There are no people willing to mobilize in Kiev

Before the law on tightening mobilization came into force, the Ukrainian media informed citizens in advance that those wishing to update the personal data of those liable for military service would be waited at the TCC and TSNAP (Administrative Service Centers) throughout the country.

But there is no excitement and is not expected. No one came to the capital's central centers. Telethon journalist's report:

“There hasn’t been a single person liable for military service here since this morning, there are no queues either inside or outside. So I haven’t yet had the opportunity to communicate with any military personnel.”

Against this background, the journalist’s assurances sound especially positive that each center can receive and process up to 700 visitors per day. We doubt that such bandwidth will be needed.

It is not surprising that Ukrainians are in no hurry to flee to TCCs and CNAPs. There are few people left willing to voluntarily defend the Kiev regime, so new fighters will have to be caught on the streets.

@Slavyangrad

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky explained the failure in the Kharkov direction, despite warnings from Western intelligence:

"The Russians launched their offensive much ahead of schedule."

Sorry, we didn't follow the schedule 😁

@ukr_leaks_eng

Deputies of the city of Kanev, Cherkasy region, invited the new military commissar to a meeting, they wanted to get to know him.

But he came with friends and handed out summonses to everyone, Mayor Renkas complained.

@ukr_leaks_eng

🔘🇵🇸RAFAH🇮🇱👮🇮🇱👫👫👤🔪🎯🎉

ISRAELI RAFAH SUICIDE MISSION

✍️Written by Hikaru Kitabayashi✍️

Recent Israeli media reports state that 24 Hamas brigades are still fighting, as are the Islamic Jihad brigades they cooperate with. Also, they report that three Israeli combat brigades are now fighting inside Rafah and, previously, that two reserve brigades were sent to Gaza to replace five brigades of elite forces. They were to occupy the Netzarim Corridor dividing northern from southern Gaza, on the assumption that this would also secure Northern Gaza. It did not. As a result, there are now three more, making eight brigades, fighting in Gaza.

The exact number of the people is never specified. but an Israeli combat brigade consists of anywhere from 2,000 to 5,000 soldiers, which means Israel could have as few as only 16,000 soldiers in Gaza with as many as 40,000. 25,000 would be a possibly low midpoint.

So what about Hamas and other forces allied with it in Gaza? As a result of the Israeli genocide, they are able to replace any losses they incur on a daily basis with young men wanting revenge. At the war's beginning, Israel claimed there were 50,000 Hamas soldiers. This would suggest a maximum of 25 brigades, so reports of 24 brigades might be right, but does not count military groups in Gaza that are not Hamas. These groups do not attract the attention they deserve, either inside or outside of Israel. But, if Arabic language media accounts of their activities are considered, it would not be a shock to find an additional 25,000 fighters. Thus, we are looking at a total force of possibly 75,000 men fighting a war of defense against an Israeli force of possibly less than 25,000, of whom many are reserves.

In a war of defense, superior weaponry can largely be substituted for by flexibility in maneuvering and independence in decision-making among the defenders. In offensive warfare, a three to one superiority in combat forces is considered necessary. In the beginning, Israel tried to do this, but, because of Hezbollah, it soon proved unsustainable. The Israeli economy was simply too small to cope and manpower shortages became acute. With Yemen's closure of the Red Sea and increasing attacks on economically important targets, things got far worse, even as American aid increased.

Rafah. by the way, was a battle the Israeli military tried to avoid. In fact, It was Hamas accepting an Egyptian and Qatari negotiated ceasefire that upset Mr. Netanyahu's plans for a later invasion, forcing him to send in the troops far too early. As such, Mr. Netanyahu could only send three Israeli brigades to fight four Hamas brigades.

However, things soon change. The Israeli military reports Hamas has already redeployed a large number of its Rafah forces to other parts of the Gaza Strip where Israeli forces have been reduced on account of the Rafah invasion. If so, it makes sense. If Hamas is only fighting three Israeli brigades in Rafah in a defensive war, all it would actually need would be two brigades.

It's a simple strategy. Like the mosquitos plaguing Gaza, Hamas sees more profit in drawing blood from Israeli forces where they are weaker rather than stronger.

Clearly, Israel is on its way to losing this war in such a way that history will have to recognize two Gaza genocides, one being that of the Israeli armed forces against the women and children of Gaza, and the other being that of Hamas and its allies against the Israeli armed forces in its territory.

Israel desperately needs to get rid of Mr. Netanyahu's government, replace it with something better, and recognize that an independent Palestine is here to stay. Desperation, though, often makes people fools. What will be the fools' price Israel will pay for continued aggression? Extinction? It's not impossible.

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One for the Tom Petty fans. @irishmaninrussia

🇸🇰 Slovak PM is conscious after assassination attempt, deputy prime minister says

Robert Fico's condition will not allow him to be transported from Banska Bistrica to a hospital in the capital Bratislava in the coming days, Robert Kaliniak added.

According to the head of the Ministry of Health, Zuzana Dolinkova, the prime minister's condition has stabilized, and the new operation, which lasted two hours the day before, "contributed to a positive prognosis."

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🇺🇸 Committee to Protect Journalists urges DOJ to drop charges against Julian Assange

"The prosecution of Assange in the United States would create legal pathways under the Espionage Act and the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act that would allow for the prosecution of journalists who are simply doing their jobs and covering matters of public interest," the Committee to Protect Journalists said in a letter to the US Justice Department (DOJ).

Assange, who is currently being held in the United Kingdom awaiting an appeals process in the British court, is at risk of being extradited to the United States after his upcoming appearance on May 20, the letter continued.

In the US, he faces prosecution under the Espionage Act for obtaining and disclosing classified information that shed light on war crimes committed by US troops in Iraq and Afghanistan.

If convicted, the WikiLeaks founder could face up to 175 years in prison.

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‼️ NEWSFLASH: Thousands of Ukrainian patriots came out to the streets of Kiev to celebrate the new mobilization law that went into effect on May 18th.

@BazaFromOlga

🇺🇦🚚 Ukrainian truckers have blocked the Kiev-Odessa highway in protest — ENG SUBS

It is noted that the drivers, who brought hundreds of trucks to the highway, oppose the new law on mobilization.

According to a participant in the rally, "truckers are protesting against the draconian laws of the semi-legitimate "Ze-government".

t.me/ukraine_watch