As part of a previously unreported Ukraine plan, the presumptive GOP nominee is mulling a deal in which NATO would commit not to expand eastwardโparticularly into Ukraine and Georgiaโand is in talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin about How much of Ukrainian territory Moscow might keep for itself is reported by two other national security experts who support Trump.
โ The publication notes that Trump may also withdraw security guarantees for alliance countries that spend less than 2% of GDP on defense.
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๐บ๐ธ๐คก ๐บ๐ฆ(๐บ๐ธโ๏ธ )โ๏ธ๐ท๐บ The Pentagon stated that it considers it acceptable to use American weapons for strikes on Crimea
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๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ๐บ๐ฆ๐๐ฅ Kirovograd - another TCC butcherโs car left the chat.
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Forwarded from Intel Republic
#Bidenโs failing to look like functional human being now that mediaโs eyes on him like hawks after disastrous debate - he performs classic malfunction before proudly stating "you gotta know how to know" (bottom vid).
With word salad like that seems like Bidenโs been hanging out with vice Prez Kamala too muchโฆ
Boost us here for more Joe LIE-den's Dementia Today @IntelRepublic
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
The Ukraine war will end in a surrender, not in a negotiated deal. That is my sense of where the war is headed and why the parties cannot negotiate a settlement.
The latest wrinkle in the missing negotiating saga is a declaration in the form of an interview given by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to the Philadelphia Inquirer.
In the interview, Zelensky said there canโt be direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia but there could be indirect negotiations through a third party. In Zelenskyโs proposed scenario, the third party will serve as an intermediary and any deal will only be with the intermediary, not between Russia or Ukraine. Zelensky suggested the UN could act in this role.
However, the Zelensky proposal is a non-starter for many reasons, but the biggest one is that warring states need to directly agree on ending a conflict.
There is no hope of a third party implementing any deal, as the failed Minsk agreements (2014, 2015) proved. Minsk was a hybrid case where the deal was signed by Russia, Ukraine and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).
Ukraine refused to implement the deal and the OSCE proved toothless and unwilling to try and enforce the Minsk accords. The deal had political backing from Germany and France, although neither was a signatory nor legally obliged in any manner to support the resulting deal.
Zelenskyโs โproposalโ really is just another smokescreen to deflect criticism of Ukraine for not wanting a settlement with Russia. Three strong forces are keeping Zelensky from the negotiating table.
The most important is that the main Anglo-Saxon players in NATO, namely the US and the UK, strongly oppose any negotiations with Russia. The US has done everything it can, including through sanctions and diplomatic measures, to prevent any dialogue with Russia on any subject (other than prisoner exchanges).
The second reason is Ukrainian legislation, sponsored by Zelensky, prohibiting negotiations with Russia. The Verkhovna Rada (Ukraineโs parliament) could rescind that legislation in a nanosecond if Zelensky asked them to do so but he likely wonโt.
Zelensky completely controls the Ukrainian parliament, has arrested or exiled opposition politicians, and controls the press and other media. Zelenskyโs iron fist means that he wonโt personally allow direct negotiations.
The third reason relates to pressure on Zelensky from hard-right nationalists, including especially the neo-Nazi Azov brigade. Direct evidence for this is the firing of Lieutenant General Yuri Sodol, the top commander of Kievโs forces in the Kharkov area.
Meanwhile, given the battlefield situation, the Russians no doubt figure that the time will soon come when the Ukrainian army either collapses or surrenders, or both.
In either case, the Ukrainian government will need to be replaced in some manner, perhaps with an interim military leadership selected by Russia. That would allow the Russians to formulate a capitulation agreement with a replacement government.
A surrender by Ukraineโs army and an agreement with a Russia-appointed government would make NATOโs continued involvement in Ukraine impossible.
That could open the door, finally, to a security dialogue between NATO and Russia once NATO digests what happened and why. Unfortunately, loading NATO with has-been political leaders like Marc Rutte does not bode well for the future of the alliance.
The key message for NATO if the Russians win in Ukraine, as seems more and more likely, is that the security alliance must stop its expansion and look for a more stable arrangement with Russia in Europe.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei๐
The latest wrinkle in the missing negotiating saga is a declaration in the form of an interview given by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to the Philadelphia Inquirer.
In the interview, Zelensky said there canโt be direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia but there could be indirect negotiations through a third party. In Zelenskyโs proposed scenario, the third party will serve as an intermediary and any deal will only be with the intermediary, not between Russia or Ukraine. Zelensky suggested the UN could act in this role.
However, the Zelensky proposal is a non-starter for many reasons, but the biggest one is that warring states need to directly agree on ending a conflict.
There is no hope of a third party implementing any deal, as the failed Minsk agreements (2014, 2015) proved. Minsk was a hybrid case where the deal was signed by Russia, Ukraine and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).
Ukraine refused to implement the deal and the OSCE proved toothless and unwilling to try and enforce the Minsk accords. The deal had political backing from Germany and France, although neither was a signatory nor legally obliged in any manner to support the resulting deal.
Zelenskyโs โproposalโ really is just another smokescreen to deflect criticism of Ukraine for not wanting a settlement with Russia. Three strong forces are keeping Zelensky from the negotiating table.
The most important is that the main Anglo-Saxon players in NATO, namely the US and the UK, strongly oppose any negotiations with Russia. The US has done everything it can, including through sanctions and diplomatic measures, to prevent any dialogue with Russia on any subject (other than prisoner exchanges).
The second reason is Ukrainian legislation, sponsored by Zelensky, prohibiting negotiations with Russia. The Verkhovna Rada (Ukraineโs parliament) could rescind that legislation in a nanosecond if Zelensky asked them to do so but he likely wonโt.
Zelensky completely controls the Ukrainian parliament, has arrested or exiled opposition politicians, and controls the press and other media. Zelenskyโs iron fist means that he wonโt personally allow direct negotiations.
The third reason relates to pressure on Zelensky from hard-right nationalists, including especially the neo-Nazi Azov brigade. Direct evidence for this is the firing of Lieutenant General Yuri Sodol, the top commander of Kievโs forces in the Kharkov area.
Meanwhile, given the battlefield situation, the Russians no doubt figure that the time will soon come when the Ukrainian army either collapses or surrenders, or both.
In either case, the Ukrainian government will need to be replaced in some manner, perhaps with an interim military leadership selected by Russia. That would allow the Russians to formulate a capitulation agreement with a replacement government.
A surrender by Ukraineโs army and an agreement with a Russia-appointed government would make NATOโs continued involvement in Ukraine impossible.
That could open the door, finally, to a security dialogue between NATO and Russia once NATO digests what happened and why. Unfortunately, loading NATO with has-been political leaders like Marc Rutte does not bode well for the future of the alliance.
The key message for NATO if the Russians win in Ukraine, as seems more and more likely, is that the security alliance must stop its expansion and look for a more stable arrangement with Russia in Europe.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei
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Forwarded from Russian Diplomat ๐
โ Belarusian security forces blocked the directions of probable enemy movement on the southern and western borders โ Lukashenko
โ The air force and air defense forces of Belarus and the Russian Federation have been put on high combat readiness due to the activation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Polonaise and Iskander missile systems have been brought into position โ Lukashenko
โ Turkey is ahead of China, the USA and Israel in the export of UAVs; today it is known about 34 countries to which Turkey exports combat unmanned aerial vehicles โ Savunma Sanayi ST
โ Hungarian Prime Minister Orban arrived in Kiะตv on a visit. He said he asked Zelensky to consider the possibility of a ceasefire before peace talks
โ Ukraine rejected Orbanโs proposal for a ceasefire โ deputy head of Zelenskyโs office Zhovkva
โ The Dutch authorities have issued a license to export 24 F-16 fighters and seven aircraft engines for this type of aircraft to Ukraine โ Minister of Defense
โ The EU has restored previously canceled import duties on Ukrainian sugar and chicken eggs by the end of the year โ document
โ Iran will support Hezbollah with all its might if Israel starts a full-scale war against Lebanon โ Kamal Kharazi, adviser to the spiritual leader of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
โ The visit of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Russia is at a high stage of readiness โ Peskov
โ Germany Bet on Closer Ties with Poland as France's Path Uncertain โ Bloomberg
โ Estonia, which decided to allocate โฌ100 million a year for weapons for Kyiv, lacks โฌ150 million a year for doctors for the population โ Sputnik
โ Venezuela resumes direct negotiations with the US to restore relations between the two countries โ Maduro
โ The Republic of Korea resumed shooting near the border with the DPRK for the first time in six years โ TASS
โ The Armed Forces of Ukraine have significantly reduced activity in the Kherson region over the past month โ Balance
โ 173 Frenchmen, in an attempt to block the possibility of Le Penโs party gaining an absolute majority, withdrew their candidacies ahead of the second round of elections to the countryโs Legislative Assembly โ Le Monde
โ More than 360 employees of German security forces are suspected of right-wing extremism โ Die Welt
โ Democrats are considering early nomination of Biden to stem talk of a replacement candidate. Party could formally nominate Biden as early as July 21 - Bloomberg
โ The German AfD party will join Viktor Orbanโs right-wing bloc โ The Times
โ The strike of the Russian Armed Forces on the parking of Ukrainian Armed Forces aircraft at the Mirgorod airfield, which resulted in the destruction of five Su-27 fighters, led to losses that the Ukrainian side cannot afford โ Forbes
โ Putin will hold bilateral meetings in Astana on July 3 with the leaders of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, China, Mongolia, Pakistan and Turkey โ Ushakov
โ Poland will be satisfied with military cooperation with Germany instead of reparations โ Tusk
โ China is expanding facilities in Cuba allegedly intended to conduct electronic intelligence against the United States โ Washington Center for Strategic and International Studies
โ The authorities of the capital of Lithuania are purchasing โdragon teethโ and anti-tank hedgehogs to protect the city โ mayor
โ The US will soon announce an arms package for Ukraine worth more than $2.3 billion โ Reuetrs
โ The amount of bribe charged to ex-Deputy Minister of Defense Ivanov is 1 billion 185 million rubles โ TASS
โ Erdogan admitted the possibility of โadditional stepsโ on the part of Turkey to establish peace in Syria โ statement from an address to the nation
โ Trump is considering the possibility, if he wins the election, of promising NATOโs refusal to expand eastward, as well as depriving some countries of the North Atlantic Alliance of security guarantees from Washington โ Politico
Boost |
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The Islander
๐ญ๐บ๐บ๐ฆ Viktor Orban asked former Ukrainian president and drug addict Volodymyr Zelensky to consider the possibility of a ceasefire before peace talks. โ๏ธThe Hungarian Prime Minister believes that this can speed up peace talks. ๐Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
๐บ๐ธโ๐ญ๐บ The U.S. State Department rejected Viktor Orbanโs proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine
Deputy spokesman Vedant Patel said there was only one solution to the conflict: the withdrawal of Russian troops from โUkrainian territory.โ
โ๏ธAccording to him, โany state with influenceโ should contribute to this.
๐Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
Deputy spokesman Vedant Patel said there was only one solution to the conflict: the withdrawal of Russian troops from โUkrainian territory.โ
โ๏ธAccording to him, โany state with influenceโ should contribute to this.
๐Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
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The Islander
๐บ๐ธโ๐ญ๐บ The U.S. State Department rejected Viktor Orbanโs proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine Deputy spokesman Vedant Patel said there was only one solution to the conflict: the withdrawal of Russian troops from โUkrainian territory.โ โ๏ธAccording to him, โanyโฆ
โ๏ธDesperate and pathetic. Yankees in a nutshell.
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Forwarded from @MTODAYNEWS ๐ RT News new channel!!!
India looks to get more coal in Russia, Mongolia โ The Hindu
India's Steel Ministry is looking to diversify its sourcing of coking coal, with Russia and Mongolia identified as key new markets. Coking coal is a key feedstock material and accounts for 35-40% of the steel-making costs.
After discussions with industry leaders, it has been decided that trial runs for two shipments of coking coal from Mongolia, which is a land-locked nation and shares borders with China and Russia. And India will be seeking alternative routes to China. India, the world's second-largest steelmaker, is the largest importer of coking coal. Australia accounts for 70 per cent of supplies.
#India #Russia - Boost
๐ฉ @RTnews_unc3
India's Steel Ministry is looking to diversify its sourcing of coking coal, with Russia and Mongolia identified as key new markets. Coking coal is a key feedstock material and accounts for 35-40% of the steel-making costs.
After discussions with industry leaders, it has been decided that trial runs for two shipments of coking coal from Mongolia, which is a land-locked nation and shares borders with China and Russia. And India will be seeking alternative routes to China. India, the world's second-largest steelmaker, is the largest importer of coking coal. Australia accounts for 70 per cent of supplies.
#India #Russia - Boost
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Forwarded from ๐ฎ๐ช Chay Bowes, The Irishman in Russia ๐ท๐บ (Chay Bowes)
The EU isn't inrerested in Peace and Prosperity for Europe. It's interested in creating jobs for the tiny elites peddling War and Conflict. @@irishmaninrussia
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
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"We'll have to do something sooner or later, and sooner will be better than later," he stated.
The US national debt is projected to rise from 99% of GDP in 2024 to 122% by 2034, according to the US Congressional Budget Office.
Meanwhile, the IMF estimates that by 2032, the ratio of US national debt to GDP will exceed 140%. The fund has warned that such growth poses a threat to both the national and global economy.
During Joe Biden's presidency, the US national debt has increased from $28 trillion in 2021 to an unprecedented level of over $34.5 trillion this year.
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Geopolitics Prime
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Forwarded from From Russia with Love โค๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The Russian Ambassador to the Netherlands considered the F-16 a legitimate target for the Russian Armed Forces.
According to Vladimir Tarabrin, Moscow views Amsterdamโs permission to supply fighter jets to Ukraine as a move โtowards escalation.โ
He emphasized that the Russian side will consider fighter jets and airfields from which F-16s take off as legitimate military targets.
According to Vladimir Tarabrin, Moscow views Amsterdamโs permission to supply fighter jets to Ukraine as a move โtowards escalation.โ
โOne of the rash steps remains the export of aircraft. We consider it as a conscious move by The Hague towards escalating the conflict and destabilizing the situation,โ the diplomat said in a commentary for RIA Novosti.
He emphasized that the Russian side will consider fighter jets and airfields from which F-16s take off as legitimate military targets.
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Forwarded from Intel Republic
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No-nonsense presenter then grills Sunak on food inflation stats and UK PM immediately crumbles as he can only blurt out "I donโt have that figure to hand" (01:03)โฆ
Donโt worry โcause weโre here with those stats that Sunak wishes he had on his election campaign trail: cost of bread in UK up 28% over last 5 yearsโฆ
Boost us here! @IntelRepublic
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Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ RFAF Advance Northeast of #Karlovka on the South #Avdeyevka Frontโก๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The RFAF advanced northwest of #Netaylovo at the northern bank of the Karlovskoye Reservoir. Advance of the RFAF onto the dam more than 300 m in the building area.
๐ฌ Attack of the RFAF by a sapper unit. An assault group undermined the AFU position in a building northeast of #Karlovka.
๐ Geolocation:
๐ Video: Source
๐บ Map: @z_arhiv
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐ฌ Attack of the RFAF by a sapper unit. An assault group undermined the AFU position in a building northeast of #Karlovka.
๐ Geolocation:
48.12332, 37.50752๐ Video: Source
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Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธโ๏ธ Escalation in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Zone until the End of 2 July 2024โก๏ธ
๐นIn the northern #GazaStrip, Israeli troops continue to fight in the vicinity of the Tunis Cemetery in the Al-Judaida area. The Israelis also attacked Az-Zeitoun, where more than 15 people were killed.
๐นIn the south of the Enclave, the IDF carried out a massive operation in the suburbs of Khan Yunis, from where local residents were evacuated during the day. At the same time, fighting continues in the Al-Shaboura Camp and Tell al-Sultan in Rafah.
๐นIn the West Bank, Israeli security forces carried out another series of raids, detaining over 20 people. The largest IDF operation took place in Nablus, where two weapons production machines were destroyed.
๐นOn the border with #Lebanon, the exchange of strikes between Hezbollah and the Israel Defence Forces continues, but the intensity of shelling has decreased slightly compared to yesterday.
๐งพ Read More on our Channel ๐ ๐ท๐บ @rybar_plus_bot
๐บ High Resolution: ๐ฌ๐ง MAP; ๐ท๐บ MAP
๐ RYBAR; 2 Jul 2024, 20:32; #pal
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐นIn the northern #GazaStrip, Israeli troops continue to fight in the vicinity of the Tunis Cemetery in the Al-Judaida area. The Israelis also attacked Az-Zeitoun, where more than 15 people were killed.
๐นIn the south of the Enclave, the IDF carried out a massive operation in the suburbs of Khan Yunis, from where local residents were evacuated during the day. At the same time, fighting continues in the Al-Shaboura Camp and Tell al-Sultan in Rafah.
๐นIn the West Bank, Israeli security forces carried out another series of raids, detaining over 20 people. The largest IDF operation took place in Nablus, where two weapons production machines were destroyed.
๐นOn the border with #Lebanon, the exchange of strikes between Hezbollah and the Israel Defence Forces continues, but the intensity of shelling has decreased slightly compared to yesterday.
๐งพ Read More on our Channel ๐ ๐ท๐บ @rybar_plus_bot
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Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 2 July 2024โก๏ธ
๐นRussian Troops, over the past day, hit targets in #Kharkov and also struck the airfield in #Poltava, hitting a Mi-24 helicopter of the AFU. Ukrainian formations again attempted a raid on #Crimea.
๐นIn the #Seversk sector, there are clashes in #Spornoye, as well as to the north of it.
๐นIn #Bakhmut direction, the RFAF occupied a multi-storey building on Koshevogo Street and taking control of most of the Kanal Microdistrict in #ChasovYar.
๐ก In the far south, Russian troops advanced on the eastern outskirts of #Kirovo, occupying new positions on Zheleznodorozhnaya Street (โญ๏ธ #Toretsk Area).
๐นIn the #Avdeyevka direction, the RFAF expanded the zone of control in the fields northwest of #Novopokrovskoye, and also started fighting for a large fortified area south of #Sokol.
๐งพ Read More on our Channel ๐ ๐ท๐บ @rybar_plus_bot
๐บ High Resolution: ๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ฆ MAPS; ๐ท๐บ MAPS
๐ RYBAR: 3 Jul 2024, 00:34; #smo
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐นRussian Troops, over the past day, hit targets in #Kharkov and also struck the airfield in #Poltava, hitting a Mi-24 helicopter of the AFU. Ukrainian formations again attempted a raid on #Crimea.
๐นIn the #Seversk sector, there are clashes in #Spornoye, as well as to the north of it.
๐นIn #Bakhmut direction, the RFAF occupied a multi-storey building on Koshevogo Street and taking control of most of the Kanal Microdistrict in #ChasovYar.
๐นIn the #Avdeyevka direction, the RFAF expanded the zone of control in the fields northwest of #Novopokrovskoye, and also started fighting for a large fortified area south of #Sokol.
๐งพ Read More on our Channel ๐ ๐ท๐บ @rybar_plus_bot
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