Forwarded from Fiorella In Moscow (Fiorella)
π¨ Sorry but Hershβs latest article is supposition from a western viewpoint at best & just because someone whoβs renowned or admired writes something doesnβt mean itβs true. Especially when advocating in favor of intelligence agencies & constantly only from their perspective. The article states βIt is thought that Putin would want to make a deal,β alleging Russian losses were disproportionate.
Hereβs why I think this is an unlikely scenario: βοΈ
1) This is supposition about what the Russian leader might do. And thatβs all it is. Intelligence agents, State Dept spooks, constantly & willingly telling only one journalist said information this often, has an agenda. And thatβs been clear for months from these anonymous* revelations.
2) Where are they getting this? Ukraineβs losses have been disproportionate. Yes thereβs loss of life on both sides. But why would Russia have to prove anything to the west by holding new elections in the way they would want? Why would the need to appease the west? They donβt need them, quite the other way around. Also the source mentions a stalemate. This isnβt a stalemate. Ukraine has essentially lost and refused to admit defeat.
3) If Russia would be this naive to trust anything the west says as weβve been here before, it would discredit everything theyβve done. Plus it would destroy any purpose that it had in the SMO. Putin would lose so much public support. It makes 0 sense.
4) The Minsk agreements all show the west has 0 intention of respecting anything. To accept Ukraine into NATO would literally violate its own red line. Most of NATO doesnβt even want Ukraine to join it & itβs less of likelihood now that Zelenskyy and other have admitted to the failure of the counteroffensive.
5) Russia is extremely diplomatic yes but things have changed in terms of the point of no return. Peace is possible of course as has been said by both the RFM and the Kremlin, but only if Russiaβs demands are meant to ensure this wonβt happen again. Yet this entire scenario lays out the foundations for this to continue and for some sort of control by the west to be established.
6) Russia wants the war to end, as do many others and Ukraine is already in bed with NATO, so itβs not even that itβs acceptance would change much outwardly. But in terms of inward actions, in terms of what joining NATO means in the language of war, even beyond article 5, this along with other concessions made by Russia doesnβt seem like a realistic solution theyβd want. They understand Ukraine as a proxy will always continue to be used by the west for the final objective: The balkanization of Russia.
Hereβs why I think this is an unlikely scenario: βοΈ
1) This is supposition about what the Russian leader might do. And thatβs all it is. Intelligence agents, State Dept spooks, constantly & willingly telling only one journalist said information this often, has an agenda. And thatβs been clear for months from these anonymous* revelations.
2) Where are they getting this? Ukraineβs losses have been disproportionate. Yes thereβs loss of life on both sides. But why would Russia have to prove anything to the west by holding new elections in the way they would want? Why would the need to appease the west? They donβt need them, quite the other way around. Also the source mentions a stalemate. This isnβt a stalemate. Ukraine has essentially lost and refused to admit defeat.
3) If Russia would be this naive to trust anything the west says as weβve been here before, it would discredit everything theyβve done. Plus it would destroy any purpose that it had in the SMO. Putin would lose so much public support. It makes 0 sense.
4) The Minsk agreements all show the west has 0 intention of respecting anything. To accept Ukraine into NATO would literally violate its own red line. Most of NATO doesnβt even want Ukraine to join it & itβs less of likelihood now that Zelenskyy and other have admitted to the failure of the counteroffensive.
5) Russia is extremely diplomatic yes but things have changed in terms of the point of no return. Peace is possible of course as has been said by both the RFM and the Kremlin, but only if Russiaβs demands are meant to ensure this wonβt happen again. Yet this entire scenario lays out the foundations for this to continue and for some sort of control by the west to be established.
6) Russia wants the war to end, as do many others and Ukraine is already in bed with NATO, so itβs not even that itβs acceptance would change much outwardly. But in terms of inward actions, in terms of what joining NATO means in the language of war, even beyond article 5, this along with other concessions made by Russia doesnβt seem like a realistic solution theyβd want. They understand Ukraine as a proxy will always continue to be used by the west for the final objective: The balkanization of Russia.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
βThis [conflict] proves once again that the US will never leave West Asia. The region is absolutely essential for the empire, considering that the Americans are being slowly, but surely and very forcefully expelled from the big Eurasia by the Russia-China strategic partnership β by their trade deals, their multilateral organizations and economic integration projects. All that goes completely against American domination of Eurasia," Pepe Escobar, veteran geopolitical analyst, told the New Rules podcast.
π Why Israel-US war in Gaza is a war on multipolarity, Zelensky's growing desperation, and the battle for BRICS: You can find the full episode on Rumble
β Definitely a must-watch!
π Why Israel-US war in Gaza is a war on multipolarity, Zelensky's growing desperation, and the battle for BRICS: You can find the full episode on Rumble
β Definitely a must-watch!
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Itβs time to revisit a topic which many found objectionable back when I addressed it in August 2022: How did the West get it so wrong on Russia?
The answer I offered then remains valid today: incompetence shaped by Russophobia.
The answer I offered then remains valid today: incompetence shaped by Russophobia.
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Just a reminder that Anne Applebaum has blood on her handsβ¦
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Seven psychological manipulations Biden used to pressure Congress to pass a new Ukraine aid package
Have you ever heard the manipulative "if we donβt protect Ukraine, we can be next" argument when Western leaders try to justify their poor policy? All such manipulations have been outdone by Joe Bidenβs latest urgent message to Congress: the address literally consisted of propaganda techniques.
Nika, our AI anchor, is sure that all of these psychological tricks have long been known. Get ready to find out what are they, and how to counter these tactics.
Subscribe to @geopolitics_live
Have you ever heard the manipulative "if we donβt protect Ukraine, we can be next" argument when Western leaders try to justify their poor policy? All such manipulations have been outdone by Joe Bidenβs latest urgent message to Congress: the address literally consisted of propaganda techniques.
Nika, our AI anchor, is sure that all of these psychological tricks have long been known. Get ready to find out what are they, and how to counter these tactics.
Subscribe to @geopolitics_live
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