⚠️ 🔃 💪 👹 😧 📨 🔮 ☝️

ON PREDICTING A MAJOR IRANIAN RESPONSE TO ISRAELI ASSASSINATIONS

✍️ Written by Hikaru Kitabayashi ✍️

An important thing to remember about Iran is that it is a theocracy as well as a republic, giving it a unique political structure. The president of the republic is elected by the people. The actual head of state is a cleric whose term of office is for life. It is with this man, the cleric, that the supreme command of Iran's military establishment lies.

We can assume he will want to limit danger to Iran in the event of a Zionist political entity nuclear retaliation, which is a real threat. Does Iran have enough air defense systems in place? If not, he can be expected to delay retaliation until it does.

But, there is another factor that would would not influence a purely secular leader's decision making, yet which would influence the decision making of an Iranian religious head of state. One such factor is the religious calendar of Shia Islam. Ideally, a military attack should not be ordered on a date that would inconvenience the fulfillment of religious duties embedded in the religious calendar. And, as in Catholicism and in Orthodox Christianity, with their many saints days and other events connected with the birth, life, and death of Jesus, the Shia religious calendar is packed with days that demand some type of religious observation or other.

This year on August the 26 Shia Muslims will celebrate Ar'baeen in the Iraqi city of Karbala. It is estimated that this year there will be 25 million Shia Muslims participating, making it the world's largest gathering for religious purposes ever seen. Mostly, participants will be from Iraq and Iran, but also from all other regions of the world where Shia Muslim communities exist. Because of the possibly millions of Iranians participating, it is highly unlikely that the theocrat heading the world's only Shia Muslim theocracy will order an attack meant to punish Israel for its crimes until after Ar'baeen is over and its Iranian participants have a chance to come home.

However, this offers a narrow window of opportunity until yet other relatively important religious events take place on the religious calendar. For this reason, if the desire for vengeance does not fade and respect for religious observations is maintained and we assume that the matter of Iranian air defenses is properly addressed, we might be looking at sometime between the next fairly open period of the religious calendar which is between September 23rd and October 11th.

But, let us hope this will not be the case. Let us hope that any potential air defense problems are speedily taken care of, so that, if fireworks of a military nature are to occur, they will surprise us by ignoring the religious calendar and focusing entirely on what will have the greatest strategic impact. Any revenge attack coming at the end of September or beginning of October, even for non-religious reasons, will risk being seen as a cold-hearted sacrifice of yet more thousands of Palestinian women and children and not as the retribution the average man on the street in so much of the Islamic world is hoping for.

In the mean time, let's hope the Palestinians remain unbroken by the daily horrors to which they are being exposed. Faith that God will not abandon them, and not faith in Iran or in any other country, remains their greatest weapon.

👉 Join Global Depth to boost your TG Feed

Telegram
GLOBAL DEPTH from HK
This channel aims to unite interested individuals from around the world in an attempt to connect the dots. Subscriber participation is always welcome.

◾Anti Fascist activist criticises the Orwellian and repressive approach of the British government towards the radicalisation of part of the working class towards racist politics.

"It's does more harm than good...Having the thought police coming to knock on your door telling you the way you think is wrong is not going to de radicalise anyone.

◾Follow:
https://t.me/European_dissident

◾Zelensky Unmasked: the truth about Neo-Nazism in Ukraine and the penetration of far-right nationalist groups throughout Ukraine’s military and government.

- Azov battalion, the glorification of WWII Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera, and the Neo-Nazi figures that surround Zelensky.

- Ukraine’s Azov* Brigade uses neo-Nazi, white nationalist ideology as its organizing principle.

- Media organizations around the world (including some funded by the US) have denounced it and its influence in Ukraine's military. But the CIA has colluded with Ukrainian Nazis since 1946, just one year after World War II. Since then, neo-Nazism in Ukraine has prospered, making it perhaps the most hate-filled nation on Earth.

◾Follow:
https://t.me/European_dissident

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Modi may relay message from Putin to Zelensky

According to Bloomberg, the Indian prime minister "ruled out a role mediating an end to Russia’s war in Ukraine" but agreed to convey messages between Putin and Zelensky.

"Modi’s reluctance to broker an end to the war is partly because of India’s dependence on Russia for cheap oil and weapons," the publication reports.

@ukraine_watch

☺️ A contact cafe with capybaras to appear in Moscow

From September, visitors will be able to pet the world's largest rodents in the center of the Russian capital.

Subscribe to @sputnik_africa

🔸 TikTok | Sputnik Africa🔸

JUST IN - Putin signs decree providing assistance to any foreigners who want to "escape destructive neoliberal ideals" and move to "traditional" Russia.

https://tass.com/politics/1831019

@disclosetv