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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - 2 U.S. Officials to Axios have stated that additional Patriot Air Defense Batteries have been deployed to Saudi Arabia and Qatar to protect oil and gas facilities in both countries. This is to reportedly reassure both nations ahead of potential renewed U.S. strikes on Iran. CENTCOM reportedly refused to comment on this information.

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🛢 – Trump said Europe agreed to release a "massive amount" of diesel to control prices in global markets.

The precise quantity is still unknown.

Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT

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🇸🇦 – Footage has emerged of alleged Houthi strikes in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, for the second consecutive day, and likely as retaliation for yesterday's Saudi bombing of Sana'a.

At least one large plume of smoke was spotted over the city, but the Houthis have claimed no attack so far.

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🇸🇦 – NASA's FIRMS confirms at least three fire hotspots in Riyadh were spotted by satellite sensors around four hours ago.

The fires, with a relatively low Fire Radiative Power (FRP) but high brightness suggests a very small, intense fire that is not spreading.

The fire can be geolocated to the al-Faisaliyah area of Riyadh, where there are large industrial parking lots for machinery, which could explain the concentrated but intense fire.

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❓ – It should be highlighted there is still no hard evidence that the fires are related to a Houthi strike, and could be related to a separate incident.

However, the fact that there are multiple, separate hotspots, could suggest some sort of coordinated hostile action.

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5.3K viewsDeigo, 15:20

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🇮🇷 – The office of Iraqi Prime Minister al-Zaidi announced an agreement allowing Iranian airlines to operate 40 daily flights to Najaf International Airport, with the exception of the 'Mahan' airline, according to al-Mayadeen.

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🇾🇪 – The Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said Iran has suggested 'engaging' Ansarullah (the Houthis) politically following strikes against Saudi Arabia, an idea that will be discussed during emergency talks in Riyadh next week, Reuters reports.

Dar said Iran has distanced itself from its Yemeni and Iraqi proxies, and that top decision makers like Pezeshkian and Araqchi "want the matter concluded."

Iran has made no solid commitment to engage the Houthis diplomatically, and Dar said it's so far only "brainstorming between two foreign ministers", suggesting Araqchi is deeply involved in the negotiations.

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🇴🇲 – UKMTO reported yet another Iranian attack against a vessel in the Omani route of the Strait of Hormuz.

A tanker was struck by one projectile, causing a fire that has since been controlled. The vessel is continuing its transit, and no casualties were reported.

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- Recently, ENDF forces have begun taking back territory previously lost to Ugugumo and TDF rebels in the Afar region, along with pushing further north into the Tigray region.

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In western Afar, Ethiopian soldiers have retaken the towns of Abala and Erebti from rebel forces. In Tigray, ENDF forces have captured the towns of Adi Aba Musa and Mehoni with fighting now situated south of Maychew.

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🇾🇪 – Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni PLC are preparing a large-scale offensive against Ansarullah, which could include a push for the Red Sea coast or a broader, multi-front offensive.

The operation is likely to kick off "in the coming weeks", and will involve Saudi air support but not forces on the ground. Sources said the operation could begin as late as after the U.S. midterm elections.

The U.S. is expected to keep providing intelligence for offensive and defensive operations, while European partners have ramped up defensive support for Riyadh.

The PLC is expected to moblizie up to 100,000 troops for the offensive, and Riyadh has reportedly concluded it cannot enter new negotiations with the Houthis while they control de Bab al-Mandab Strait.

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🇾🇪 – Pakistan has been aiding both Saudi Arabia and the PLC in their fight against Ansarullah (the Houthis) in Yemen, Reuters reported citing Western and Middle Eastern sources.

Pakistan has sent around 40,000 troops to Saudi Arabia, some of them after the renewal of tensions between Riyadh and Sana'a, and Pakistani material support, including multiple types of military equipment, reached the PLC in at least four cargo planes.

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🇴🇲 – UKMTO confirmed a second vessel was struck by Iran today.

There were no casualties reported, and the extent of the damage remains unknown.

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🇸🇦-Ansarullah’s offensive around Taizz continues to see success with Houthi advances and infiltration attempts reported across multiple fronts southwest and southeast of the city, several important supply routes have also been severely impacted including…

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- Over the last 24 hours, the front has become extremely fluid with fighting becoming especially intense around the town of Bani Umar as Ansarullah continues to attempt to cut key supply routes near the Al Samsara junction.

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Despite numerous claims that Ansarullah entered As Safiyah and cut off the important Al Turbah road, newly released footage emerged of a reporter interviewing PLC forces in the center of the As Safiyah junction.

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On the other hand further south Ansarullah forces were geolocated in the village of Ad Darahim northeast of Bani Umar, there are also reports of Ansarullah capturing Al Qasfah at Tawil and surrounding areas, although they remain unconfirmed and premature.

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🇮🇱 – The Omani pilot that tried to hijack a Flydubai aircraft earlier this week is cooperating with local authorities, and has been officially identified as 29-year-old Hamam al-Hammami.

Al-Hammami's plan was to crash the plane in Israeli territory, according to the investigation's results so far, and had already been flagged for radical views and grounded by Omani authorities. It remains unclear if Flydubai was aware of the risks when he was hired and assigned to the route to Israel.

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🇮🇷 – Earlier today, two Iranian nationals were arrested in the United Kingdom and charged with planning a terrorist attack against Jewish people in Manchester.

London is also investigating a link between the men and a "third party", alleged to be Iran.

The scare comes just days after the RAF Fairford incident, and British authorities are likely to be placed on higher alert.

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🇮🇷 – Trump on Iran having a nuclear weapon during one of his rallies:

Remember about the oil. You're paying a price... but boy is that a small price than what it would be if these lunatics were allowed to have a nuclear weapon and used it on Mobile, Alabama.

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