Yes, there are calls, from time to time, from both sides for negotiations. But these calls are only for the public opinion. To show goodwill. There might even be some negotiations at some point in time. But they will be only for show for the public. They won’t be real. I won’t go here into big explanations. This war will either be concluded in Lvov or in a nuclear war in case of Russia’s defeat. Which is impossible.
Who is winning?
I think this is a question, that is very important. Russia is winning big time, right? Ukraine is short of collapsing. The West is demilitarizing itself etc.
Great. Isn’t it? No, not really.
Russia will take Ukraine back into its sphere of influence. Most likely Ukraine will be split up into several parts and many of them will be annexed, whereas other parts will become puppet states in Moscow’s orbit. To avoid, that they ever again become a platform for future aggression against Russia.
What will Russia get actually? A destroyed country, that can’t survive any longer without external help. It will be depopulated. Most able-bodied men will be dead and the young women will be absorbed by Europe, because Europe needs such people. There will be plenty of old people left. The people that are left will hate Russia for a few generations.
Note, Ukraine is Russia. Russia is destroying itself. It is a civil war, fired up by the West.
The set of objectives by the West and by Russia is multi-dimensional. If the West can’t achieve its primary goals, splitting up Russia by a coup and take over its many successor states, to exploit its resources, then the strategy of scorched earth applies.
Russia will inherit a mess, that will take several decades until it is up again. In other words, it will be a burden for Russia in a time, where the global spheres of influence will be decided upon. The multipolarity.
So, who is winning?
I could write a whole book about this question. As mentioned above, there is a whole set of objectives by both sides. And both sides are winning and losing at the same time, big time. It depends on which objective you pick. The important thing is, that the resulting vector of all objectives is, let’s say, stronger, then the one of the opponent side. Which one is stronger? Russia’s? The West’s? I would argue, that both sides are losing a lot. Maybe Russia wins slightly more, or not. But there is a third side, that is winning big time, during the struggle between the West and Russia. Guess which one…
How could Russia conclude the war?
Basics
How could this war be concluded? How will it proceed? I don’t know. But again, I will try to offer some of my assumptions. Moreover, I would be very surprised if I would see some deep penetration offensives any time soon. I’m not excluding them, but for the time being they are simply impossible. Why? For such operations one needs enormous logistics capabilities. Russia has them, but not in place. Neither in the Donbass nor in Belarus. This could change of course and I will observe the situation further on. But for now, it is impossible. So, what could happen?
In any case we can observe currently, that General Surovikin is doing three things:
Consolidating favourable ground and fortifying it.
Going on some parts of the frontline into slow offensive moves, to keep up the pressure at the enemy and pinning it down at many different locations, to put stress on his logistics.
Doing this, he is buying time, for the main shock army, to be organised and trained for the future objectives.
These future objectives could potentially be one or more of the following:
Scenarios
Grinding down the Ukrainian army in Donbass alone:
The strategy could be, to fight the Ukrainians, where it is the most favourable place for the Russians and at the same time the most unfavourable, for the Ukrainians. Hoping to exhaust the enemy and triggering a collapse when it bleeds conclusively out.
Who is winning?
I think this is a question, that is very important. Russia is winning big time, right? Ukraine is short of collapsing. The West is demilitarizing itself etc.
Great. Isn’t it? No, not really.
Russia will take Ukraine back into its sphere of influence. Most likely Ukraine will be split up into several parts and many of them will be annexed, whereas other parts will become puppet states in Moscow’s orbit. To avoid, that they ever again become a platform for future aggression against Russia.
What will Russia get actually? A destroyed country, that can’t survive any longer without external help. It will be depopulated. Most able-bodied men will be dead and the young women will be absorbed by Europe, because Europe needs such people. There will be plenty of old people left. The people that are left will hate Russia for a few generations.
Note, Ukraine is Russia. Russia is destroying itself. It is a civil war, fired up by the West.
The set of objectives by the West and by Russia is multi-dimensional. If the West can’t achieve its primary goals, splitting up Russia by a coup and take over its many successor states, to exploit its resources, then the strategy of scorched earth applies.
Russia will inherit a mess, that will take several decades until it is up again. In other words, it will be a burden for Russia in a time, where the global spheres of influence will be decided upon. The multipolarity.
So, who is winning?
I could write a whole book about this question. As mentioned above, there is a whole set of objectives by both sides. And both sides are winning and losing at the same time, big time. It depends on which objective you pick. The important thing is, that the resulting vector of all objectives is, let’s say, stronger, then the one of the opponent side. Which one is stronger? Russia’s? The West’s? I would argue, that both sides are losing a lot. Maybe Russia wins slightly more, or not. But there is a third side, that is winning big time, during the struggle between the West and Russia. Guess which one…
How could Russia conclude the war?
Basics
How could this war be concluded? How will it proceed? I don’t know. But again, I will try to offer some of my assumptions. Moreover, I would be very surprised if I would see some deep penetration offensives any time soon. I’m not excluding them, but for the time being they are simply impossible. Why? For such operations one needs enormous logistics capabilities. Russia has them, but not in place. Neither in the Donbass nor in Belarus. This could change of course and I will observe the situation further on. But for now, it is impossible. So, what could happen?
In any case we can observe currently, that General Surovikin is doing three things:
Consolidating favourable ground and fortifying it.
Going on some parts of the frontline into slow offensive moves, to keep up the pressure at the enemy and pinning it down at many different locations, to put stress on his logistics.
Doing this, he is buying time, for the main shock army, to be organised and trained for the future objectives.
These future objectives could potentially be one or more of the following:
Scenarios
Grinding down the Ukrainian army in Donbass alone:
The strategy could be, to fight the Ukrainians, where it is the most favourable place for the Russians and at the same time the most unfavourable, for the Ukrainians. Hoping to exhaust the enemy and triggering a collapse when it bleeds conclusively out.
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Opening another front in Sumy:
Russia could want to speed the Ukrainian collapse up, by opening another large frontline at a place, where it has almost no logistical access. A good point for this would be Sumy. It is still near enough to the Russian supply lines and the Russian air power. But it is very hard to be sustained by the Ukrainians. It would be another grinding operation, similar to Artemovsk.
Potentially, it would be realistically to achieve already now, with the logistics in place. But I’m not sure. But if the mobilised troops will arrive in April, for example, then there is plenty of time left, to bring in all the logistics equipment and troops.
Delivering a decisive strike by striking on Kiev:
There is also the possibility, that Russia would seek to take over Kiev, or at least, to totally encircle it and force its surrender, to conclude this war. Some voices are thinking the 15 divisions, that are currently being trained, could be used in total, for this operation. Here the Russians would need to organise an insane logistical effort, to make this possible. There are not even remotely enough tankers etc. in Belarus, that would be needed for such an operation.
We will see. If the training of the shock troops takes another few months, then there is, as mentioned above, more then enough time, to bring in the required logistics.
After having grinned down the most capable Ukrainian troops and their equipment in Kherson and Artemovsk, such an operation would be realistically, with some 200.000 troops.
In fact, everything happening in Donbass and elsewhere would be only a big holding, pinning and grinding operation, to prepare this conclusive strike on Kiev.
Cutting off Western Ukraine by attacking Lvov from Belarus:
I won’t do another big explanation, since it would be very similar to the Kiev operation.
I won’t assign any probabilities, to the scenarios, mentioned above. Why? I absolutely don’t know what will happen. I would argue that the Russian’s are applying a masterpiece of deception, for the usage of their mobilised troops. Even the West and the Ukrainians seems to go totally nuts about, what will happen…
SMO
I will try to explain the SMO with a little role play. Of course, it didn’t happen that way, I made up this story, just for explanation reasons.
Putin one day gathered his security council and said, that he is willing, to free Ukraine from the Western grip. He pointed out his requirements and asked the attendees to design a plan, how to achieve it. His requirements were the following:
Kill as few Ukrainians, both, military and civilians, as possible. They are brothers.
Destroy as less industry and infrastructure as possible. It will be ours.
Try to avoid losses on our side. The people will demand for blood or for political consequences if we lose too many troops.
Follow all rules of war.
Make a legal case for the invasion. We mustn’t look bad before our future allies.
Prepare our economy for the sanctions storm, that will follow.
Try not to destroy Europe economically. We will need them for trade in the future when they are free from the US.
Don’t kill Ukrainian politicians and decision makers, if not needed.
Try to do it quick.
Prepare for all scenarios, even for a long war.
Treat Ukrainian POWs with respect and according to international law.
If we need to fight a long war, make sure, that the West spend all its weapons and resources into Ukraine. It will be weak afterwards and we will be strong.
Make sure, that the BRICS states are involved and supporting us.
Make sure, the West will be divided.
The result of this operation should not only a Ukrainian defeat, but the signing of the new draft treaty for European security, that we worked out recently.
Well, I’m sure, there were some more requirements. But that’s the few, I could think off now.
Russia could want to speed the Ukrainian collapse up, by opening another large frontline at a place, where it has almost no logistical access. A good point for this would be Sumy. It is still near enough to the Russian supply lines and the Russian air power. But it is very hard to be sustained by the Ukrainians. It would be another grinding operation, similar to Artemovsk.
Potentially, it would be realistically to achieve already now, with the logistics in place. But I’m not sure. But if the mobilised troops will arrive in April, for example, then there is plenty of time left, to bring in all the logistics equipment and troops.
Delivering a decisive strike by striking on Kiev:
There is also the possibility, that Russia would seek to take over Kiev, or at least, to totally encircle it and force its surrender, to conclude this war. Some voices are thinking the 15 divisions, that are currently being trained, could be used in total, for this operation. Here the Russians would need to organise an insane logistical effort, to make this possible. There are not even remotely enough tankers etc. in Belarus, that would be needed for such an operation.
We will see. If the training of the shock troops takes another few months, then there is, as mentioned above, more then enough time, to bring in the required logistics.
After having grinned down the most capable Ukrainian troops and their equipment in Kherson and Artemovsk, such an operation would be realistically, with some 200.000 troops.
In fact, everything happening in Donbass and elsewhere would be only a big holding, pinning and grinding operation, to prepare this conclusive strike on Kiev.
Cutting off Western Ukraine by attacking Lvov from Belarus:
I won’t do another big explanation, since it would be very similar to the Kiev operation.
I won’t assign any probabilities, to the scenarios, mentioned above. Why? I absolutely don’t know what will happen. I would argue that the Russian’s are applying a masterpiece of deception, for the usage of their mobilised troops. Even the West and the Ukrainians seems to go totally nuts about, what will happen…
SMO
I will try to explain the SMO with a little role play. Of course, it didn’t happen that way, I made up this story, just for explanation reasons.
Putin one day gathered his security council and said, that he is willing, to free Ukraine from the Western grip. He pointed out his requirements and asked the attendees to design a plan, how to achieve it. His requirements were the following:
Kill as few Ukrainians, both, military and civilians, as possible. They are brothers.
Destroy as less industry and infrastructure as possible. It will be ours.
Try to avoid losses on our side. The people will demand for blood or for political consequences if we lose too many troops.
Follow all rules of war.
Make a legal case for the invasion. We mustn’t look bad before our future allies.
Prepare our economy for the sanctions storm, that will follow.
Try not to destroy Europe economically. We will need them for trade in the future when they are free from the US.
Don’t kill Ukrainian politicians and decision makers, if not needed.
Try to do it quick.
Prepare for all scenarios, even for a long war.
Treat Ukrainian POWs with respect and according to international law.
If we need to fight a long war, make sure, that the West spend all its weapons and resources into Ukraine. It will be weak afterwards and we will be strong.
Make sure, that the BRICS states are involved and supporting us.
Make sure, the West will be divided.
The result of this operation should not only a Ukrainian defeat, but the signing of the new draft treaty for European security, that we worked out recently.
Well, I’m sure, there were some more requirements. But that’s the few, I could think off now.
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Nikolai Patrushev took the challenge and worked a planned out. He involved the most important people from the security council. Then he called President Putin and said, he wants to announce the plan, how to fulfil the requirements. He presented a plan, that was called “Special military operation”. SMO.
Mission (almost) impossible. And it is succeeding.
Bonus chapter: Casualties math!
I wrote at another place a few months ago a piece, that many people considered as interesting. So, I will simply repost it here. Here we go:
Let’s assume a kill/death ratio of 1:8 between Russian and Ukrainian soldiers. This is a far accepted figure. This means, that for every dead Russian solider Ukraine is losing eight.
Moreover, we can assume that Russia will this war totally. Which means in turn, that ALL Ukrainian soldiers will either die, being taken prisoner or being severely wounded.
Russia in turn will not lose all soldiers, but only the amount of the Ukrainians divided by eight.
This brings us to the following conclusion:
Every Ukrainian soldier can be sure, that he will either die or be severely wounded. But he has a chance of 12,5% to kill or wound a Russian solider, before he dies or gets severely wounded. In other words, we can say that every Ukrainian solider will kill/wound in average some 0.125 Russians before being killed or wounded.
Thanks for reading Black Mountain Analysis!
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Mission (almost) impossible. And it is succeeding.
Bonus chapter: Casualties math!
I wrote at another place a few months ago a piece, that many people considered as interesting. So, I will simply repost it here. Here we go:
Let’s assume a kill/death ratio of 1:8 between Russian and Ukrainian soldiers. This is a far accepted figure. This means, that for every dead Russian solider Ukraine is losing eight.
Moreover, we can assume that Russia will this war totally. Which means in turn, that ALL Ukrainian soldiers will either die, being taken prisoner or being severely wounded.
Russia in turn will not lose all soldiers, but only the amount of the Ukrainians divided by eight.
This brings us to the following conclusion:
Every Ukrainian soldier can be sure, that he will either die or be severely wounded. But he has a chance of 12,5% to kill or wound a Russian solider, before he dies or gets severely wounded. In other words, we can say that every Ukrainian solider will kill/wound in average some 0.125 Russians before being killed or wounded.
Thanks for reading Black Mountain Analysis!
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Black Mountain Analysis
War update
Polish buildup, Artemovsk(Bakhmut) and other topics
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 Naval UAV strike on the bridge in Zatoka
Footage of an attack by an underwater unmanned vehicle of the RF Armed Forces on the railway bridge in Zatoka in the Odessa region appeared on the network.
It is difficult to talk about the scale of damage based on the available footage, but, apparently, the bridge supports were damaged.
This is the only railway bridge leading to the western part of the Odessa region directly through the territory of Ukraine. An alternative shortest route is the road, which runs almost 8 km through the territory of Moldova.
🔻Previously, Russian troops have repeatedly struck at the object and the very fact of the attack is not something out of the ordinary.
However, there were no reports of the use of underwater UAVs by the Russian Armed Forces.
And the appearance in the arsenal of new tools involved in combat missions cannot but rejoice.
Coordinates: 46.0765466, 30.4701274
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Footage of an attack by an underwater unmanned vehicle of the RF Armed Forces on the railway bridge in Zatoka in the Odessa region appeared on the network.
It is difficult to talk about the scale of damage based on the available footage, but, apparently, the bridge supports were damaged.
This is the only railway bridge leading to the western part of the Odessa region directly through the territory of Ukraine. An alternative shortest route is the road, which runs almost 8 km through the territory of Moldova.
🔻Previously, Russian troops have repeatedly struck at the object and the very fact of the attack is not something out of the ordinary.
However, there were no reports of the use of underwater UAVs by the Russian Armed Forces.
And the appearance in the arsenal of new tools involved in combat missions cannot but rejoice.
Coordinates: 46.0765466, 30.4701274
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A U.S. reconnaissance aircraft was flying in the sky over the Baltic Sea on September 26 and observed the bombing of Nord Stream— data from Flightradar24 shows.
Earlier, US journalist Seymour Hersh published the results of an investigation, according to which the explosives for Nord Stream were planted by American divers under the cover of a NATO exercise and activated by the Norwegians. The White House reacted to the investigation and called it false. However, Mike Lee, U.S. Senator for Utah, noted on Twitter, "I can’t immediately rule out the suggestion that the U.S. blew up the Nord Stream." If it turns out to be true, we've got a huge problem.
Video produced by : https://rtd.rt.com/
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Earlier, US journalist Seymour Hersh published the results of an investigation, according to which the explosives for Nord Stream were planted by American divers under the cover of a NATO exercise and activated by the Norwegians. The White House reacted to the investigation and called it false. However, Mike Lee, U.S. Senator for Utah, noted on Twitter, "I can’t immediately rule out the suggestion that the U.S. blew up the Nord Stream." If it turns out to be true, we've got a huge problem.
Video produced by : https://rtd.rt.com/
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‼️🔥Ukrainians destroyed the airfield in Melitopol with the help of Telegram The fake Khokhlomer of Melitopol said that the city was shuddering from explosions, the windows were shaking. "Over the past 40 minutes, there have been more than 7 powerful Hymars…
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Ukrainian armed forces killed a civilian in Melitopol.
Video by : @wargonzo
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Video by : @wargonzo
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Good numbers for the number of trips to Bandera from Bakhmut - more than 500 for this day 😊 Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert…
‼️🇷🇺 🇺🇦 A record 54 clashes took place in the Bakhmut area in a day, - speaker of the eastern group of troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
S. Cherevaty said that extremely heavy battles were going on, Russian forces were trying to cut off the supply lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But for now, the Ukrainian forces have the opportunity to deliver weapons, provisions, and other necessary things to Bakhmut and take out the wounded.
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S. Cherevaty said that extremely heavy battles were going on, Russian forces were trying to cut off the supply lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But for now, the Ukrainian forces have the opportunity to deliver weapons, provisions, and other necessary things to Bakhmut and take out the wounded.
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The commander of a Russian sniper group operating in the SMO zone - author of the Telegram channel Mrakobortsev Diary - met with NEWS.ru correspondent in Luhansk. Here he got out with the fighting to rest for a couple of days. What does a sniper feel when sending his target to the afterlife, and whom is it not customary to shoot at? How do Ukrainians train young girls to be professional killers and why dueling with them is the most difficult? Frank confessions - in an interview with a real sniper, whose group eliminated more than 100 targets.
- Sniper, in what frontline sectors did you manage to visit?
- Since the beginning of the SSO, I have been to Makiivka, Yasinovataya, Torskoye, Krasny Liman. Last months we were active in Svatove-Kreminna sector - near Chervonaya Dibrova, Chernopopovka, Lesnichestvo settlements, where we were holding back the enemy's onslaught. Now the counter-offensive has begun: we have pushed back the enemy for more than 10 km.
- What is the main peculiarity of your work?
- The main weapon of any sniper is neither a sniper rifle nor a machine gun. The main weapon of a sniper is fear. That is the creation of fear in the ranks of the enemy - the main task of any sniper or sniper group. This is what makes us different from other units. Shouting "Sniper" when the enemy works or when we work, immediately shackles the enemy with terror. Our main task is to create panic and fear in the enemy, which we have been successfully doing for many months.
- Who are your targets?
- First of all, we hunt the enemy's snipers - a kind of sniper duels, in which we have to destroy our colleagues in the ranks of the enemy. The second is officers, saboteurs, scouts, mortar crews. Who exactly we are interested in, we orient on the spot.
You have to be very selective in who you work for. A sniper who is hunting infantrymen is a man without ethics, without honor, who does not understand the basis of his work. If I see an infantryman walking through the woods, I won't shoot him: he doesn't interest me. If I take out an enemy infantryman, I compromise my position - I have to call off the mission, walk away. And because I'm gone, the enemy sniper may kill my brothers in arms. So I'll stay and wait for a more profitable target to destroy it.
- How do you feel when you hit the target? After all, any sniper understands that the person on the other side, in whom a bullet of 7.62 mm or, even more so, 12.7 mm has hit, most likely, will not survive...
- Let me recall the words of Lyudmila Pavlyuchenko, the legendary sniper of the Great Patriotic War, the Soviet "Lady of Death". When she was asked the question, "Do you realize that you killed 309 people," she said: "Not people, but Nazis." We have a similar feeling. We are not with people howling - what emotions can there be! To me he is the enemy! What do I feel? Joy that I finally waited for the moment and eliminated the target. "Minus one" - my brothers in arms are safe - that's what I feel first and foremost.
- What's your personal score and what's your sniper group score?
- Personal score is classified information, but overall in our group - we have more than a hundred successful missions, successfully worked off targets. So our group is insanely feared in the area where we appear. Mostly we were opposed by the Ukrainian sniper group "Jaegers" and the Polish sabotage sniper group "Nowak". The latter group was completely destroyed by our group in January when we encountered them and ambushed them. So we are being hunted, but not very successfully for the enemy. As long as our hearts beat, we will destroy the enemy, and the enemy will not stand a chance.
- The story about your confrontation near Svatovo with a Ukrainian sniper named Gorgon received hundreds of thousands of readings on New Year's Day. How did the story end and will there be a sequel?
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- Sniper, in what frontline sectors did you manage to visit?
- Since the beginning of the SSO, I have been to Makiivka, Yasinovataya, Torskoye, Krasny Liman. Last months we were active in Svatove-Kreminna sector - near Chervonaya Dibrova, Chernopopovka, Lesnichestvo settlements, where we were holding back the enemy's onslaught. Now the counter-offensive has begun: we have pushed back the enemy for more than 10 km.
- What is the main peculiarity of your work?
- The main weapon of any sniper is neither a sniper rifle nor a machine gun. The main weapon of a sniper is fear. That is the creation of fear in the ranks of the enemy - the main task of any sniper or sniper group. This is what makes us different from other units. Shouting "Sniper" when the enemy works or when we work, immediately shackles the enemy with terror. Our main task is to create panic and fear in the enemy, which we have been successfully doing for many months.
- Who are your targets?
- First of all, we hunt the enemy's snipers - a kind of sniper duels, in which we have to destroy our colleagues in the ranks of the enemy. The second is officers, saboteurs, scouts, mortar crews. Who exactly we are interested in, we orient on the spot.
You have to be very selective in who you work for. A sniper who is hunting infantrymen is a man without ethics, without honor, who does not understand the basis of his work. If I see an infantryman walking through the woods, I won't shoot him: he doesn't interest me. If I take out an enemy infantryman, I compromise my position - I have to call off the mission, walk away. And because I'm gone, the enemy sniper may kill my brothers in arms. So I'll stay and wait for a more profitable target to destroy it.
- How do you feel when you hit the target? After all, any sniper understands that the person on the other side, in whom a bullet of 7.62 mm or, even more so, 12.7 mm has hit, most likely, will not survive...
- Let me recall the words of Lyudmila Pavlyuchenko, the legendary sniper of the Great Patriotic War, the Soviet "Lady of Death". When she was asked the question, "Do you realize that you killed 309 people," she said: "Not people, but Nazis." We have a similar feeling. We are not with people howling - what emotions can there be! To me he is the enemy! What do I feel? Joy that I finally waited for the moment and eliminated the target. "Minus one" - my brothers in arms are safe - that's what I feel first and foremost.
- What's your personal score and what's your sniper group score?
- Personal score is classified information, but overall in our group - we have more than a hundred successful missions, successfully worked off targets. So our group is insanely feared in the area where we appear. Mostly we were opposed by the Ukrainian sniper group "Jaegers" and the Polish sabotage sniper group "Nowak". The latter group was completely destroyed by our group in January when we encountered them and ambushed them. So we are being hunted, but not very successfully for the enemy. As long as our hearts beat, we will destroy the enemy, and the enemy will not stand a chance.
- The story about your confrontation near Svatovo with a Ukrainian sniper named Gorgon received hundreds of thousands of readings on New Year's Day. How did the story end and will there be a sequel?
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- In the life of every unit, there are a lot of stories that soldiers like to tell each other. Can you tell one from your life?
- There are a lot of stories - they happen every combat mission. One of the recent ones that comes to mind: recently we ran into a superior enemy force, and the battle was not in our favor. And the only one mobilized from our squad, the machine gunner Kuzya, crawled up to me and asked: "Commander, can I nail them with fire?" "You can!" - I answered him.
For the next 2-3 minutes no one could lift his head: neither we nor the enemy - it seemed that even the trees wanted to scatter, feathers of birds sprinkled from the trees. The enemy was blown away like the wind. In fact, one mobilized man with a machine gun and three ribbons stopped the enemy and forced them to flee.
- You mean he discharged three machine gun ribbons at them?
- Yes, and discharged very well: the feathers falling from the trees I'll never forget: even we were afraid to raise our heads because of such dense fire. Now we have an expression in our squadron: at a difficult moment we say "Release the Kraken" or "It's time to release Kuzya. Now it's our trump ace, the squad's secret weapon - Kuzya with a machine gun.
- I heard you are not just a sniper group commander now - you were assigned to lead a big military unit. How do you manage to combine this job with your personal work as a sniper?
- I've never liked sitting in the headquarters, and whatever position I was given, I wouldn't sit there. I always lead the group myself, no matter what position I held. And I will continue to do my job, regardless of rank or rank: I will always be with my guys until the end, and I will always be first - that's my job as a commander.
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- There are a lot of stories - they happen every combat mission. One of the recent ones that comes to mind: recently we ran into a superior enemy force, and the battle was not in our favor. And the only one mobilized from our squad, the machine gunner Kuzya, crawled up to me and asked: "Commander, can I nail them with fire?" "You can!" - I answered him.
For the next 2-3 minutes no one could lift his head: neither we nor the enemy - it seemed that even the trees wanted to scatter, feathers of birds sprinkled from the trees. The enemy was blown away like the wind. In fact, one mobilized man with a machine gun and three ribbons stopped the enemy and forced them to flee.
- You mean he discharged three machine gun ribbons at them?
- Yes, and discharged very well: the feathers falling from the trees I'll never forget: even we were afraid to raise our heads because of such dense fire. Now we have an expression in our squadron: at a difficult moment we say "Release the Kraken" or "It's time to release Kuzya. Now it's our trump ace, the squad's secret weapon - Kuzya with a machine gun.
- I heard you are not just a sniper group commander now - you were assigned to lead a big military unit. How do you manage to combine this job with your personal work as a sniper?
- I've never liked sitting in the headquarters, and whatever position I was given, I wouldn't sit there. I always lead the group myself, no matter what position I held. And I will continue to do my job, regardless of rank or rank: I will always be with my guys until the end, and I will always be first - that's my job as a commander.
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CyberspecNews reports:
A DPR official has stated that the Russians have established a presence in the southern part of Ugledar and have begun evacuating civilians
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A DPR official has stated that the Russians have established a presence in the southern part of Ugledar and have begun evacuating civilians
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And here comes the video of how the underwater drone hit the bridge. According to incoming information, the area around the bridge is cordoned off. Outsiders are not allowed. Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source…
Proof that Putin weaponized dolphins
-Levi
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-Levi
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It's not the C-ram at the third Tawheed base in Baghdad, these are failed attempts to shoot down the Shahed-136 in Kiev.
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CyberspecNews reports: A DPR official has stated that the Russians have established a presence in the southern part of Ugledar and have begun evacuating civilians Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad…
I'm very skeptical of this news, but Cyberspec hasn't said anything flat out wrong, yet.
Additional, he isn't the only one mentioning it.
Additional, he isn't the only one mentioning it.
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Militants lost two tanks and infantry fighting vehicles while trying to break through the line near the borders of the DPR
🪖 At least two tanks and two infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) were destroyed by Russian military personnel during an attempt to break through the defenses near the borders of the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), the Izvestia newspaper writes , citing a message from the Russian Defense Ministry.
❗️ In this battle on the night of Saturday, February 11, the Russian tankers of the T-80 crew distinguished themselves.
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🪖 At least two tanks and two infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) were destroyed by Russian military personnel during an attempt to break through the defenses near the borders of the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), the Izvestia newspaper writes , citing a message from the Russian Defense Ministry.
❗️ In this battle on the night of Saturday, February 11, the Russian tankers of the T-80 crew distinguished themselves.
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Destruction of the Ukrainian 152-mm self-propelled guns "Msta-S" UAV-kamikaze "Lancet".
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Western media are hushing up Seymour Hirsch's investigation into US involvement in sabotage at Nord Stream. This was stated by the German political scientist Hayk Hamer in an interview with REN TV.
“This shows that we already have very strict censorship in Europe. Democracy is possible only with freedom of speech, freedom of opinion. People should have an idea of what really happened,” the expert said.
According to Hamer, this is proof that the elites in Europe do not take people seriously now, democracy in the region has disappeared, and the media has turned into propaganda.
"In this context, Seymour Hirsch's suppression of new details in the investigation of the Nord Stream 2 explosion does not seem surprising," the German political scientist emphasized.
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“This shows that we already have very strict censorship in Europe. Democracy is possible only with freedom of speech, freedom of opinion. People should have an idea of what really happened,” the expert said.
According to Hamer, this is proof that the elites in Europe do not take people seriously now, democracy in the region has disappeared, and the media has turned into propaganda.
"In this context, Seymour Hirsch's suppression of new details in the investigation of the Nord Stream 2 explosion does not seem surprising," the German political scientist emphasized.
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We are transferring 10 aircraft to Ukraine: we don’t have them, but it doesn’t matter
These are the words of Estonian Prime Minister Kaija Kallas:
“I am very pleased to announce that today Estonia has handed over 10 F-16 fighter jets to Kiev . While other countries are in doubt, we are providing assistance. Unfortunately, we do not have the planes themselves, but the very fact of the transfer will be a colossal moral support for the people of Ukraine.
If this number is not enough, then we are ready to discuss the transfer of another 30 fighters ."
Comment: I tried to understand the deep meaning of this phrase and could not. Maybe you can make it. 😂😂😂
And yet, yes, it really "provided tremendous support" to Kyiv))).
P.S. And the only thing I can add is that the Prime Minister of Estonia is a very greedy woman (or whatever she defines herself). In such a situation, she could transfer 100 fighters to Ukraine, and 200, and 1000. Yes, and for the future she could promise 3,000 fighters. She still doesn’t have them, who will ask later. But she pouted.
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These are the words of Estonian Prime Minister Kaija Kallas:
“I am very pleased to announce that today Estonia has handed over 10 F-16 fighter jets to Kiev . While other countries are in doubt, we are providing assistance. Unfortunately, we do not have the planes themselves, but the very fact of the transfer will be a colossal moral support for the people of Ukraine.
If this number is not enough, then we are ready to discuss the transfer of another 30 fighters ."
Comment: I tried to understand the deep meaning of this phrase and could not. Maybe you can make it. 😂😂😂
And yet, yes, it really "provided tremendous support" to Kyiv))).
P.S. And the only thing I can add is that the Prime Minister of Estonia is a very greedy woman (or whatever she defines herself). In such a situation, she could transfer 100 fighters to Ukraine, and 200, and 1000. Yes, and for the future she could promise 3,000 fighters. She still doesn’t have them, who will ask later. But she pouted.
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“ Among the prisoners there is no one who could be called cannon fodder ”🔥🔥🔥
"What is cannon fodder? What is this concept? , - Prigogine asked a question and immediately gave a definition:
“ Cannon fodder is a kind of biomass, which must fall under the shots of some kind of guns, which must turn this biomass into meat. Cannon fodder is a group of people without a brain and without control. Therefore, if an infantryman goes into battle and dies, this is not cannon fodder. This is an infantryman, a fighter! - whatever you want to call it - who went into battle . ✊✊✊
In the / in Ukraine, the opposite approach is mobilized and all is just cannon fodder in the hands of the cocaine clown Zelebobik and his gang of watering cans !!!
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"What is cannon fodder? What is this concept? , - Prigogine asked a question and immediately gave a definition:
“ Cannon fodder is a kind of biomass, which must fall under the shots of some kind of guns, which must turn this biomass into meat. Cannon fodder is a group of people without a brain and without control. Therefore, if an infantryman goes into battle and dies, this is not cannon fodder. This is an infantryman, a fighter! - whatever you want to call it - who went into battle . ✊✊✊
In the / in Ukraine, the opposite approach is mobilized and all is just cannon fodder in the hands of the cocaine clown Zelebobik and his gang of watering cans !!!
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⚡️Reports about the use of German anti-tank mines DM1399 by the AFU
It is called one of the most dangerous mines invented by men. The anti-tank mine is a cumulative contact mine, installed using AT2 cassette shells from the German MARS II MLRS, from which it descends by parachute. A total of 28 mines are placed in the cassette, and in one salvo, the MLRS is capable of "sowing" them at a distance of up to 38 km, in a total of 336 mines, each containing more than 900 grams of explosives.
Once on the ground, the mine stands upright due to the opening "legs," which spring it from the ground, and the parachute straps are shot off. At the same moment, the lock on it is unhooked, which keeps the sensitive antenna in the bent position in flight, which triggers the mine when it comes into contact with it.
Because of this antenna, the mine poses a threat not only to absolutely any equipment, including armored vehicles and tanks, but also to people, because even turning it on its side will already cause an explosion. The DM1399 is often equipped with magnetic sensors, capable of reacting to any metal nearby, which prevents sappers in their heavy protective suits from approaching them.
In addition, the mines are equipped with a clock mechanism that provokes the self-explosion of the ammunition in 6-90 hours after installation, sending flying shrapnel from 30-50 meters.
In 1997, the mines were to be banned under the Ottawa Convention due to their high sensitivity and danger to people, but since they were already being bought by the UK, Greece, Italy, Norway, and France, the issue was hushed up and then forgotten.
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It is called one of the most dangerous mines invented by men. The anti-tank mine is a cumulative contact mine, installed using AT2 cassette shells from the German MARS II MLRS, from which it descends by parachute. A total of 28 mines are placed in the cassette, and in one salvo, the MLRS is capable of "sowing" them at a distance of up to 38 km, in a total of 336 mines, each containing more than 900 grams of explosives.
Once on the ground, the mine stands upright due to the opening "legs," which spring it from the ground, and the parachute straps are shot off. At the same moment, the lock on it is unhooked, which keeps the sensitive antenna in the bent position in flight, which triggers the mine when it comes into contact with it.
Because of this antenna, the mine poses a threat not only to absolutely any equipment, including armored vehicles and tanks, but also to people, because even turning it on its side will already cause an explosion. The DM1399 is often equipped with magnetic sensors, capable of reacting to any metal nearby, which prevents sappers in their heavy protective suits from approaching them.
In addition, the mines are equipped with a clock mechanism that provokes the self-explosion of the ammunition in 6-90 hours after installation, sending flying shrapnel from 30-50 meters.
In 1997, the mines were to be banned under the Ottawa Convention due to their high sensitivity and danger to people, but since they were already being bought by the UK, Greece, Italy, Norway, and France, the issue was hushed up and then forgotten.
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The United States in the Ukrainian conflict is not interested in the Ukrainian people, democracy, or freedom but in "regime change" in Russia.
So says former member of the House of Representatives and US presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard.
She noted that she drew conclusions based on the words of former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, who confirmed that when Moscow and Kyiv were negotiating to resolve the conflict, they were interrupted by Western countries.
On Fox News, Gabbard noted that the delay in hostilities would only lead to an aggravation of the situation and a direct clash between Russia and the United States and NATO.
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So says former member of the House of Representatives and US presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard.
She noted that she drew conclusions based on the words of former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, who confirmed that when Moscow and Kyiv were negotiating to resolve the conflict, they were interrupted by Western countries.
On Fox News, Gabbard noted that the delay in hostilities would only lead to an aggravation of the situation and a direct clash between Russia and the United States and NATO.
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