#btc_09_03 - closed this longing about the opening price, near Zero

I changed my mind, yesterday it closed badly. I would pull Long in the event of a bite above $ 83,500 or vice versa, in the case of a stronger strait of thousands by 76. But yesterday's closing is sluggish, it is dangerous, I will not take risks

Below showed 2 zones where the crossing is ready to consider, but I will give a new entrance already in fact, because will depend on different factors‌‌

Review #bTC to 4h 💰

Bitcoin now demonstrates a descending movement, confirmed by a decrease below key levels of resistance, reaching the lower border $ 76.570, a recent rebound from the support level of about $ 80.600 indicates an attempt to restore

To confirm the turn, it is necessary to fix above $ 84.650, where a lot of liquidity is concentrated if the price retains above and overcomes the resistance at $ 85,000, this can signal the start of the upward trend with potential targets of $ 88,000 and $ 90,000

If the trend continues and a breakdown of $ 80.625, the following are the levels of $ 79,000 and $ 76,000, where the area of ​​large applications for the purchase is located, a short -term decrease is possible in order to drive the participants to the short position, after which the probability of further movement of upwards will intensify‌‌

Review #bTC to 4h 💰

The asset is in consolidation, without going beyond the borders of the current range, the price is $ 82.700, the recent entry into the zone $ 79.870 collected liquidity, which gave the pulse local bunch

While the market looks weak and the price has not been able to gain a foothold above $ 85,000, before the fall there is a chance to see the strong zone test of $ 84.500 - $ 85.300, where the liquidity accumulation is located above current values, the path to $ 90,000–93.000 will open, but until the market shows clear signs

🛡 The main support remains the same $ 81,000 - $ 79.870 from which I expect a reaction, if the sellers are sold, then we need to wait for movement to $ 76.500, and in case of breakdown we will already monitor the daily imbalance of $ 75.400 - $ 73.700, where good points for Long are possible‌‌

#BTC_17_03 - changed the parameters of the headge short. Now the delay is at $ 88890, and the trigger stop at $ 102090

• At night, a little did not reach my limit of $ 87,900, but the price was able to get out for 200d for average volume, and the GEP on CME was also closed

Today Trump is again, at some of the next crypto conferences. And if there is something serious there, then the bulls will be able to develop this success and pass even higher, so it is advisable to increase the limit order, because The rebound potential can be up to the range of 90-93 thousand

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🔶 The key task of this short does not change - the protection of the remaining long positions in my portfolio #table. If I were sitting without a medium-term long portfell, I would not shorten, because Everything above the annual MA is a zone of work from Long (specifically for senior TF: 1D and 1W), and the price is currently stably higher than the annual brevation‌‌

📌 Brief squeeze from yesterday's video:

1) The last teak ($ ​​90100) was closed. All Long is closed to profit (#btc_07_04). Congratulations to everyone who came in

2) This is 4 hedge-shorts, of which 3 are currently worked out (the latter is at $ 9,900). If everything is worked out, the average price of the input in the short will be ~ 93000 $. Stop trigger at the closure of the day candle is higher than $ 104,000 (not just touching, namely, 1d-light above the trigger line)

• This is exclusively Head-short not related to classical trade, which I protect my remaining medium-term positions from the #Table table. The calculation here is as follows - if the BTC knocks out the stop, I will still get more due to the restoration of the alta, and if the price goes to the new stage of immersion, then the rollback on medium -term Longs will not be so much than without safety shorts. If you do not have Longs that can be protected, you can’t shorten, the Longy market

3) These are two scenarios that I painted in yesterday's video to search for a new entry point. White (rollback from current at the time of recording) is already irrelevant, because Let's go higher. Therefore, I expect an casting higher (95-98) and already from there the rollback (yellow script), where I plan to open a new long. The parameters of the new Long will be ladies later

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🟢 Otherwise, the BTC changed the technical downward trend on the day, again on the upward (changed yesterday, at the closure of candles above $ 8,600). Therefore, with a high degree of probability, I wait for the retest of a round hundredth ($ 100,000). And if the current week closes above $ 88750, then there will be a change of trend for the week, in which case I will wait for the new ATH‌‌

#btc_24_04 - literally 130 bucks did not reach the heating and now an interesting design is formed on the day:

1) Option No. 1. The price is very little updated by today's loi (or does not update at all) and immediately go higher, taking off the feet above the mark of $ 107,000 with a possible continuation of the trend

2) Option No. 2. Correction will go much deeper, with a stop in the region of 95 - 98.5 thousand $, but then still up, taking off the feet over $ 107,000

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🔸 Therefore, given that both options for me are now the same as part of probability, and less than 1% of the course is left before the departure, I will slightly change the transaction parameters (stop + teke), and I will enter at the current price (~ 101400 $) with the last condition of the cancellation point. In any case, whatever the final version of the movement, the price should not be closed below $ 92,000, otherwise it will break the entire upward structure from the beginning of April, and there are few prerequisites for such a dump now

#BTC_24_04 - almost perfectly hit $ 107,000, after which he went a local U -turn. Now the reverse absorption on 4H-TF is drawn, and the whole thing so far looks so-saba (also taking into account the fact that all local goals have been worked out, even with a margin). Therefore, I do the following:

1) closed the remaining 2/3 of his long at the current price (~ 103000 $)

2) I put a new outflow, with exactly the same parameters: input: $ 101450, stop trigger: $ 91310, take - $ 111610. If the new limit works, it will be under the hashtag #btc_19_05

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🔸 In the formed design, a fairly high probability that my boil will be demolished, so I see no reason to hope for a miracle and take the profit that is. In the worst case, a correction is visible to the range of 94 - 97 thousand $, but $ 92,000 should not still be overlap (for such a dump you need a strong trigger, which are currently not)‌‌

👌BTC closed above 111 thousand. The saboteur on the day is removed. A good medium -term signal, including And for Alta (everything is together here, and the fact that the saber is removed, and the fact that it is removed above the past ATH)

• On the screen duplicated new parameters of the extension to Long from yesterday

#btc_19_05‌‌

Let's go briefly on #btc 🪙

Bitcoin was fixed above the price of $ 109,611, thereby impulsarily breaking through the resistance, also updating the previous highway $ 109,932.

Having fixed above $ 110,000, I expect a small correction and further growth on the upward trend. As I said earlier, this week I expect the price of $ 115,000‌‌

#btc_19_05 - Bitcoin bought off, another long is active‌‌

Bitcoin returned to $ 110 thousand for the first time since the end of May 🪂

In the morning of June 9, #bTC traded at $ 105.3 thousand, the rate increased by 4.5% during the day.

According to Coinglass, per day, more than $ 300 million in shorts with credit shoulders ⚪️

Kitty, and I will add from myself that no one canceled manifestations in the market, and also at any moment can occur a reversal for correction. For this, trading with feet and follow the risk management ⚠️‌‌

#btc_24_06 - changed the parameters of the germination. He left one limit in full volume. ST and TP have also changed (see Screen)

The day can be closed above 107 thousand, but the volume is weak today, I will not venture to go from the current ones, but through the rollback is ready

If the volume passed in a day was twice as high, I would go on the current‌‌

Brief review by #btc 🔍

From the night, the price of bitcoin has fallen by almost 1%, and is now trading near $ 108,200

↘️ Monday began Shortovo, so from the current ones, I expect a decrease by $ 107,230 to remove the loo. I also do not exclude the option with the descent even lower, to the level of $ 106,600, because there was an unfilled imbalance.

After that, over the next days I wait for a trip to the range of $ 110 500 - $ 111,000, followed by consolidation over it.‌‌

📌 The BTC dominance fulfilled the goal (Klaz) and came to the mark of 64%, what can I say now?

1) The decrease by indicators is quite strong, the nearest target is 63.4%, which is only 0.5-0.6% of current marks. This is a real goal, nothing unusual

2) A more interesting goal is at the mark of 62.5% and 60%, and given the fairly pronounced saber for a weekly TF, these are also real goals. In this case, Alta (Total3) will block the hi December 2024 and, quite likely, will get out the range 1.2 - 1.3 trillion $ (here I will definitely unload most of my medium -term portfolio #Table)

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In general, everything is possible, but now not 2021, so I doubt the continuation of the steep fall of the dominance. Most likely there will be stops and deep corrections in the bounced alt. However, the trend for growth has begun strong, so any strong correction can be considered as the next good point of entering Long. Domestic indicators in dominance are now showing an increased probability to go closer to 60%, it plays our hands

#btc_d‌‌

#btc_15_08 - New longs for BTC Active

Now it is more obvious why I decided to get out with a little, but still a profit from the past of Long (Klaz) and cross $ 115472

Although I repeat, it will not be a surprise if the BTC continues to correction in the range 110-113.5k $ (he talked about this in the last video - Klaz)‌‌

📌 Yesterday at the night of BTC it was well collapsed with two candles, literally in 10 minutes

It's all about one address, which cleaned up all its balance in the market, which is about 24000 BTC

According to related data, this is an organization that still has wallets with a total balance of 146000 BTC (originally it was ~ 170000), which were received about 6 years ago from the HTX exchange and remained inactive until the first yesterday's transaction

This drain swallowed all Friday positive on Powell, and this is not a very pleasant picture. Although, the altas remained stable and the domination did not fly away anywhere

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❌ Now for me a critical level is a minimum of a drain 4H-glow, which is located around 110,500 $. If the price overlaps it with another 4h-light (down), I will seriously think about closing my longing to a partial loss, but in any case, I will write about it separately (#btc_15_08

#BTC_15_08 - Closed this long at a loss, 4H -light closed under $ 110,500. Even the situation with the day now looks debatable, failed under the monthly S3-pivot and at the same time for the 100th Muving, and all this is almost half as much as the average

You can, of course, pull this long and get in the case of a stronger strait (which is now also more likely), and in the end I still get out in a plus, but this will take away a lot of nerves (and health, respectively), so the most correct solution for me is now the closure of Long with a partial loss:

❌ Closed Long in -4.5% of the entrance point or about half of the initially estimated foot (8.9%). That is, 4.5 / 8.9 = 0.505 joint venture (standard position)

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• For a long time I did not have stops, even half of the alleged, but it happens. More precisely, as, I would not earn if I had not caught the feet ...‌‌

📌 bitcoin - put a new outflow in Long

1) TVX - 105860 $

2) Take - 116950 $

3) Stop trigger (st) - $ 94290. The transaction closes in the foot under the condition of closing the day candle under the line of the foot (not just touching, but closing)

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• This is now an alternative option - a ransom with a consolidation over $ 118500, then, most likely, re -set without limits, at any price

#btc_26_08‌‌

Streams in the spot BTC-ETF remain active and multidirectional, while the price of bitcoin is held at $ 109,500.

In the spring and autumn of 2024, powerful bursts were observed: the outfills reached -30k BTC, and the tributaries -over 20K BTC. These movements accompanied the price of $ 60,000 to current levels.

Now the dynamics of flows are noticeably calmer, which indicates consolidation.

#BTC is traded in the range of $ 108,000 - $ 110,000. Personally, I am waiting for either $ 112,000, with a continuation of growth, or a fall with a breakdown of support up to $ 105,500.
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BTC outfills from exchanges remain stable. The graph shows that in the spring and summer of 2023 strong bursts were recorded - up to 200k+ BTC per day.

Subsequently, throughout 2024, the outfills remained moderate, but regularly accompanied the price increase, especially when the bitcoin exit above $ 70,000.

Now the dynamics of outfills are much calmer, which indicates a decrease in pressure from large players and the gradual market consolidation.

#BTC is traded around $ 111,000. I personally wait for the secretion above $ 112,000, which will open the way to good growth, or a return to support in the area of $ 105,000 $106,000.‌‌