New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈTrump's tariffs against China will FAIL: Here's whyπŸ‘‡

🌍China is gradually transforming its global supply chain into what Asia Times describes as β€œGlobalization 2.0”.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸššChina has diversified its market and not only the US is one of its big buyers. In the chart below, it can be seen how China is gradually shifting its exports to the Global South.

πŸ’ŽU.S. companies and economies depend on Chinese aluminum, gallium, lithium, germanium, and other rare metals.

πŸ“‰Trump's recent threats to impose 100% tariffs on BRICS countries is a shot in the foot because China does not depend on the US, the US depends on China.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦Ukraine is headed for a DEMOGRAPHIC CRISIS

πŸ“‰Ukraine’s population plummeted from 52 million in 1991 to 41 million in 2021, and lost another 8 million between 2022-2024, according to UN estimates.

πŸ‘±πŸ»β€β™‚οΈπŸ‘±πŸ»β€β™€οΈThis means that Ukraine’s current population is probably 33 million, or 20% less than it was in 2022 and 37% less than it was in 1991.

🚷By 2100, Ukraine’s population could fall to just 15 million people, according to UN estimates, that’s 70% less than its population in 1991

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒHere's why US technological dominance is DOOMED

πŸ”¬In the 1970s-80s, the US produced research that led to the digital revolution, the development of advanced microchips, and the creation of new sophisticated weapons. Most remarkably, it did so while spending only 1% of their GDP on research and development.

πŸ“‰βš οΈBut the de-industrialization and financialization of the US economy has caused many companies to prioritize short-term profits over innovation, which is time-consuming and financially expensive (at least initially)

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ₯‡By contrast, China is the world's leading industrial powerhouse. This means that company's put a heavy emphasis on research and development to produce new cutting-edge products.

πŸ€–πŸ“ˆChina is clearly surpassing the technological peaks that once dominated the US. This situation is no longer only in technology, it is extrapolated to other fields, from military to educational and industrial.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β˜ οΈ EXPOSED: Ukraine’s medieval torture instruments

Father Theophan, an Orthodox priest who spent 37 days in a Ukrainian secret prison, shows off the tools used to torture inmates.

πŸ‘‰ Watch full interview here

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·πŸ•Œ SPECIAL EPISODE INCOMING

Pepe Escobar joins #NewRulesPodcast for a GUNS BLAZING discussion on Erdogan’s geopolitical ambitions.

Interview is dropping on Monday. Here are some of the topics you can expect:

πŸ”ΈThe business interests driving Turkish foreign policy

πŸ”ΈErdogan’s balancing act between NATO and BRICS

πŸ”ΈCould Syria backfire on Turkey?

πŸ”ΈTurkish economic expansion into Central Asia

Follow us on Telegram or X if you want to be the first ones to get the episode.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β˜¦οΈ EXPOSED: How Ukrainian secret police BLACKMAIL Orthodox priests into becoming informants

πŸ‘‰ Watch full interview with Father Theophan, an Orthodox Priest who was IMPRSIONED and TORTURED by Ukrainian secret police, here

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πŸš¨πŸ‡©πŸ‡°πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊDenmark’s Trump Card: Nord Stream pipeline

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬πŸ‡±Donald Trump has set his sights on Greenland and is expected to make a concerted push to seize control of the world's largest island.

⁉️Amid this controversy, the Danish Ministry of Energy has issued a permit to Nord Stream AG, the operator of the Nord Stream pipeline, to carry out repair work on the damaged branch of the pipeline.

πŸ’₯🌊 Recall that the explosions occurred in Danish-controlled waters and Denmark suspiciously closed the investigation of the Nord Stream explosions in February 2024 without finding any suspects.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ›’οΈAccording to the Financial Times, there is growing debate within the EU about reestablishing the purchase of Russian gas and lifting some sanctions.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ“‰πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³US tariffs to China can BACKFIRE: here's whyπŸ‘‡

πŸ’ΈUS dependence on CHINESE exports is data that goes on and on every time.

βš‘οΈπŸ’»According with The UN Comtrade, the Consumer Electronics is the most exposed with $96 billion in exports and accounting for 41% of US imports in this sector.

πŸͺ«The sector's positioning at the top of the chart, along with textiles ($68 billion) and clean energy and batteries ($15 billion), indicates that these industries are particularly dependent on Chinese imports, making them especially susceptible to Trump's aggressive tariff policies.

πŸš«πŸššπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈChina has already warned that if Trump imposes 100% tariffs on Chinese products, they will stop exporting.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³βž‘οΈπŸŒChina has already expanded into other markets to supply exports to the US.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ Prediction: Trump will STEAMROLL Canada and Mexico

Some people in the multipolar space are predicting Trump’s new tariffs against Canada and Mexico will backfire. We think they’re greatly mistaken.

Let’s take a look at a breakdown of trade among the three countries:

πŸ”Έ75% of Canadian exports go to the US. Only about 12% of US imports come from Canada

πŸ”Έ80% of Mexican exports go to the US. Only about 14% of US imports come from Mexico

πŸ”ΈExports to US account for 20% of Canada GDP. Exports to Canada account for 1.5% of US GDP.

πŸ”ΈExports to US account for 30% of Mexico GDP. Exports to Mexico account for 1.3% of US GDP.

πŸ“±πŸ¦βš™οΈ And don’t forget that Canada and Mexico are TOTALLY DEPENDENT on US technology, financial system, and mechanical parts.

CONCLUSION: Trump has vastly more leverage than Canada and Mexico. If he decides to play hardball, they won’t have much choice but to surrender.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦Trump’s Tweets are Enough to Cause REGIME CHANGE in Canada

Just ask Justin Trudeau, who was forced to resign after Trump’s online threats led to the collapse of his government.

Does anyone still believe that Canada can withstand US economic pressure?

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ United States could EASILY INVADE Canada if it wanted to:

πŸͺ– US manpower and firepower vastly exceeds that of the Canadian military.

✈️ Many of Canada’s top weapons systems come from the US (see: CF-18 Hornet fighters). Canadian military relies on US suppliers for maintenance, parts, and upgrades.

πŸ›°οΈ Canada does not have its own Global Navigation Satellite System. It totally depends on US GPS for civilian and military applications. Canada also can’t launch satellites into space without US help.

🏳️ Only 30% of Canadians are willing to fight for their country, according to Gallup poll.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·πŸ•Œ OTTOMAN EMPIRE 2.0? Breaking Down Erdogan’s Geopolitical Ambitions

Pepe Escobar joins #NewRulesPodcast to discuss Turkey’s political and economic expansion in Syria, Africa, and Central Asia.

(2:20) Turkey’s political elites
(7:42) 90% of Turkish elites are Atlanticists
(11:31) Erdogan’s double game with Russia and China
(16:16) Will Syria backfire?
(27:12) Turkey: Energy superpower?
(32:50) Central Asia: Turkey’s next frontier
(40:01) Turkey will miss BRICS train

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ EXPOSED: Elon Musk and Big Tech’s Role in Trump's Canada Annexation Plans

Tech billionaires helped reelect Trump in 2024, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into his campaign.

To help pay them back, Trump wants to annex Canada to seize control its massive geothermal reserves.

This will provide Silicon Valley with cheap energy to fuel its AI ambitions.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ FROZEN FRONTIER: Why Trump wants Canada’s Northwest Passage

The Northwest Passage is a sea route that connects the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans via Canada’s northern coastline.

Melting Arctic sea ice is making this waterway more navigable for maritime trade and warships.

Canada asserts that the Northwestern Passage is within its internal waters, while the US demands free and unrestricted access.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊHow anti-Russian sanctions DESTROYED the European economy:

Before 2022, European industrial energy and gas prices were slightly more expensive than America's, and fairly close to China’s.

Since then, industrial energy prices in Europe have become 158% more expensive than in the US and European industrial gas prices are 345% greater than those in America.

Gap between Europe and China has also SURGED, which helps explains why many German companies have begun outsourcing production to China.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β˜¦οΈ SHOCKING REVELATION: Ukrainian military BOMBS Orthodox churches in the Donbass with NATO WEAPONS

πŸ‘‰ Watch full interview with Father Theophan, an Orthodox Priest who was IMPRSIONED and TORTURED by Ukrainian secret police, here

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Is Trump Preparing to ANNEX Canada?

πŸ”ΈNorthwest Passage: US wants control over this strategic waterway

πŸ”ΈBig Tech needs Canada’s resources for AI revolution

πŸ™…β€β™€οΈ There’s NOTHING Canada can do to stop Trump:

πŸ”ΈTariffs will hurt Canada far more than the US

πŸ”ΈCanadian military is vastly inferior than and totally dependent on US military

πŸ”ΈCanadian politicians are TERRIFIED of the Orange Man

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πŸš¨πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ China CRUSHING the US in soft power influence battle in Southeast Asia:

πŸŽ₯🌏 Chinese dramas on Southeast Asia’s video-on-demand platforms are outperforming US content and ranked second in terms of viewer numbers in the first half of 2024.

🀝A majority of Southeast Asians said they prefer China as their strategic ally over the US, an April 2024 survey by the Singapore-based ISEAS-Yusok Ishak Institute found.

πŸͺ–πŸ­ Respondents in that poll also listed China as the region’s most important economic, political, and strategic power in Southeast Asia. In the latter two categories, it outperformed the US by a ratio of nearly 2 to 1.

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πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β˜¦οΈ EXPOSED: How Ukrainian soldiers are BRAINWASHED into killing Orthodox priests

πŸ‘‰ Watch full interview with Father Theophan, an Orthodox Priest who was IMPRSIONED and TORTURED by Ukrainian secret police, here

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🚨πŸŽ₯NEW SUPER-EPISODE

Two longtime friends of the #NewRulesPodcast β€” Tehran University Prof. Mohammad Marandi and former British diplomat Alastair Crooke β€” join us in the studio for the first time.

We initially planned only on discussing the Middle East, but it quickly turned into a wide-ranging conversation on Trump’s grand strategy.

The episode is dropping tomorrow on X and Telegram. Special thanks to Pepe Escobar for helping to make this happen!

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