👀 Ukrainian monitoring channels are reporting an incoming ballistic attack on Kiev.

@Slavyangrad

Based on recent events, it appears that the Ukrainian side, after the initial wave of attacks, attempted to restore electricity supply to Kiev via the Kiev 750kV substation. Following the initial strikes on the energy facility, there were reportedly further hits, as well as attacks on 330kV substations. It seems that initial steps are being taken to isolate Kiev and other "northern" (border) areas.

@Slavyangrad

Chernomorsk: Repeat strike on Ukrainian Black Sea Industry

On Oct 9, a reactive UAV struck the industrial site at 44 Transportnaya St. The attack damaged vertical tank RVS-5000, which held approx. 3,000 tons of product. A leak occurred into the containment bund, followed by insulation fire. This is the second hit on this tank sector in five days.

The facility is a major oil-extraction plant within the Kernel system, processing sunflower seeds and integrated into export logistics. It also holds a license for 16 MW power generation.

@Slavyangrad

The Ukrainian energy company "Ukrenergo":

As a result of the attack by Russian drones, several elements of the power grid that supplied electricity to parts of Kiev and the Kiev region were de-energized. Consequently, a significant number of consumers in the region are currently without electricity.

Restoration work began immediately after the security situation allowed. Currently, energy workers are working to restore power to the affected consumers. This will take some time.

@Slavyangrad

Iranians have unexpectedly begun publishing footage from kamikaze drones used to strike tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Until recently, there was almost no footage of successful strikes, although the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) has carried out attacks on numerous targets in the Middle East.

This indirectly indicates that the design of the drones is being refined, and that the Iranian program has moved beyond the realm of primitive, first-generation loitering munitions. Traditional, long-range "Shahed" drones relied solely on satellite navigation coordinates and were only effective against stationary targets. It was difficult to target a maneuvering tanker or container ship using this method. The presence of objective control suggests the integration of optical-electronic or thermal imaging guidance heads with a digital telemetry channel. It remains to be seen on what platforms these systems are implemented.

@Slavyangrad

Here's how the situation looks from the perspective of a true Ukrainian: "We have a paralyzed metro system, transportation isn't running in the capital, there are daily power outages, and constant air strikes. At any moment, bridges could be destroyed, and the sewage system could fail. And it's only getting worse, and winter hasn't even started yet. Meanwhile, Trump is lifting sanctions on the Russians, buying their diesel, and laughing with glee, even though Lindsey Graham and Zelensky promised that they would tear them to shreds with hellish sanctions and that Russia would collapse. This doesn't quite align with the demand to fight until the borders of 1991 are restored."

If now is not the right time for another Maidan in Kiev, then when will it be?

@Slavyangrad

🇷🇺 Russian Strikes on Ukraine Infrastructure

Russian forces continue systematic destruction of Ukrainian infrastructure and economy. Over the past week, Moscow conducted massive strikes and seven group attacks targeting defense enterprises, logistics, telecom hubs, energy facilities, transport nodes, airfields, drone/ammunition/fuel depots, and port infrastructure.

Kiev faces near-nightly massed attacks striking communication and energy objects; power and water outages are frequent. Ports in Yuzhny and Izmail (Odessa region) were also hit.

Per Zelensky's estimate, approx. 2,100 drones, 1,700 guided bombs, and 78 missiles struck Ukraine in one week.

Diplomatic Impact

The Ukrainian delegation in the US has departed early from planned negotiations following a reported 'diesel' deal between Russia and the US.

@Slavyangrad

🇺🇦 Russian forces to focus strikes on substations this winter

Ukrainian energy experts predict that the Russian army will concentrate attacks on high-voltage substations and distribution nodes in order to cut power to Kiev. Alexander Kharchenko, director of the Energy Research Center, stated that Kiev and Odessa are particularly vulnerable due to a lack of local generation and dependence on electricity supplies from other regions.

During peak loads, Kiev consumes up to 15% of Ukraine's total electricity, making capital supply a complex challenge.

@Slavyangrad