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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

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🗳 – The states where Lula is leading by the largest margins (bigger circles indicate a bigger lead) are also the ones that have counted the less votes so far, so Lula is expected to further close the 5-point gap with Bolsonaro.

Alagoas: +18.5 for Lula — 57% counted
Ceará: +29.8 for Lula — 68% counted
Maranhão: +30.4 for Lula — 75% counted
Bahia: +45.7 for Lula — 67% counted

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6.24K viewsDeigo, edited 22:56

Geopolitics Watch

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🗳 – At 99.55% of the votes counted, Lula managed to shrink Bolsonaro's lead to 2.7%, or around 2.4 million votes.

The runoff election, which Bolsonaro is likely to win, will be held on October 25.

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🇧🇷 – Trump claimed the U.S. voting system is "CORRUPT" by comparing it to today's first round of presidential elections in... India.

Elections were held, as our informed and loyal subscribers may know, in Brazil, which is very much not India.

125 Million People voted today in the first round of India’s Presidential Election. The results came out shortly after the vote closed, on the SAME DAY! In Detroit, Philadelphia, California, and numerous other U.S. Cities and States, the results, with much smaller numbers, will often take weeks to Rig, I mean, calculate. Voting in America is CORRUPT!!! President DJT

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Geopolitics Watch

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🇸🇦 - The PLC and affiliates re-capture Bab AlMandeb, following the launch of a counter-offensive this morning, as announced yesterday.

The group heads to 'Dhubab'.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇾🇪

🇸🇦 - The PLC and affiliates re-capture Bab AlMandeb, following the launch of a counter-offensive this morning, as announced yesterday. The group heads to 'Dhubab'. @GeoPWatch

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🇸🇦 - Rashad AlAlimi, the president of the PLC announces the launch of Operation "Yemen Dawn", with the objective of destroying Ansarullah, and re-capturing Yemen's capital, Sana'a.

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Forwarded from Percy's Archive

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇫🇷🇸🇦❌🇾🇪 - Major airforce activity for Yemen this morning to support ongoing PLC counter-offensive, launched yesterday.

RAF "KC2" and an RSAF "A330MRTT" refueling aircraft from Saudi Arabia over the Red Sea, French "A330-243MRTT" from Djibouti.

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Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇾🇪

🇸🇦 - The PLC and affiliates re-capture Bab AlMandeb, following the launch of a counter-offensive this morning, as announced yesterday. The group heads to 'Dhubab'. @GeoPWatch

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🇾🇪❌🇾🇪 - Reportedly, dozens of Ansarullah soldiers were captured by the PLC and its affiliates during the operation to re-capture Bab AlMandeb.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇾🇪

🇸🇦 - The PLC and affiliates re-capture Bab AlMandeb, following the launch of a counter-offensive this morning, as announced yesterday. The group heads to 'Dhubab'. @GeoPWatch

🇾🇪🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 - Yemen’s Armed Forces spokesperson claims:

- The Giants Brigades and Nation Shield Forces have taken back control of Bab AlMandeb following a flanking operation.

- Government forces have cut the Dhubab–Mokha road and established fire control over it.

- Houthi fighters fled by boat after being surrounded.

- Dhubab airport is under government control.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇾🇪

🇸🇦 - The PLC and affiliates re-capture Bab AlMandeb, following the launch of a counter-offensive this morning, as announced yesterday. The group heads to 'Dhubab'. @GeoPWatch

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🇸🇦 - Geo-location evidence of PLC advancements.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇸🇦 - Ansarullah's spokesman, Yahya Saree has announced that the group shot down an RSAF "Wing Loong II" UCAV operating over Yemen's 'Mocha' overnight. @GeoPWatch

🇾🇪🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 - Ansarullah announces shooting down an RSAF “Wing Loong II” UCAV in Yemen’s Ta’izz.

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#GRAPHIC
🇸🇦❌🇾🇪 - Graphic Footage shows soldiers from the Saudi Backed Giants Brigade directly hitting Ansarullah troops with their AV.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 - Reports of a Houthi attack on Pumping Station No. 2 along Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline are false.

Satellite imagery from today shows no visible signs of damage. The activity observed at the site appears consistent with routine flaring, which is commonly seen at the facility.

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#BREAKING
🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 - The Houthi Humanitarian Operations Coordination Center has issued a warning to all airlines operating in Saudi Arabian airspace, declaring it “unsafe.”

The group says Saudi airspace will become an operational area for Houthi forces and warned that it will not accept responsibility following the announcement.

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🇾🇪 – An al-Arabiya correspondent entered the Bab al-Mandab area following its capture by Saudi-backed PLC forces, giving additional confirmation of its capture.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - UKMTO Warning states that a tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz today on an inbound route was stopped by the IRGC and instructed to turn back or be targeted.

The tanker has complied with the orders from the IRGC.

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🇺🇦 – A Turkish grain ship, the 'Royad Mammadov', sunk close to the Romanian coast according a confirmation by Romania's Interior Ministry.

It appears that a UUV, probably of Russian or Ukrainian origin, targeted and sunk the vessel. Two crewmembers were reportedly killed by the blast, while 11 have been rescued so far.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸 - UKMTO Warning states that a tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz today on an inbound route was stopped by the IRGC and instructed to turn back or be targeted. The tanker has complied with the orders from the IRGC. @GeoPWatch

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - A new UKMTO Warning states that an inbound tanker in the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unknown projectile yesterday evening.

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🇺🇸 – UKMTO received yet another late report of an Iranian strike against a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, the third incident reported today so far.

A crude oil tanker was struck above the waterline, with no confirmation on the status of the crew or the vessel.

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🇪🇸 – Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called for snap elections on November 29, following his party's defeat at the latest parliamentary elections and his unability to approve to housing decrees due to political polarization.

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🇸🇦 – FIRMS spotted a massive fire at ARAMCO's refinery in Jeddah, measuring at well over 400 MW of released energy, suggesting at least one fuel tank was directly struck and went up in flames.

There were no Saudi alerts before the strike.

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