‼️Bloomberg: Russia and China have a stranglehold on food security in the world

The American edition writes that Moscow's special military operation in Ukraine highlighted the role of fertilizers and those who control them. The realization that much of the world depends on just a few countries for most of its fertilizers, in particular Russia, its ally Belarus and China, is worrisome in world capitals.

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Russia can rely on the depletion of Ukraine's human resources, and the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the south is fraught with many difficulties, according to well-known US military expert Michael Kofman.

As Kofman stated in one of the podcasts, the Russian offensive in Ukraine has already begun and is focused on the Donbass.

So far, the achievements of these attacks are modest. Some success is seen near Kremennaya, which may force Ukraine to abandon the Kremennaya campaign.

There is a growing possibility that Ukraine will withdraw from Bakhmut to a defensive line east of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk. The Russian military could then turn north and try to consolidate control as far as the Donets River (including Belogorovka).

At the same time, at this stage, it does not seem that Russia has used the available reserves and is probably saving them for a larger breakthrough. At the same time, it is not known how serious these reserves are.

"I am skeptical that an additional 'spring offensive' is looming. To carry out such an operation, Russia would probably need a second wave of mobilization, which was not there. And the forecasts for the mobilization of 500,000 troops in mid-January did not materialize," adds Kofman.

In his opinion, Moscow will see what will come out of this offensive before embarking on a second wave of mobilization.

Further, events can develop as follows: after Ukraine launches an offensive in the spring, Russia will mobilize in the summer, and later go on the offensive again, using the advantage in manpower.

"Given that Ukraine no longer has a human resource advantage, Russia's strategy in 2023 could be to cut Ukraine's human resources," says Kofman.

He believes that the Ukrainian offensive in the south will be a difficult operation for Kyiv: "The Russian army now has enough reserves to avoid exhaustion of the front line, as in Kharkov."

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❗️AFU began to dig in the Chasov Yar area west of Artemovsk (Bakhmut) - Marochko

According to Andrey Marochko, an officer of the NM LPR, Ukrainian militants are actively mining approaches to positions and constructing engineering barriers. In particular, to the southeast of Chasy Yar, the Armed Forces of Ukraine conduct remote mining of wooded areas with prohibited mines "Petal".

By the way, earlier the Kiev authorities banned civilians from entering Artemovsk (Bakhmut), and then asked them to evacuate altogether, surprised that people did not want to do this. And President Zelensky suddenly announced that the city, for which dozens of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are dying , turns out to be not so important. Probably, Ukraine is preparing to surrender the city against the backdrop of failed battles and serious losses.

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12 people participated in the preparation of the terrorist act on the Crimean bridge - 8 of them have already been detained.
Citizens of Ukraine, Armenia, Georgia and Russia were involved in the explosion.
Evidence of responsibility for the attack of the Ukrainian special services has been obtained.
/ head of the RF IC Bastrykin /

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🇷🇺🇺🇦❗️ NATO countries have transferred to Ukraine 1,170 air defense systems, 440 tanks, 1,510 infantry fighting vehicles, 655 artillery systems since December 2021, according to the data of the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation.

Most of this equipment has already been destroyed, the department added.

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⚔️🇺🇦 Fighting in the Zaporozhye region

It is reported that our units are conducting assault operations in Novodanilovka. The village itself is located south of Orekhov, which is a key settlement in this direction. There is no deep advance near Orekhov yet, but the situation in the Zaporozhye direction is characterized by a competent pushing through of the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. First, enemy positions are methodically split with the help of artillery, then they are occupied by infantry.

So, for a day, our artillerymen covered Ukrainian militants in Novodanilovka and Novoandreevka, to ensure the advancement of our infantry later.

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A year of war in Ukraine has hit Germany hard economically, with the German economy set to lose four percent of growth by the end of 2023. This is reported by the newspaper Rheinische Post.

The reduction is due to a sharp increase in energy prices and interruptions in their supply.

The publication writes that economic losses in the coming year will be higher than in the previous one: for 2022 they are estimated at the level of 2.5% of the productivity of the economy, or 100 billion euros.

Earlier it was reported that Europe today pays four times more for American liquefied gas than US enterprises.

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The US railway stories continue: an 18-inch homemade bomb is found behind a Catholic church near the railway tracks in Philadelphia.

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President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukrainian troops do not intend to hold Bakhmut at any cost, the city will be held as long as "as long as it is reasonable."

"This is not a particularly large city. It is important for us to defend it, but not at any cost, and for everyone to die. We will fight as long as it is reasonable, the Russians then want to move further to Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, to the borders of Donbass, and the Dnieper, if they can. We resist, and in the meantime, we are preparing the next counterattack," Zelensky said in an interview with the Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera.

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We stop the car in a lush forest lane. We continue on foot. To the left, 300 meters away, shells explode: "They are trying to reach our mortars", the attendants explain. On the right the artillery of the "musicians" working for suppression. And we walk along the path of the "dwarf forest", the height of which does not exceed the height of a human being. All the bushes and trees are cut down with metal. At first, I thought it was the "work" of shell splinters. Until we came up against two machine-gun points, from which the enemy was covering our attackers. It was frightening to imagine how dense the fire was. Here and there along the path, there were snow-covered piles of bodies of the AFU fighters. They are pulled out of broken bunkers and trenches and sent to Ukraine.Cargo-200 goes to the other side in the cargo columns. The casualties ratio is 1 of ours to 7 of the enemy's. Artemivsk meat grinder continues to gather its bloody harvest.

As always an excellent report by Alexander Kotz from near Bakhmut, highly recommended for reading!

This is the link to the text
https://www.kp.ru/daily/27467/4723196/

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👆👆👆
English translation of the text is so-so, but I think you can manage.

🇺🇦🙊In Cherkassy, civilians were peacefully celebrating a birthday in a cafe, but the military commissariat came with summonses and ruined everything.

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Drone of PMC "Wagner" burned two AFU soldiers in the middle of the work

The Wagnerians had to interrupt fighters of the "blue troops", dropping a projectile

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