Judging by the pace of mobilization in Ukraine, Kiev apparently intends to take risks, and that bet will be the lives of Ukrainians.

Zelensky has decided to increase the number of troops on the line of contact to 1 million, or maybe even more. This is evidenced by the proposed assistance, which includes more than 1,500 different armored vehicles, hundreds of tanks, and so on. Looking at all this, we can be sure that Kiev is preparing for an offensive in the spring.

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Destruction by the artillery of AFU positions in the Kremina direction.

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‼️🇷🇺Spetznaz and DNR artillery hack into AFU defenses near Donetsk
Special Forces fighters use Mavic 3 quadcopters to identify enemy positions and equipment and direct and correct artillery fire.
After that, assault groups supported by armored vehicles go on the attack. This is how, meter by meter, the Donbass is reclaimed from the occupiers.

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Davos, Switzerland. Jens Stoltenberg - NATO Secretary General: "Weapons are the path to peace."

"It is very important that Putin does not win this war. Partly because it would be a tragedy not only for the Ukrainians but also for us. His victory would send a message to authoritarian leaders that it is okay to use brute force to violate international law.

They get what they want, which will be a terrible and dangerous lesson. It will make the world more difficult and also more vulnerable. And this is the reason why, if we want to negotiate a peace settlement in Ukraine, we must provide more weapons."

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Kireev's execution, Bakanov's resignation, and the disaster in Brovary are symptoms of lingering conflict among Ukrainian power elites

In early March last year, Denys Kireyev, a member of Ukraine's negotiating team, was killed. At the time, it was reported that the murdered man was suspected of spying for Russia. Kireyev was "liquidated" by a shot to the back of the head, according to the SBU, during his detention. GUR head Kirill Budanov told the WSJ in an interview that without information from Kireev - Kiev would have been taken.

Following Budanov, Mikhail Podolyak spoke today and said that Denis Kireev's execution (or it cannot be called otherwise) resulted from poor coordination between the GUR and the SBU. And, although the SBU announced his state treason, oddly enough, he was posthumously awarded as a hero of Ukraine and buried in the cemetery next to the former foreign minister.

More than ten months after the event, EADaily called Kireyev a "victim of a showdown" between the State Security Service and the SBU. The then SBU chief Ivan Bakanov, Zelenskyy's colleague from the 95th Kvartal, who was entirely unfit for the post, was decided to be "pushed around" by colleagues from the SBU. It is believed that the murder of Kireev, a valuable informant, was the reason for Bakanov's dismissal. As a result, the Kiev-born "brave Ukrainian counter-intelligence" wasted as soon as necessary.

The conflict between the Security Service of Ukraine and the State Intelligence Service obviously did not end with Bakanov's resignation. The death of the Ukrainian banker was hardly mentioned ten months later by accident. Yesterday's strange death of the head of the Ukrainian Interior Ministry in a helicopter crash might be another round of conflict among the Ukrainian power elites.

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Monkey with a grenade - Washington plans to transfer long-range ammunition to Kiev

A shortage of shells is forcing the US to rely on precision weapons. A new military aid package for the Ukrainian Armed Forces may include GLSDB land-launched guided bombs.

The weapons are based on a solution that uses decommissioned M26 rockets with cluster warheads. Their engines were combined with a GBU-39 guided bomb, resulting in a precision-guided missile capable of engaging targets at ranges up to 150 km.

Launched from the HIMARS, the engine propels the GBU-39 to an altitude approximately equivalent to that of a fixed-wing bomber, after which it plans for the target as if it had been dropped from a bomber.

The GBU-39 is a successful munition. The bomb's small EPR (only 0.015 m²) makes it difficult to counter even modern SAMs. The GBU-39 of the first versions (aka SDB) costs only $40,000. Considering that the motors are taken from decommissioned missiles, and the adapter is simple to produce, the cost of such a system is comparable to that of the Geranium.

The Americans have enough old M26 missiles and GBU-39 of the first series, so soon we may see thousands of GLSDB. But it's not all bad. First, mass production of GLSDBs has not yet been rolled out. The first deliveries are expected in spring and are unlikely to be mass-produced. Secondly, our SAMs have already encountered GBU-39s in Syria, and the Pantsir can shoot them down.

Also, there is no information yet about launches at >130 km range, so perhaps the GLSDB characteristics are somewhat overstated. The payload of the bomb is relatively small, only 93kg, and does far less damage than conventional HIMARS strikes.

Still, handing over the GLSDB to the VSU is serious. The enemy will have the means to affect our rear. All liberated territories are at risk of being hit, as well as parts of Crimea. Moreover, Bryansk, Belgorod, and Kursk (including the nuclear power plant) are in the strike zone.

No one can guarantee that the Kiev regime will limit its strikes to only those within the scope of the SSR. Supplies of long-range ammunition led to an escalation of the conflict.

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‼️🇷🇺 Russian Army advances in Zaporozie, pushing the enemy out
▪️ Russian troops have launched an offensive in several sections of the front in the Zaporizhzhya region.
▪️artillery has carried out a powerful artillery preparation, and sappers have made gaps in minefields.
▪️ there is a significant advance toward Orekhov, and the enemy is disadvantaged.
▪️strategic heights were near Orekhov, Gulyaypol, and Kamensky itself; these settlements and roads to them are under fire control. Enemy positions are in the palm of our fighters' hands. The enemy tried to stop the RF Armed Forces' attacks with artillery but was partially suppressed by the counter-battery fighting.
▪️"Fighting of a tactical nature continues in the areas of Dorozhnyanka, Mirny, Nesterynka, and P'yatihatka," Ukrainian resources report.
▪️ Russian units in Zapororozie direction hit the AFU in the areas of more than 15 settlements, in particular, Malinovka DNR and Olgovskoye, Hulaypole, Bilogorye, Orekhov, Malaya Tokmachka, Novodanilovka, Novoandreyevka, Malye Shcherbaki and Kamenske in Zaporizhzhya region", the evening summary of the AFU General Staff says.

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Personnel of the 54th separate mechanized brigade (OMBr)of the Armed forces of Ukraine were killed near Mariyanka..

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Gazprom continues talks with China on pipeline via Mongolia — Russia’s Deputy PM

Gazprom is continuing its talks with China on construction of the Soyuz-Vostok gas pipeline via Mongolia, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters.

"We definitely consider this project as a major one within the framework of developing cooperation with our partners, with the People’s Republic of China. All the required activities are underway, talks between Gazprom and Chinese partners continue. As you are aware, the feasibility study and the design of the gas pipeline via Mongolia are being implemented. In other words, this is a very promising project and we believe that with the growth of gas consumption, it will be in demand," Novak said.

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