Forwarded from Vanessa Beeley
Gold is the worldโs oldest safe haven asset. Dubai is the worldโs newest safe haven city. Right now, gold is stranded in Dubai and being sold at a thirty dollar discount to the London benchmark because the war that makes gold valuable is the same war that makes gold unmovable.
Bloomberg reported on March 6 that traders in Dubai are offering physical gold at up to thirty dollars per ounce below the London price. The reason is mechanical. Dubai handles roughly 1,200 tonnes of physical gold annually. About twenty to twenty five percent of all gold traded on the planet passes through this city. It arrives by air from African mines and Swiss refineries. It leaves by air to Indian jewelers and Chinese vaults. The entire system runs on flights.
The flights have stopped.
Iranian drones have struck the UAE multiple times since February 28. Commercial aviation across the Gulf is at roughly twenty five percent of capacity. Private jet charters are selling at $350,000 per flight. The gold sitting in Dubai vaults has nowhere to go. And gold that cannot move cannot fulfill delivery contracts, cannot reach buyers, cannot participate in the global market at the price the global market says it is worth.
So traders are dumping it at a discount to avoid indefinite storage and funding costs.
The spot price in London says $5,200 an ounce. A trader in Dubai holding physical bars is selling them for $5,170. The difference is not quality or purity. It is a logistics premium in reverse. The gold is worth less in Dubai than in London because the mechanism that moves it has been severed by the same conflict that is supposed to make it more valuable.
Dubai processes roughly 3.3 tonnes of gold per day. The war has grounded flights for over a week. Bloomberg reports some bullion moved mid-week but many shipments remain stranded. At the daily throughput rate, an estimated 50 to 100 tonnes of physical gold is sitting in Dubai vaults waiting for flights that may not resume for weeks.
At current prices, that is somewhere between four and five billion dollars of metal that is priced in a market it cannot reach.
This is the physical commodity version of the Hormuz insurance closure. The digital price of gold trades freely on screens in London, New York, Shanghai. The physical gold that the digital price is supposed to represent sits in a vault in a city where the airport is running at a quarter of capacity and the sky periodically contains Iranian ordnance. The screen says one price. The vault says another. The difference is thirty dollars and growing.
Every gold investor on the planet is watching a number on a screen. The number does not know that fifty tonnes of metal cannot get on a plane.
The screen price is fiction. The vault price is reality. And the war is widening the gap between them every day the flights do not resume.
https://shanakaanslemperera.substack.com/p/the-invisible-siege-how-insurance
Bloomberg reported on March 6 that traders in Dubai are offering physical gold at up to thirty dollars per ounce below the London price. The reason is mechanical. Dubai handles roughly 1,200 tonnes of physical gold annually. About twenty to twenty five percent of all gold traded on the planet passes through this city. It arrives by air from African mines and Swiss refineries. It leaves by air to Indian jewelers and Chinese vaults. The entire system runs on flights.
The flights have stopped.
Iranian drones have struck the UAE multiple times since February 28. Commercial aviation across the Gulf is at roughly twenty five percent of capacity. Private jet charters are selling at $350,000 per flight. The gold sitting in Dubai vaults has nowhere to go. And gold that cannot move cannot fulfill delivery contracts, cannot reach buyers, cannot participate in the global market at the price the global market says it is worth.
So traders are dumping it at a discount to avoid indefinite storage and funding costs.
The spot price in London says $5,200 an ounce. A trader in Dubai holding physical bars is selling them for $5,170. The difference is not quality or purity. It is a logistics premium in reverse. The gold is worth less in Dubai than in London because the mechanism that moves it has been severed by the same conflict that is supposed to make it more valuable.
Dubai processes roughly 3.3 tonnes of gold per day. The war has grounded flights for over a week. Bloomberg reports some bullion moved mid-week but many shipments remain stranded. At the daily throughput rate, an estimated 50 to 100 tonnes of physical gold is sitting in Dubai vaults waiting for flights that may not resume for weeks.
At current prices, that is somewhere between four and five billion dollars of metal that is priced in a market it cannot reach.
This is the physical commodity version of the Hormuz insurance closure. The digital price of gold trades freely on screens in London, New York, Shanghai. The physical gold that the digital price is supposed to represent sits in a vault in a city where the airport is running at a quarter of capacity and the sky periodically contains Iranian ordnance. The screen says one price. The vault says another. The difference is thirty dollars and growing.
Every gold investor on the planet is watching a number on a screen. The number does not know that fifty tonnes of metal cannot get on a plane.
The screen price is fiction. The vault price is reality. And the war is widening the gap between them every day the flights do not resume.
https://shanakaanslemperera.substack.com/p/the-invisible-siege-how-insurance
Substack
The Invisible Siege: How Insurance Markets, Not Missiles, Closed the Strait of Hormuz
And Why the Disruption Will Last Four to Sixteen Months Longer Than Any Model on Wall Street Currently Prices
Forwarded from SouthFront: Analysis & Intelligence
Iran Shot Down 13 U.S. And Israeli Combat Drones Over Past Day (Videos, Photos)
The Iranian military announced on March 7 that it had shot down at least 13 American and Israeli drones over the past day.
In a statement, the military drones, which include American-made MQ-9 Reapers and Israeli-made Hermes 900s, were shot down by the anti-aircraft missiles and guns of its ground forces and air defense units and those of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, operating under the command of the Joint National Air Defense Headquarters.
The e drones were shot down over different areas in the northwestern and western regions of the Islamic Republic, as well as over the southern region and the provinces of Isfahan, Kerman, and Tehran.
Read more HERE
The Iranian military announced on March 7 that it had shot down at least 13 American and Israeli drones over the past day.
In a statement, the military drones, which include American-made MQ-9 Reapers and Israeli-made Hermes 900s, were shot down by the anti-aircraft missiles and guns of its ground forces and air defense units and those of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, operating under the command of the Joint National Air Defense Headquarters.
The e drones were shot down over different areas in the northwestern and western regions of the Islamic Republic, as well as over the southern region and the provinces of Isfahan, Kerman, and Tehran.
Read more HERE
Forwarded from Esc
Please tell him it's flat, stop gatekeeping
https://t.me/GeopoliticsAndEmpire/63841
https://t.me/GeopoliticsAndEmpire/63841
Telegram
Geopolitics & Empire
Hey mom, I got a mention on Corbett Report, AGAIN! ๐ https://corbettreport.com/nwnw621/
BlackRock limits withdrawals as redemptions rattle private credit fund
https://www.reuters.com/business/blackrock-limits-withdrawals-private-credit-fund-redemptions-mount-2026-03-06/
****
(January 2026) Rhetorical Question(s): Will (((they))) eventually do this to brokerage accounts due to some contrived "crisis"? Retirement accounts? Savings accounts? Checking accounts?
Copied from @Swindler's List (channel no longer allowed forwards).
https://www.reuters.com/business/blackrock-limits-withdrawals-private-credit-fund-redemptions-mount-2026-03-06/
****
(January 2026) Rhetorical Question(s): Will (((they))) eventually do this to brokerage accounts due to some contrived "crisis"? Retirement accounts? Savings accounts? Checking accounts?
Copied from @Swindler's List (channel no longer allowed forwards).
๐จ BREAKING
BLACKROCK JUST STARTED AGGRESSIVELY LIQUIDATING BITCOIN AHEAD OF THE U.S. MARKET OPEN!
THEY JUST DUMPED OVER $250 MILLION AND KEEP DUMPING MORE EVERY FEW MINUTES.
LOOKS LIKE THEY KNOW SOME REALLY BAD NEWS IS COMING TODAYโฆ
Copied from
https://t.me/slashbizchannel/85065
because durov censored forwards of any kind from people censored by goolag of Apple stores while he's jailed in Europe
BLACKROCK JUST STARTED AGGRESSIVELY LIQUIDATING BITCOIN AHEAD OF THE U.S. MARKET OPEN!
THEY JUST DUMPED OVER $250 MILLION AND KEEP DUMPING MORE EVERY FEW MINUTES.
LOOKS LIKE THEY KNOW SOME REALLY BAD NEWS IS COMING TODAYโฆ
Copied from
https://t.me/slashbizchannel/85065
because durov censored forwards of any kind from people censored by goolag of Apple stores while he's jailed in Europe
Forwarded from Brian Berletic's New Atlas Channel
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ทUS is bringing in another carrier and additional warplanes as existing hardware approaches maintenance walls indicating intentions to continue the war for at least another month.
With the long desired distant blockade now implemented on China and the clock ticking on China's 100 day reserves, the US is likely to continue surging forces into the region to keep the war going and energy exports stopped.
The US does not care about its Arab proxies. It does not care about Europe. It does not care about Israel or Ukraine or Japan or South Korea.
It doesn't even care about the American public.
The window is closing on containing China, China fully aware of all of this and already speeding toward permanent escape velocity.
The US is making its move now.
The US knows it will be causing immense global damage and damage to itself but believes it has the best chance of weathering it and emerging the strongest on the other end - or at least the best chance it will ever have.
With the long desired distant blockade now implemented on China and the clock ticking on China's 100 day reserves, the US is likely to continue surging forces into the region to keep the war going and energy exports stopped.
The US does not care about its Arab proxies. It does not care about Europe. It does not care about Israel or Ukraine or Japan or South Korea.
It doesn't even care about the American public.
The window is closing on containing China, China fully aware of all of this and already speeding toward permanent escape velocity.
The US is making its move now.
The US knows it will be causing immense global damage and damage to itself but believes it has the best chance of weathering it and emerging the strongest on the other end - or at least the best chance it will ever have.
Forwarded from The Simurgh (Abu Muhammad)
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Trump and his administration are beginning to lean toward seizing Kharg Island in the Persian Gulf, home to Iran's largest oil terminal, responsible for 90% of its oil exports.
Seizing Kharg Island or destroying its oil terminal would "cut off" Iran's ability to pay its troops, according to The Washington Post. It would also lead to famine or civilian deaths in Iran.
The Iraqi Air Force bombed Kharg Island during the Iran-Iraq War, destroying its oil facilities. This did not cause any mutinies among Iranian troops or the country's bankruptcy, but the US is unaware of this.
banksta
Kharg Island, small coral island in Iran in the northern Persian Gulf, 34 miles (55 km) northwest of the port of Bushehr. The island serves as the terminal for nearly all of Iranโs oil exports and has a loading capacity of about 7 million barrels per day.
@vicktop55
#Iran #US #Oil #KhargIsland
Seizing Kharg Island or destroying its oil terminal would "cut off" Iran's ability to pay its troops, according to The Washington Post. It would also lead to famine or civilian deaths in Iran.
The Iraqi Air Force bombed Kharg Island during the Iran-Iraq War, destroying its oil facilities. This did not cause any mutinies among Iranian troops or the country's bankruptcy, but the US is unaware of this.
banksta
Kharg Island, small coral island in Iran in the northern Persian Gulf, 34 miles (55 km) northwest of the port of Bushehr. The island serves as the terminal for nearly all of Iranโs oil exports and has a loading capacity of about 7 million barrels per day.
@vicktop55
#Iran #US #Oil #KhargIsland