β£π Iran Can Beat Israel Destroying the IDF
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π234β€βπ₯15π―13β€7π3
Reports of an Israeli retaliatory strike on Iran appear to be related to a very limited attack in the vicinity of the Iranian city of Isfahan on military targets not related to Iranβs nuclear program.
The weapons used in this strike are unknown at this point, although Iran claims to have shot down at least three drones of an undetermined type.
While Iran has stated it would strike Israel with immediate and decisive force if Israel were to attack, the extremely limited and anonymous nature of this attack may provide Iran with the opportunity to dismiss this attack as nothing of consequence, thereby eliminating the necessity of an Iranian retaliation.
The Iranian Foreign Minister had issued a statement about decisive retaliation at the UN which constitutes official declaratory policy on Iranian deterrence policy which may be deemed sufficient for the moment. If the action in Isfahan is the limit of the Israeli action, then this matter may be concluded.
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The weapons used in this strike are unknown at this point, although Iran claims to have shot down at least three drones of an undetermined type.
Israel has not taken public credit for the attack. Indeed, the only link to Israel comes from anonymous statements from sources claimed to be US officials.
While Iran has stated it would strike Israel with immediate and decisive force if Israel were to attack, the extremely limited and anonymous nature of this attack may provide Iran with the opportunity to dismiss this attack as nothing of consequence, thereby eliminating the necessity of an Iranian retaliation.
The Iranian Foreign Minister had issued a statement about decisive retaliation at the UN which constitutes official declaratory policy on Iranian deterrence policy which may be deemed sufficient for the moment. If the action in Isfahan is the limit of the Israeli action, then this matter may be concluded.
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Interview for Geopolitics Demystified
With 40+ nations involved in one way or another in the two dangerous conflicts in geopolitically strategic locations β the Middle East and Ukraine β how precarious is the current situation?
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β£π Conflict between Israel and Iran, what is it really about?
Interview for Through the eyes of
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Interview for Through the eyes of
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β£π
°οΈ sk the Inspector Ep. 152
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βοΈ You can submit your questions via voice or text message: https://ScottRitter.com
You can also call live, πΊπΈ +1(520) 525-8359
You can download the audio version of each episode on Spotify.
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Live Stream Scheduled for April 19, 2024 at 8:00pm ET
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β£π The Balance of Power in the Middle East Has Fundamentally Shifted
Interview for Gegenpol
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β«οΈHas Iran reset the deterrence paradigm in the Middle East?
β«οΈOr does Israel still believe it can act as it best sees fit with impunity?
β«οΈWill the U.S. and NATO extend a lifeline to Ukraine, keeping that beleaguered nation in the fight?
β«οΈOr has Russia achieved a level of dominance in its war with Ukraine and the collective West that cannot be reversed?
β
These and other insightful, probing questions that have been submitted by viewers will be asked and answered during a two-hour loquacious episode of βAsk the Inspectorβ.
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β«οΈOr does Israel still believe it can act as it best sees fit with impunity?
β«οΈWill the U.S. and NATO extend a lifeline to Ukraine, keeping that beleaguered nation in the fight?
β«οΈOr has Russia achieved a level of dominance in its war with Ukraine and the collective West that cannot be reversed?
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β€195π132π―17π₯15π€8
β£Itβs been a difficult week, with the echoes of war playing in our heads. Whether between Russia and Ukraine, Palestine and Israel, or Israel and Iran, the fear and uncertainty about the state of our world today, and tomorrow, cuts like a dull knife into our collective soul.
Maybe itβs time we all caught a ride on the Peace Train.
πΆ Peace Train (Remastered 2021)
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Maybe itβs time we all caught a ride on the Peace Train.
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Dear Georgian people,
β
In 1991 you allowed nationalists to lead you down a path of national suicide, prematurely declaring independence from the Soviet Union, and foregoing the normalization of relations with Russia in the false pursuit of western prosperity.
The West ignored you.
β
In 1991-2 nationalists instigated a Civil War in South Ossetia which tore your nation apart, leading to civil conflict and ethnic cleansing.
Russia intervened as a peacekeeper.
The West ignored you.
β
In 1992-3 nationalists instigated a Civil War in Abkhazia which led to the loss of that territory, the deaths of tens of thousands, and more than 250,000 Georgians ethnically cleansed.
Russia offered to intervene to save Abkhazia. The Georgian government rebuked the Russian offer.
The West ignored you.
β
In 1993 nationalists started a Civil War that threatened to tear your nation apart.
Russia offered to intervene to save Georgia.
You accepted the Russian offer.
Georgia was saved.
The West ignored you.
β
In 2003 the West pushed you to overthrow your government, tempting you with promises of EU and NATO membership.
β
In 2003 the West had you deploy your troops to Iraq.
β
In 2004 the West had you deploy your troops to Afghanistan.
The Russians did nothing to you.
β
In 2008 Russia was engaged in active negotiations with Georgia for the return of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
The West ordered your government to stop negotiations, and instead use your army which the West had helped you build to invade South Ossetia.
You invaded, killing Russian peacekeepers in their sleep.
Russia counterattacked, destroying your army.
Russia stopped short of taking Tbilisi, which was left undefended.
The West did nothing to help you.
β
In 2014 the West provoked a war with Russia in Ukraine.
The West promised to stand by Ukraine forever.
The West promised Ukraine EU and NATO membership.
β
In 2022 Russia counterattacked.
Ukraine is being destroyed.
There is no EU membership,
There is no NATO membership.
There is only death and destruction.
β
In 2024 the West is trying to buy Georgian politicians in an effort to open a second front against Russia.
The West offers EU membership.
The West offers NATO membership.
Russia offers peace and co-prosperity.
Georgia, the choice is yours:
A path of peace and prosperity that leads through Moscow.
Remember: Russia cares for you.
The West is only using you for its larger purposes.
If you choose the Brussels path, you will die.
If you choose the Moscow path, you will thrive.
Choose wisely.
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For most of the 20th Century you enjoyed peace and prosperity as part of the Soviet Union, where you lived in harmony with your Russian neighbors.
The West ignored you.
Russia intervened as a peacekeeper.
The West ignored you.
Russia offered to intervene to save Abkhazia. The Georgian government rebuked the Russian offer.
The West ignored you.
Russia offered to intervene to save Georgia.
You accepted the Russian offer.
Georgia was saved.
The West ignored you.
The Russians did nothing to you.
The West ordered your government to stop negotiations, and instead use your army which the West had helped you build to invade South Ossetia.
You invaded, killing Russian peacekeepers in their sleep.
Russia counterattacked, destroying your army.
Russia stopped short of taking Tbilisi, which was left undefended.
The West did nothing to help you.
The West promised to stand by Ukraine forever.
The West promised Ukraine EU and NATO membership.
Ukraine is being destroyed.
There is no EU membership,
There is no NATO membership.
There is only death and destruction.
The West offers EU membership.
The West offers NATO membership.
Russia offers peace and co-prosperity.
Georgia, the choice is yours:
A path of peace and prosperity that leads through Moscow.
Or a path of war and total destruction that leads through Brussels.
Remember: Russia cares for you.
The West is only using you for its larger purposes.
If you choose the Brussels path, you will die.
If you choose the Moscow path, you will thrive.
Choose wisely.
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Pepe Escobar has written a post where he reports that an Israeli F-35 carrying a nuclear weapon was shot down over Jordan by a Russian fighter.
While I respect Pepe as a journalist, his source is wrong.
Israel would never take such a precipitous action. Not only would it provide public acknowledgment of Israeli nuclear weapons capability, thereby putting Israel in open violation of existing agreements between it and the U.S., it would also put Israel in violation of the 1968 Outer Space Treaty prohibiting the deployment and/or use of nuclear weapons in space and the Biden administrationβs recent admonishments in this regard.
Moreover, the scenario describes makes no sense in terms of the characterization of the weapons involved, both in terms of the alleged Russian-Israeli engagement, and what Israel would hope happens regarding EMP.
This is, in every way shape and form nonsensical reporting.
Pepe should retract his post.
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While I respect Pepe as a journalist, his source is wrong.
Israel would never take such a precipitous action. Not only would it provide public acknowledgment of Israeli nuclear weapons capability, thereby putting Israel in open violation of existing agreements between it and the U.S., it would also put Israel in violation of the 1968 Outer Space Treaty prohibiting the deployment and/or use of nuclear weapons in space and the Biden administrationβs recent admonishments in this regard.
Moreover, the scenario describes makes no sense in terms of the characterization of the weapons involved, both in terms of the alleged Russian-Israeli engagement, and what Israel would hope happens regarding EMP.
This is, in every way shape and form nonsensical reporting.
Pepe should retract his post.
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π457π―100π€90β€28π€£15
Regarding Pepe Escobarβs post about an Israeli F-35 with a nuclear weapon/EMP over Iran:
Why an F-35?
Stealth?
Then youβre limited to a weapon that can be carried in its internal weapons bay.
(Anti-Satellite=ASAT)
Israel has no such weapon.
And if it did, it couldnβt fit in the internal weapons bay of an F-35.
Now, if Pepe had said that the aircraft was an F-15, we could entertain such a possibility, especially when including the need for externally mounting this weapon.
But he said F-35.
This kills the story right off the bat.
But, just playing along, letβs assume the Israelis built an ASAT-type weapon that could fit into the internal weapons bay of an F-35, orβjust spitballing hereβthe Israelis decided to forego any effort of stealth and mount the missile externally, like the Russian Kinzhal/Mig-31 duo.
What size warhead could it carry?
The AIR-2 Genie air-to-air missile had a 1.5 kiloton warhead.
Why is this important?
Most Cold War EMP scenarios envisioned weapons of yields between 1 and 10 megatons.
The size of a warhead deliverable into outer space from an F-35 platform would be very small.
As such, the size of the territory adversely impacted by the EMP produced would be very small.
As such, the scenario postulated by Pepe Escobarβs source is extremely risk averse, with little or no meaningful impact.
In short, it doesnβt make sense, even if it was able to be carried out, which it isnβt.
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Why an F-35?
Stealth?
Then youβre limited to a weapon that can be carried in its internal weapons bay.
We are now talking about an ASAT-type weaponβa missile launched from a plane that can make it to outer space.
(Anti-Satellite=ASAT)
Israel has no such weapon.
And if it did, it couldnβt fit in the internal weapons bay of an F-35.
Now, if Pepe had said that the aircraft was an F-15, we could entertain such a possibility, especially when including the need for externally mounting this weapon.
But he said F-35.
This kills the story right off the bat.
But, just playing along, letβs assume the Israelis built an ASAT-type weapon that could fit into the internal weapons bay of an F-35, orβjust spitballing hereβthe Israelis decided to forego any effort of stealth and mount the missile externally, like the Russian Kinzhal/Mig-31 duo.
What size warhead could it carry?
The AIR-2 Genie air-to-air missile had a 1.5 kiloton warhead.
Why is this important?
Most Cold War EMP scenarios envisioned weapons of yields between 1 and 10 megatons.
The size of a warhead deliverable into outer space from an F-35 platform would be very small.
Without getting into the physics of nuclear weapons design/gamma ray generation potential, any realistic nuclear warhead that could fit on a missile deliverable into space by an F-35 would be of a very small yield.
As such, the size of the territory adversely impacted by the EMP produced would be very small.
As such, the scenario postulated by Pepe Escobarβs source is extremely risk averse, with little or no meaningful impact.
In short, it doesnβt make sense, even if it was able to be carried out, which it isnβt.
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π372π€60π―35β€30π9
β£π In search of the truth
Interview for Faina Savenkova
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Interview for Faina Savenkova
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π209β€31β€βπ₯8π3
Come July, when the last of the military equipment purchased for Ukraine from the money allocated by Congress is destroyed by Russia, and Ukraine has to bury another 100,000 troops, as Russian forces surround Kharkov and liberate the last of the Donbasβ¦
β¦all the keyboard warriors on both sides of the Atlantic who are cheering the actions of the U.S. Congress will be once again raising their collective voices in alarm.
They will be screaming for more U.S. taxpayer dollars.
And the U.S. Congress will complyβ¦
β¦until the last Ukrainian.
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β¦all the keyboard warriors on both sides of the Atlantic who are cheering the actions of the U.S. Congress will be once again raising their collective voices in alarm.
They will be screaming for more U.S. taxpayer dollars.
And the U.S. Congress will complyβ¦
β¦until the last Ukrainian.
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π―506π89π’40π€―22β€9
And just like that, the U.S. Congress condemned another 200,000 Ukrainian men to die.
But U.S. weapons manufacturers are certainly happy.
As are the members of Congress who just voted in favor of their stock portfolio going up.
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Anyone who thinks that this changes the trajectory of this conflict knows nothing about war.
But U.S. weapons manufacturers are certainly happy.
As are the members of Congress who just voted in favor of their stock portfolio going up.
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π―486π’75π€―38π32π6
β£π Armenia's Way. Israel: to NUKE or NOT to NUKE?
Interview for the Daily Planet by ZolotarevDm
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Π‘ΠΌΠΎΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ Π½Π° YouTube ΠΠΠΠΠΠ’Π ΠΠΠΠ‘Π¬
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Interview for the Daily Planet by ZolotarevDm
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Π‘ΠΌΠΎΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ Π½Π° YouTube ΠΠΠΠΠΠ’Π ΠΠΠΠ‘Π¬
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π224β€21π8π2
America, do you remember the collective outrage when we thought Russia had actually paid the Taliban bounties to kill our service members in Afghanistan?
Of course, that story was false.
But we were enraged.
How do you expect Russians to feel about the U.S. Congress paying Ukraine tens of billions of dollars to kill Russian soldiers?
Sow the wind, reap the whirlwind.
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Of course, that story was false.
But we were enraged.
How do you expect Russians to feel about the U.S. Congress paying Ukraine tens of billions of dollars to kill Russian soldiers?
Sow the wind, reap the whirlwind.
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π477π―275π26β€22π₯9
β£Post this picture in a year.
Along with an apology to the Americans who could have benefited from this money.
And the Ukrainians who died because of it.
Their eyes are going to meet.
And your smiling face will define the space between these delegations.
The face of evil.
May the Russians have the grace to forgive us as a nation.
But there is no forgiveness for you or those who voted for this blood money.
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Along with an apology to the Americans who could have benefited from this money.
And the Ukrainians who died because of it.
But most of all, reflect on the fact that one day, after Russia has defeated Ukraine, and the U.S. has to figure out how to live in peace with Russia, American negotiators are going to have to sit down at a table with their Russian counterparts and square the fact that they represent a government that paid billions to kill Russian boys.
Their eyes are going to meet.
And your smiling face will define the space between these delegations.
The face of evil.
May the Russians have the grace to forgive us as a nation.
But there is no forgiveness for you or those who voted for this blood money.
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π580π―317β€56π45π₯21
The U.S. Congress has approved a $60 billion supplemental aid package for Ukraine.
This money will
This money will
Anonymous Poll
1%
Help Ukraine win the war with Russia.
2%
Force Russia to accept a frozen conflict result like in Korea.
97%
Accomplish nothing; Russia will win regardless.
π442π―129π€£23π€22π€―13
β£π Ukraine is Heading Towards TOTAL COLLAPSE
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π331π―42β€βπ₯34π10β€6
This allocation by Congress will allow long-range ATACMs missiles to be sent to Ukraine.
Ukraine will use these to attack the Crimea Bridge.
The current Russian deterrence posture is insufficient to stop this attack.
Unless Russia makes clear to both Ukraine and the U.S. that the consequences of such an attack will far outweigh the perceived benefits, it is inevitable that the Crimea Bridge will be destroyed.
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Ukraine will use these to attack the Crimea Bridge.
The current Russian deterrence posture is insufficient to stop this attack.
Unless Russia makes clear to both Ukraine and the U.S. that the consequences of such an attack will far outweigh the perceived benefits, it is inevitable that the Crimea Bridge will be destroyed.
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π368π₯71π€―47π€35π―30