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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Vuฤiฤ‡ Arrives in Banja Luka for Urgent Talks with Dodik.

โžก๏ธ Serbian President Aleksandar Vuฤiฤ‡ arrived in Banja Luka tonight to meet with Milorad Dodik, President of Republic of Sprska, at the Palace of the Republic.

โžก๏ธ The Office of the President of Republic of Srpska confirmed that the two leaders will hold discussions, followed by a press conference to address the public.

โžก๏ธ The meeting comes on the heels of Dodikโ€™s sentencing by the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina to one year in prison and a six-year political ban, prompting Vuฤiฤ‡ to convene Serbiaโ€™s National Security Council earlier today before traveling to Banja Luka.

๐Ÿ”— The National Independent (@NationalIndNews)
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Serbian President Aleksandar Vuฤiฤ‡ stated after his meeting with the President of the Republic of Srpska, Milorad Dodik:
"Whatever the decision of the Republic of Srpska may be, Serbia and I personally will always stand by you."

โžก๏ธ Previously to the trial verdict, Mr. Dodik threatened to make a referendum on De jure independence from Bosnia

๐Ÿ”— @NationalIndNews:
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - I'll be 100% honest: as soon as I even SLIGHTLY saw coming the Trump "HOI:IV mod timeline", I knew Srpska would secede almost immediately if such a timeline happened. Why? Because if you understand the logics of those who back Bosnians Serbs, who thinks that the conflict's resolution was forced upon by America, its obvious.
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - Also: I'm factually noticing that Russian outlets are still talking about Dodik as if he was the sitting Srpska leader, even if "legally" he isn't anymore following the court decision.
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - What is my gut feeling exactly, you'll wonder?

I think Dodik will once again test the ground for secession, disregard court rulings, establish parallel court system "within BiH" at first.... and that when there is a final, "binding" decision to oust him, he will refuse to step down from office, will have support from the local elite, probably from the Moscow folks and the Trump folks, and when he refuses to step down that's when he officially crosses the rubicon and when secession happens, because then Srpska's institutionnal reality would be irreconcilable with Bosnia's constitutional order.

Its important to understand why it is like it is. Bosnia being united was always understood as a temporary concession to the Americans for the time where they are A) Dominant and B) liberal... now that their are not really that strong anymore and way less liberals, way less susceptible to support Bosniaks who, as a reminder, are of Muslim faith (which impact the support they may have amongst republican voters) especially with Trump's term taking a turn where there is some level of overtures from Washington towards Moscow, at a level of which Western elites are surprised, especially in Europe.

We're seeing Europe talking about being autonomous... but without America paving the way, would Europe have the military and diplomatic standing to solve a Bosnian crisis in their backyard? That is an open question, and there is on my side a suspicion Europe may tolerate a fait accomplit in the Balkans.
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๐Ÿคก1
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ - Hungarian PM Viktor Orban denounces a "political witch-hunt" against Srpska leader Milorad Dodik.
Global Intel Watch
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - What is my gut feeling exactly, you'll wonder? I think Dodik will once again test the ground for secession, disregard court rulings, establish parallel court system "within BiH" at first.... and that when there is a final, "binding" decision to oustโ€ฆ
Few things to understand:

Median age in Bosnia is 45

RS population is less than 1.2m

The Federation population is less than 1.9m

Who is going to enforce this secession?

Serbia? Ok, so we're talking about foreign countries intervening.

If that happens, is Turkey going to sit and watch? Is Iran going to sit and watch? Russia is still busy in Ukraine. The US won't do anything except send faux signals of support.

At best - RS can cobble together max 300k troops. The federation can cobble together 500k max. This isn't the 90's where the Serbs got to the armories first and held a dominant stance in armaments.

Let's take a deeper look tho -- if secession and conflict do arise, you're opening the door to the same Islamist extremists that have sacked Syria via Turkey.

The one and ONLY end game should be the destruction of the Dayton Accords (with it the demise of the Federation and Republika Srpska) and in it's stead should be one centralized government with a constitution that enshrines the rights of its NATIVE BORN Bosnian population.

Otherwise you'll just have Jew lovers like Dodik and Islamist extremism.
๐Ÿ‘1
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ - The EU Commission calls on Srpska leader Milorad Dodik to respect the court's decision following his conviction.
Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (TabZ)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ฉ NEW: Andrew and Tristan Tate boarded a private jet last night in Romania, destined for the United States

Romanian government spokesperson Mihai Constantin stated on Thursday that the Tate brothers left the country legally and remain under judicial control. He added that there is no reason to believe their departure was due to external pressure from any foreign entity.

@TabZLIVE
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The US State Department acknowledges the court's verdict.
Forwarded from .
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดโŒ๐Ÿ—ณโ€”๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ฐ The Economist | The global democracy index: how did countries perform in 2024?

Romania was also downgraded after allegations of Russian interference, illegal social-media tactics and campaign-finance violations prompted the constitutional court to annul the presidential election and call for a new vote.


๐Ÿ“: The Economist believes Moldova is a better democracy than Romania, although the regimes in Bucharest and Chiศ™inฤƒu are not that different, neither in ideology nor in tactics. In any case, The Economist downgraded Romania from a โ€flawed democracyโ€ to a โ€hybrid regimeโ€ meaning semi-authoritarian, semi-democratic.

The Economist's ranking also makes Romania the most authoritarian country in the EU which seems.. fair.

@Wallachian_Gazette
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Andrew Tate and Tristan Tate have arrived in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดโš ๏ธ Florida's Governor Ron DeSantis says Andrew and Tristan Tate are not welcome in the state.

No... Florida is not a place where you're welcome with that type of conduct."

Our Attorney General, James Uthmeier, is looking into what state hooks and jurisdictions we have to deal with this.

I don't know how it came to this. We were not involved. We were not notified. I found out through the media.


@TabZLIVE
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดโ—๏ธ Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier launches "preliminary inquiry" into the Tate brothers.

Uthmeier released a statement:
Florida has zero tolerance for human trafficking and violence against women. If any of these alleged crimes trigger Florida jurisdiction, we will hold them accountable.


@TabZLIVE
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - Bosnia: Serbian entity rejects authority of central justice and police (Parliament - AFP)
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๐Ÿคก1
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - The false suspense on whether Dodik would just peacefully accept to go to jail is over.
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte will visit Sarajevo, Bosnia, on March 10.

โ€” Klix
Global Intel Watch
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ - The false suspense on whether Dodik would just peacefully accept to go to jail is over.
Reminder: Radovan Karadลพiฤ‡ held out for 12 years, spitting distance from Sarajevo.
Forwarded from Global Intel Watch (Cody)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ - OHR didn't even suspend the Srpska laws ending Bosnian state institutions authority over RS.
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