Forwarded from Bebo’s Friends
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Forwarded from Eurasia & Multipolarity
Russian gas supplies to world markets may grow by 2.4 times.
Analysts at Yakov and Partners, together with the Roscongress Foundation, expressed the opinion that the share of the Russian Federation in the global energy balance will decrease from 8.7% to 8.1% by 2050. At the same time, the volume of oil supplies will decrease by 25%, but gas supplies will increase by 2.4 times. The researchers proposed two scenarios.
The baseline scenario assumes a 10% reduction in oil supplies by 2030, while gas exports, on the contrary, will grow by 48%. This scenario proceeds from the full loading of both Power of Siberia pipelines, building up its own ice fleet and overcoming the logistical constraints of the Arctic and the Far East.
The second scenario comes from accelerated deglobalization. According to this scenario, oil supplies will decrease by 37.5% by 2050, and gas supplies will grow by 83%. This option will be due to a lack of infrastructure and technology. The researchers also suggest that the Russian Federation will be slow to replace fossil fuel sources [a fast transition would be senseless as Russia has all fossil fuels it needs at a cheap price].
The horizon of 2050 is a fairly distant period. With full respect for the work done by colleagues, we note that such long-term forecasts, with all the good faith of researchers, cannot take into account the probabilities that have not yet appeared, especially in such a dynamic time as now. Was it possible to accurately predict the current realities in 1999? Only partially and in general terms. Nevertheless, some long-term trends are quite amenable to analysis.
In particular, there is a trend towards the dominance of gas over oil and a small, but still growing, "green generation". This was not news for Russia — our gas projects are already developing very actively, including the liquefaction of natural gas.
The specific growth/decline figures will depend on the further development of the international situation.
Greetings from the sea, @sevmorput
Analysts at Yakov and Partners, together with the Roscongress Foundation, expressed the opinion that the share of the Russian Federation in the global energy balance will decrease from 8.7% to 8.1% by 2050. At the same time, the volume of oil supplies will decrease by 25%, but gas supplies will increase by 2.4 times. The researchers proposed two scenarios.
The baseline scenario assumes a 10% reduction in oil supplies by 2030, while gas exports, on the contrary, will grow by 48%. This scenario proceeds from the full loading of both Power of Siberia pipelines, building up its own ice fleet and overcoming the logistical constraints of the Arctic and the Far East.
The second scenario comes from accelerated deglobalization. According to this scenario, oil supplies will decrease by 37.5% by 2050, and gas supplies will grow by 83%. This option will be due to a lack of infrastructure and technology. The researchers also suggest that the Russian Federation will be slow to replace fossil fuel sources [a fast transition would be senseless as Russia has all fossil fuels it needs at a cheap price].
The horizon of 2050 is a fairly distant period. With full respect for the work done by colleagues, we note that such long-term forecasts, with all the good faith of researchers, cannot take into account the probabilities that have not yet appeared, especially in such a dynamic time as now. Was it possible to accurately predict the current realities in 1999? Only partially and in general terms. Nevertheless, some long-term trends are quite amenable to analysis.
In particular, there is a trend towards the dominance of gas over oil and a small, but still growing, "green generation". This was not news for Russia — our gas projects are already developing very actively, including the liquefaction of natural gas.
The specific growth/decline figures will depend on the further development of the international situation.
Greetings from the sea, @sevmorput
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Forwarded from Intel Republic
Police say blast occurred as man was driving truck, motive is likely criminal - local sources.
Developing situation.
Boost us here @IntelRepublic
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🇮🇱😬 Candace Owens claims that Zionists are not the original Jews but are instead demon worshipers and that modern Israel, established by the Rothschilds, has turned into a refuge for pedophiles. This has sparked significant backlash, with many calling for her ban from X.
Is Candace Owens right about these allegations?
My take is that very few in Israeli Jews have Semitic dna (DNA from the ancient Hebrews) while interestingly most Palestinian Arabs have Semitic DNA. Gives a whole new meaning to anti-semitism. Ergo, the war crimes committed against Palestinians is deeply Anti-Semtic and Israel has weaponized this as a shield from legitimate criticism. Ironically, according to the letter of the definition, the majority of Israeli Jews do not qualify as being descendent from the ancient Hebrews.
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Is Candace Owens right about these allegations?
My take is that very few in Israeli Jews have Semitic dna (DNA from the ancient Hebrews) while interestingly most Palestinian Arabs have Semitic DNA. Gives a whole new meaning to anti-semitism. Ergo, the war crimes committed against Palestinians is deeply Anti-Semtic and Israel has weaponized this as a shield from legitimate criticism. Ironically, according to the letter of the definition, the majority of Israeli Jews do not qualify as being descendent from the ancient Hebrews.
🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
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Forwarded from Russian Diplomat 🅉
– The attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Kursk region is an act of aggression and terrorism, which is backed by the United States – North Korean Foreign Ministry
– Ukrainian drones constantly violate the Belarusian border in the south-east of the country – Lukashenko
– The defense of the western border of Belarus has been worked out by Minsk and Moscow, if necessary, this plan can be changed to an offensive one – Lukashenko
– If you do not sit down at the negotiating table, there will be an escalation that will end with the destruction of Ukraine – Lukashenko
– Kiev has formed powerful forces of mercenaries and Poles to attack the Kursk region – Lukashenko
– More than 120 thousand Ukrainian soldiers are on the Belarusian-Ukrainian border – Lukashenko
– The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation took control of the settlement of Sviridonovka in the DPR – Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
– Estonia wants to establish ammunition production by the beginning of 2025 – ERR
– Europe's security depends on Germany's ability and political will to continue to play a leading role in supporting Ukraine – Ambassador of Ukraine to Germany Makeev
– If Kamala Harris wins the election of Vice President and implements her economic program, the United States may be threatened with mass starvation - Musk
– The decision of the All–Ukrainian Council of Churches and Religious Organizations to support the bill banning the canonical UOC is absolutely illegitimate, since representatives of the UOC, which is part of the council, Archpriest Nikolai Balashov, adviser to Patriarch Kirill of Moscow and All Russia, did not participate in its adoption
– Estonia will purchase €46 million worth of armored vehicles for "neutral" Moldova. The remaining €74 million will go to "components and equipment" – Sputnik
– The Ukrainian army can no longer use some of the weapons systems supplied to it by Germany, or can only use them in a limited way – Bild am Sonntag
– Ukraine uses British drones in attack on Kursk region – The Sunday Times
– Yerevan sent a delegation headed by the head of the Sargsyan Military Academy on a study tour of US military educational institutions – The Ministry of Defense of Armenia
– The AFU in the Kursk region is losing military and armored vehicles almost twice as fast as usual. During the nine days of the invasion, the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost 4 tanks and 41 armored vehicles – Forbes
– Colombia stops exporting coal to Israel – decree
– Belarus records 30-40 flights of NATO reconnaissance aircraft near its borders every week – Commander of the Air Force and Air Defense Forces
– On August 17-18, China conducted a law enforcement operation in the Taiwan Strait – three vessels participated in the operation, which lasted 30.5 hours – TASS
– No one disrupted anything, because there was nothing to disrupt – Zakharova on the WP article on negotiations with Ukraine in Qatar
Boost |
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Forwarded from 🇮🇪 Chay Bowes, The Irishman in Russia 🇷🇺 (Chay Bowes)
Media is too big
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Moscow Mules is back, welcome to season 2 direct from the basement FSB HQ. we lament the passing of sleepy Joe, we laugh at Kamala, and ask the questions everyone secretly wants answered but are too afraid, or too sane to ask. follow me @irishmaninrussia
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🌐📰 Evening Headlines
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Forbes: The Ukrainian Armed Forces are losing a large amount of military equipment in battle during the attack on the territory of the Kursk region.
🇺🇦🇺🇸 WSJ : During the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, Kiev used reserves that, with the support of the West, it had been accumulating for military operations in the current and next years.
🇬🇧🇺🇦 Sunday Times: Ukrainian Armed Forces use UK-supplied drones in attack on Kursk region.
🇪🇺🇺🇦 Euractiv: EU foreign and defense ministers will discuss the possibility of new military supplies to Kiev at an informal meeting of the EU Council in Brussels on August 29-30, given the high losses of Ukrainian forces as a result of the foray into the Kursk region.
🇨🇳🇺🇦 Sohu: Trade turnover between China and Ukraine in January-July 2024 increased by 18% compared to the same period last year.
🇰🇵🇺🇦 Reuters: North Korea has called Ukraine's offensive on Russian territory an "act of terror."
🇺🇸🇯🇵🇰🇷 WP: The US President, the Japanese Prime Minister and the South Korean President agreed to expand military interaction, strengthen economic cooperation and form an alliance to counter China's growing influence in the region and combat threats from North Korea.
🇺🇿🇦🇫 Kursiv: Uzbekistan has become the first country to formally establish relations with the current government of Afghanistan.
Via "Work, brothers!"
🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Forbes: The Ukrainian Armed Forces are losing a large amount of military equipment in battle during the attack on the territory of the Kursk region.
🇺🇦🇺🇸 WSJ : During the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, Kiev used reserves that, with the support of the West, it had been accumulating for military operations in the current and next years.
🇬🇧🇺🇦 Sunday Times: Ukrainian Armed Forces use UK-supplied drones in attack on Kursk region.
🇪🇺🇺🇦 Euractiv: EU foreign and defense ministers will discuss the possibility of new military supplies to Kiev at an informal meeting of the EU Council in Brussels on August 29-30, given the high losses of Ukrainian forces as a result of the foray into the Kursk region.
🇨🇳🇺🇦 Sohu: Trade turnover between China and Ukraine in January-July 2024 increased by 18% compared to the same period last year.
🇰🇵🇺🇦 Reuters: North Korea has called Ukraine's offensive on Russian territory an "act of terror."
🇺🇸🇯🇵🇰🇷 WP: The US President, the Japanese Prime Minister and the South Korean President agreed to expand military interaction, strengthen economic cooperation and form an alliance to counter China's growing influence in the region and combat threats from North Korea.
🇺🇿🇦🇫 Kursiv: Uzbekistan has become the first country to formally establish relations with the current government of Afghanistan.
Via "Work, brothers!"
🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
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😬🇺🇸❌🇮🇱 Let the Protests Begin! Pro Palestinian protests at the DNC in Chicago
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🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
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Forwarded from Dissident News
🇺🇸🗽🎵😬 Is it all over when Swifties support you?
It's all over could go either way?
🎯Follow us @TheDissidentNews
It's all over could go either way?
🎯Follow us @TheDissidentNews
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Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ RFAF Takeover of #Mezhevoye and #Skuchnoye on the North #Avdeyevka Front⚡️
🇷🇺 The RFAF, following the recent 👉 successes, advanced further in and at #Novozhelannoye. To the east, a small part has not yet been taken.
🟡 To the south, the Russians knocked out the AFU from #Zavetnoye. There is only field left to be seized.
🟡 To the west, they took full control of #Mezhevoye.
🟡 Further south, #Skuchnoye was also taken.
🎬 Video: The Assault Squad and units of the 3rd Battalion of the 228th Regiment raised the banner in #Zavetnoye.
🎞 Video: Source
🗺 Maps: @z_arhiv; 2nd 👉 Topographical Map; #smo #vid
📱 Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
🎬 Video: The Assault Squad and units of the 3rd Battalion of the 228th Regiment raised the banner in #Zavetnoye.
🎞 Video: Source
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Forwarded from Monero Revolution (Financial News)
📉 From Fiat Ponzi Schemes to Monero’s Promise: The Next Step in Money’s Evolution
The current financial system, driven by the never-ending supply of fiat dollars, is the true Ponzi scheme—a debt spiral that keeps inflating with no end in sight. This system, is built on unlimited supply, backed by nothing but promises, and centrally controlled. It’s a house of cards waiting to collapse.
Bitcoin emerged as a response to this, offering a fixed supply—a stark contrast to the endless printing of fiat currency. However, while Bitcoin’s capped supply has been hailed as a revolutionary feature, it also presents challenges. As mining rewards decrease, so does the incentive to secure the network, potentially leading to vulnerabilities in the long run.
This is where Monero steps in, evolving the concept of digital money further. Monero’s tail emissions ensure that miners remain incentivized to secure the network indefinitely, mimicking the sustainable process of gold mining. Unlike Bitcoin, Monero offers privacy, fungibility, and a decentralized system resilient to censorship—features crucial in a world dominated by central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) that seek to control and censor.
In a landscape where fiat’s Ponzi scheme continues to inflate and Bitcoin’s supply is finite, Monero strikes the perfect balance—combining sustainability, security, and privacy. The journey that began with Bitcoin leads naturally to Monero, the next step in the money revolution.
Are you ready to evolve beyond the limitations of Bitcoin and the Ponzi Scheme of fiat?
🌍 Join @MoneroRevolution
The current financial system, driven by the never-ending supply of fiat dollars, is the true Ponzi scheme—a debt spiral that keeps inflating with no end in sight. This system, is built on unlimited supply, backed by nothing but promises, and centrally controlled. It’s a house of cards waiting to collapse.
Bitcoin emerged as a response to this, offering a fixed supply—a stark contrast to the endless printing of fiat currency. However, while Bitcoin’s capped supply has been hailed as a revolutionary feature, it also presents challenges. As mining rewards decrease, so does the incentive to secure the network, potentially leading to vulnerabilities in the long run.
This is where Monero steps in, evolving the concept of digital money further. Monero’s tail emissions ensure that miners remain incentivized to secure the network indefinitely, mimicking the sustainable process of gold mining. Unlike Bitcoin, Monero offers privacy, fungibility, and a decentralized system resilient to censorship—features crucial in a world dominated by central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) that seek to control and censor.
In a landscape where fiat’s Ponzi scheme continues to inflate and Bitcoin’s supply is finite, Monero strikes the perfect balance—combining sustainability, security, and privacy. The journey that began with Bitcoin leads naturally to Monero, the next step in the money revolution.
Are you ready to evolve beyond the limitations of Bitcoin and the Ponzi Scheme of fiat?
🌍 Join @MoneroRevolution
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Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸⚔️ Escalation in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Zone until the End of 18 August 2024⚡️
🔹In the north of the #GazaStrip, clashes were recorded in the western part of the enclave's capita. In the Az-Zeitun area, Palestinian forces ambushed an Israeli supply convoy.
🔹In the south of the Enclave, there was fighting east of Khan Yunis, where IDF ground units tried to expand the zone of control on the outskirts of al-Qararah. There were shootings in the Saudi area of Rafah.
🔹In the West Bank, Israeli security forces carried out a series of raids detaining at least 25 Palestinians over the last two days. In total, since the beginning of the events on 7 October 2023, the number of arrests was about 10,100 people.
🔹On the border with #Lebanon, Hezbollah shelled northern Israel, injuring two IDF militants. The Israelis struck #Lebanon, killing both combatants and several Syrian workers.
🧾 Read More on our Channel 👉 🇷🇺 @rybar_plus_bot
🗺 High Resolution: 🇬🇧 MAP; 🇷🇺 MAP
📜 RYBAR; 18 Aug 2024, 22:31 (GMT+3); #pal
📱 Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
🔹In the north of the #GazaStrip, clashes were recorded in the western part of the enclave's capita. In the Az-Zeitun area, Palestinian forces ambushed an Israeli supply convoy.
🔹In the south of the Enclave, there was fighting east of Khan Yunis, where IDF ground units tried to expand the zone of control on the outskirts of al-Qararah. There were shootings in the Saudi area of Rafah.
🔹In the West Bank, Israeli security forces carried out a series of raids detaining at least 25 Palestinians over the last two days. In total, since the beginning of the events on 7 October 2023, the number of arrests was about 10,100 people.
🔹On the border with #Lebanon, Hezbollah shelled northern Israel, injuring two IDF militants. The Israelis struck #Lebanon, killing both combatants and several Syrian workers.
🧾 Read More on our Channel 👉 🇷🇺 @rybar_plus_bot
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Forwarded from Monero Revolution (Financial News)
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😬 In April, Goldman Sachs said their clients had 'little interest in #Bitcoin ETFs.' 👀 This week they bought $418M worth! 🚀
The world of finance can be full of surprises, can't it? Just a few months ago, Goldman Sachs claimed there was little interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Fast forward, and now they're making a massive $418 million investment! This only goes to show that when demand speaks, even the biggest institutions listen.
But what about Monero? Could we ever see a Monero ETF? Honestly, I’m indifferent. Why? Because ETFs take custody of the coin away from the people, stripping away the very essence of what makes Monero—and crypto in general—so powerful: personal control and privacy.
However, never say never. We all remember when Bitcoin was demonized by regulators, dismissed as a tool for criminals, and now look where we are. If Monero continues to rise in value, much like Bitcoin did when it was around $150 (approximately 2016), the demand might just drive a similar shift. After all, stranger things have happened in the crypto world!
Monero is a value buy today, just as Bitcoin was back then. As demand grows, will we see ETFs “come a-walkin’” for Monero too? Only time will tell, but remember—true freedom lies in holding your own keys.
🚀 Is Monero the next big value play, and will we see an ETF for it sooner than expected? 💭
🌍 Join @MoneroRevolution
The world of finance can be full of surprises, can't it? Just a few months ago, Goldman Sachs claimed there was little interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Fast forward, and now they're making a massive $418 million investment! This only goes to show that when demand speaks, even the biggest institutions listen.
But what about Monero? Could we ever see a Monero ETF? Honestly, I’m indifferent. Why? Because ETFs take custody of the coin away from the people, stripping away the very essence of what makes Monero—and crypto in general—so powerful: personal control and privacy.
However, never say never. We all remember when Bitcoin was demonized by regulators, dismissed as a tool for criminals, and now look where we are. If Monero continues to rise in value, much like Bitcoin did when it was around $150 (approximately 2016), the demand might just drive a similar shift. After all, stranger things have happened in the crypto world!
Monero is a value buy today, just as Bitcoin was back then. As demand grows, will we see ETFs “come a-walkin’” for Monero too? Only time will tell, but remember—true freedom lies in holding your own keys.
🚀 Is Monero the next big value play, and will we see an ETF for it sooner than expected? 💭
🌍 Join @MoneroRevolution
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🇮🇱🤝🇺🇸🗽 From Genocide Joe to Killer Kamala
No amount of spin can save Kamala from her record.
🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
No amount of spin can save Kamala from her record.
🎙Subscribe @TheIslanderNews
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