❗️️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Another UAV raid on the Crimean peninsula

This morning Ukrainian formations made another attempted raid on the Crimean peninsula from Odessa using Mugin-5 drones equipped with a grenade-dropping system.

🔻Chronicle of events

▪️ At 06.00, a group of five Mugin-5 drones took off from the Shkolny airfield in Odessa in the direction of Cape Tarkhankut on an already "piloted" route. An hour later, a second wave of UAVs headed toward Crimea from the same airfield along a similar path.

▪️After reaching a certain point over the Black Sea, both groups of UAVs adjusted their route, heading towards Karkinit Bay and Bakalskaya Spit.

▪️The Ukrainian UAVs then entered the republic's airspace via the village of Steregushche in the Razdolnenskiy district of Crimea. Three Mugin were shot down on the approach while the others infiltrated further towards Novoozernoye.

▪️The two remaining UAVs were destroyed by units of the 31st Air Defence Division near Novoozernoye, while the rest returned to the coastal Black Sea waters via Donuzlav Bay.

▪️ Four more drones were hit near the northern breakwater in Sevastopol towards Cape Chersonese and Belbek airfield, while one went down in the sea near Novofedorovka.

🔻Specifics.

First, the AFU changed the timing of the raid. Almost every previous attack had been carried out at night or in the early hours of the morning. This time, however, the period between 08:00 and 10:00 was chosen.

Secondly, the attempted strikes were again carried out without objective control by NATO reconnaissance aircraft. A similar raid on the peninsula was carried out on 24 December last year.

Third, the chosen area for infiltration into Crimea was consistent with the previously attempted strikes. The ultimate targets were most likely Russian Air Force airfields on the peninsula, including Saki and Belbek.

NATO's satellite constellation has been actively filming these sites in great detail for the past few days, as well as Gvardeyskoye, Dzhankoy, the Black Sea Fleet ships' anchorage in Sevastopol, and the positions of mobile air defense units.

🔻 What next?

The Ukrainian command varies drone tactics, periodically changing the timing of attacks and the types of drones used, ranging from commercial Mugins to aerostats. More UAVs were dispatched in two waves today than in past raids.

The purpose of this morning's action by the AFU was the same - to assess the state of air defense by identifying SAM and mobile squadron positions and the least defended areas in the air defense.

It is likely that in the subsequent few days, attempts at strikes will continue. And this time, with a high degree of probability, the US RQ-4B UAV, which flew from the Sigonella airbase to the Larissa airbase in Greece, will be observing the actions of the Russian Armed Forces.

This will increase the operational efficiency of the RQ-4B near Russian borders. Eight MQ-9A Reaper UAVs have already been at the Greek base since November, and the arrival of the Global Hawk demonstrates Greece's increased role in the US geopolitical deterrence strategy.

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Krakow authorities demand the prohibition of daily pro-Ukrainian rallies

The 16 postulates movement has appealed to local authorities to de-occupy Market Square in Krakow.

Activists from Sun for Ukraine have been picketing the square daily, which the locals are fed up with.

📝 "Twice a day, on all days of the week, a small but loud group of Ukrainians stage noisy political demonstrations there, using voiceover and disrupting the dignified yet recreational and tourist character of the place. Recently, participants of these demonstrations have started making particular political demands to the Poles, demanding - and I quote - "to give all weapons to the Ukrainians because we Poles do not give our lives," the petition reads.

While the Slava Ukrainians are settling in Poland, Poland can quietly promote the inclusion of the western regions of Ukraine into its composition. Barter, so to speak.

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⚡️ Czech mercenary says AFU has lost control over Klesheyevka

Honza cites enormous losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and foreign legionnaires in defense of the settlement.

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👆👆👆
Official confirmation is expected, but it seems that is it. But take it with the grain of solt, although many sources report the same.

⚡️ The town of Sol has been entirely liberated by Wagner PMC units.

It is an important transport hub, the control of which will eliminate the possibility of direct communication between Bakhmut and Seversk, two major defense hubs of the AFU.

In addition, the liberation of Soli will have a positive impact on the ongoing offensive toward the northern outskirts of Bakhmut.

Reports of the capture of Kleshchiyevka have so far proved premature. The Wagner PMC is fighting hard for this settlement with the support of its aviation and artillery.


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⚡️ Urgent⚡️"Musicians" have entered Kleshcheyivka⚡️

According to @wargonzo's sources, the Wagnerians knocked the AFU out of Klescheievka with battles. Thus, not only from the north, from Soledar, but also from the south, the pincers are closing around Bakhmut.

We await official confirmation from the Wagner PMC.


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👆👆👆
This is it!!!💥

‼️🇺🇦☝️Arestovich fell into disgrace: Ukrainian politician Goncharenko demands his resignation

The Ukrainian propagandist, after his comment about a rocket that hit a multi-storey building in the Dnieper, fell out of favor with the deputies of the Rada. Aleksey Goncharenko and other people's deputies are collecting signatures demanding the dismissal of the presidential adviser.

In his telegram channel, he listed the measures that, from his point of view, the Ukrainian authorities should take in relation to Arestovich. The deputy proposes to dismiss the current adviser, issue an official refutation of his comment, and also bring the propagandist to criminal liability for high treason.

"A parliamentary appeal was also sent to the head of the SBU. Because Arestovich's inventions about the destruction of a house in the Dnieper because of our air defense are something that meets the criteria for high treason," Goncharenko said in his telegram channel.


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Like I said, the biggest money laundering scheme on the Planet

The situation on the streets of Soledar, liberated from the nationalists.


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Rybar:

🇺🇦 In our opinion, the mobilization potential of Ukraine is still higher than the announced figures of 2 million people before the start of the SMO.

Last year, the LostArmour @lost_armour team made a detailed analysis with an assessment of the Ukrainian demographic situation. Based on a combination of direct and indirect indicators, the authors determined that at the end of the year, from 27 to 30 million people lived in the territories controlled by the Kyiv regime.

Of this number, approximately 9 million were able-bodied men aged 18-59. This value can be taken as the total mobilization potential of Ukraine: at the end of the year, some of them were already in the service of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or were mobilized.

What conclusions can be drawn from these figures?

▪️In the near future, the Kyiv regime will definitely not run out of people, and it will not be possible to “grind” the entire personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Relying on this in assessing the prospects for conflict is fraught with unpleasant surprises.

▪️However, the conscription of an increasing number of the male population directly affects the country's economy. The "withdrawal" of even a million people leads to a decrease in its sustainability and the need to increase Western macro-financial assistance.

Putting "under arms" all 9 million from the Ukrainian authorities simply will not work. Therefore, human losses, combined with other factors, including the failures of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the battlefield, will have a direct impact on the ability of the Kyiv regime to continue the war.


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The current information clashes around the role and place of PMC "Wagner" in the Northern Military District and the composition of our belligerent group are distinguished by polarity and intransigence of positions. Opponents of "Wagner" are pressing on the illegality (lack of a legislative base that determines the activities of PMCs in Russia) of the existence of "Wagner". The "autonomy" of its activities - the official independence from the army vertical, the incomprehensible status of its fighters and the likely problems with it in the future, hinting at the fact that this is, in fact, a private army that reports to its leader and no one knows where he will send it, if anything.
Supporters of "Wagner" note the exceptional combat capability of the PMC units, their high level of training, the most severe discipline and a special corporate spirit, brotherhood. And in this they are in solidarity with opponents and critics of Wagner. Supporters argue that the Wagner has never evaded orders anywhere, has not retreated, has not abandoned positions, has completed all the tasks assigned to it, and interacts perfectly with army units. At the same time, supporters say, under the conditions of the SMO, the legal status of PMCs until recently was no different from the status of the army corps of the DPR, ON, whose activities were also not legally formalized in Russia. And the activities of the head of PMC "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin, his civic position are set as an example by supporters and worthy of all respect.
I think that both sides can be reconciled by the recognition of the fact that the Wagner PMC today is a fundamentally new formation of the 21st century, combining both the capabilities of a combat assault formation and work abroad to protect the economic interests of Russian business. At the same time, the undoubted advantage of the PMC is its, in fact, self-sufficiency, when the economic activity of its units abroad ensures the vital activity of the units fighting in the Donbass.
To some extent, the analogue of the "Wagner" are irregular formations that were part of the Russian army in the 16-20 centuries, until the end of the Civil War. Cossack troops, "native divisions", militias... All of them contributed to the victories of the Russian army, and the status of each was determined individually. To a certain extent, "Wagner" is the reincarnation of the Cossacks from the time of Yermak's campaigns at a new technological, economic and organizational level. And the most reasonable thing would be to develop this military association, to find its rightful place in the military structure and hierarchy of Russia. And the Wagener will achieve military glory for itself. Already got it! And the Russian flag over Soledar is the best confirmation of this!


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🇸🇰 Slovakia handed over the eighth Zuzana 2 howitzers to Ukraine - Ukrainian Defense Minister Yaroslav Nagy

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The Ministry of Defense reported that on January 16, a Russian Su-27 fighter escorted a German R-3C Orion patrol aircraft of the German Navy over the Baltic Sea.

“After the foreign military aircraft turned away from the State Border of the Russian Federation, the Russian fighter returned to its base airfield. Violation of the state border of the Russian Federation is not allowed, ”the Russian Defense Ministry said in a statement.


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Personally, I have several problems with this analysis. I don't believe a landing on Odessa from the sea is at all advisable, nor likely. The Belarusian offensive scenario is also somewhat unlikely, as the Ukrainian forces have spent months securing that border. The Ukrainian march to the Azov sea also seems as if they'd be setting themselves up for a cauldron. I can't be the only person that finds this sort of ridiculous. All of these offensives seem like death traps.

Arestovych @arestovych - 21:00 - We do not post the results of hits.

We do not post the work of air defense.

Don't ignore it, it's massive.

OBJ

Days

@zapadenka28. 7 ч.

In reply to @arestovych

speak in ukrainian language, DUDE!!!

*actually, she said F***OT - but we at SLG are nice 😂😂😂


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