Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Another small problem, in Paragraph 8:
Iran has agreed to downblend its enriched uranium stockpile inside Iran.
Although this is the best-case scenario compared to transfering it abroad, and it would have likely been agreed upon later anyway, the fact is that Araqchi insisted no such commitment was made in the MoU.
Luckily, the MoU does not specify any technical details or frameworks to actually ensure the implementation of this clause. That’s the most important part. After all, words and promises mean nothing.
(Of course it should be noted this concession was made in exchange for the complete removal of all sanctions)
@Middle_East_Spectator
Iran has agreed to downblend its enriched uranium stockpile inside Iran.
Although this is the best-case scenario compared to transfering it abroad, and it would have likely been agreed upon later anyway, the fact is that Araqchi insisted no such commitment was made in the MoU.
Luckily, the MoU does not specify any technical details or frameworks to actually ensure the implementation of this clause. That’s the most important part. After all, words and promises mean nothing.
(Of course it should be noted this concession was made in exchange for the complete removal of all sanctions)
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 An analysis on this section of Paragraph 4:
‘The United States of America undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days of a final deal’
I have three criticisms on this clause, depending on which it can be either good or bad.
1. The forces should have been withdrawn immediately within 30 days of signing the MoU and before the final 60 days of negotiations begin. This would ensure that the negotiations for a final deal do not happen under a threat of military force. Withdrawing after the final deal is good, but defeats the purpose.
2. It has not been specified what ‘proximity’ of Iran means, what sort of forces and assets will be withdrawn (what about defensive assets like THAAD / Patriot?), and whether the withdrawal is a general withdrawal of American forces from the region or it only includes the forces that amassed as a part of Operation Epic Fury.
3. There is no specified mechanism for ensuring the implentation of the clause.
@Middle_East_Spectator
‘The United States of America undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days of a final deal’
I have three criticisms on this clause, depending on which it can be either good or bad.
1. The forces should have been withdrawn immediately within 30 days of signing the MoU and before the final 60 days of negotiations begin. This would ensure that the negotiations for a final deal do not happen under a threat of military force. Withdrawing after the final deal is good, but defeats the purpose.
2. It has not been specified what ‘proximity’ of Iran means, what sort of forces and assets will be withdrawn (what about defensive assets like THAAD / Patriot?), and whether the withdrawal is a general withdrawal of American forces from the region or it only includes the forces that amassed as a part of Operation Epic Fury.
3. There is no specified mechanism for ensuring the implentation of the clause.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 And perhaps my biggest problem with the MoU is the $300 Billion reconstruction fund
While it may seem like a very large sum of money, a couple important things should be noted.
First of all, this reconstruction fund won’t be supplied to Iran directly by giving money. It’s an ‘investment program’, and it’s not government-funded. In other words, private companies will invest in Iran’s economy to participate in reconstruction, rebuild, and take part in Iran’s industry.
It’s very doubtful that private companies would even want to invest in Iran, a country with quite a bad and corrupt economy (unfortunately). Even if they do invest, Iran doesn’t control where the money goes.
This creates two problems. On the one hand, Arab / Western companies will hold influence over Iran because of their investments in rebuilding projects. This increases the risk of economic coercion and even espionage activities.
On the other hand, these companies definitely won’t engage in any projects that involve the IRGC, which is a big problem. The IRGC plays a very important part in Iran’s building sector. If money won’t flow into those projects, rebuilding won’t be truly and properly done—it will be extremely limited and on the enemy’s terms.
@Middle_East_Spectator
While it may seem like a very large sum of money, a couple important things should be noted.
First of all, this reconstruction fund won’t be supplied to Iran directly by giving money. It’s an ‘investment program’, and it’s not government-funded. In other words, private companies will invest in Iran’s economy to participate in reconstruction, rebuild, and take part in Iran’s industry.
It’s very doubtful that private companies would even want to invest in Iran, a country with quite a bad and corrupt economy (unfortunately). Even if they do invest, Iran doesn’t control where the money goes.
This creates two problems. On the one hand, Arab / Western companies will hold influence over Iran because of their investments in rebuilding projects. This increases the risk of economic coercion and even espionage activities.
On the other hand, these companies definitely won’t engage in any projects that involve the IRGC, which is a big problem. The IRGC plays a very important part in Iran’s building sector. If money won’t flow into those projects, rebuilding won’t be truly and properly done—it will be extremely limited and on the enemy’s terms.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The White House has released the full text of the 14-point MoU: 1. The U.S. and Iran and their allies in the current war declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake…
Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (Lhiet)
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⚡🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Donald Trump says he does not view the reported 60-day timeframe for negotiations with Iran as a hard deadline.
"Could take longer. I don't view it as hard. Just as long as they are behaving, I really don't care that much," Trump told reporters.
@medmannews
"Could take longer. I don't view it as hard. Just as long as they are behaving, I really don't care that much," Trump told reporters.
@medmannews
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
Mediterranean Man
⚡🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Donald Trump says he does not view the reported 60-day timeframe for negotiations with Iran as a hard deadline. "Could take longer. I don't view it as hard. Just as long as they are behaving, I really don't care that much," Trump told reporters.…
— Interesting, because hypothetically it’s in Iran’s interest to postpone negotiations for as long as possible
During negotiations, sanctions waivers on oil, gas, petrochemicals etc. are in effect, giving Iran lots of money.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Iran drags out the negotiation process for multiple months or even a year.
@Middle_East_Spectator
During negotiations, sanctions waivers on oil, gas, petrochemicals etc. are in effect, giving Iran lots of money.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Iran drags out the negotiation process for multiple months or even a year.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Some Israelis’ replies to the MoU text:
‘May his name and memory be erased, Trump, the greatest enemy of Jews in the current generation.’
‘Section 1 says Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon. And that’s only the first section.’
‘The Iranians gave them a political colonoscopy’
@Middle_East_Spectator
‘May his name and memory be erased, Trump, the greatest enemy of Jews in the current generation.’
‘Section 1 says Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon. And that’s only the first section.’
‘The Iranians gave them a political colonoscopy’
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NOTE: President Trump signed the document while in Versailles, the same location where Germany signed its surrender treaty in 1918 after its defeat in World War I
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling.
In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67% for civilian use).
That would be extremely embarassing for the United States, considering that the official position during the Araqchi-Witkoff negotiations was ‘zero enrichment’ for 10-20 years.
@Middle_East_Spectator
In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67% for civilian use).
That would be extremely embarassing for the United States, considering that the official position during the Araqchi-Witkoff negotiations was ‘zero enrichment’ for 10-20 years.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
Middle East Spectator — MES
— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling. In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67%…
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump, at the G7 in France earlier today, appeared to be open to Iran enriching uranium:
‘You know, it is a little hard though when other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for the purpose of electricity and things like that. You have to use a little common sense.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
‘You know, it is a little hard though when other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for the purpose of electricity and things like that. You have to use a little common sense.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Tehran Recruits Psychologists To Tailor Messages For 'mentally Ill' Trump: Report
Iranian officials reported that treating the US president 'like dealing with a patient' has already yielded 'some progress' in negotiations.
Iranian negotiators hired senior psychologists to vet diplomatic messages for US President Donald Trump during indirect talks between Washington and Tehran, US journalist Jeremy Scahill reported on June 13, citing Iranian sources.
Speaking on the Breaking Points podcast, Scahill said the shift was implemented a few weeks ago as the Iranian delegation believes Trump is "legitimately mentally ill" and “operating in an impaired mental state.”
Negotiators told Scahill the decision was not made with "any lightness" but as a response to what they perceive as a "mentally incapacitated" leader.
After having medical professionals "work up a psychological profile," the team began to “cater” messages before delivering them to mediators.
This strategy coincides with renewed scrutiny of the President’s health as he celebrates his 80th birthday Sunday.
🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
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Iranian officials reported that treating the US president 'like dealing with a patient' has already yielded 'some progress' in negotiations.
Iranian negotiators hired senior psychologists to vet diplomatic messages for US President Donald Trump during indirect talks between Washington and Tehran, US journalist Jeremy Scahill reported on June 13, citing Iranian sources.
Speaking on the Breaking Points podcast, Scahill said the shift was implemented a few weeks ago as the Iranian delegation believes Trump is "legitimately mentally ill" and “operating in an impaired mental state.”
Negotiators told Scahill the decision was not made with "any lightness" but as a response to what they perceive as a "mentally incapacitated" leader.
After having medical professionals "work up a psychological profile," the team began to “cater” messages before delivering them to mediators.
This strategy coincides with renewed scrutiny of the President’s health as he celebrates his 80th birthday Sunday.
🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
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The Cradle
Tehran recruits psychologists to tailor messages for 'mentally ill' Trump: Report
Iranian officials reported that treating the US president 'like dealing with a patient' has already yielded 'some progress' in negotiations.
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France, Germany Propose 'stripping' Top EU Diplomat Kallas Of Her Powers: Report
A rivalry has developed between the EU's top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, for control of the bloc's foreign policy
France and Germany are discussing proposals to overhaul the EU’s diplomatic service, The Financial Times (FT) reported on 11 June, in a move that could limit the influence of EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas and shift more decision-making to the European Commission and national capitals.
Citing five senior officials briefed on the discussions, FT wrote that the proposals concern “stripping the powers” of the European External Action Service (EEAS) – the body created in 2010 to support the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy.
The EEAS is led by the EU’s chief diplomat, Kaja Kallas, a former prime minister of Estonia and hawk concerning European policy toward Russia.
“It is clear that [the EEAS] doesn’t work the way it should in today’s world. It is dysfunctional,” said one of the officials. “The problem is structural and so the structure needs to be rebuilt.”
During Kallas's tenure, the EU has faced issues including the wars in Ukraine and Iran, the erratic economic and foreign policies of US President Donald Trump, and threats to Europe’s energy supplies – in particular after the destruction of the Nord Stream Pipeline.
🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
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A rivalry has developed between the EU's top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, for control of the bloc's foreign policy
France and Germany are discussing proposals to overhaul the EU’s diplomatic service, The Financial Times (FT) reported on 11 June, in a move that could limit the influence of EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas and shift more decision-making to the European Commission and national capitals.
Citing five senior officials briefed on the discussions, FT wrote that the proposals concern “stripping the powers” of the European External Action Service (EEAS) – the body created in 2010 to support the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy.
The EEAS is led by the EU’s chief diplomat, Kaja Kallas, a former prime minister of Estonia and hawk concerning European policy toward Russia.
“It is clear that [the EEAS] doesn’t work the way it should in today’s world. It is dysfunctional,” said one of the officials. “The problem is structural and so the structure needs to be rebuilt.”
During Kallas's tenure, the EU has faced issues including the wars in Ukraine and Iran, the erratic economic and foreign policies of US President Donald Trump, and threats to Europe’s energy supplies – in particular after the destruction of the Nord Stream Pipeline.
🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
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The Cradle
France, Germany propose 'stripping' top EU diplomat Kallas of her powers: Report
A rivalry has developed between the EU's top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, for control of the bloc's foreign policy
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US President Donald Trump Said That He Suggested To "Israel" That Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa "Will Do The Job" Against The Lebanese Resistance.
At a G7 summit, Trump praised al-Sharaa as "doing an amazing job", saying "If Israel can't do the job (against Hezbollah) without then he (al-Sharaa) will do the job. Syria will do the job."
Trump also said that he has a great relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but that he must be "more responsible" with respect to Lebanon, asserting that he did not like the Israeli aggression on Beirut.
#Lebanon #Syria #Hezbollah #Trump
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Al Mayadeen English
Related: 6/16 — Syrian President Pours Cold Water On US Claims Of Willingness To 'Enter' Lebanon
4/6 — Israel Considering ‘Unprecedented’ Partnership With Syria Against Hezbollah: Report
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At a G7 summit, Trump praised al-Sharaa as "doing an amazing job", saying "If Israel can't do the job (against Hezbollah) without then he (al-Sharaa) will do the job. Syria will do the job."
Trump also said that he has a great relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but that he must be "more responsible" with respect to Lebanon, asserting that he did not like the Israeli aggression on Beirut.
#Lebanon #Syria #Hezbollah #Trump
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Al Mayadeen English
Related: 6/16 — Syrian President Pours Cold Water On US Claims Of Willingness To 'Enter' Lebanon
4/6 — Israel Considering ‘Unprecedented’ Partnership With Syria Against Hezbollah: Report
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Joe Kent: It Is A Very Good Thing That President Trump Was Able To Sign The MOU With Iran And End This War.
I pray the peace holds—restraining Israel & focusing on stability in the region will be critical to ensure it lasts.
God Bless America 🇺🇸
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Joe Kent
Related: 6/8 — Joe Kent on Trump Telling FT Israel Has No Choice But To Accept US Deal: This Must Be Backed Up With Action If Trump Is Serious.
5/25 — Joe Kent on Potential Iran Peace Deal and Need to Restrain Israelis: The Announcement By President Trump About The Potential Peace Deal Is Very Good News.
4/8 — Joe Kent: To Ensure The Ceasefire Is Successful We Must First Ensure That We Restrain The Israelis.
3/23 — 🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Joe Kent Post: Step 1 In Deescalation Must Be Restraining The Israelis, Otherwise All Efforts To Negotiate Will Follow This Pattern:
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I pray the peace holds—restraining Israel & focusing on stability in the region will be critical to ensure it lasts.
God Bless America 🇺🇸
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Joe Kent
Related: 6/8 — Joe Kent on Trump Telling FT Israel Has No Choice But To Accept US Deal: This Must Be Backed Up With Action If Trump Is Serious.
5/25 — Joe Kent on Potential Iran Peace Deal and Need to Restrain Israelis: The Announcement By President Trump About The Potential Peace Deal Is Very Good News.
4/8 — Joe Kent: To Ensure The Ceasefire Is Successful We Must First Ensure That We Restrain The Israelis.
3/23 — 🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Joe Kent Post: Step 1 In Deescalation Must Be Restraining The Israelis, Otherwise All Efforts To Negotiate Will Follow This Pattern:
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US President Donald Trump Told The Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation (KAN) That He Has A Good Relationship With Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, And There Is A Good Chance He Will Support Him In The Elections, But He Wants To Get To Know The Other Candidates So Said That Netanyahu "Needs To Be More Rational, And I Am Ready To Meet With Him.”
🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
Related: 6/11 — Most Israelis Oppose Netanyahu's Re-Election As Trump Says PM 'may Quit Politics'
6/11 — ⭕️ Trump questions Netanyahu’s future, calls him ‘wartime Prime Minister’
6/8 — Netanyahu Just Told Trump To Go Fck Himself.
6/8 — I Almost Feel Sorry For Trump When He Feels A Need To Yell: Netanyahu Is Not My Boss!
2/26 — US President Donald Trump Says Israeli President Isaac Herzog Should Be "Ashamed" For Not Pardoning Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
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🔗SOURCE ➡️ The Cradle
Related: 6/11 — Most Israelis Oppose Netanyahu's Re-Election As Trump Says PM 'may Quit Politics'
6/11 — ⭕️ Trump questions Netanyahu’s future, calls him ‘wartime Prime Minister’
6/8 — Netanyahu Just Told Trump To Go Fck Himself.
6/8 — I Almost Feel Sorry For Trump When He Feels A Need To Yell: Netanyahu Is Not My Boss!
2/26 — US President Donald Trump Says Israeli President Isaac Herzog Should Be "Ashamed" For Not Pardoning Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
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Forwarded from Anarchismemes (Mitchell)
The Government Has One Tool: Force. Be Careful Every Time You Ask It To Solve A Problem.
https://x.com/amitylee13/status/2067250415519871418
Follow: @Anarchismemes
https://x.com/amitylee13/status/2067250415519871418
Follow: @Anarchismemes
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Trump Mocks Netanyahu🚨
"We are the big partner, and he is the very small partner."
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Parody Jeff
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"We are the big partner, and he is the very small partner."
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Parody Jeff
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🤣4
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Trump On Israel: 'I Think They Could Do Better With Respect To Hezbollah. I'm Not Saying They Shouldn't Protect Themselves. I'm Saying When Two Drones Are Shot Into The Desert And Drop Harmlessly, You Don't Have To Knock Down Buildings In Beirut. They Could Behave Better.'
🔗SOURCE ➡️ Insider Paper
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🔗SOURCE ➡️ Insider Paper
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