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Forwarded from Song of Oil and LNG
🇻🇪🛢Asia's Battle for Venezuela's Oil: The Complex Fallout of U.S. Sanctions Easing

Despite the recent lifting of the U.S. oil embargo on Venezuelan oil, Asian countries, especially China and India, face a challenging scenario, warn S&P Global analysts.

The competition for Venezuelan oil is intensifying, raising concerns for these nations. With U.S. companies now allowed to explore and directly purchase oil from Venezuela's PDVSA, there's a risk of reduced oil shipments to China, impacting debt repayments, while U.S. oil imports surge.

Furthermore, Venezuelan barrels might compete with other Latin American and Canadian heavy oil grades. China's independent refineries consumed 360,000 b/d and 110,000 b/d of fuel oil from Venezuela in September, against the country's oil production of 770,000 b/d. Post-sanctions, experts fear China might face competition from the U.S., Europe, and India.

In the pre-sanctions period (2017-2019), India imported 300,000 b/s of Venezuelan oil, mainly through private refining companies like Reliance Industries and Nayara Energy.
India's future oil imports from Venezuela hinge on the country's energy security policies.

Refiners in Northeast and Southeast Asia worry that reduced imports from Venezuela could inflate spot prices for Middle East crude, highlighting the complexities of the situation.

#Venezuela #PDVSA #sanctions #oil #Asia #India
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