🇧🇦🇷🇸 - I'll be 100% honest: as soon as I even SLIGHTLY saw coming the Trump "HOI:IV mod timeline", I knew Srpska would secede almost immediately if such a timeline happened. Why? Because if you understand the logics of those who back Bosnians Serbs, who thinks that the conflict's resolution was forced upon by America, its obvious.

🇧🇦🇷🇸 - Also: I'm factually noticing that Russian outlets are still talking about Dodik as if he was the sitting Srpska leader, even if "legally" he isn't anymore following the court decision.

🇧🇦🇷🇸 - What is my gut feeling exactly, you'll wonder?

I think Dodik will once again test the ground for secession, disregard court rulings, establish parallel court system "within BiH" at first.... and that when there is a final, "binding" decision to oust him, he will refuse to step down from office, will have support from the local elite, probably from the Moscow folks and the Trump folks, and when he refuses to step down that's when he officially crosses the rubicon and when secession happens, because then Srpska's institutionnal reality would be irreconcilable with Bosnia's constitutional order.

Its important to understand why it is like it is. Bosnia being united was always understood as a temporary concession to the Americans for the time where they are A) Dominant and B) liberal... now that their are not really that strong anymore and way less liberals, way less susceptible to support Bosniaks who, as a reminder, are of Muslim faith (which impact the support they may have amongst republican voters) especially with Trump's term taking a turn where there is some level of overtures from Washington towards Moscow, at a level of which Western elites are surprised, especially in Europe.

We're seeing Europe talking about being autonomous... but without America paving the way, would Europe have the military and diplomatic standing to solve a Bosnian crisis in their backyard? That is an open question, and there is on my side a suspicion Europe may tolerate a fait accomplit in the Balkans.

🇷🇴🇺🇸🛩 NEW: Andrew and Tristan Tate boarded a private jet last night in Romania, destined for the United States

Romanian government spokesperson Mihai Constantin stated on Thursday that the Tate brothers left the country legally and remain under judicial control. He added that there is no reason to believe their departure was due to external pressure from any foreign entity.

@TabZLIVE

🇺🇸🇷🇴 Andrew Tate and Tristan Tate have arrived in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

🇺🇸🇷🇴❗️ Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier launches "preliminary inquiry" into the Tate brothers.

Uthmeier released a statement:

Florida has zero tolerance for human trafficking and violence against women. If any of these alleged crimes trigger Florida jurisdiction, we will hold them accountable.

@TabZLIVE

🇧🇦🇷🇸 - Bosnia: Serbian entity rejects authority of central justice and police (Parliament - AFP)

🇧🇦🇷🇸 - The false suspense on whether Dodik would just peacefully accept to go to jail is over.

🇷🇸🇧🇦 - OHR didn't even suspend the Srpska laws ending Bosnian state institutions authority over RS.

🇷🇸🇧🇦 - OHR, PIC steering board calls on Bosnia to solve the crisis itself in joint statement.