The Islander

Forwarded from GLOBAL DEPTH

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AFTER THE WAR, THEN THE CHALLENGE OF RUSSIA WINNING THE PEACE IN UKRAINE

✍️Written by Wassim Morjane✍️

✍️Edited by Hikaru Kitabayashi✍️

Everywhere in the news, we see stories about Ukraine. Everyone, talks about what is happening. Pro-Russians are talking about how the Ukrainian army is retreating on all fronts, pro-Ukrainians talk about how the USA is finally sending help, and lately how Chasov Yar is strategically unimportant, etc.

But, no one talks about how easily all of this could've been avoided, all the killings and destruction, either Russian or Ukrainian, and all the miseries that struck Ukraine and many of Russia's border areas. And, let's not forget about the human trafficking, mainly of women and children, but also of young men. Neither should we forget forced enslavement and forced prostitution. Nor should we forget the organ harvesting of Ukrainians for the use of Western medical facilities.

As this was being written, the Russian Ministry of Defense (MOD) declared that the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) lost 500,000 people. There are many numbers out there, many of them higher than what the MOD claimed. Some even go as high as one million. In the end, we are far from the delusional Zelensky number of 31,000. And, lately some NATO officials have expressed a desire to join in the fighting. Not that they don't already have a presence in Ukraine!

Knowing all of this, it's ridiculous to think that, predating 2022, the solution wasn't easy and simple. What the Russian government wanted, wasn't that complicated and it wasn't for lack of trying. They tried Minsk 1 and 2. But, as the former German chancellor, Angela Merkel, said, “We tried to win time for Ukraine”.

It is ridiculous, because, if a country is located near a “GIANT”, what a country needs to do is to remember Admiral Yamamoto's words on Japan attacking Pearl Harbor, when he said "I fear that all we have done is awaken a sleeping giant." Though it's in a nation's best interests to keep good relations with neighboring giants. what Ukraine's leadership did was:

1- threaten Russia's security interests;

2- oppress Ukraine's ethnic Russian population and its language, two things which Russia historically has a special interest in; and,

3- threaten Russia's strategic interests and financial affairs.

The Ukrainian government from 2014 onward, could have easily guaranteed all of those points, by choosing neutrality and protecting the Russian minority. After all, peace with Russia was in Ukraine's best interest. Plus, many Russians and Ukrainians have always had family members residing in both countries. As an example, let's not forget that, Syrsky, the AFU commander in chief was born in Russia and is a Russian by birth.

Unfortunately, the corrupt leaders of Ukraine, insanely decided to betray their country and people, provoking what we can consider a “Civil War" with Russia, a giant that had been sleeping for 30 plus years. So, what will the result be? The disappearance of Ukraine as a nation state seems distinctly possible.

But, if Ukraine does disappear and Russia absorbs a large portion of its population, there will be a sizable percentage of the civilian population who will have suffered greatly because of family member deaths, dislocation, destroyed property, and who, for one reason or another, will continue to blame Russia and not Mr. Zelensky's government for their misfortunes. If the experience of the American South after the end of the Civil War can be taken as an example, it will take five generations before blaming the former victors will completely disappear.

Winning the war will prove to be the easy part for Russia. Winning the peace among the surviving civilians is going to prove to be much harder.

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