Cyberspec News:
Some Ukr calculations on where they need to be to be able to strike targets in Crimea with the 150km range GL-SDB
Option 1
To reach Berdyansk or Nebrazhnoye
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Some Ukr calculations on where they need to be to be able to strike targets in Crimea with the 150km range GL-SDB
Option 1
To reach Berdyansk or Nebrazhnoye
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Armed Forces defenses occupied by our troops in a forest in the direction of Svatovo-Kremennaya.
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Losses among the personnel in the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, stationed in the city of Artemovsk (Bakhmut), are growing due to problems with satellite and radio communications, said retired lieutenant colonel of the People's Militia of the LPR Andrey Marochko.
He noted that interruptions in communication "affect the growth of panic among both privates and officers." Russian intelligence notes problems in the management of Ukrainian troops in the city.
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He noted that interruptions in communication "affect the growth of panic among both privates and officers." Russian intelligence notes problems in the management of Ukrainian troops in the city.
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The war is not over yet, but the outcome is already clear. Ukraine has lost.
Why do I say this? Because, at the end of the day, Russia will have imposed its will on Ukraine while Ukraine will have achieved almost none of the goals – other than survival – it is pursuing on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
But here’s the truly bitter truth: In broad brush strokes at least, the most-likely post-war settlement is pretty much the same as the settlement that was on offer before the bloodletting began in earnest on Feb. 24.
Different choices could have resulted in a pre-war settlement that would have been almost indistinguishable from the most likely post-war settlement, minus only the untold death and destruction visited on Ukraine these past weeks and months. In that sense, and only in that limited sense, there’s plenty of blame to go around.
-The Hill
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https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3261607-the-war-is-not-yet-over-but-ukraine-has-already-lost/
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Why do I say this? Because, at the end of the day, Russia will have imposed its will on Ukraine while Ukraine will have achieved almost none of the goals – other than survival – it is pursuing on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
But here’s the truly bitter truth: In broad brush strokes at least, the most-likely post-war settlement is pretty much the same as the settlement that was on offer before the bloodletting began in earnest on Feb. 24.
Different choices could have resulted in a pre-war settlement that would have been almost indistinguishable from the most likely post-war settlement, minus only the untold death and destruction visited on Ukraine these past weeks and months. In that sense, and only in that limited sense, there’s plenty of blame to go around.
-The Hill
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Belogorovka has been liberated - the fighting is approaching Seversk again
Acting Mayor of Lysichansk Andriy Skoryy said that the Ukrainian invaders left their positions in the village of Belogorovka (the upper of the two Belogorovka, in the vicinity of Lysichansk, with the liberation of which in the summer the territory of the LPR was completely cleared), captured in the fall.
The withdrawal from Belogorovka may mean that the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is aware of the real risks that the offensive of Wagner attack aircraft from the south, from Soledar, poses to Seversk. Their progress remains dynamic, settlements are gradually taken one after another.
The growing threat to Seversk may force the Armed Forces of Ukraine to finally abandon plans to attack the north of the LPR. Moreover, the Russian army is advancing from the other side of Seversk - there the Russian army is advancing in the area of Chervonaya Dibrova, Boris Rozhin reports.
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Acting Mayor of Lysichansk Andriy Skoryy said that the Ukrainian invaders left their positions in the village of Belogorovka (the upper of the two Belogorovka, in the vicinity of Lysichansk, with the liberation of which in the summer the territory of the LPR was completely cleared), captured in the fall.
The withdrawal from Belogorovka may mean that the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is aware of the real risks that the offensive of Wagner attack aircraft from the south, from Soledar, poses to Seversk. Their progress remains dynamic, settlements are gradually taken one after another.
The growing threat to Seversk may force the Armed Forces of Ukraine to finally abandon plans to attack the north of the LPR. Moreover, the Russian army is advancing from the other side of Seversk - there the Russian army is advancing in the area of Chervonaya Dibrova, Boris Rozhin reports.
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Dmitry Medvedev wrote about Ursula VDL's visit to Kiev :
The Kiev regime, supported by its Western handlers, is fighting Russia "until victory," and the economy of this unhappy territory is rapidly turning into a stinking husk. Even those countries that promise the Ukrainian regime recovery and eternal European love are openly talking about this.
Here is a brief diagnosis of the Ukrainian economy's illness, based on Goldman Sachs' medical data. a few striking figures that characterize the disease.
1. Ukraine has now lost the territories that provided it with about 40% of its national industrial potential and about 15% of its pre-war GDP.
2. It no longer has access to over $12 trillion worth of mineral reserves. Including 63% of coal deposits and 42% of metals.
3. Agriculture is heading into the abyss on all fumes. First, a steep drop in the harvest 🌾of Wheat: 19.4 million tons in 2022 versus 32.5 million in 2021. Corn: 18.4 million tons to 35.1 million
Second, overland routes through Poland and Romania led to a 2- to 3-fold increase in transportation costs.
4. At the end of 2022, Ukraine's GDP declined by 35–36%. And its total losses from the collision with Russia reached 830–850 billion dollars. And this despite the fact that in 2021 the country's GDP was 200 billion dollars. Even their Ministry of Economy had to recognize this record-breaking fall as the worst result in the history of the country.
5. Next only the final collapse of industry, hyperinflation, poverty, and total unemployment The national debt of the country will grow from $107 billion to $180 billion—$200 billion—by the end of the year. There is little hope for even a microscopic recovery.
Obviously, Russia will continue to work to achieve the goals of a special military operation. This means that Ukraine's GDP may collapse by another 5–10% by the end of this year. Therefore, the prospect of the complete bankruptcy of the Ukrainian state and its inevitable end is becoming increasingly clear.
Who is to blame? is a rhetorical question. As the spiteful midwife Ursula von Something Incomprehensible honestly admitted, the Ukrainian government pays for its membership in the EU and NATO with the lives of its citizens. Let's not talk about this miserable economy. The Kiev regime is not embarrassed by the ruin of the country. It continues to squander its territory with exorbitant military expenditures. on the assumption that the West will always give them some money. It will not let all the embezzlers, who share the Western money, go hungry. This year, the Ukrainian budget will have to spend $55 billion with a deficit of $38 billion just for urgent needs. It is clear that the more support there is, the more will be stolen by the insane clown and other parasites, sick with an open form of kleptomania.
Only the longer the leaders of the Ukrainian Nazis will nag and steal aid from their donors, the closer the final collapse of the economy will come. After all, they will have to pay for the treatment in full. And the goal of the Western aestheticians is not to cure the economy of the unhappy country. The West has a rich experience of killing test countries. The West is not the good Dr. Aibolit, but Dr. Mengele. He is a sinister doctor-killer. Therefore, Ukraine will face the sad fate of those colonies that were once raped in the most perverse form and then dumped to die in the rotting dustbin of history.
The sadistic treatment of Ukraine's economy will take place gradually. First is the amputation of industry and the agrarian sector. Then came the paralysis of the economy as a whole. And then came the organic death of the rest of the country.
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The Kiev regime, supported by its Western handlers, is fighting Russia "until victory," and the economy of this unhappy territory is rapidly turning into a stinking husk. Even those countries that promise the Ukrainian regime recovery and eternal European love are openly talking about this.
Here is a brief diagnosis of the Ukrainian economy's illness, based on Goldman Sachs' medical data. a few striking figures that characterize the disease.
1. Ukraine has now lost the territories that provided it with about 40% of its national industrial potential and about 15% of its pre-war GDP.
2. It no longer has access to over $12 trillion worth of mineral reserves. Including 63% of coal deposits and 42% of metals.
3. Agriculture is heading into the abyss on all fumes. First, a steep drop in the harvest 🌾of Wheat: 19.4 million tons in 2022 versus 32.5 million in 2021. Corn: 18.4 million tons to 35.1 million
Second, overland routes through Poland and Romania led to a 2- to 3-fold increase in transportation costs.
4. At the end of 2022, Ukraine's GDP declined by 35–36%. And its total losses from the collision with Russia reached 830–850 billion dollars. And this despite the fact that in 2021 the country's GDP was 200 billion dollars. Even their Ministry of Economy had to recognize this record-breaking fall as the worst result in the history of the country.
5. Next only the final collapse of industry, hyperinflation, poverty, and total unemployment The national debt of the country will grow from $107 billion to $180 billion—$200 billion—by the end of the year. There is little hope for even a microscopic recovery.
Obviously, Russia will continue to work to achieve the goals of a special military operation. This means that Ukraine's GDP may collapse by another 5–10% by the end of this year. Therefore, the prospect of the complete bankruptcy of the Ukrainian state and its inevitable end is becoming increasingly clear.
Who is to blame? is a rhetorical question. As the spiteful midwife Ursula von Something Incomprehensible honestly admitted, the Ukrainian government pays for its membership in the EU and NATO with the lives of its citizens. Let's not talk about this miserable economy. The Kiev regime is not embarrassed by the ruin of the country. It continues to squander its territory with exorbitant military expenditures. on the assumption that the West will always give them some money. It will not let all the embezzlers, who share the Western money, go hungry. This year, the Ukrainian budget will have to spend $55 billion with a deficit of $38 billion just for urgent needs. It is clear that the more support there is, the more will be stolen by the insane clown and other parasites, sick with an open form of kleptomania.
Only the longer the leaders of the Ukrainian Nazis will nag and steal aid from their donors, the closer the final collapse of the economy will come. After all, they will have to pay for the treatment in full. And the goal of the Western aestheticians is not to cure the economy of the unhappy country. The West has a rich experience of killing test countries. The West is not the good Dr. Aibolit, but Dr. Mengele. He is a sinister doctor-killer. Therefore, Ukraine will face the sad fate of those colonies that were once raped in the most perverse form and then dumped to die in the rotting dustbin of history.
The sadistic treatment of Ukraine's economy will take place gradually. First is the amputation of industry and the agrarian sector. Then came the paralysis of the economy as a whole. And then came the organic death of the rest of the country.
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Crimean authorities nationalized the properties of Akhmetov, Kolomoisky, and other Ukrainian politicians and businessmen. There are about 500 properties in total, according to RIA Novosti, citing regional authorities.
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A loud explosion sounded in the Energodar.
"At about 07:50, a loud explosion sounded in the city of power engineers. The sound of the explosion was heard most loudly in the fifth microdistrict of the city"
The cause of the explosion in Energodar was a terrorist attack, a car was blown up. According to preliminary data, one person was killed, said the chairman of the movement "We are together with Russia" Vladimir Rogov.
Footage from the scene of the explosion in Energodar. Emergency services are working there now.
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"At about 07:50, a loud explosion sounded in the city of power engineers. The sound of the explosion was heard most loudly in the fifth microdistrict of the city"
The cause of the explosion in Energodar was a terrorist attack, a car was blown up. According to preliminary data, one person was killed, said the chairman of the movement "We are together with Russia" Vladimir Rogov.
Footage from the scene of the explosion in Energodar. Emergency services are working there now.
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Germany will supply the Armed Forces with 88 Leopard 1 tanks - it is not clear how long they will last, there is no ammunition for them
Germany has approved the delivery of 88 Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine, Süddeutsche Zeitung reports. However, the publication clarifies that it is not known how the militants will exploit them, given that shells are not produced for them - probably, for this they will have to return production to operation in order to make ammunition again. This process is not fast, and it is not known when obsolete tanks will reach the battlefields.
In turn, the German government is considering buying back Gepard tanks from Qatar, Politico reports, which it sold to the country earlier. Ammunition problems are also relevant there, since they are produced in Switzerland - and the country still prohibits the re-export of ammunition. The winners, most likely, will again be arms manufacturers, who will earn even more.
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Germany has approved the delivery of 88 Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine, Süddeutsche Zeitung reports. However, the publication clarifies that it is not known how the militants will exploit them, given that shells are not produced for them - probably, for this they will have to return production to operation in order to make ammunition again. This process is not fast, and it is not known when obsolete tanks will reach the battlefields.
In turn, the German government is considering buying back Gepard tanks from Qatar, Politico reports, which it sold to the country earlier. Ammunition problems are also relevant there, since they are produced in Switzerland - and the country still prohibits the re-export of ammunition. The winners, most likely, will again be arms manufacturers, who will earn even more.
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Bloomberg published another article on Ukraine. It says that the leadership of the US and the EU believes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will leave Bakhmut, and the weapons transferred to Ukraine will not help to achieve an advantage over the Russian army
For once, common sense appeared. Only in order for them to give some result, you need to think more and try to predict what will happen next. But the train of thought is correct. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will not actually be able to gain an advantage over the Russian army, even if Ukraine receives not only long-range missiles, but also aircraft. The only thing that this can affect is the duration of hostilities, but this is not obvious. Western leaders completely miss such a factor as the internal situation in Ukraine. The economy, people's moods and many more variables that are very necessary in this complex equation. And the problem cannot be solved without them.
And with these variables everything is very, very bad. As for the Ukrainian economy, it is already on an artificial respiration apparatus and is supported only by the money of the West. It is clear that this money can be printed endlessly, but the West understands what this will lead to for their own economies. This Ukraine is too heavy a burden, and it is getting heavier every day.
Even the word crisis is not suitable for the situation in the Ukrainian energy sector. Everything is very bad here, and with each Russian missile strike it gets worse. And the problem is that the West cannot help with the repair, because you need certain equipment, which is not available in the West. They just have different standards.
The mood of the people will soon be called a mass depression. Of course, the Ukrainian media are brainwashing people, flooding them with endless peremoga, but there is already so much of this drug that it simply does not work. People see what is.
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For once, common sense appeared. Only in order for them to give some result, you need to think more and try to predict what will happen next. But the train of thought is correct. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will not actually be able to gain an advantage over the Russian army, even if Ukraine receives not only long-range missiles, but also aircraft. The only thing that this can affect is the duration of hostilities, but this is not obvious. Western leaders completely miss such a factor as the internal situation in Ukraine. The economy, people's moods and many more variables that are very necessary in this complex equation. And the problem cannot be solved without them.
And with these variables everything is very, very bad. As for the Ukrainian economy, it is already on an artificial respiration apparatus and is supported only by the money of the West. It is clear that this money can be printed endlessly, but the West understands what this will lead to for their own economies. This Ukraine is too heavy a burden, and it is getting heavier every day.
Even the word crisis is not suitable for the situation in the Ukrainian energy sector. Everything is very bad here, and with each Russian missile strike it gets worse. And the problem is that the West cannot help with the repair, because you need certain equipment, which is not available in the West. They just have different standards.
The mood of the people will soon be called a mass depression. Of course, the Ukrainian media are brainwashing people, flooding them with endless peremoga, but there is already so much of this drug that it simply does not work. People see what is.
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https://t.me/golosmordora/26387
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Lavrov: The West, and this is confirmed by our contacts, has not been perceived in the world as a beacon of democracy for a long time. The United States and its NATO satellites have finally undermined their reputation as reliable, negotiable international partners.
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For the third day now, an unknown balloon has been hanging over the US state of Montana, where numerous ballistic missile silos are located.
The first huge ball in the sky was discovered not even by the US military, but by the passengers of a passenger plane flying by. Now a scandal is flaring up in American politics, as it is assumed that the balloon belongs to Chinese intelligence.
Meanwhile, the Pentagon rejected Joe Biden's proposal to shoot down the balloon, as this could lead to casualties on the ground. Thus, while the United States decides what to do with the first balloon, Canada claims that a second balloon has already appeared.
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The first huge ball in the sky was discovered not even by the US military, but by the passengers of a passenger plane flying by. Now a scandal is flaring up in American politics, as it is assumed that the balloon belongs to Chinese intelligence.
Meanwhile, the Pentagon rejected Joe Biden's proposal to shoot down the balloon, as this could lead to casualties on the ground. Thus, while the United States decides what to do with the first balloon, Canada claims that a second balloon has already appeared.
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Winter retreat of Bandera from Seversk-Soledar-Artemovsk to the lines of Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkovka
The defensive operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine involves:
1. The withdrawal of the remnants of the Ukrainian units from under Artemovsk.
2. Slowing down the advance of Russian troops in the western direction, for which up to 12 brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, incl. 4th and 17th brigade, 61st, 63rd and 93rd brigade, 77th and 46th dshbr, 43 and 45 abr.
3. Organization of withdrawal to prepared defensive lines in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk. Reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and units from Artemovsk are being actively transferred to these cities.
4. Detention of the RF Armed Forces in the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkovka sector.
Thus, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine expects that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to actively move forward and quickly defeat the Bandera units, which in turn will allow them to organize another mobilization, restore the losses incurred, replenish parts with NATO equipment and launch a counteroffensive in April-May 2023.
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The defensive operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine involves:
1. The withdrawal of the remnants of the Ukrainian units from under Artemovsk.
2. Slowing down the advance of Russian troops in the western direction, for which up to 12 brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, incl. 4th and 17th brigade, 61st, 63rd and 93rd brigade, 77th and 46th dshbr, 43 and 45 abr.
3. Organization of withdrawal to prepared defensive lines in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk. Reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and units from Artemovsk are being actively transferred to these cities.
4. Detention of the RF Armed Forces in the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkovka sector.
Thus, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine expects that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to actively move forward and quickly defeat the Bandera units, which in turn will allow them to organize another mobilization, restore the losses incurred, replenish parts with NATO equipment and launch a counteroffensive in April-May 2023.
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Arestovich admits the "huge AFU losses" and "philosophizes" on the subject of the huge casualties of the Ukrainian Armed Forces:
"Sentiments about burning the army disappear by the first session in the command school or by the end of the first year. And those who are strongly sentimental do not rise above the rank of a major or a senior officer. There are no such categories; they were all trained for the big war, where the life expectancy of a motorized rifle regiment is 45 minutes. They got used to that idea by the time they completed four tactics classes. And casualties... What are casualties? These people, the Soviet school, were preparing for World War III with the full spectrum of nuclear weapons. Casualties are not an argument at all! These men's value systems have long ago been prepared for losses that are a hundred times greater than those we have now suffered. They are not interested in losses at all. "They're only interested in getting the job done.", Aristovich said.
Translated by : Миша, Slavyangrad
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"Sentiments about burning the army disappear by the first session in the command school or by the end of the first year. And those who are strongly sentimental do not rise above the rank of a major or a senior officer. There are no such categories; they were all trained for the big war, where the life expectancy of a motorized rifle regiment is 45 minutes. They got used to that idea by the time they completed four tactics classes. And casualties... What are casualties? These people, the Soviet school, were preparing for World War III with the full spectrum of nuclear weapons. Casualties are not an argument at all! These men's value systems have long ago been prepared for losses that are a hundred times greater than those we have now suffered. They are not interested in losses at all. "They're only interested in getting the job done.", Aristovich said.
Translated by : Миша, Slavyangrad
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Дядя Слава
«Потери вообще не аргумент. Их всех готовили к большой войне, где время жизни мотострелкового полка 45 минут», - сказал Арестович.
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A Russian soldier who returned from the special military operation zone decided to surprise his daughter and came to her school..🥹
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🇩🇪🇺🇦 Germany is trying to buy 15 "Gepard" ZSU from Qatar to send them to Ukraine, but the emirate refuses.
The Süddeutsche Zeitung writes about it. Berlin also wants to re-export ammunition for these installations, because its stocks are not enough. According to the publication, Ukraine has already used up half of the 60 thousand charges.
In addition, the German authorities intend to transfer 88 Leopard 1 tanks to Kyiv.
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The Süddeutsche Zeitung writes about it. Berlin also wants to re-export ammunition for these installations, because its stocks are not enough. According to the publication, Ukraine has already used up half of the 60 thousand charges.
In addition, the German authorities intend to transfer 88 Leopard 1 tanks to Kyiv.
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Soldiers of PMC "Wagner" showed trophy weapons obtained in the battles for Soledar
In the published footage, you can see machine guns, machine guns and anti-tank guided missiles with foreign markings.
“Mostly we have here: M2 Browning heavy machine guns, made in the USA. There are famous MG 42s,” the fighter specified.
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In the published footage, you can see machine guns, machine guns and anti-tank guided missiles with foreign markings.
“Mostly we have here: M2 Browning heavy machine guns, made in the USA. There are famous MG 42s,” the fighter specified.
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The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine summoned Wagner Chief Yevgeny Prigozhin on February 13, 14, and 15 for notifying him about the charges and interrogating him as a suspect.
Prigozhin is suspected of alleged "encroachment on the territorial integrity of the country."
The corresponding note appeared in the government courier department.
... from Bakhmut to Kiev—one step
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Prigozhin is suspected of alleged "encroachment on the territorial integrity of the country."
The corresponding note appeared in the government courier department.
... from Bakhmut to Kiev—one step
@orchestra_w
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