The U.S. strategic oil reserve has fallen by 42% in the two years of Biden's tenure.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คก241๐49๐36๐12๐ฅ8๐ฉ5๐คฏ2๐ฅฐ1๐คฃ1
Why I am skeptical of the "410,000 Ukrainian losses" claim - by Grigori, Slavyangrad
Lately, I have seen a rapidly spreading claim that "Statfor Forecasting" (getting Strategic Forecasting/Stratfor's name wrong is not the best start) believe Ukraine have irretrievable losses of 410,000, with 305,000 dead (we here at Slavyangrad also posted it, but under rumours).
I have attempted to track down the original source, as well as actual proof in the form of a Stratfor document, article, or screenshot. As of yet we have found absolutely nothing even remotely credible. Just many Russian and English sources (on Telegram, Twitter, and low-quality websites) all repeating the same lines and continually sourcing each other as proof (or providing no source at all).
I find this to be very dubious and a horrible way to report information. Furthermore, if it turns out to be false, it can easily be used against Russian credibility overall.
Even if this figure turns out to be true, the way it has been presented has been far from optimal and we should all be wary of information being presented this way in the future.
- Grigori
Join Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Lately, I have seen a rapidly spreading claim that "Statfor Forecasting" (getting Strategic Forecasting/Stratfor's name wrong is not the best start) believe Ukraine have irretrievable losses of 410,000, with 305,000 dead (we here at Slavyangrad also posted it, but under rumours).
I have attempted to track down the original source, as well as actual proof in the form of a Stratfor document, article, or screenshot. As of yet we have found absolutely nothing even remotely credible. Just many Russian and English sources (on Telegram, Twitter, and low-quality websites) all repeating the same lines and continually sourcing each other as proof (or providing no source at all).
I find this to be very dubious and a horrible way to report information. Furthermore, if it turns out to be false, it can easily be used against Russian credibility overall.
Even if this figure turns out to be true, the way it has been presented has been far from optimal and we should all be wary of information being presented this way in the future.
- Grigori
Join Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐573๐49๐ฅ25๐ค19โค18๐คก13๐5โคโ๐ฅ2๐2๐ฅฐ1
Slavyangrad pinned ยซWhy I am skeptical of the "410,000 Ukrainian losses" claim - by Grigori, Slavyangrad Lately, I have seen a rapidly spreading claim that "Statfor Forecasting" (getting Strategic Forecasting/Stratfor's name wrong is not the best start) believe Ukraine haveโฆยป
โ๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ๐ Chronicle of the special military operation: events of January 27, 2023
โช๏ธUkrainian forces made another attempt to attack in the Liman sector, attacking the positions of the Russian Armed Forces with the support of armored vehicles.
However, under the dense barrage of Russian artillery, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine bogged down, the enemy retreated to their original positions.
โช๏ธFighters of PMC "Wagner" continue to move towards Razdolovka and Nikolaevka to the north-east of Soledar.
The advancing forces are supported by artillerymen of the RF Armed Forces, who inflict massive strikes on Ukrainian positions in the area.
โช๏ธRussian units expanded the zone of control near Kleshcheevka along the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal.
Having pushed through the Ukrainian defenses, the โWagneritesโ are moving towards the villages of Krasnoe and Stupochki in order to cut off the APU grouping from the highway to Konstantinovka.
โช๏ธUkrainian formations again shelled the capital of the DPR and nearby cities.
One of the enemy's blows hit the busy Donetsk-Makeevka highway, but no casualties were avoided.
โช๏ธRussian servicemen continue to clean up the southeastern suburbs of Ugledar from enemy forces.
The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred reinforcements to the city from other directions, which makes it difficult for the further advancement of the RF Armed Forces.
โช๏ธIn anticipation of a possible new offensive of the Russian Armed Forces on Orekhov, active artillery preparation is underway along the entire front line.
Russian sabotage groups go deep into enemy territory and carry out target designation for artillery crews.
โช๏ธIn the Kherson region, artillery duels continue along the line of contact.
The RF Armed Forces carried out several strikes on the objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kherson and its environs, while the enemy fired at Aleshki.
https://t.me/SLGmaps/151
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
โช๏ธUkrainian forces made another attempt to attack in the Liman sector, attacking the positions of the Russian Armed Forces with the support of armored vehicles.
However, under the dense barrage of Russian artillery, the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine bogged down, the enemy retreated to their original positions.
โช๏ธFighters of PMC "Wagner" continue to move towards Razdolovka and Nikolaevka to the north-east of Soledar.
The advancing forces are supported by artillerymen of the RF Armed Forces, who inflict massive strikes on Ukrainian positions in the area.
โช๏ธRussian units expanded the zone of control near Kleshcheevka along the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal.
Having pushed through the Ukrainian defenses, the โWagneritesโ are moving towards the villages of Krasnoe and Stupochki in order to cut off the APU grouping from the highway to Konstantinovka.
โช๏ธUkrainian formations again shelled the capital of the DPR and nearby cities.
One of the enemy's blows hit the busy Donetsk-Makeevka highway, but no casualties were avoided.
โช๏ธRussian servicemen continue to clean up the southeastern suburbs of Ugledar from enemy forces.
The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred reinforcements to the city from other directions, which makes it difficult for the further advancement of the RF Armed Forces.
โช๏ธIn anticipation of a possible new offensive of the Russian Armed Forces on Orekhov, active artillery preparation is underway along the entire front line.
Russian sabotage groups go deep into enemy territory and carry out target designation for artillery crews.
โช๏ธIn the Kherson region, artillery duels continue along the line of contact.
The RF Armed Forces carried out several strikes on the objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kherson and its environs, while the enemy fired at Aleshki.
https://t.me/SLGmaps/151
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Telegram
@Slavyangrad Images
๐193๐ฅ24๐12๐5โคโ๐ฅ4๐ฅฐ2๐2๐ค2๐ฅฑ2๐1
US Air Force General Mike Minihan, in a memo to his subordinates, suggested that the United States would go to war with China in two years, NBC reports.
According to the general, the Chinese authorities can use the US presidential election in 2024 to conduct an operation to establish control over Taiwan.
In addition, Minikhan called on his subordinates to report on measures to prepare for hostilities with China by the end of February.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
According to the general, the Chinese authorities can use the US presidential election in 2024 to conduct an operation to establish control over Taiwan.
In addition, Minikhan called on his subordinates to report on measures to prepare for hostilities with China by the end of February.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คก327๐คฎ41๐32๐ฉ25๐6๐ค6โ4๐คฌ4๐3๐2๐1
During the assault on Ukrainian positions in the area of Vuhledar, soldiers of the 40th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet of the Russian Armed Forces captured a group of Ukrainian soldiers.
The video shows an address by the commander of a tank company, Hero of the Russian Federation, Ruslan Kurbanov, who has been fighting in the brigade since the beginning of the special military operation.
@milinfolive
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
The video shows an address by the commander of a tank company, Hero of the Russian Federation, Ruslan Kurbanov, who has been fighting in the brigade since the beginning of the special military operation.
@milinfolive
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐ฅ234๐120๐ซก39โค18๐7โคโ๐ฅ6๐3๐ข1
Britain may transfer fighter jets to Ukraine to patrol the airspace, but only after Russian troops withdraw from the occupied territories, The Telegraph has said.
In the context of the possibility of sending the aircraft, the0 publication's high-ranking source in the Royal Air Force said, "Never say never." But they added that "it's not a priority right now."
The sources also said that such a scenario could happen "when Russia is removed from Ukraine and the Ukrainians need to conduct an air control mission to protect their airspace."
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
In the context of the possibility of sending the aircraft, the0 publication's high-ranking source in the Royal Air Force said, "Never say never." But they added that "it's not a priority right now."
The sources also said that such a scenario could happen "when Russia is removed from Ukraine and the Ukrainians need to conduct an air control mission to protect their airspace."
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คก471๐69๐42๐คฎ26๐19๐คฃ13๐ฉ9๐คช3๐คฌ1
"Tanks alone won't turn the tide of the war in Ukraine," this was said in an analytical article published by the New York Times.
NATO tanks "will not be the silver bullet that will allow Kiev to win the war," says the newspaper. But the United States military will, once again, attempt to remake an army in its own image to give Ukraine the best chance to break through entrenched Russian defenses.
The Ukrainians will undergo an accelerated course in what the U.S. military calls "combined arms training," which the U.S. units themselves take months, if not years, to master. "It is not yet clear how realistic it is for the Pentagon to train Ukrainians in the complexities of combined arms maneuver warfare in a short period of time," the authors write.
That said, Kiev needs to overcome the military stalemate the AFU may face after the Russians began building multi-level defenses along the lines of captured positions.
"Breaking through these lines is not just driving a battalion of tanks across the trenches." It requires a coordinated attack with infantry marking targets, tanks firing on those positions, and artillery pieces providing cover and support. "Such combined-arm maneuvers are the subject of the exercises," the article explains.
In order to strengthen the strike power of the AFU, the Leopard tanks will go on the attack in tandem with the American BMP Bradley. The tanks will break through the trenches and open the way for the infantry on Bradley fighting vehicles to hold the recaptured territory.
That said, "the new donations are unlikely to increase combat power enough for Ukraine to win the war, but officials and outside analysts say they will help significantly." "When the full package of Western equipment arrives, Kiev could create as many as three additional brigades," the publication writes.
NYT
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
NATO tanks "will not be the silver bullet that will allow Kiev to win the war," says the newspaper. But the United States military will, once again, attempt to remake an army in its own image to give Ukraine the best chance to break through entrenched Russian defenses.
The Ukrainians will undergo an accelerated course in what the U.S. military calls "combined arms training," which the U.S. units themselves take months, if not years, to master. "It is not yet clear how realistic it is for the Pentagon to train Ukrainians in the complexities of combined arms maneuver warfare in a short period of time," the authors write.
That said, Kiev needs to overcome the military stalemate the AFU may face after the Russians began building multi-level defenses along the lines of captured positions.
"Breaking through these lines is not just driving a battalion of tanks across the trenches." It requires a coordinated attack with infantry marking targets, tanks firing on those positions, and artillery pieces providing cover and support. "Such combined-arm maneuvers are the subject of the exercises," the article explains.
In order to strengthen the strike power of the AFU, the Leopard tanks will go on the attack in tandem with the American BMP Bradley. The tanks will break through the trenches and open the way for the infantry on Bradley fighting vehicles to hold the recaptured territory.
That said, "the new donations are unlikely to increase combat power enough for Ukraine to win the war, but officials and outside analysts say they will help significantly." "When the full package of Western equipment arrives, Kiev could create as many as three additional brigades," the publication writes.
NYT
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐186๐คก132๐34๐คฌ18๐คฃ13๐8๐ค3๐ฅด2๐ฏ2๐ฅ1
The deficit in the energy system remains significant, despite a slight decrease in consumption, typical for the weekend. This was reported by Ukrenergo.
The reason for the deficit is the damage to power plants and the high-voltage network as a result of Russian missile and drone attacks on January 26. At the same time, the power system is still recovering from the previous series of enemy rocket attacks that damaged power units in power plants. As a result, the production of electricity at working power plants cannot fully cover consumption.
All branches of Ukrenegro have been notified of the consumption limits in effect during the day.
"Ukrenergo explains that after each successive attack by the Russians on the energy infrastructure, recovery becomes more difficult and takes longer." Ukraine's power system has already survived 13 enemy missile attacks and 15 UAV strikes on power facilities. In addition, more than 10 GW of main installed capacity is not yet available to the Ukrainian power system and is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. These are the largest nuclear power plants in Ukraine and Europe: Zaporozhye NPP, Luhanska TPP, Uglegorsk TPP, and Kakhovska HPP. In addition, the occupied southerners are also home to most of the wind and solar power plants.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
The reason for the deficit is the damage to power plants and the high-voltage network as a result of Russian missile and drone attacks on January 26. At the same time, the power system is still recovering from the previous series of enemy rocket attacks that damaged power units in power plants. As a result, the production of electricity at working power plants cannot fully cover consumption.
All branches of Ukrenegro have been notified of the consumption limits in effect during the day.
"Ukrenergo explains that after each successive attack by the Russians on the energy infrastructure, recovery becomes more difficult and takes longer." Ukraine's power system has already survived 13 enemy missile attacks and 15 UAV strikes on power facilities. In addition, more than 10 GW of main installed capacity is not yet available to the Ukrainian power system and is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. These are the largest nuclear power plants in Ukraine and Europe: Zaporozhye NPP, Luhanska TPP, Uglegorsk TPP, and Kakhovska HPP. In addition, the occupied southerners are also home to most of the wind and solar power plants.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐146๐57โก24๐9๐ค5๐5
A petition against the Ukrainian president's performance at the music festival on the official website of the event was signed by over 31,000 people. Among them are journalists, politicians, and university professors.
The petition says that what is happening in Ukraine may well become a global problem if the West continues to support Zelensky and his regime.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐522๐84โค36๐26๐ฏ16๐คฃ14๐8
Germany is sending initially 14 tanks to Ukraine, and plans to send a total of 88.
14/88 tanks - seriously. Olaf Scholz's nazi grandpa is probably proud in the grave
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
14/88 tanks - seriously. Olaf Scholz's nazi grandpa is probably proud in the grave
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คฃ368๐คฌ117๐33๐คก24๐16๐ฉ11๐คฎ5๐ฅ3๐3๐คฏ3๐2
According to @rsotmdivison's information, Leopards are already in Ukraine. Two tractor-trailers with Leopard tanks were spotted in the Nikolaev area
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐ค218๐คฌ100๐คก37๐15๐11๐ฅ3๐คฏ2๐1
Hungarian media described how "Ukrainian-style mobilization" takes place in Transcarpathia: people are caught right on the street, taken from attics, and forced into buses, but they can avoid compulsory mobilization by paying $10,000.
This is reported by the portal "Index," based on the information from local residents.
The military takes absolutely all the men, including the ethnic Hungarians. No deferments are givenโnot to those caring for sick relatives or to fathers of large families, the article says.
Witnesses say that sometimes people have to spend weeks hiding in attics to avoid mobilization.
Summonses are handed out both at border checkpoints with Hungary and simply on the street. It is reported that one man was loaded into a car and sent to the front when he was "peacefully travelling on his bicycle."
As PestiSrรกcok previously wrote, ethnic Hungarians are being drafted en masse in Transcarpathia because of the huge losses of the AFU near Soledar.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
This is reported by the portal "Index," based on the information from local residents.
The military takes absolutely all the men, including the ethnic Hungarians. No deferments are givenโnot to those caring for sick relatives or to fathers of large families, the article says.
Witnesses say that sometimes people have to spend weeks hiding in attics to avoid mobilization.
Summonses are handed out both at border checkpoints with Hungary and simply on the street. It is reported that one man was loaded into a car and sent to the front when he was "peacefully travelling on his bicycle."
As PestiSrรกcok previously wrote, ethnic Hungarians are being drafted en masse in Transcarpathia because of the huge losses of the AFU near Soledar.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คฌ260๐39๐ข13๐ฑ7๐4๐3๐ฅฐ2๐ฅ1๐ฉ1
โผ๏ธOn the border with Hungary, a peasant man who fled from the grave for a long time assured the border guards that he was a woman. He doesn't want to die for Zelensky ๐ข
In the evening, three men tried to illegally cross the border outside the checkpoints. All of them turned out to be liable for military service, one until the last tried to pose as a woman until in the end, he confessed to the deception
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
In the evening, three men tried to illegally cross the border outside the checkpoints. All of them turned out to be liable for military service, one until the last tried to pose as a woman until in the end, he confessed to the deception
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐ข211๐67๐48๐คฃ21๐ฅด8๐ฅ3๐2๐ฉ2๐2๐ฑ1
๐ง๐ช๐บ๐ฆ Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo announced at a press conference that the Belgian government has allocated the largest military aid package to Ukraine so far totaling โฌ90m.
The new military aid package for Ukraine will include a significant amount of weapons and equipment from the Belgian Armed Forces, including:
- Raytheon AIM-120A AMRAAM medium-range air-to-air guided missiles as anti-aircraft missiles as part of NASAMS SAMs;
- Mistral man-portable (transportable) anti-aircraft missile systems;
- 80 Iveco LMV light armored vehicles (4x4);
- 150 Volvo N10 (6x4) trucks;
- 4,000 FN SCAR 5.56 mm automatic rifles;
- 120 40mm under-barrel grenade launchers;
- 1,000 FN Minimi 5.56 mm machine guns;
- 1,000 FN M2HV 12.7 mm machine guns;
- small arms ammunition;
- 1,500 M72 disposable hand grenade launchers.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
The new military aid package for Ukraine will include a significant amount of weapons and equipment from the Belgian Armed Forces, including:
- Raytheon AIM-120A AMRAAM medium-range air-to-air guided missiles as anti-aircraft missiles as part of NASAMS SAMs;
- Mistral man-portable (transportable) anti-aircraft missile systems;
- 80 Iveco LMV light armored vehicles (4x4);
- 150 Volvo N10 (6x4) trucks;
- 4,000 FN SCAR 5.56 mm automatic rifles;
- 120 40mm under-barrel grenade launchers;
- 1,000 FN Minimi 5.56 mm machine guns;
- 1,000 FN M2HV 12.7 mm machine guns;
- small arms ammunition;
- 1,500 M72 disposable hand grenade launchers.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG ๐บ Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
๐คก237๐คฌ86๐ฉ33๐22๐17๐คฃ14๐คฎ13๐5๐คฏ2๐2๐ฅฐ1