- UPDATE - No new launches reported

#Iran's ballistic missile attack on #Israel has reportedly ended

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🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸 According to journalists from The Wall Street Journal, the Israeli government is refusing to share details of its plans for retaliation against Iran with the Biden administration.

American officials are frustrated that they have been repeatedly "caught off guard" by Israel's military actions in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, and they are trying to prevent further escalation.

However, the US does not have information on the timing and targets of the alleged strike, and Washington had expected to receive this data during the visit of Defense Minister Gallant, which was postponed at Netanyahu's request.

🔻It sounds beautiful, doesn't it?

Especially after the media trumpeted that the Israelis had notified the US about planned assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and the start of an operation in Lebanon. And before that, about the progress of other events in the Gaza Strip.

The Israeli leadership provides the Americans more than enough information. And the Pentagon was directly involved in planning the response to Iranian attacks. Do you think that's why the head of Central Command, Michael Kurilla, came to Israel.

But the picture of US ignorance in the controlled media is needed to justify why the White House does not prevent the Israelis from committing genocide against the Palestinian and Lebanese peoples. Namely, that the US is completely unaware.
#Israel #Iran #USA
@rybar

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#Iraq / #Iran / #Israel 🇮🇶🇮🇷🇮🇱: "Islamic Resistance" / "Popular Mobilization Forces" reportedly launched a Kamikaze Drone targeting Israel.

The alleged attack was seemingly carried out with an #Iranian-made 🇮🇷 "Shahed-131 / 136" Kamikaze Drone (Loitering Munition).

https://x.com/war_noir/status/1933680675145560531

⚠️ Confirmed: Analysis of telemetry shows a significant reduction in internet traffic in #Iran; the incident comes amid an escalating conflict with Israel and is likely to limit the public's ability to access information at a critical time 📉

⚠️☢️ CIA: Iran “literally a meter away” from nuclear weapon

⁉️🇺🇸 With the White House making conflicting statements, many are asking "what the fuck is going on." Trust us, we want to know too.

Is this a high-stakes poker game or a clear march to nuclear war? On the one hand, Trump’s two-week delay might be a strategic move — giving Iran a window to negotiate before adecisive strike; on the other, it could give Iran the green light to complete the bomb, as the White House itself admits — which could be the go-ahead for a nuclear war.

One thing is clear: Trump is balancing on the edge, trying not to go down in History as the Last President of the #USA.

Meanwhile, Republican voters writ large would support the US government launching strikes on Iran by 58% to 25%, with 17% neutral or unsure, per the poll.

«CIA Director Ric Grenell told a closed-door congressional hearing that Iran is “literally a meter away” from possessing a nuclear weapon, emphasizing the urgency of the threat» — The Hill

«In a classified briefing, CIA Director Ric Grenell warned lawmakers that Iran is extremely close to acquiring nuclear weapons capability, stating “the finish line is just a meter away» — Politico

«U.S. officials have not ruled out the use of tactical nuclear weapons in a strike against Iran’s deeply buried Fordow nuclear facility, given the difficulty of destroying it with conventional weapons» — The Washington Post

«Military planners are considering a range of options to neutralize Iran’s Fordow site, including the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons, as conventional bunker-busters may not guarantee complete destruction» — New York Times

«U.S. defense officials have not dismissed the option of using tactical nuclear weapons against Iran’s fortified nuclear facilities, including Fordow, amid escalating tensions» — Reuters

❌ And yes, of course, all the articles from the major media have already been deleted - business as usual. But at least it explains why Trump delays, hesitant to strike. It's practically a stalemate on the world chessboard. The US can't launch a nuclear strike without starting WW3. But it can't allow Iran to have nuclear weapons either. What to do about it - no one knows.

#Iran

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📖 🇺🇸 🇻🇪 U.S. Seizes A Shadow Fleet Super Tanker off Venezuela | The Skipper Has Been Arrested!

In this episode, Sal Mercogliano — a maritime historian at Campbell University and former merchant mariner — discusses the arrest of the stateless Very Large Crude Carrier Skipper off the coast of Venezuela by the United States for carrying Venezuelan and Iranian oil in violation of U.S. sanctions.

00:00 Introduction
02:02 Information about MT Skipper and the Shadow Fleet
08:47 Sanctioned Tankers Worldwide
10:31 Military Operations Around Venezuela
11:24 What Comes Next?

📎 Sal Mercogliano

🇺🇦 🇷🇺 🇹🇷 The Black Sea has seen the most Maritime Security incidents in the past month than any other region

At least 7 attacks against shipping in the Black Sea were reported in the past 4 weeks only, which underscores the growing risk to shipping in the Black Sea, and at Russian and Ukrainian Ports.

Russia has attacked three ships at Ukrainian Ports or in Ukraine’s EEZ using Iskander ballistic missiles and UAVs (Probably Iran -ian origin Shahed 136).

Ukraine has attacked at least 4 ships which are scheduled to call at/recently called at Russian Black Sea ports.

⚡️ Not all ships attacked by Ukraine are sanctioned or are designated as Dark Fleet shipping by OFAC/EU etc.

📎 Martin Kelly

#Iran / #USA / #Israel / #UAE 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱🇦🇪: Iranian Forces (#IRGC) carried out an attack targeting Al-Dhafra US Base in #AbuDhabi.

IRGC launched at least three what seem to be “Soumar / Hoveyzeh” pattern Surface-To-Surface Cruise Missiles.

https://x.com/i/status/2032523351474733188

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - Are U.S. ground troops being prepared for operations against #Iran? – An Iranian assessment

🔹 Recent flight tracking data shows a number of U.S. passenger and cargo aircraft moving from bases such as Eglin Air Force Base, Fort Bliss, and Fort Liberty toward Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti. These bases are associated with special forces, airborne units, and combat aviation, which has drawn attention in Iranian analytical circles.

🔹 In parallel, earlier reports about the cancellation of a training exercise by the 82nd Airborne Division are interpreted as a possible indicator that certain rapid deployment units may have been placed on standby for operations in the region.

🔹 At the same time, the movement of amphibious forces – particularly the Boxer and Tripoli groups – has reinforced speculation that a sizable number of U.S. Marines could now be positioned in or near the battlefield, although the exact composition of these forces remains unclear.

🔹 Within this context, Iranian assessments do not dismiss the possibility of ground operations. However, some of them push back against the widely discussed scenario of a U.S. move on Kharg Island.

🔹 In this view, a ground operation targeting Kharg would be both highly complex and of limited strategic value, especially given the island’s proximity to the Iranian mainland and the fact that it can be targeted through airpower without the need for ground forces.

🔹 Instead, the assessment goes on to argue that, if a ground component is being prepared, it would most likely be directed at Iran’s southern mainland, specifically military bases along the Persian Gulf coast.

🔹 The logic here is that the current air campaign has already focused heavily on degrading Iran’s maritime and coastal capabilities, particularly those linked to operations in the Strait of Hormuz. However, from this perspective, airstrikes alone may not be sufficient to fully neutralize these capabilities.

🔹 As a result, any limited ground or special operations would likely be seen as a continuation of this same effort, i.e., targeting, degrading, or potentially seizing key coastal nodes that support Iran’s ability to disrupt maritime traffic.

🔹 In this reading, Kharg Island is therefore not the main objective, but rather a secondary or even distracting point in public discussions, while the real focus lies on the southern shores of Iran.

🔹 At the same time, the buildup in Djibouti is interpreted as pointing to a second operational axis, likely related to Yemen.

🔹 The objective there would be to preempt or contain the Houthis and prevent the opening of another front in the Bab al-Mandab and the Red Sea, which could otherwise amplify pressure on global maritime routes.

🔹 Overall, this analysis suggests that U.S. movements are not necessarily about a large-scale invasion, but about preparing for more limited, targeted operations across two key fronts: Iran’s southern coastline and the Yemen/Red Sea region.

🔗 Hamidreza Azizi

📝 Matthew Petti -

Iranians think all the talk about Kharg Island is a diversion and the U.S. buildup may really be for a ground operation on the coast of Hormuz and/or Yemen.

@CIG_telegram

#Lebanon / #Israel / #USA 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸: #Hezbollah struck an #IDF “Merkava” Tank and an Armored Carrier in the vicinity of #Taybeh.

Group seemingly used a couple of #Iran-made 🇮🇷 FPV Loitering Munition (Kamikaze Drones) —possibly armed with Anti-Tank (HEAT) warheads.

https://x.com/i/status/2037170218003316752

#Lebanon / #Israel / #Iran / #USA 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸: #Hezbollah struck an IDF Armored Vehicle in the city of #Tyre.

Group notably used a Fiber-optic FPV Drone —possibly armed with PG-7 pattern Anti-Tank warhead.

https://x.com/i/status/2037836023418204477

#Lebanon / #Israel / #Iran / #USA 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸: #Hezbollah struck an #IDF “Merkava” Tank with an Anti-Tank Missile in #Debel municipality.

Fighters used an #Iranian-made 🇮🇷 “ALMAS” top-attack guided missile (reverse-engineered copy of the Israeli “Spike” ATGM).

https://x.com/i/status/2037939492166721743

#Iran / #USA / #Israel 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱: Iranian Forces (#IRGC) reportedly shot down a US MQ-9 “Reaper” MALE UCAV over #Shiraz.

IRGC seemingly used a possible “Majid” ShorAD (Short-Range Air Defense System) with “AD-08” Surface-To-Air Missile.

https://x.com/i/status/2037917765596582401

#Iran / #Israel / #USA 🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸: An #IRGC-affiliated “Basij” member armed with Portable Surface-To-Air Missile System (MANPADS).

The fighter is carrying a “Misagh-2” (QW-1M) MANPADS fitted with a Thermal Sight; waiting for the low-flying USAF aircrafts.

https://x.com/i/status/2040127055380004954

#Iran / #Israel / #USA 🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸: Iranian Forces (#IRGC) parading with “Ghadr / Shahab-3B” Medium-Range Ballistic Missiles in #Tehran hours before ceasefire ends.

https://x.com/i/status/2046663785860026568