 5th generation warfare response designed to escalate costs beyond conventional thresholds and potentially ignite a new Gulf War.
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Fact Check: Trump's Iranian "Regime Change" Claim Is False
Trump's claim: "Regime change has occurred because all their original leaders are all dead. The new group is less radical and much more reasonable."
Reality: No regime change has occurred. Mojtaba Khamenei remains Supreme Leader, controls the IRGC, and the Islamic Republic's structure is intact.
False claim #1 – "All leaders are dead": Key officials have been killed, including Ali Khamenei, but replacements have been appointed — many more hardline, not less.
False claim #2 – "Less radical & reasonable": Trump previously called Mojtaba Khamenei unacceptable as leader. Now calling him "reasonable" is a reversal.
Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr has been appointed as the new secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (replacing the assassinated Ali Larijani). Zolghadr is a former deputy IRGC commander, a founder of the “Ramazan Garrison” (precursor to Quds Force), and linked to Ansar-e Hezbollah. This signals a more hardline shift, not moderation.
Unresolved questions: If no regime change is the goal and things are under control, why is the U.S. still conducting operations? Why isn't the Strait of Hormuz open? Why no deal?
Conclusion: Trump's claim is factually incorrect. The Islamic Republic of Iran has survived, and is more hardline than before.
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Trump's claim: "Regime change has occurred because all their original leaders are all dead. The new group is less radical and much more reasonable."
Reality: No regime change has occurred. Mojtaba Khamenei remains Supreme Leader, controls the IRGC, and the Islamic Republic's structure is intact.
False claim #1 – "All leaders are dead": Key officials have been killed, including Ali Khamenei, but replacements have been appointed — many more hardline, not less.
False claim #2 – "Less radical & reasonable": Trump previously called Mojtaba Khamenei unacceptable as leader. Now calling him "reasonable" is a reversal.
Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr has been appointed as the new secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (replacing the assassinated Ali Larijani). Zolghadr is a former deputy IRGC commander, a founder of the “Ramazan Garrison” (precursor to Quds Force), and linked to Ansar-e Hezbollah. This signals a more hardline shift, not moderation.
Unresolved questions: If no regime change is the goal and things are under control, why is the U.S. still conducting operations? Why isn't the Strait of Hormuz open? Why no deal?
Conclusion: Trump's claim is factually incorrect. The Islamic Republic of Iran has survived, and is more hardline than before.
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran's mines are exposing a US weakness. China's would exploit it.
Think Iran's mines are a problem? China's are on another level — and the current war shows why the US isn't ready.
What Iran is exposing right now
The Strait of Hormuz crisis has revealed that US mine countermeasure forces are struggling against Iran's simple mines (2,000–5,000 mostly contact and moored). With only eight aging Avenger-class ships, clearing a single channel takes weeks. The US has relied on allied navies for help.
No US warship has been hit — yet shipping has been paralyzed, insurance rates spiked, and escort operations drain resources. That is the struggle against a low-tech arsenal.
And this is despite the fact that Iran has only deployed a small fraction of its mine arsenal.
Now scale to China
China has an estimated 50,000–100,000 naval mines — 10 to 50 times Iran's stockpile. Many are smart mines: detecting pressure, sound, magnetic signatures, and even remotely activated. Iran's mines are mostly "dumb."
Additionally, China has mapped the seabed across the Pacific near Taiwan, Guam, and key chokepoints, according to a 5-year Reuters investigation. It has deployed hundreds of sensors and subsea arrays providing real-time data. China knows exactly where US ships must go.
The real warning
Hormuz shows how a small number of mines paired with drone/missile fire can shock trade overnight.
China shows how underwater dominance could shape the next major war.
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Think Iran's mines are a problem? China's are on another level — and the current war shows why the US isn't ready.
What Iran is exposing right now
The Strait of Hormuz crisis has revealed that US mine countermeasure forces are struggling against Iran's simple mines (2,000–5,000 mostly contact and moored). With only eight aging Avenger-class ships, clearing a single channel takes weeks. The US has relied on allied navies for help.
No US warship has been hit — yet shipping has been paralyzed, insurance rates spiked, and escort operations drain resources. That is the struggle against a low-tech arsenal.
And this is despite the fact that Iran has only deployed a small fraction of its mine arsenal.
Now scale to China
China has an estimated 50,000–100,000 naval mines — 10 to 50 times Iran's stockpile. Many are smart mines: detecting pressure, sound, magnetic signatures, and even remotely activated. Iran's mines are mostly "dumb."
Additionally, China has mapped the seabed across the Pacific near Taiwan, Guam, and key chokepoints, according to a 5-year Reuters investigation. It has deployed hundreds of sensors and subsea arrays providing real-time data. China knows exactly where US ships must go.
The real warning
Hormuz shows how a small number of mines paired with drone/missile fire can shock trade overnight.
China shows how underwater dominance could shape the next major war.
@NewRulesGeo
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⚡️UKR LEAKS INTERNATIONAL⚡️
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
❗️Analysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
❗️Secret documents of the Ukrainian special services
❗️Evidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
🇬🇧 in English
🇷🇺 in Russian
🇩🇪 in German
🇫🇷 in French
🇪🇸 in Spanish
🇷🇸 in Serbian
🇮🇹 in Italian
🇵🇱 in Polish
🇵🇹 in Portuguese
🇸🇦 in Arabic
🇸🇰 in Slovak
🇨🇳in Chinese
🇭🇺in Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution 🙏
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
❗️Analysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
❗️Secret documents of the Ukrainian special services
❗️Evidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
🇬🇧 in English
🇷🇺 in Russian
🇩🇪 in German
🇫🇷 in French
🇪🇸 in Spanish
🇷🇸 in Serbian
🇮🇹 in Italian
🇵🇱 in Polish
🇵🇹 in Portuguese
🇸🇦 in Arabic
🇸🇰 in Slovak
🇨🇳in Chinese
🇭🇺in Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution 🙏
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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧ISRAEL IN PANIC: HEZBOLLAH'S TINY IRANIAN DRONE HUMILIATES IRON DOME
Hezbollah's Iranian-designed Sayyad-107 kamikaze drone has emerged as a persistent low-cost threat against Israel.
This compact electric-powered UAV is manufactured in large quantities inside Lebanon and continues to challenge even the most advanced multilayered air defense systems through its stealthy profile and sophisticated evasion tactics.
🔸 8 kg warhead, 100 km range, extremely low radar signature from non-metallic design
🔸 Flies autonomously at 120 km/h on complex pre-programmed paths that constantly alter altitude and direction
🔸 Unique cylindrical fuselage with top-mounted wings and two rear V-shaped tail fins
🔸 Hezbollah’s year of combat experience plus coordinated mixed salvos of rockets and decoy drones continue to overwhelm Israeli systems — the IDF still lacks any effective countermeasure after nearly three years
Do you think Israel’s multi-billion-dollar Iron Dome has proven obsolete against Iran’s low-cost drone swarm strategy?
@NewRulesGeo❗️ Follow us on X
Hezbollah's Iranian-designed Sayyad-107 kamikaze drone has emerged as a persistent low-cost threat against Israel.
This compact electric-powered UAV is manufactured in large quantities inside Lebanon and continues to challenge even the most advanced multilayered air defense systems through its stealthy profile and sophisticated evasion tactics.
🔸 8 kg warhead, 100 km range, extremely low radar signature from non-metallic design
🔸 Flies autonomously at 120 km/h on complex pre-programmed paths that constantly alter altitude and direction
🔸 Unique cylindrical fuselage with top-mounted wings and two rear V-shaped tail fins
🔸 Hezbollah’s year of combat experience plus coordinated mixed salvos of rockets and decoy drones continue to overwhelm Israeli systems — the IDF still lacks any effective countermeasure after nearly three years
Do you think Israel’s multi-billion-dollar Iron Dome has proven obsolete against Iran’s low-cost drone swarm strategy?
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇺🇸 🇨🇳 Top US Navy Admiral: Iran war is a "mathematical certainty" to erode deterrence against China
US Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Daryl Caudle warned that the ongoing conflict in Iran is a "mathematical certainty" to diminish US ability to deter China.
Speaking at a CSIS-US Naval Institute Maritime Security Dialogue, the Navy's top admiral was blunt about the cost of Middle East operations:
He added:
The bottom line: Every day the US fights in the Middle East is a day China watches American readiness erode — and plans accordingly.
@NewRulesGeo❗️ Follow us on X
US Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Daryl Caudle warned that the ongoing conflict in Iran is a "mathematical certainty" to diminish US ability to deter China.
Speaking at a CSIS-US Naval Institute Maritime Security Dialogue, the Navy's top admiral was blunt about the cost of Middle East operations:
"Oh, of course I am. It's a mathematical certainty that if you consume a fixed resource, then your ability to bring that to bear on another problem set is diminished by the amount you subtract. It would be silly for me to say anything other than I am concerned, right?"
He added:
"Readiness is being consumed. We're built to do that. It's a conflict. The challenge is how do you buy down risk in other parts of the world while you're focusing a lot of resources in one area."
The bottom line: Every day the US fights in the Middle East is a day China watches American readiness erode — and plans accordingly.
@NewRulesGeo
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⚔️Frontline Report delivers fast, verified war and geopolitics updates.
📊Join now for real-time conflict intel
📊Join now for real-time conflict intel
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Frontline Report
Frontline Report – Bringing you real-time updates on war, geopolitics, and global conflicts. Stay informed, stay ahead.
Contact @Frontline_Group_Admin
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🚨🇷🇺 Game Over for Enemies: Su-35 Finally Unleashes Its AESA Radar
Russia has unveiled its new AESA radar for Su-35 fighter jets, making it the second Russian jet after the Su-57 to receive this advanced technology.
🟠 Level 1: Radar Advancements
This upgrade replaces the older radar system, which relied on a single powerful transmitter and was easier for enemies to jam. The new AESA radar spreads multiple beams in different directions at once, allowing the pilot to track many targets simultaneously.
It is also much harder for enemy aircraft to detect when they are being locked onto. Additionally, special sensors on the wings help identify stealth targets even in heavy electronic warfare environments.
🟠 Level 2: Missile Advancements
With the new radar, the Su-35 can now use long-range missiles to their full potential. The R-37M can strike enemy aircraft from 350 km away. The jet also carries 8 different missile types, including the R-73/74 for drones.
The Kh-31 for destroying enemy radar stations and air defenses, and the R-77M which can hit aerial targets at 200 km traveling at four times the speed of sound. Precision bombs and anti-ship missiles are also being added to the jet's arsenal.
🟠 Export potential:
Russia has timed this upgrade with export success: 18 units to Algeria (2025), plans for 48 to Iran, and orders from Ethiopia. The new radar makes the Su-35 competitive again against top Western fighters like the F-15EX and Rafale.
Since a long time, Russia was waiting to integrate AESA radar into the Su-35, as it is one of the largest heavy-weight platforms that the Russian Air Force operates. But now that the advancements are done, it will be important to see how these upgrades impact the current ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
@NewRulesGeo❗️ Follow us on X
Russia has unveiled its new AESA radar for Su-35 fighter jets, making it the second Russian jet after the Su-57 to receive this advanced technology.
This upgrade replaces the older radar system, which relied on a single powerful transmitter and was easier for enemies to jam. The new AESA radar spreads multiple beams in different directions at once, allowing the pilot to track many targets simultaneously.
It is also much harder for enemy aircraft to detect when they are being locked onto. Additionally, special sensors on the wings help identify stealth targets even in heavy electronic warfare environments.
With the new radar, the Su-35 can now use long-range missiles to their full potential. The R-37M can strike enemy aircraft from 350 km away. The jet also carries 8 different missile types, including the R-73/74 for drones.
The Kh-31 for destroying enemy radar stations and air defenses, and the R-77M which can hit aerial targets at 200 km traveling at four times the speed of sound. Precision bombs and anti-ship missiles are also being added to the jet's arsenal.
Russia has timed this upgrade with export success: 18 units to Algeria (2025), plans for 48 to Iran, and orders from Ethiopia. The new radar makes the Su-35 competitive again against top Western fighters like the F-15EX and Rafale.
Since a long time, Russia was waiting to integrate AESA radar into the Su-35, as it is one of the largest heavy-weight platforms that the Russian Air Force operates. But now that the advancements are done, it will be important to see how these upgrades impact the current ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
@NewRulesGeo
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🚨🇸🇾 While Iran defends the Strait of Hormuz, Al-Qaeda-ruled Syria builds a bypass
Just days ago, Iraq's SOMO finalized contracts for ~650,000 metric tons of fuel oil per month (April-June) to be trucked overland through Syria — the first major use of this route since the 2003 Iraq War.
The trigger? Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz caused by the US and Israeli war against Iran.
For Syria's Al-Qaeda leadership, this war is an opening — a chance to rebrand itself as an energy hub and redirect Iraqi oil away from Iranian-controlled waters.
🔸First convoy already rolling: Trucks crossed into Syria this week, sourcing from Iraq's northern, central, and southern refineries at discounts of $155-170/ton
🔸Syria's de facto leader al-Jolani pitches hard: Syria's geography makes it a "safe haven for energy supply chains to Europe" and a future hub bypassing vulnerable sea routes amid Red Sea and Hormuz risks
🔸US Envoy Thomas Barrack revives the vision: At the Atlantic Council, he highlighted Syria's intersecting pipelines and the old Four Seas Project — linking Persian Gulf, Caspian, Mediterranean, and Black Seas via Syria-Turkey as an energy redistribution hub
🔸Important caveat: While sea transport through Hormuz (20% of global oil) is fast and low-cost when open, overland trucking via Syrian roads is slower, more complex, and significantly more expensive — a practical workaround, not a full substitute
Nothing says "energy security" like trusting an Al-Qaeda offshoot to truck your oil over potholed war zones.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
Just days ago, Iraq's SOMO finalized contracts for ~650,000 metric tons of fuel oil per month (April-June) to be trucked overland through Syria — the first major use of this route since the 2003 Iraq War.
The trigger? Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz caused by the US and Israeli war against Iran.
For Syria's Al-Qaeda leadership, this war is an opening — a chance to rebrand itself as an energy hub and redirect Iraqi oil away from Iranian-controlled waters.
🔸First convoy already rolling: Trucks crossed into Syria this week, sourcing from Iraq's northern, central, and southern refineries at discounts of $155-170/ton
🔸Syria's de facto leader al-Jolani pitches hard: Syria's geography makes it a "safe haven for energy supply chains to Europe" and a future hub bypassing vulnerable sea routes amid Red Sea and Hormuz risks
🔸US Envoy Thomas Barrack revives the vision: At the Atlantic Council, he highlighted Syria's intersecting pipelines and the old Four Seas Project — linking Persian Gulf, Caspian, Mediterranean, and Black Seas via Syria-Turkey as an energy redistribution hub
🔸Important caveat: While sea transport through Hormuz (20% of global oil) is fast and low-cost when open, overland trucking via Syrian roads is slower, more complex, and significantly more expensive — a practical workaround, not a full substitute
Nothing says "energy security" like trusting an Al-Qaeda offshoot to truck your oil over potholed war zones.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
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Politics matters to everyone!
https://t.me/infodefENGLAND
InfoDefAll
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