JOGWD Report
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โšก๏ธJOGWD: Joint Observation Group for Warfare Development

๐Ÿ“ Military blog,Military History,Doctrine & Space.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Chat group: @JOGWDReportChat
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆItaly has announced it will start training Ukrainian soldiers in Italy.

Italy will also send military instructors to train Ukrainian troops in Poland, Belgium and Germany.

๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Siviersk Front: AFU claim to have advanced in Sacco & Vanzetti, with russian forces now retreating to the south of the Vasyukivka River

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๐Ÿš€ Missile alert in all Ukrainian territory. Explosion in:

โ›ณ๏ธ Kyiv
โ›ณ๏ธ Kryvyj Rih
โ›ณ๏ธ Rivne (Lutsk district)
โ›ณ๏ธ Khmelnytskyi
โ›ณ๏ธ Chernihiv
โ›ณ๏ธ Mykolaiv
โ›ณ๏ธ Kherson
โ›ณ๏ธ Lviv Region

โœ… Up 4:16 (EEST): Missile alert has been cancelled except in Lviv Region

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น B1 Centauroโ€™s and Iveco VM90โ€™s have been spotted being transported today in Caserta.

This doesnโ€™t mean theyโ€™re 100% headed to Ukraine, however keep in mind a bunch of B1 Centauroโ€™s were present in the same place where M109Lโ€™s for Ukraine were being refurbished.

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According to Mishustin (Russian PM) "thousands of defensive fortifications on the border of the Russian Federations are refurbished and ready to defend the borders"

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukrainian drone spots the destruction of Sakko I Vantsetti, north of Soledar.
No sign of Russian forces.

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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK special forces from the British Armyโ€™s SAS and SRR regiments and the Navyโ€™s SBS units are operating very close to the front lines in Ukraine. These personnel are serving as key interlocutors between NATO intelligence efforts & Ukrainian forces

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Explosions reported in Mariupol. Presumably somewhere in the airport direction.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Explosions reported in Mariupol. Presumably somewhere in the airport direction. ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Estimated geolocation of the ukrainian strikes in Mariupol.

๐Ÿ“ 47ยฐ07'06.1"N 37ยฐ30'41.4"E
(maps)

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ The Italian Destroyer Caio Duilio (Orizzonte Class) has arrived to the Port of Gdynia.

According to a recent deal between Poland and Italy, the ship will guard the Polish coast for the foreseeable future.

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Western countries have already decided to transfer F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine - Reuters

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Prigozhin declares that Bakhmut has been completely captured by the Russian Federation and PMC Wagner

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Prigozhin declares that Bakhmut has been completely captured by the Russian Federation and PMC Wagner ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Prigozhin reports on the complete occupation of Bakhmut in the square near the building of the Bakhmut station.

๐Ÿ“ 48ยฐ35'29.2"N 37ยฐ59'14.7"E (maps)

Source

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Prigozhin achieved a great personal victory by conquering Bakhmut and, to this day, enjoys great popularity in Russia. We will see what his next political moves will be. Certainly inconvenient, but very useful to the Russian cause in Ukraine

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Position of ukrainian forces in the Bakhmut area according to pro-russian sources.
It is clear that Bakhmut's fall did not create a gap in the Ukrainian lines (as some expected) and how it did not change the willingness of Ukrainian forces to fight meter by meter in the sector

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Explosions reported in Mariupol. Presumably somewhere in the airport direction. ๐Ÿ‘‰ @JogwdNews
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Damage is visible in new satellite imagery from Planet.

๐Ÿ“ 47ยฐ06'20.9"N 37ยฐ28'30.5"E (maps)

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ New $375 million military aid package to Ukraine from US.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Prigozhin says: "We captured the entire territory as promised and we are leaving the conflict zone (Bakhmut) on 25th May"

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F-16 is one of the most versatile air planes in the world.

๐Ÿ›ฉ F-16 air-to-air capabilities are very good, especially when using late AIM-120D AMRAAMs variante.

It has potent air-to-ship capabilities using the AGM-84 Harpoon (or AGM-119 Penguin) and especially AGM-158 LRASM which in combination with Neptune coastal batteries make an additional headache for the Russian Black Sea Fleet.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ If the SCALP Naval and the Storm Shadow will be adapted on the F-16 this will considerably worsen the problems for the Russian forces and above all for the bases in Crimea.

These days, even more capable weapons like the JDAM, JSOW glide bomb and JASSM cruise missile are available too.

๐Ÿ”น Difficulty will be in targeting for the Harpoon, Vipers radar not sufficient to employ Harpoon at its max range. Lack of AEW, ISR assets and other platforms to link data with will handicap these fighters, It Is likely that it will be complemented via datalink with NATO's ISR.

It can be said that just the F-15E, 4.5 gen and 5th fighters can parallel or beat it in versatility.
SEAD/DEAD is not carrying a HARM. For example F-35 has advanced electronic attack capabilities and a much better ESM suite to locate radars and SAMs but canโ€™t do SEAD/DEAD operation (Initial operational capability for SEAD with the AGM-88G is planned for 2023). But can destroy them with GBUs at closer distance.

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