Further launches of Kh-59/69 cruise missiles from a Russian Sukhoi 57 over Kherson oblast.

2 additional cruises toward Krivyy Rih.

Likely also going onward to Kanatove airbase.

Approaching Kanatove airport.

Impacts

PSA for those who are corrupted by the whole Schrodinger's Russia narrative:

(For those who don't know, a popular narrative that has been going around since the start of the war is that Russia is simultaneously far too weak to conquer Ukraine yet also about to take over the entire Western world)

The Russian army is much, much stronger now than it was at the start of the war. I am of the view that when considering war as a holistic extension of politics, Russia has the strongest army on the planet.

As my good friend WillyOAM has said, The US is brilliant at conducting warFARE. They can bomb this, bomb that, take out leaders, but they don't understand WAR. They are brilliant against non-state actors, but as soon as the opportunity to force regime change on Iran arose, the US absolutely botched it.

Russia understands war extremely well now. Engaging in a brutal 5-year long war of attrition is nowhere near what Russia planned, but it has allowed them to transform their fighting force into an almost completely unrecognisable one from 2022. Look at their adaptations: using missiles, glide bombs, strike UAVs, FPV drones, artillery and MLRS all in conjunction with one another to inflict maximum attrition on their enemy.

Not only does Russia possess what could be argued to be a full-scale war economy, but they have expanded their ground forces to 1.5 million men, and most importantly of all, they are immensely battle-hardened. Russian command isn't stupid - they don't launch costly offensives to take swathes of territory, because they know taking territory doesn't win wars (something the US has failed to realise) The west has not seen CONVENTIAL conflict in many, many years. Russia would not be a pushover in a hypothetical global all-out war. Russia would likely sweep through much of eastern Europe before a stalemate is reached in Germany and the Alps. This is my speculative opinion.

Underestimating Russia would only make fighting a war against them more difficult. The Western political sphere is also a huge weakness - neoliberal democracies are not as socially cohesive in wartime as autocracies.

The moral of the story is do not underestimate Russia. Napoleon made that mistake, so did the Germans. The west must learn from Russia in order to fight effectively against it.

Dobropillya direction, Donetsk oblast.

As reported by pro-Russian sources, Ukrainian forces, including Skala, are launching counterattacking operations from Zolotyy Kolodyaz toward Kucheriv Yar, Rubizhne, and Vilne.

The likely aim of these attacks is to force pressure on the flank of Russian forces fighting in eastern Dobropillya, forcing them to withdraw and delaying the fall of the city.

Regarding this post made by Radov about Ukrainian counterattacks northeast of Dobropillya.

It is very misleading. Russian forces never controlled Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Novovodyane, or any nearby areas in the first place. At most, there were maybe a dozen Russian soldiers who infiltrated Ukrainian lines in the last three weeks, and were operating in the area of Novovodyane, Bilozerske, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Marivka, and Vesele Pole. Before this, some DRG groups were operating in this area to identify safer infiltration routes and disrupt Ukrainian logistics. .

These Russian soldiers do not have the task of "controlling" territory (there are not enough of them for this), but rather change positions constantly and hide in concealed areas to avoid detection, while waiting for new infiltrators to arrive to begin the accumulation, and then eventually consolidation, process. This is how almost every Russian advance in the last few months has been made. Sending in soldiers in groups of 2s and 3s, hiding, surviving, bringing in more infiltrators, and attacking the Ukrainian defences from within. Essentially "absorbing" an area with large amounts of infantry overtime, and overwhelming Ukrainian drone operators and clearing groups.

Russia was only in the very first stage of this process, and Ukraine has been actively clearing these areas with their small assault groups reserved for such operations. Radov mentions the national guard (presumably 12th Brigade "Azov"), and elements of the 425th Assault Regiment "Skala". Both of these units have been stationed in this sector for months.

If Ukrainian forces can push further south to Vilne, Stepy, and Kucheriv Yar, then it could be considered a coordinated series of counterattacks. But for now, this is just clearing operations against Russian infiltrators. The same happens in other parts of the frontline (especially north of Stepnohirsk), but isn't as publicised as in this sector. Neither correspond to any major Russian advance, and neither correspond to any Ukrainian counterattacks.

My apologies.

I fell for this misinformation, unfortunately.

I’m sorry

❗️The upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack that I was warning about will likely take place tonight. It will be combined with strategic bombers.

During the night, 3 Tu-160M and 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers were redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. The Tu-160s flew to Belaya Airbase, and the Tu-95MS flew to Olenya and possibly Engels-2. Most/all of them are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, which were delivered to Ukrainka Airbase with an An-124-100 military transport aircraft yesterday.

In addition, 2 Buyan-M corvettes were re-equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles in the Caspian Sea following the earlier "Centre-2026" exercises. They are stationed at Kaspiysk Naval Base, Republic of Dagestan.

Furthermore, up to 40 missiles of various types (Iskander-M, RM-48U, Oniks-M, Kn-23, & Zircon) are ready in Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, & Rostov Oblasts after another dozen or so were delivered in the last few days. Up to one-third of these missiles are Kn-23 ballistics. Not all of the ~40 missiles will be used in this upcoming attack; some will be reserved for a future attack.

Hundreds of Geran-2 drones, Geran-4 jet-drones, Geran-5 jet-drones, and S8000 Banderol cruise missiles are also ready for use at launch points surrounding Ukraine. They will likely be launched over a longer period of time to exhaust Ukrainian air defences.

The main target of this attack will likely be energy infrastructure. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipro City, and Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast), as well as the western regions of Ukraine (especially Rivne, Volyn, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Lviv Oblasts).

The threat window for missiles (excluding Banderols) is from 12am-8am. As usual, ground-based missiles will be used first, and air-launched cruise missiles (Kh-101s) will be used second.

It is not 100% guaranteed that an attack will indeed take place tonight, however the threat is much higher than previous nights when increased threat levels were issued.

I cannot cover this attack, unfortunately.

Please follow all official warnings and stay safe if you're in Ukraine.

An Israeli drone strike targeted a bicycle in Gaza City, killing one person and injuring multiple others.

Hey ziocucks, was this a hamas terrorist?

Sadly, we have reached a point in this war where the information space is so fucked that, Ukrainian sources (such as Deepstate) will maintain large grey-zones as long as there's still one wounded and abandoned Ukrainian soldier stuck in a basement, and Russian sources will map massive advances up to where a single Russian infiltrator is killed by an FPV drone.

And then the fanatic supporters of each side will cheer it on, blindly consuming and trusting the news that makes them feel the most comfortable. This is made possible by the increasing centralisation of the Russian and Ukrainian information spaces.

Today marks exactly 3 years since the October 7th attacks on Israel, and the subsequent Israeli invasion, genocide, and ethnic cleansing against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.

Free fucking Palestine 🇵🇸

Russian Kh-101 subsonic cruise missiles are having a very enjoyable time right now… F-16s don’t seem to be doing their usual intercept work on them.