Concerning the unfolding #ShockAndAwe campaign in #Iran @rwapodcast draws similar conclusions posted previously today : https://t.me/NoGoolag/46574

"I think cheerleaders on both sides are being too flippant. Iran is suffering severe attrition to its conventional military forces. It's conventional navy has been wiped out (though it wouldn't have made a difference either way). Its air force is grounded or destroyed and its air defence is being degraded.

There's a good chance the US and Israel could achieve air supremacy in the coming weeks, which would make shortages in stand-off munitions meaningless, as the US could instead dip into its immense stockpiles of cheap-ish gravity bombs and such, and bomb most of Iran at will, in free hunting mode.

The US-Israel coalition could also ramp up attacks against Iranian energy and water infrastructure, potentially leading to large-scale humanitarian catastrophe. Iran is facing a long-term austere war economy situation, and it's hard to tell how long it would be able to weather that.

However.

The Iranians have succeeded at severely degrading US radar installations and missile defence in the region and interceptor stockpiles are running low. They still have deep stockpiles of missiles and drones and they are keeping the Straight of Hormuz closed, sending shockwaves through the entire global economy. The US' vassal states in the Gulf are suffering and may fall into a death spiral soon-ish (unless they push for deescalation via distancing themselves from the US).

US military bases in the area have been devastated. Air supremacy over the entire country has not been established - localized air superiority, sure, but a majority of strikes are still stand-off munitions and the eastern half of Iran remains entirely untouched so far.

The Iranians can respond to escalation by targeting infrastructure in Israel and the Gulf states, having the capability to *also* cause widespread humanitarian catastrophe. Desalination plants, electricity generation, a lot of juicy targets that remain untouched so far.

The Straight of Hormuz is closed. Trump has claimed the US Navy would reopen it, but the IRGC speedboat fleet is mostly untouched so far (the "actual" Iranian Navy you'd expect to play a role in the war) and the Iranians can potentially strike US ships going through the Strait with a variety of weapons.

According to some napkin math, even if Iran's conventional forces are truly defeated from the air, decentralized IRGC forces with localized drone stockpiles and production will retain the ability to lob several Shaheds a day at the Strait of Hormuz pretty much indefinitely.

It's a race against time on both sides with many levels of escalation still open."

#Iran #Energy #Infastructure

🇮🇷Trump stated that Iran itself bombed the school in #Minab, where 175 schoolgirls were killed.

"Judging by what I saw, it was Iran that did it. We believe that it was Iran... they are very inaccurate with their weapons," Trump replied.

Recall that according to an analysis by The New York Times journalists, the strike on the school was carried out by the #US Air Force due to an intelligence error, which classified the school building adjacent to the IRGC base as a military facility.

The US president does not specify why Iran fired on its own base and the school near it.

We saw precision strikes in each building, there is zero chance this was not the US

@Slavyangrad
#Iran #USAF #WarCrimes

🇮🇷⚡️🇧🇭 🇺🇸 Hebrew media published the moment of the Iranian drone strike on the Hilton Hotel, the hideout of American terrorist forces in Bahrain.

@RezistanceTrench1
#Iran

What an unhinged statement! #Iran needs to realize this is a war of extermination waged by genocidal kikes and shabbos goyim.

@Fashposting

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants to divide Iran into several states.

Reporter: Do you think the map of Iran will look the same after all this is over?

Trump: I can't tell you that. Probably not.

Source: Clash Report

@Slavyangrad
#Iran

🔗

Join us | @MyLordBebo

🇺🇸 This deserves a lot of attention.

The head of robotics just quit OpenAI over concerns about surveillance of Americans without oversight.

They’re surveilling you more than you think.

🔗

Join us | @MyLordBebo

Apparently, the US has begun preparations for a new phase of strikes on #Iran as part of Operation "Epic Rage".

For this purpose, B-1B Lancer bombers arrived at the British airbase in Fairford on March 6. Together with B-52 and B-2 bombers, they will form an operational group, which is likely to deliver the first strikes in the new phase of the conflict.

@Slavyangrad

Tehran woke up today under a black rain. Think about that sentence for a moment. Oil falling from the sky because storage facilities were bombed by Israel and America. Families waking up to toxic air and Children looking out windows at black rain. War crimes by pedophiles.

A night attack by Iranian missile forces on Haifa in Israel. It's hard to say what targets were hit here, but Haifa is one of the most important centers of Israel's defense infrastructure, combining the functions of a major naval base, an industrial hub, and a research center. This is the main and largest base of the Israeli Navy. It serves as the headquarters for key naval units. It is home to the 7th Flotilla and all Israeli Dolphin-class submarines. It also houses the 3rd Flotilla: the main strike force of the fleet, including the latest Sa'ar-6 corvettes and the 914th division of patrol boats, which is responsible for patrolling the northern maritime borders.

Here is also located the YALTAM base (analogous to Russian PMS): special units for conducting underwater operations, as well as the BAAD 600 training base: the only training center of the Navy, which includes a naval academy and schools for training specialists for submarines and missile boats.

In addition, there are many military-industrial facilities in Haifa. Here are the production facilities of RAFAEL companies and research centers of the company that developed the Iron Dome, David's Sling, and Spike family of missiles.

A number of units of Elbit Systimes (specializing in electronics, UAVs, and control systems) are also based in Haifa.

@Slavyangrad

🇦🇪 🇮🇷 UAE DENIES reports it 'attacked desalination plant in Iran'

FAKE NEWS — Chairman of UAE’s National Defense Committee