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📌 BTC - globally. Where to wait for a U -turn?

• In this post I will analyze the behavior of a global seller and buyer, and I will compare the current structure with exactly the same fractals in the recent past

On the screen you see three graphs. Each of them is a BTC price in different time segments. Fat points on the graph show the current balance of sellers - buyers called "Trend Score". The color of these points is important here. The color changes from 0 (yellow) to 1 (dark purple). The closer the meaning to the unit, the greater the pressure of the global buyer, and the values of about 0 say that the network now either does not accumulate or is purely distributing bitcoin

-

1) The schedule is shown from the beginning of autumn 2024. Here we see the first peak of the maximum accumulation on the fact of Trump’s victory, with the subsequent correction of up to $ 88,000 and the beginning of the net distribution from the first of January 2025. The global buyer is still not visible, but at least the net distribution was replaced by inaction (zero phase)

2) a long sidewall of 2024. A very similar picture is the same double peak (but more stretched), with the beginning of the distribution at the time of the formation of the second top, then there is a further descent and the net distribution is replaced by the “zero phase”, after which a global buyer appears in the BTC (we leave in purple). I allocated the similarities of two sidewalls with red arrows with an almost equal dominance of the common position at each point. If we follow this option, then the bottom is already delivered

3) The bull of 2021 and the Chinese ban in May. Complete development of a reversal figure and a total drop of 55% of the peak to peak. This option also cannot be ruled out (I'm not about the percentage of falling, but about the nature of the movement), because The current DV was worked out only in the height of the bodies, but not by shadows (full -time working on shadows is now in the range of $ 69,000 - 73,000. On this screen I showed the update of the two previous extremes, as a “extended” option. This is a more negative option, but I will also have a place to be (in clarification below)

-

🟣 Graphically and fractally the real picture is much more similar to the summer of 2024 than the situation in 2021. However, the USA fund failed quite strongly, and if the same NASDAQ in the summer of 2024 fell by 17% resting exactly at 200d-mukeing (after which the reversal began), now it has fallen under it and is fixed there for more than two weeks, and the annual muving from the bottom has not yet been tested (by the way, like BTC). Taking into account "Day x" April 2, when Trump announces the final appearance of its global duties, the market has a couple more weeks of uncertainty, inside which it can be weak, so you should adequately regard the situation and be prepared to update Loy from March 11

#onchain‌‌

Tomorrow is the decision on the percentage rate of the Fed. The most important news. Your opinion?

🚀- The rate will be reduced
🚀- They will leave it unchanged
🎱- will increase the bet

Reducing the rate - positive for the market / increase - negative / unchanged - neutrality.‌‌

The liquidity index in the global system is still on the rise and, at the moment, fits into the pattern of 65 months of cycles (historically Bullish for risky assets)-Crossborder Capital

I repeat that my opinion is that this spring the bull will return, and in no case do I leave the fact that we are still in the bull market! 🚀‌‌

The liquidity index in the global system is still on the rise and, at the moment, fits into the pattern of 65 months of cycles (historically Bullish for risky assets)-Crossborder Capital

I repeat that my opinion is that this spring the bull will return, and in no case do I leave the fact that we are still in the bull market! 🚀‌‌

↗️ moreover, the volatility is growing a little, I think that the movements are weak due to the Fed, which will be on Wednesday.

For this news, all volatility and liquidity are accumulated, so today we can also move in the sidewall.‌‌

Review #bTC to 4h 💰

The asset is in consolidation, without going beyond the borders of the current range, the price is $ 82.700, the recent entry into the zone $ 79.870 collected liquidity, which gave the pulse local bunch

While the market looks weak and the price has not been able to gain a foothold above $ 85,000, before the fall there is a chance to see the strong zone test of $ 84.500 - $ 85.300, where the liquidity accumulation is located above current values, the path to $ 90,000–93.000 will open, but until the market shows clear signs

🛡 The main support remains the same $ 81,000 - $ 79.870 from which I expect a reaction, if the sellers are sold, then we need to wait for movement to $ 76.500, and in case of breakdown we will already monitor the daily imbalance of $ 75.400 - $ 73.700, where good points for Long are possible‌‌

xrp

sei

❤️ $ NEAR - Short ❤️
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🔴 entrance: $ 2.5805

🔴Plecho: 17x

🔴 Sense: $ 2.537, 2.493, 2.449

🔴 Stop: $ 2.786
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
👉 As part of the risk management, when the first goal is reached, we transfer to the entrance point.‌‌

Good morning, cats 🐈

According to the #NEAR asset, we reached the first teak-profite, transfer the stop to the hazard and we are waiting for further performance, the limit orders #Avax, which in the development and #dydx, also worked

❗ on the limit of #dydx, many are fixed for many, but I know that some, as I have, the warrant did not work and the deal did not open, if you have the same - we cancel the limit

Such moments are not often, we wake up - we make coffee and prepare for active trade‌‌

💵 Monet - TAO
🔼long 20x

My TVX 244.40

🟢 1 Take - 249.00
🟢 2 TAKE - 265.00

🔴 Stop - 237.00
📏📏📏📏📏📏📏
On the first take I fix 50%
The second is the rest
When the first take is reached, the feet on the TVX‌‌

The first goal is 🤝 🤝
Fixed 50% of the profit
Stop crazy

Take the second tay tia tia 😎👌
How do you like to work out? 🔥🔥‌‌

Thoughts on BTC remain the same, I expect that we will return to the level of $ 84,500 will make a retest of the zone and then go to $ 80,000. If we fix it above $ 85,000 - the abolition of the script.‌‌

Review #sol on 4h 💰

Now the price is about $ 126.20, recently reached $ 136.65, but did not test the bear block $ 137 - $ 139, and rolled back

After a decrease, it demonstrates signs of recovery, an important level of support is $ 120.75 - $ 118.54, and its breakdown can lead to a decrease in $ 115.27 - $ 111.55, on the other hand, the sales area is close enough $ 131.25 if the price overcomes and is fixed above this level to further go to test $ 137.51 - $ 139.73, and under a favorable outcome, this will lead to further growth by $ 140-45, and exit from a protracted fall

🔎 Fundamentally Solana continues to demonstrate its weakness and the overall growth of market capitalization of other assets compared to it tells more and more pressure, news background and problems, including high costs for ensuring network security and periodic failures with a large volume of transactions, leads to a lot of distrust and, as a result, the asset more and more loses the price‌‌

Signal from Eve🤿

#Seiusdt Short

Entrance: 0.1975 (current)
Purpose: 0.1795 (9.11%)
Stop: 0.2075 (5.06%)

The risk of a deal is 1% of the deposit in the event of a foot.

There was work with the upper liquidation and now I'm waiting for work with lower liquidation, so I think we will fall soon.

The movement 🔽

We fix part of the position and throw the feet into the boo.