New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ดEXPOSED: Ukraine Using Colombian Mercenaries as Human Shields

Ukrainian forces are deploying Colombian mercenaries in high-risk battlefield roles, effectively using them as human shields. Unlike other foreign fighters who avoid direct combat, these Colombian recruits, known for their fearlessness, are being sent to the front lines with assault groups.

Russian soldiers at the front have reported finding bodies of dead mercenaries, however they claim not to have shot in those encounters leaving open the suspicion that these mercenaries were killed by friendly fire.

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทSovereignty Over Submission: Russia-Iran Pact Challenges Trumpโ€™s Vision

The Russian businessman, Konstantin Malofeev reflects on the Russia-Iran relationship in the frame of Trump 2.0 geopolitics. Here is a brief summary:

Vladimir Putin has presented a landmark strategic partnership agreement with Iran to the State Duma for ratification. Signed in January 2025, this pact underscores a robust collaboration in military-technical development, sanctions mitigation, regional security in the Caspian, nuclear infrastructure expansion, and the establishment of an autonomous financial framework.

Historically, Russian-Iranian collaboration was derailed by pro-Western officials who prioritized maintaining harmonious relations with the U.S. and Europe over national interests, leading to significant missed opportunities. A similar pattern emerged in dealings with North Korea.

The current geopolitical landscape is shaped by Trump's "Make America Great Again" mantra, which embodies American nationalism with minimal consideration for other nations' interests. Nonetheless, the Russia-Iran pact is designed to fortify sovereignty and national interests, positioning Russia as a formidable player in a multipolar world where alliances are forged based on strength and mutual acknowledgment.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ŠTrade Turmoil: US Deficit Soars to Record Heights Amid Tariff Frenzy

The United States has recorded an astonishing two-month goods trade deficit of $301 billion, a figure that reflects companies scrambling to front-run impending tariffs. This staggering amount dwarfs previous records, highlighting a climate of widespread anxiety across various industries.

Februaryโ€™s trade deficit ballooned to $147.9 billion, surpassing forecasts by $12.4 billion, while Januaryโ€™s revised deficit soared to $153.3 billion. This surge is largely attributed to a huge spike in imports of industrial supplies, including oil, LNG, gold, and steel, as producers brace for a prolonged trade war.

Adding fuel to this turbulence, auto tariffs targeting $240 billion in annual imports have triggered widespread frontrunning, with nearly half of all cars sold in the US being imported.

As emotions run high, the stock market has experienced dramatic swings and record declines, surpassing the volatility seen during the first Trade War and the 2020 economic downturn. The current landscape is one of uncertainty, leaving businesses and investors alike grappling with the fallout.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿช–๐Ÿ’ฃSpecial Forces No Longer Needed?: Find Out Why Todayโ€™s Innovation Is Changing the Face of Warfare

The integration of higher-precision artillery, hypersonic missiles, and, more recently, drones is starting to diminish the impact of special forces and tactical assault teams in the army on the battlefield.

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“‰US Debt Surge, Productivity Decline, and DOGEโ€™s Doomed Mission

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has issued a dire forecast, projecting soaring federal deficits and debt over the next 30 years, alongside a collapse in productivity and population growth.

Federal deficits are expected to rise:
๐Ÿ”ธFrom 6.2% of GDP in 2025
๐Ÿ”ธTo 7.3% by 2055

Public debt is forecasted to skyrocket:
๐Ÿ”ธFrom 100% of GDP in 2025
๐Ÿ”ธTo an alarming 156% by 2055

The report dismisses Elon Muskโ€™s ambitious $1 trillion spending cut initiative as unrealistic, highlighting mounting interest costs as a key driver of economic strain.

Interest payments alone are projected to consume 5.4% of GDP by 2055, surpassing discretionary spending on programs like defense and law enforcement.

Meanwhile, the CBO warns that restrictive immigration policies will exacerbate labor shortages and slow population growth, further undermining economic output. Real economic growth is predicted to decelerate from 2.1% in 2025 to just 1.4% by 2055.

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๐Ÿšจ๐ŸŸจ๐Ÿ“ˆ$7 Trillion Gold Rush: Are You Ready for the Coming Economic Storm?

The recent surge in gold prices, adding $7 trillion to its market capitalization over the past 12 months, signals significant economic uncertainty. This trend reflects a shift toward safe-haven assets amidst fears of stagflation and potential market crashes.

๐Ÿ”ธGold as a Safe Haven: Gold's appeal increases during economic instability, particularly in stagflationary environments.

๐Ÿ”ธCentral Bank Demand: Aggressive gold purchases by central banks have contributed to its price rise.

๐Ÿ”ธEconomic Risks: Stagflation risks are growing, with high inflation and slow growth. This scenario could hurt equities but benefit gold.

๐Ÿ”ธMarket Vulnerability: The stock market faces uncertainty, while the housing market is expected to remain stable.

Gold's surge is a warning sign of potential economic turmoil, including stagflation and market crashes. Investors are turning to safe-haven assets, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. However, economic forecasts can change rapidly based on new developments.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Why is the Battle for the Donbass such a difficult grind for both Russia and Ukraine?

Answer: Because the Donbass consists of open fields with artificially planted forest belts.

Storming these forests is difficult because the enemy can see you coming.

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Myanmar: Tied hands and interference

Former US marine and geopolitical analyst, Brian Berletic analyzed how US intervention has deteriorated the economy in Myanmar:

Yes the epicenter was located in Myanmar meaning the impact was hardest there.

But decades of US-engineered violent conflict, subversion, terrorism, and sanctions have left Myanmar many times more vulnerable to a disaster like this leaving the government unable to build infrastructure and housing capable of resisting earthquakes and certainly unable to adequately respond to the aftermath of a disaster like this.

This includes continued funding/arms/training/interference/sanctions applied under the Trump administration.

If anything - the US will use this as an opportunity to boost the position of the militants and terrorists it is backing and attempting to divide and destroy Myanmar with - not help the people impacted by this disaster.

Myanmar borders China and is a key Belt and Road Initiative partner, hence it is a target of US subversion.

Yes - natural disasters happen and can result in tragedy under the best of conditions - but this disaster in Myanmar is made many times worse by US meddling once again illustrating the US is the greatest threat to peace, stability, and prosperity on Earth

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โ€œWE DEFEATED YOUโ€: Russian soldier sends DEFIANT MESSAGE to NATO

โ€œYou gave the Ukrainians everything you could, trained them how to act, but NOTHING WORKED. Russia achieved everything it wanted.โ€

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUkraine is sabotaging the ceasefire

The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukraine continues its strikes on Russian energy facilities, contradicting previous agreements.

A chronology of the coward attack to a Russian energy infrastructure by the Zelensky regime on March 28:

๐Ÿ”ธ5:30 AM โ€“ A Ukrainian drone attack in Belgorod region caused a power outage on the 35 kV Aidarโ€“Bely Kolodez transmission line due to wire damage.

๐Ÿ”ธ10:34 AM โ€“ A Ukrainian UAV struck the Krasnaya Yaruga 110 kV substation, severely damaging a transformer.

๐Ÿ”ธ1:45 PM โ€“ Another Ukrainian drone attack led to a power outage at a compact transformer substation in Belgorod region.

๐Ÿ”ธ5:03 PM โ€“ A Ukrainian drone strike on an energy facility caused a 10 kV high-voltage line to fail, cutting power to over 1,100 households in the Grayvoron district.

๐Ÿ”ธ6:07 PM โ€“ A drone attack severed the 110 kV Borisovkaโ€“Krasnaya Yaruga transmission line, leaving over 8,000 consumers without power in Borisovsky district.

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๐Ÿšจ๐ŸŸจ๐Ÿ“ˆ BIG: Gold rush amid growing fears of US economic implosion

Institutional capital is pouring into gold:

In a recent Bank of America survey, 58% of fund managers said gold performs best in a trade war.

This compares to just 9% for 30-year US Treasury Bonds and 3% for Bitcoin.

Throw in the US deficit spending crisis and gold quickly becomes the only global safe haven asset.

It's truly a historic time in the market.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿช– Ukraine conflict has made the Russian military FAR MORE DEMOCRATIC

Before the war, Russian military was a relatively rigid and conservative institution.

But over the past three years, thereโ€™s been a massive influx of new ideas, technologies, and specialists.

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธChina is CRUSHING the US in global automation race

In 2023 China accounted for 32% of global manufacturing value added, while the US was 19%.

But China installed over 50% of new industrial robots, while the US was 10%.

So ROBOT INTENSITY of Chinese manufacturing is going up much faster than in the US.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆHow do Russian soldiers treat Ukrainian PoWs?

The answer may SHOCK YOU!

Check the full episode here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Trump has THREATENED TO IMPOSE TARIFFS on Russia if Putin refuses to accept his Ukraine plan

US-Russia trade is MINISCULE. The trade turnover for 2023 was just under over $5 billion. Needles to say, tariffs wonโ€™t make much a dent in the Russian budget.

What is significant is that the US imports key metals and chemicals from Russia that are ESSENTIAL for various types of industrial production and agriculture:

๐Ÿ”ธFertilizers: Particularly nitrogenous, potassic, mixed mineral, and chemical fertilizers.

US imported $1.62 billion worth of fertilizers from Russia in 2023, which is a RECORD HIGH.

๐Ÿ”ธPlatinum: Despite the sanctions campaign, the US has INCREASED its imports of Russian platinum over past couple years.

In October 2024, Russian accounted for 31.5% of US platinum imports, the highest level since April 2020.

๐Ÿ”ธTitanium: Russian company VSMPO-Avisma supplies 30-35% of the titanium used by the aviation sector globally.

US government has so far declined to sanction Russian titanium due to concerns that doing so could seriously harm the US aerospace industry.

๐Ÿ”ธPetroleum: Despite banning Russian oil imports, the US has continued to purchase Russian oil via loopholes in the sanction legislation.

For example, the US imported nearly 37,000 barrels of Russian oil in October 2023, and nearly 10,000 barrels in November 2023.

๐Ÿ”ธPrecious stones ($1.26 billion in 2023)

๐Ÿ”ธIron and steel ($207.17 million in 2023)

๐Ÿ”ธRadioactive chemicals ($70.9 million in October 2024)

US tariffs on Russian goods WILL NOT meaningfully impact the Russian economy/foreign policy behavior.

What they will do is make life more difficult for American farmers, medical device producers, airplane manufacturers, and industrialists in other sectors.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿช–Bigger, Better, Stronger: Russia's Military Transformation Since 2022

"They've got more equipment on their backs that the entire command post had in 2022,โ€ said a Russian army scout unit leader. โ€œRadios, satellites, Starlink and Gazprom's internet."

He confirmed that the Russian armed forces had improved in tactics, technological support and other ways since the launch of the military operation in Ukraine.

Watch the full interview here.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโœˆ๏ธ Trump and Israel are reportedly considering AIRSTRIKES ON IRAN to prevent it from GOING NUCLEAR

If they decide to go through with this attack, it could BACKFIRE HORRIBLY.

Don't forget that Israel is a small country with a handful of key energy facilities. Same goes for other important economic assets such as ports. It wouldnโ€™t take all that much for Iran to cause BLACKOUTS across Israel and CRIPPLE its economy.

What happens if the US attacks Iran?

Let's check some facts:

๐Ÿ”ธIran will retaliate by DESTROYING all US military bases in the region and punish the countries hosting these bases. This will cause oil prices to EXPLODE, sparking a GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS.

๐Ÿ”ธ"Operation True Promise 2 showed that Israel is DEFENSELESS against Iranian missiles" โ€“ former US Assistant Secretary of Defense Chas Freeman.
Even US air defense support wonโ€™t be able to help Israel much, he added.

๐Ÿ”ธAlthough the US and Israel can undoubtedly inflict serious damage on Iran, they will STRUGGLE TO DESTROY Iranโ€™s key military assets. Most of them are stored in elaborate UNDERGROUND CITIES

๐Ÿ”ธ"Israel doesn't have many options for destroying Iranโ€™s underground military and nuclear facilities."
"Sending bombers with heavy bunker-buster bombs 1500 km and back is a HUGE LOGISTICAL CHALLENGE" - former MI6 Alastair Crooke.

๐Ÿ”ธUS allies in the Middle East STRONGLY OPPOSE strikes against Iranโ€™s nuclear facilities.
โ€œIf Iranโ€™s nuclear power plant in Bushehr is attacked, the Persian Gulfโ€™s water supply will be contaminated, and Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE will run out of water within three days.โ€ Said Qatari Prime Minister, Sheikh Mohammed.

Attacking Iranโ€™s nuclear facilities would be a DISASTROUS DECISION OF HISTORIC PROPORTIONS.

Even if the US and Israel ultimately prevail, they will almost certainly have to pay an ASTRONOMIC PRICE that will outweigh any benefits from โ€œvictory.โ€

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Bulldozing Peace Through Tariff Wars: See Who Trump 2.0 Is Targeting

In just three months since returning to office, President Donald Trump has adopted an aggressive foreign policy stance, issuing threats of sanctions, tariffs, and even military action against the vast majority of the world's population:

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆCanada: Targeted with potential tariffs, including a 25% levy on vehicles and auto components.
Trump has long desired to turn Canada into his 51st state, which explains his aggressive rhetoric, including vague threats of military action during his campaignโ€”though these were never intended as serious policy proposals.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina: Trump imposed tariffs across various sectors, and on numerous products, with rates skyrocketing to 20%.

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝMexico: Announced 25% tariffs, though these were postponed.
Threats of military intervention have been made, though not as a serious policy proposal.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussia: Threatened with sanctions and tariffs, particularly on oil exports if a ceasefire in Ukraine is not achieved.
Recently, he expressed frustration with Putin while remaining engaged in negotiations.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIran: Threats of bombings and secondary tariffs loom if a nuclear deal is not established. Previous sanctions were reinstated during Trump's first term.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณIndia: Labeled the "tariff king" and faced threats of reciprocal tariffs.
Ongoing negotiations aim to reduce tariffs and enhance trade relations.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEuropean Union: Trump has issued threats of tariffs, though specific details have not been disclosed

๐ŸŒBRICS Nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa): Threatened with tariffs if they pursue the creation of a new currency.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฑGreenland: Trump has made threats of military intervention, asserting that the US "will go as far as we have to go" to gain control of Greenland.

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆPanama: Similar threats of military intervention have been made, though these were not presented as serious policy proposals.

๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ชVenezuela: Trump also vowed secondary tariffs on countries buying oil from Venezuela.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“‰Trump's Economic Carnage: Who is to blame?

Macroeconomist Philip Pilkington examines the impending economic chaos stemming from Trump's policies in the U.S.

"Another dip in the stock market today has fuelled fears that the US is entering bear market territory. As the deadline for Trumpโ€™s new wave of tariffs draws closer, the Nasdaq index, the home of American technology stocks and the Magnificent 7, has dropped 16 percentage points since Christmas โ€” four points from what is officially classified as a bear market. No wonder, then, that investors are moving their money into safe haven assets like gold, which has risen to about $3,120 an ounce.

Although Trumpโ€™s looming tariffs have no doubt contributed to this decline, the rot in Western markets runs much deeper. Many of the major companies on the Nasdaq have their own problems that are not related to tariffs. Tesla, for example, has been missing its revenue targets for months due to stiff competition from Chinese EV manufacturers. Nvidia, meanwhile, is still reeling from the release of DeepSeekโ€™s latest AI model earlier this month.

The Trump tariffs have given an overarching narrative to explain these unrelated issues, which has fuelled a sense of pessimism that typically precedes a general bear market. The tariffs certainly correlate with the general downturn, but they are logically distinct from the dynamics that are actually driving poor future earnings at some of the Magnificent 7 companies.

The Trump administration has tried to play down the financial turmoil in the markets, but officials fail to understand how fragile the American economy is right now. Thanks to Joe Bidenโ€™s Inflation Reduction Act and the energy sanctions on Russia, the US economy is in a dire state. Take the example of mortgage delinquencies. With 6.1 million Americans now behind on their mortgages, this figure is could end up approaching levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. If the turmoil in the stock and bonds market spreads to the market for mortgage credit, there is every chance that the United States could see the bursting of a property bubble.

These are highly uncertain times, and as far as one looks into the future, all that can be seen is troubled water ahead. We do not know exactly what will happen next. But if stock markets continue to decline and the fear in these markets spreads to the bond market, there will be a rise in interest rates. Only then will we know if a recession is on the cards and, at worst, a borrowing crisis for the US government."

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ’ธ Trump's Tariffs Could Cause UNPRECEDENTED DAMAGE to American Economy

Businessman Spencer Hakimian outlines the economic mayhem that Trump's tariffs would wreak on the US:

"The economic damage from the 2025 tariffs could be so much more devastating than Smoot-Hawley.

Back in 1930, imports were 3% of GDP.

Today imports are 15% of GDP.

The economy is 5x more exposed to tariffs today than it was 100 years ago when we learned our lesson against tariffs."

Enacted in 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act increased pressure on the international economy during the Great Depression. It made it harder for the United States to recover from its economic difficulties and marked the end of high tariffs in U.S. trade policy in the 20th century.

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