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THE CHANGING NATURE OF AIR WARFARE

✍️ Written by JJ Research✍️

✍️Edited by Hikaru Kitabayashi✍️

During the recent Iranian missile and drone attack, Israel's fighter jets proved incapable of operating safely within Zionist state airspace while ground based air defenses were actively tracking and firing on incoming targets. The same would apply to any military with arms capabilities that included both ground based air defenses and an air force.

In fact, technological heterogeneity, less than ideal identification systems, and panic among human operators are still matters of concern. This remains so, even with regard to friendly fire air-to-air attacks, for which there has been a many year gap since an incident has been last recorded. This, though, has been because one side or the other, from the beginning, was able to establish air superiority. No one knows what would happen if both sides were able to fight one another from a position of equality with no ground air defense system working. However, the human factor makes this a serious consideration, especially since we can see that, by analogy, air-to-ground incidents have, in recent military actions, contributed greatly to combat-related deaths, as occurred on 7 October 2023 when many Israeli civilians were killed by indiscriminate Israeli air attacks.

Of course, technological advances are constant. And, with the appearance of ever more advanced drones, the evolution of combat technology is altering warfare in radical ways.

This is especially concerning since Russia, China, and the US are involved in an ongoing long range air-to-air missile arms race. Whether the US is fully competitive with Russia is not clear. The Chinese missile, though, as of 2022, had a slightly greater range than its American equivalent.

The next generation of Chinese UAVs will certainly include a model designed for air to air combat. The People's Republic of China and the US have both made this a priority. Rapid technical innovations are taking place, so, although Chinese fighter engines do not yet match the power of current Russian or Western designs, it is only a matter of time before China achieves parity.

The US fields the world's largest air force, with more than 14,000 combat aircraft, further strengthened with the potential for joint operations with US Navy and US Marine Corps aviation. This force, however, is confronting inescapable geostrategic difficulties in the context of the US Air Force's doctrine of multi-front operations.

Artillery has been emphasized by Russia, even as early as the Napoleonic Wars. This emphasis grew with the Cold War and resulted in the development of short and intermediate range conventional/dual use ballistic missiles.

The US, together with the UK and NATO, emphasized overwhelming air power. This had been effective in WWII campaigns, but does not seem to have gone through any serious review since. Another aspect of the Cold War was competition between strategic doctrine and force structure concepts. Any fair assessment will have to concede that the communist force structure achieved a cost-effectiveness advantage that still endures.

The air forces of today are undergoing rapid change. UAVs, in particular, are becoming increasingly important. And, manned aircraft are taking on more specialized tasks. In either case, a person cannot help but wishing that war, itself, will one day no longer be one of those tasks.

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