Forwarded from SITREP - Independent OSINT Channel
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦✈️ On drone production in Ukraine - an analysis by Rybar and Military Chronicles
We have already written about possible attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces using drones against targets in the Russian Federation. Most of such UAVs are produced and modernized in Ukraine under the direct patronage of Western engineers.
🔻 Where exactly are the UAVs being assembled and retrofitted?
Back in the spring, after several successful Russian missile strikes on Ukrainian defense industry factories and enterprises, it was decided to distribute drone assembly among industrial facilities in different regions of Ukraine.
There are now more than a dozen facilities in Ukraine where drones and guided missile weapons are assembled, modernized and redesigned. Relatively small, sometimes abandoned (or disguised as such) buildings are used for these purposes.
This has made it possible to secure the assembly lines from repeated strikes by the Russian Armed Forces against the facilities of the military-industrial complex. Even if one of the buildings is hit, production is reallocated to other facilities until the destroyed facility is restored.
🔻How is everything organized?
▪️In #Kiev, specialists at the Paton Institute are upgrading long-range missiles for various weapons, including artillery, MLRS and aviation, to high-precision weapons equipped with satellite or inertial navigation modules.
The assembly of components for such munitions was organized at an abandoned workshop in Novaya Greblya, 70 km from Kiev. The necessary equipment was brought there, and air defense equipment was placed in a nearby forest.
▪️ The industrial workshops at the Sambor metalware plant in the #Lviv region and at the Yuzhnoye Design Bureau in Dnepropetrovsk are upgrading the barrage munitions. The production technology has been established by studying the surviving Geran-2 ammunition, as well as by supplying the components required for the UAV from abroad.
▪️Analogous production is deployed at the Kommunar plant, the Khartron-Arkos research and production enterprise, and the FED Kharkiv Machine Building Plant. Near these facilities there is at least one anti-aircraft missile system, reinforced by territorial defense squads on duty with MANPADs on the roofs of neighboring houses.
🔻What's next?
According to our data, the drones required for strikes deep in Russian territory are already ready. Right now, Ukrainian formations are just waiting for permission from their Western handlers.
Other UAVs, such as the Chinese Mugin-5, mono-wings-dirigibles and balloons are being deployed to conduct reconnaissance or "probe" the Russian air defense.
These drones do not need a runway, so they can be launched from almost any area where control points or signal repeaters are located.
🔻 At the moment, there are launch and control sites for UAVs capable of striking at Russian territory in Mirnograd in the DNR, Spassky in the #Sumy Region, Volnyansk in the #Zaporozhye Region, as well as #Dnepropetrovsk, #Nikolayev and #Odessa.
Control points for drones in these cities are equipped on civilian infrastructure or in fields and wastelands. There is also maintenance and final adjustment of the drones before their massive launch at the set targets.
t.me/sitreports /@rybar/#smo/
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We have already written about possible attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces using drones against targets in the Russian Federation. Most of such UAVs are produced and modernized in Ukraine under the direct patronage of Western engineers.
🔻 Where exactly are the UAVs being assembled and retrofitted?
Back in the spring, after several successful Russian missile strikes on Ukrainian defense industry factories and enterprises, it was decided to distribute drone assembly among industrial facilities in different regions of Ukraine.
There are now more than a dozen facilities in Ukraine where drones and guided missile weapons are assembled, modernized and redesigned. Relatively small, sometimes abandoned (or disguised as such) buildings are used for these purposes.
This has made it possible to secure the assembly lines from repeated strikes by the Russian Armed Forces against the facilities of the military-industrial complex. Even if one of the buildings is hit, production is reallocated to other facilities until the destroyed facility is restored.
🔻How is everything organized?
▪️In #Kiev, specialists at the Paton Institute are upgrading long-range missiles for various weapons, including artillery, MLRS and aviation, to high-precision weapons equipped with satellite or inertial navigation modules.
The assembly of components for such munitions was organized at an abandoned workshop in Novaya Greblya, 70 km from Kiev. The necessary equipment was brought there, and air defense equipment was placed in a nearby forest.
▪️ The industrial workshops at the Sambor metalware plant in the #Lviv region and at the Yuzhnoye Design Bureau in Dnepropetrovsk are upgrading the barrage munitions. The production technology has been established by studying the surviving Geran-2 ammunition, as well as by supplying the components required for the UAV from abroad.
▪️Analogous production is deployed at the Kommunar plant, the Khartron-Arkos research and production enterprise, and the FED Kharkiv Machine Building Plant. Near these facilities there is at least one anti-aircraft missile system, reinforced by territorial defense squads on duty with MANPADs on the roofs of neighboring houses.
🔻What's next?
According to our data, the drones required for strikes deep in Russian territory are already ready. Right now, Ukrainian formations are just waiting for permission from their Western handlers.
Other UAVs, such as the Chinese Mugin-5, mono-wings-dirigibles and balloons are being deployed to conduct reconnaissance or "probe" the Russian air defense.
These drones do not need a runway, so they can be launched from almost any area where control points or signal repeaters are located.
🔻 At the moment, there are launch and control sites for UAVs capable of striking at Russian territory in Mirnograd in the DNR, Spassky in the #Sumy Region, Volnyansk in the #Zaporozhye Region, as well as #Dnepropetrovsk, #Nikolayev and #Odessa.
Control points for drones in these cities are equipped on civilian infrastructure or in fields and wastelands. There is also maintenance and final adjustment of the drones before their massive launch at the set targets.
t.me/sitreports /@rybar/#smo/
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🇺🇦🇷🇺🧵 “I was in #Sumy on Monday for @zeit and spoke to soldiers from several brigades about their activities in #Kursk region. Here are some insights.”
🔸 Out of the 3 scenarios that military experts consider realistic (expanding further, holding, retreating completely), all men I spoke to were in clear favor of the 1st one: Expanding a bit more, then holding. One said: It is an amazing feeling to finally have enough munition.
🔸 Working on Russian territory brings new challenges, especially in the sphere of communication. Starlink doesn’t work. The Ukrainians can use radios (or even Russian sim cards), but it makes them trackable. This leads to a limited knowledge of the territory ahead.
🔸 Now logistics is key. If the aim is to hold territory, Ukrainian soldiers need to set up supply lines and ensure safe ways for the evacuation of material & men. Currently, the problems with communication and surveillance are standing in the way.
🔗 Oliva Kortas
📝 This perhaps explains prior reporting about munition shortages in the Donbass; the offensive into Kursk has received priority in supplies.
Logistics will prove key into the success or failure of the offensive, with the Ukrainian focus on Korenevo resulting from its status as a railway hub connected into the Sumy Oblast of Ukraine. Currently, the Ukrainian advance has yet to secure an East-West rail line necessary to sustain deeper penetrations into the Kursk region of Russia.
🔸 Out of the 3 scenarios that military experts consider realistic (expanding further, holding, retreating completely), all men I spoke to were in clear favor of the 1st one: Expanding a bit more, then holding. One said: It is an amazing feeling to finally have enough munition.
🔸 Working on Russian territory brings new challenges, especially in the sphere of communication. Starlink doesn’t work. The Ukrainians can use radios (or even Russian sim cards), but it makes them trackable. This leads to a limited knowledge of the territory ahead.
🔸 Now logistics is key. If the aim is to hold territory, Ukrainian soldiers need to set up supply lines and ensure safe ways for the evacuation of material & men. Currently, the problems with communication and surveillance are standing in the way.
🔗 Oliva Kortas
📝 This perhaps explains prior reporting about munition shortages in the Donbass; the offensive into Kursk has received priority in supplies.
Logistics will prove key into the success or failure of the offensive, with the Ukrainian focus on Korenevo resulting from its status as a railway hub connected into the Sumy Oblast of Ukraine. Currently, the Ukrainian advance has yet to secure an East-West rail line necessary to sustain deeper penetrations into the Kursk region of Russia.
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Olivia Kortas (@OliviaKortas) on X
I was in #Sumy on Monday for @zeit and spoke to soldiers from several brigades about their activities in #Kursk region. Here are some insights. 1/n